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UTAH

Utah 63 at Colorado 21

COLO
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Folsom Field
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Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:01 · Jack Bouwmeester punt for 25 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.5+29.80−29.8−59.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior−20.5Home team on offense−51.9Score differential−30.7Garbage-time factor−13.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:35: Micah Bernard run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — COLO win probability +0.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:20: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +0.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:34: Ja'Quinden Jackson 2 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick) — UTAH win probability +1.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:43: Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 41 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:52: Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 9 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 9 of 11UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:41COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:16UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:37COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:11COLO 4th & 19 at COLO 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:38COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:02COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:18UTAH 4th & 4 at COLO 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:38COLO 4th & 22 at COLO 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:56COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:28COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:49COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 26, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:49UTAH 4th & 1 at UTAH 47, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:01UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 44, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:05COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 36, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:41COLO 4th & 8 at UTAH 26, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UTAH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 6:35UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:20UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:34UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:43UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:52UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:03UTAH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:47COLO Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 10:59UTAH Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:37UTAH Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 2:59COLO Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:34UTAH Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 2:46COLO Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:134% → 4%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
3.5%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
3.5%
Brady Russell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
3.5%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+9
3.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 40 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 9 yds to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2596% → 96%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
3.8%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Utah 36Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
3.8%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Utah 37Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
3.8%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
4.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dante Capolungo at the Colo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:394% → 5%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
4.1%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+3
4.1%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Jack Hestera for 3 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 3
OWN 24
0
4.1%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:37
4TH & 3
OWN 24
0
4.5%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 35 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for no gain to the Utah 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:0296% → 95%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
4.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Logan Kendall for no gain to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
4.5%
COLORADO Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Utah 46Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+10
4.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 10 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
4.4%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
4.4%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 10:37
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
4.4%
COLORADO Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
4.4%
COLORADO Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Colo 28Similar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 5
OPP 28
+5
4.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the Colo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
4.4%
Jaylen Dixon run for 15 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.8%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 2:245% → 5%
Q1 6:35
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+6
4.9%
Maddox Kopp run for 6 yds to the Colo 18Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-2
4.9%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Jack Hestera for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 16Similar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
5.0%
Charlie Offerdahl run for a loss of 13 yards to the Colo 12 Charlie Offerdahl fumbled, recovered by Colo Maddox KoppSimilar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+8
5.3%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 45 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 8 yds to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:5195% → 95%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+31
5.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 31 yds to the Colo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
5.2%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+10
5.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 10 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
4.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:425% → 5%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
4.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
5.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 38Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
4.9%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+5
5.1%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 47 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 5 yds to the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:0495% → 97%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
5.0%
Micah Bernard run for 23 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
4.9%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+6
5.0%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
4.9%
Micah Bernard run for 19 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
4.9%
RISING, Cameron pass to the right incomplete intended for VELE, Devaughn thrown to the COL0. PENALTY COL Offsides on WILLIAMS, Ryan enforced 5 yards from the COL27 to the COL22. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 22
+20
4.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 20 yds to the Colo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
4.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the Colo 2Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson 2 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:254% → 4%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
4.0%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 12 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
4.1%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Brady Russell for 6 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
4.2%
Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 10:08
3RD & 1
OWN 45
0
4.1%
Deion Smith run for no gain to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 10:02
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
4.1%
Casey Roddick run for no gain to the Colo 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 2:4497% → 97%
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
3.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 16 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
3.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Makai Cope for no gain to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
3.1%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+3
3.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+2
3.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 2 yds to the Colo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:404% → 4%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
4.0%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-2
4.0%
Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-10
4.0%
Maddox Kopp sacked by Lander Barton for a loss of 10 yards to the Colo 10Similar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 22
OWN 10
+41
4.0%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 41 yds , returns for no gain to the Utah 46 , returns for no gain to the Utah 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:5597% → 98%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
3.2%
Cameron Rising run for 13 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
2.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 41 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:401% → 1%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
1.2%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
1.2%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
1.2%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+8
1.2%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 49 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:0498% → 99%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
2.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+13
2.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Makai Cope for 13 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
2.1%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 3
50
+11
1.9%
Micah Bernard run for 11 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
2.0%
COLORADO Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Guy Thomas) to the Colo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
1.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 7 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
0.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 9 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.7%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.7%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Brady Russell for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
0.7%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
0.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:2599% → 99%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
1.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 8 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+33
1.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 33 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
1.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 29 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
0.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Colo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:4399% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
1.0%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Taniela Pututau for 13 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
1.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 11 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
1.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+6
1.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.8%
Bryson Barnes pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
0.9%
KOPP, Maddox pass to the left intercepted by HUBERT, R.J. at the UTA0 intended for RUSSELL, Brady. Hubert return for 0 yards to the UTA0, End of Play, clock 12:17. PENALTY UTA Holding on BARTON, Lander enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the UTA11 to the UTA6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:301% → 1%
Q3 12:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
0.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Utah 1Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:4899% → 99%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+66
0.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 66 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:101% → 1%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.6%
Maddox Kopp run for 7 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-4
0.6%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Maurice Bell for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-2
0.6%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Deion Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
0.5%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 3:1299% → 100%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
0.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the Utah 39Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
0.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the Utah 40Similar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+7
0.7%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Money Parks for 7 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+32
0.9%
Bryson Barnes run for 32 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
0.5%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Makai Cope for 21 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 2:320% → 0%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
0.3%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Brady Russell for 12 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+24
0.3%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Jack Hestera for 24 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
0.3%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Brady Russell for 14 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
0.3%
Maddox Kopp run for 6 yds to the Utah 23Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
0.2%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+23
0.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 23 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
0.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
0.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
0.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 2:59
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
0.4%
Jaylon Glover run for no gain to the Utah 44Similar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
0.4%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
0.1%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
0.1%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 5:31100% → 100%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
0.3%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the Utah 29Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+15
0.3%
Jaylon Glover run for 15 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
0.3%
Jaylon Glover run for 11 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
0.3%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 47Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+4
0.3%
Bryson Barnes pass complete to Taniela Pututau for 4 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q4 14:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
0.3%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
0.3%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the Colo 5Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:420% → 0%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-15
0.1%
COLORADO Penalty, Personal Foul (Jack Hestera) to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+15
0.1%
KOPP, Maddox pass to the right incomplete intended for LEMONIOUS-CRAIG, Montana thrown to the UTA37. PENALTY UTA Pass Interference on SAVAGE, Caine enforced 15 yards to the COL45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
0.1%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Michael Harrison for 9 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+7
0.1%
Maurice Bell run for 7 yds to the Utah 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
0.1%
Maddox Kopp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+14
0.1%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 14 yds to the Utah 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
0.1%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Maurice Bell for 11 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.0%
Maddox Kopp pass complete to Frank Fillip for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 23 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
0.1%
Charlie Vincent run for 8 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+12
0.1%
Charlie Vincent run for 12 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
0.1%
Charlie Vincent run for 1 yd to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
0.1%
Charlie Vincent run for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:34
Ja'Quinden Jackson 2 Yd Run (Jadon Redding Kick)
-1.7
TD · Q2 4:43
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 41 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-1.1
TD · Q2 0:52
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 9 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com