Try the model
UTAH

Utah 17 at Oregon 20

ORE
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Autzen Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ORE
modelORE aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playORE scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFUMBLETDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:21 · Jack Bouwmeester punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Delgado at the Oregn 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Home team on offense+11.3Pregame prior−1.7Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.0Score differential+4.4Blowout margin+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:28: Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +7.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q3 13:14: Dont'e Thornton run for a loss of 3 yards Dont'e Thornton fumbled, recovered by Utah Karene Reid , return for 11 yds, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +11.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:39: Jaylen Dixon run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +20.6 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:17: Camden Lewis 41 yd FG GOOD — ORE win probability +8.6 pts (now 68%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:10: Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the Oregn 44 — ORE win probability +19.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 5:56UTAH 4th & 11 at ORE 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    40.2%−1.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:36ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:09UTAH 4th & 9 at ORE 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    37.4%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:13UTAH 4th & 10 at ORE 33, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:29UTAH 4th & 3 at ORE 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    27.4%−0.6
    87% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:18ORE 4th & 1 at UTAH 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    71.4%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:21UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:56ORE 4th & 8 at ORE 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:39ORE 4th & 16 at UTAH 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    71.1%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:50ORE 4th & 4 at UTAH 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−3.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    57.0%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:17ORE 4th & 9 at UTAH 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−15.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:54UTAH 4th & 2 at ORE 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.3%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    22.7%−13.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:14ORE 4th & 12 at ORE 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−4.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:57UTAH 4th & 6 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.9%−5.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:56ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:28ORE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:39UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 4:0046% → 50%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
46.4%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (Jackson Powers-Johnson) to the Oregn 16Similar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+6
46.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 6 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+5
46.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 5 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q1 13:47
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+20
46.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 20 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
47.0%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+6
47.3%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
47.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 16 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
47.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 1 yd to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
47.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+15
47.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 15 yds to the Utah 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
49.5%
Bucky Irving run for 10 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:5651% → 48%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
48.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
49.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
49.3%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 10 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
49.4%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Money ParksSimilar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
49.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 4 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+16
49.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 16 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
49.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 13 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
49.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 6 yds to the Oregn 13Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 4
OPP 13
-7
50.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 3 yds to the Oregn 10 UTAH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 20Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
50.4%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
51.0%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Money ParksSimilar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+38
51.8%
Jadon Redding 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:4752% → 52%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
52.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for no gain to the Oregn 20Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
52.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 7 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
52.1%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Dont'e ThorntonSimilar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+21
51.8%
Alex Bales punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the OREGON 37 OREGON Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Oregn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4FG
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:2149% → 50%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
51.4%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Oregn 48Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
51.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 6 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+14
52.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 14 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
50.9%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton KincaidSimilar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
51.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-3
51.9%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 27Similar
Q1 1:09
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
50.5%
Jadon Redding 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:4851% → 51%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
51.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 2 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-5
51.5%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 27
-4
51.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 23Similar
Q2 14:09
3RD & 17
OWN 23
+27
51.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 27 yds Dont'e Thornton fumbled, forced by Lander Barton, recovered by Utah Cole Bishop , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
50
-3
49.7%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted Bennett Williams return for 3 yds to the Oregn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:2054% → 63%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
53.5%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:26
2ND & 8
50
0
53.7%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q2 13:19
3RD & 8
50
+16
53.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 16 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
54.9%
Noah Whittington run for 16 yds to the Utah 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
55.2%
Noah Whittington run for 11 yds to the Utah 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
55.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kris HutsonSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
55.6%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the Utah 4Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8DOWNS
16 plays · 64 yds · 7:5140% → 32%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
59.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
60.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
60.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
61.0%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (Jamal Hill) to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
60.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds to the Oregn 37Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+4
60.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
60.1%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Money ParksSimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-3
60.3%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 36Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 13
OPP 36
+3
62.9%
Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+15
65.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 15 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
63.9%
Cameron Rising run for 4 yds to the Oregn 14Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
64.2%
Cameron Rising run for 5 yds to the Oregn 9Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-2
65.7%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 11Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 3
OPP 11
0
67.6%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9FG
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:0169% → 78%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
69.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 7 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+3
70.3%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the Oregn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+58
70.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 58 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
72.9%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
73.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the Utah 12Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
72.5%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Bucky IrvingSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+30
78.1%
Camden Lewis 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
76.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3124% → 23%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
75.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 4 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
76.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 6 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
75.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Jaylen DixonSimilar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
76.0%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton KincaidSimilar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
77.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Delgado at the Oregn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12FUMBLE TD
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
66.0%
Dont'e Thornton run for a loss of 3 yards Dont'e Thornton fumbled, recovered by Utah Karene Reid , return for 11 yds, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0966% → 65%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
66.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 5 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-3
67.4%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 29Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
65.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kris HutsonSimilar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
64.7%
Alex Bales punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3434% → 34%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
65.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
65.7%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted Noah Sewell return for no gain to the Utah 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:3071% → 68%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
70.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-5
70.5%
Bo Nix sacked by Simote Pepa for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 16
OPP 41
0
70.2%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Josh DelgadoSimilar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 16
OPP 41
0
68.4%
Alex Bales punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
15 plays · 86 yds · 6:5133% → 57%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
67.3%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 12Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 12
OWN 12
+3
68.0%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the Utah 15Similar
Q3 8:13
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+9
69.4%
Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
67.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 11 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
67.1%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 34Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+7
68.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 7 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+4
65.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
65.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 18 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
64.6%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 42Similar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+6
67.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 6 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+8
65.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 8 yds to the Oregn 28Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
65.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
63.5%
Micah Bernard run for 8 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+18
42.9%
Jaylen Dixon run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 17FG
17 plays · 52 yds · 6:1054% → 68%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
53.9%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
54.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Noah WhittingtonSimilar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-5
52.7%
OREGON Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 24Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
51.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 13 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
55.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 16 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
59.3%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
58.8%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+1
58.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 1 yd to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+4
56.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 4 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
60.2%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+1
61.4%
Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+9
59.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 9 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
61.8%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
61.8%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Dont'e ThorntonSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+1
59.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 1 yd to the Utah 23Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
68.2%
Camden Lewis 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:1035% → 39%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
64.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Tavion Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
65.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
64.2%
Cameron Rising run for 8 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
61.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 8 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
58.6%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton KincaidSimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
59.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
50
+1
58.7%
Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the Oregn 49Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+15
59.4%
Rising, Cameron pass incomplete to Kincaid, Dalton, PENALTY OREGON pass interference 15 yards to the OREGON34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTAH.Similar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
56.9%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
56.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+1
57.3%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 2
OPP 26
0
60.6%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Dalton KincaidSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 19INT
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:5471% → 78%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
70.7%
Bucky Irving run for no gain to the Oregn 26Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+50
71.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 50 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
77.6%
Bo Nix pass intercepted Clark Phillips III return for 5 yds to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:3034% → 39%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
66.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+4
62.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
64.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 10 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
61.2%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted Bennett Williams return for no gain to the Oregn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5681% → 78%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
80.7%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the Oregn 44Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-4
81.6%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 40Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 12
OWN 40
0
78.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 12
OWN 40
+8
77.6%
Alex Bales punt for 44 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 8 yds to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:0428% → 26%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
72.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 9 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+13
67.7%
Cameron Rising run for 13 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
68.8%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Money ParksSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
70.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 6
50
0
69.2%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Makai CopeSimilar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 6
50
0
73.8%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 3 yds · 1:2389% → 95%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
50
+1
88.5%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the Utah 49Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+8
89.9%
Noah Whittington run for 8 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
89.9%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
94.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 41Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-6
95.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:39
Jaylen Dixon run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
-20.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:10
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the Oregn 44
+19.5
FUMBLE · Q3 13:14
Dont'e Thornton run for a loss of 3 yards Dont'e Thornton fumbled, recovered by Utah Karene Reid , return for 11 yds, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com