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BYU

BYU 35 at Stanford 26

STAN
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [NH] Kneel down by CONOVER, Jacob at STA42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:43: Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 43 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK) — BYU win probability +9.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:41: Mitch Leigber 1 Yd Run (Joshua Karty PAT failed) — STAN win probability +5.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:50: Isaac Rex 1 Yd pass from Jaren Hall (Jake Oldroyd Kick) — BYU win probability +12.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:18: Ashton Daniels 1 Yd Run (Tanner McKee Pass to Benjamin Yurosek for Two-Point Conversion) — STAN win probability +5.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:39: Brycen Tremayne 7 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Ryan Sanborn Run for Two-Point Conversion) — STAN win probability +9.9 pts (now 17%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 6BYU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:26STAN 4th & 4 at BYU 16, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.1%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:29STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:19STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 46, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:01STAN 4th & 4 at BYU 43, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−1.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:02STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 35, down 16
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:08BYU 4th & 1 at STAN 21, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−2.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−8.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:16STAN 4th & 12 at STAN 43, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:38BYU 4th & 7 at BYU 28, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:48BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:29BYU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:43BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:41STAN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:50BYU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:48BYU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:18STAN Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:39STAN Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    10.5%−2.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    12.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1262% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.6%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
37.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 14 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
37.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 2 yds to the BYU 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+13
37.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 13 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
37.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 19 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
37.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 8 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q1 11:48
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+19
37.2%
Jaren Hall run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2FG
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:1938% → 39%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
37.7%
Mitch Leigber run for 1 yd to the Stanf 36Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
37.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+11
37.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 11 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
37.9%
Mitch Leigber run for 1 yd to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+4
37.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 4 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+26
37.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 26 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
38.1%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
38.1%
Mitch Leigber run for 6 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
38.0%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
39.2%
Joshua Karty 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5761% → 64%
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
38.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 9 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+12
38.5%
Christopher Brooks run for 12 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
38.4%
Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
38.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+6
38.4%
Puka Nacua run for 6 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
38.3%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
35.6%
Hinckley Ropati run for 43 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:5537% → 35%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
36.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
36.6%
Mitch Leigber run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+14
36.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 14 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
37.2%
Mitch Leigber run for 3 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-10
37.3%
MCKEE, Tanner pass up the middle complete for 8 yards to HIGGINS, Elijah caught at the BYU47 and advanced to the BYU44 (KAUFUSI, Jackson). PENALTY STA Holding on LEYRER, Jack enforced 10 yards from the STA48 to the STA38 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+4
36.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Colby Bowman for 4 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+6
36.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Mitch Leigber for 6 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
34.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:4665% → 76%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
35.4%
Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the BYU 25Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+5
35.4%
BROOKS, Christopher rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the BYU33 (MIEZAN, Ricky). PENALTY STA Offsides on ARMITAGE, Aaron enforced 5 yards from the BYU25 to the BYU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+4
34.2%
Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
34.3%
Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+18
33.8%
Jaren Hall run for 18 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
24.2%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 43 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:5727% → 33%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
26.9%
Tanner McKee run for 8 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
27.3%
Mitch Leigber run for 8 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
27.8%
Mitch Leigber run for no gain to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
27.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Colby Bowman for 5 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
27.6%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+22
26.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 22 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
27.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 8 yds to the BYU 24Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+8
27.5%
Tanner McKee run for 8 yds to the BYU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
27.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+9
27.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to C.J. Hawkins for 9 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
32.5%
Mitch Leigber 1 Yd Run (Joshua Karty PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:4570% → 88%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
29.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+12
29.6%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 12 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
28.8%
Jaren Hall run for 16 yds to the STANFORD 42 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Block below the waist on TOOMER, Nicolas enforced (Nicolas Toomer) to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
28.5%
Chase Roberts run for 5 yds to the Stanf 22Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+11
28.5%
Christopher Brooks run for 11 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
28.5%
Jaren Hall run for 1 yd to the Stanf 10Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
28.5%
Jaren Hall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+9
28.9%
Jaren Hall run for 9 yds to the Stanf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.8%
Jaren Hall run for no gain to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.2%
Jaren Hall run for no gain to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
26.5%
NACUA, Puka rush up the middle for a loss of 5 yards to the STA6 (MCGILL, Jonathan). PENALTY STA Offsides on MOI, Jaxson enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the STA1 to the STA1 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.9%
Isaac Rex 1 Yd pass from Jaren Hall (Jake Oldroyd Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 1:4518% → 25%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
18.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
18.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Colby Bowman for 8 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
19.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Mitch Leigber for 8 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
19.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
19.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Colby Bowman for 4 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
20.0%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-7
25.0%
Tanner McKee sacked by Lorenzo Fauatea for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 17
OWN 44
+13
24.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Mitch Leigber for 13 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+6
21.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 6 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+54
24.5%
Joshua Karty 54 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5322% → 21%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
22.2%
Tanner McKee sacked by Lorenzo Fauatea and Tyler Batty for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 20Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+15
21.7%
Elijah Higgins run for 15 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
22.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for no gain to the Stanf 35Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
21.1%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 5:5482% → 86%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
18.1%
Christopher Brooks run for 9 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+6
17.3%
Christopher Brooks run for 6 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
17.1%
Jaren Hall run for 1 yd to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+13
17.1%
Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 13 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
16.9%
Jaren Hall run for 6 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+6
16.6%
Christopher Brooks run for 6 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
16.7%
Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+6
16.5%
Hinckley Ropati run for 6 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 1
OPP 21
0
12.8%
Jaren Hall run for no gain to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 1
OPP 21
-1
13.8%
Jaren Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:5217% → 15%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
17.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Mitch Leigber for 4 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
17.6%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+1
16.1%
Mitch Leigber run for 1 yd to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
15.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 13 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
16.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
16.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Mitch Leigber for 3 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-5
16.6%
Tanner McKee sacked by Tyler Batty and Gabe Jeudy-Lally for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
14.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 5:2889% → 98%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
10.8%
Christopher Brooks run for 13 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
10.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
10.7%
Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+6
11.0%
Hinckley Ropati run for 6 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
10.1%
Hinckley Ropati run for 15 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
6.3%
Hinckley Ropati run for 4 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+11
6.2%
Christopher Brooks run for 11 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
6.1%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+4
6.0%
Hinckley Ropati run for 4 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+25
1.8%
Puka Nacua 25 Yd Run (Jake Oldroyd Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:303% → 9%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 7 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
2.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+29
2.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 29 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
3.2%
Mitch Leigber run for 5 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
3.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 5 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
3.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Sam Roush for 23 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.5%
Ashton Daniels 1 Yd Run (Tanner McKee Pass to Benjamin Yurosek for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4095% → 96%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-2
4.9%
Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 9:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
5.3%
Jacob Conover pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+2
4.5%
Ryan Rehkow punt for 49 yds , Jason Thompson returns for 2 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:596% → 17%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
5.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
6.0%
Mitch Leigber run for 7 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
6.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Mitch Leigber for 5 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+36
6.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 36 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
7.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 11 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
7.5%
Mitch Leigber run for 4 yds to the BYU 7Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
17.4%
Brycen Tremayne 7 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Ryan Sanborn Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16END OF GAME
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:3989% → 96%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
11.2%
Christopher Brooks run for 11 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
10.2%
Christopher Brooks run for 7 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+7
9.9%
Puka Nacua run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
50
+2
5.9%
Hinckley Ropati run for 2 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+6
6.0%
Christopher Brooks run for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
5.9%
Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
5.9%
[NH] Kneel down by CONOVER, Jacob at STA40 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
6.0%
[NH] Kneel down by CONOVER, Jacob at STA41 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
4.0%
[NH] Kneel down by CONOVER, Jacob at STA42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:50
Isaac Rex 1 Yd pass from Jaren Hall (Jake Oldroyd Kick)
-12.5
TD · Q4 4:39
Brycen Tremayne 7 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Ryan Sanborn Run for Two-Point Conversion)
+9.9
TD · Q2 13:43
Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 43 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com