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COLO

Colorado 7 at Washington 54

WASH
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDSAFETYTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · D. Morris takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:49: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 27 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +0.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:33: Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  3. SAFETY · Q2 1:32: run for 31 yds for a SAFETY — WASH win probability +0.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:15: Cameron Davis run for 4 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:51: Cameron Davis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 11:09COLO 4th & 8 at WASH 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:31WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:35COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:19COLO 4th & 6 at WASH 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WASH 4th & 2 at COLO 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.6%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:32COLO 4th & 14 at WASH 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    2.5%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:55WASH 4th & 8 at COLO 31, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:23WASH 4th & 1 at COLO 1, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:18COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 6, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:59COLO 4th & 5 at WASH 41, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:07COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 46, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:51WASH 4th & 9 at WASH 34, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:15COLO 4th & 18 at WASH 44, down 47
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:18WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:49WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:33WASH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:15WASH Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:51WASH Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:11WASH Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:45COLO Touchdown, down 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:10WASH Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:484% → 4%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
96.4%
Shotgun Shrout,J.T. pass intercepted by Powell,Mishael at WASH29 Powell,Mishael return 1 yard to the WASH30 (Hestera,Jack) PENALTY WASH Offside (Tuitele,Faatui) 5 yards from COLO36 to COLO41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+6
96.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
96.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 6 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+6
96.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 6 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
96.4%
Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
96.4%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Montana Lemonious-CraigSimilar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
96.4%
COLORADO Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
95.7%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 5:5196% → 96%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+18
95.8%
Giles Jackson run for 18 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
95.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
95.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 2 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+2
95.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+5
95.3%
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
95.3%
Cameron Davis run for 9 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+5
95.4%
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+5
95.4%
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+16
95.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 16 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
95.4%
Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short right PENALTY WASH Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Fautanu,Troy) 5 yards from COLO24 to COLO29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 8 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:365% → 5%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
95.1%
Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
95.1%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 5
OWN 31
0
95.1%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+31
95.0%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 38 , Jalen McMillan returns for 31 yds to the Colo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4TD
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:4695% → 96%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
95.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 11 yds to the Colo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
96.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 27 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:254% → 5%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+26
95.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 26 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.7%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
95.8%
Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Wash 48Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+5
95.8%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jack Hestera for 5 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q1 0:19
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
95.5%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Montana Lemonious-CraigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:2796% → 98%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
96.0%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+2
96.0%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+3
95.9%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 3 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+4
95.8%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
96.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+12
95.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 12 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
96.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+8
96.0%
Giles Jackson run for 8 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+18
96.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 18 yds to the Colo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:533% → 3%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
97.4%
Deion Smith run for 5 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
97.3%
Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+31
97.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jack Hestera for 31 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
97.2%
Shotgun Shrout,J.T. pass incomplete short left to Arias,Daniel PENALTY WASH Offside (Tuitele,Faatui) 5 yards from WASH42 to WASH37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+4
97.1%
J.T. Shrout run for 4 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
97.2%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 7
OPP 39
-5
97.2%
PENALTY COLO False Start (Wells,Van) 5 yards from WASH39 to WASH44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 12
OPP 44
+2
97.3%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 5:32
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
97.4%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:3798% → 98%
Q2 5:32
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+17
97.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 17 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
97.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 24 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.9%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+8
97.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
97.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+2
97.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 2 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
97.8%
Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the Wash 14Similar
Q2 1:55
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
98.1%
Peyton Henry 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9SF
4 plays · -31 yds · 0:233% → 2%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.5%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed IISimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
97.6%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed IISimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
97.7%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Michael HarrisonSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+31
97.7%
run for 31 yds for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 1:1098% → 99%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 1
OPP 36
0
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+6
98.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 6 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 16 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 10 yds to the Colo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11FG
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:1199% → 100%
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+33
99.5%
Peyton Henry 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:3199% → 100%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 2 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
99.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+57
99.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 57 yds to the Colo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Colo 1Similar
Q3 12:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Colo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.6%
J.T. Shrout run for 2 yds to the Colo 3Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+2
99.6%
Jayle Stacks run for 2 yds to the Colo 5Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+1
99.6%
Jayle Stacks run for 1 yd to the Colo 6Similar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
99.7%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Colo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 18 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 9 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+10
99.7%
Cameron Davis run for 10 yds to the Colo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Cameron Davis run for 6 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:450% → 0%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jack HesteraSimilar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
99.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 19 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+7
99.7%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 7 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jack HesteraSimilar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.7%
Drew Carter pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed IISimilar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 5:59
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Drew Carter pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.8%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+12
99.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 12 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
99.8%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
99.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+20
99.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Richard Newton for 20 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
99.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds to the Colo 13Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+3
99.8%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
99.8%
Richard Newton run for 8 yds to the Colo 2Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Richard Newton run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:180% → 0%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Daniel AriasSimilar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+69
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 69 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:41100% → 100%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Denzel Boston for 5 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
COLORADO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Colo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 8 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed IISimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brady Russell for 2 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 5:57100% → 100%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
99.9%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+23
99.9%
Dylan Morris run for 23 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Dylan Morris run for no gain to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+9
99.9%
Dylan Morris run for 9 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.9%
Sam Adams II run for 9 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 1
OPP 42
-10
99.9%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+21
99.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Griffin Waiss for 21 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Dylan Morris run for no gain to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+25
99.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Quentin Moore for 25 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Nixon,Will rush middle for 5 yards gain to the COLO00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY WASH Holding (Buelow,Julius) 10 yards from COLO05 to COLO15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Dylan Morris pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Sam Adams II for 15 yds for a TD, (Addison Shrock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
100.0%
J.T. Shrout pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
99.9%
Will Nixon run for 7 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Brennan Holmes run for 6 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Brennan HolmesSimilar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Kevin Ryan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dante Capolungo at the Colo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 18 yds · 5:360% → 0%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Drew Carter pass complete to Michael Harrison for 3 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+6
100.0%
Drew Carter run for 6 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
100.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
100.0%
PENALTY COLO False Start (Wiley,Jake) 5 yards from COLO40 to COLO35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+13
100.0%
Drew Carter run for 13 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+18
100.0%
Drew Carter run for 18 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Drew Carter pass incomplete to Austin SmithSimilar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
100.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 6
OPP 32
-12
100.0%
Drew Carter sacked by Maurice Heims for a loss of 12 yards to the Wash 44Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 18
OPP 44
-9
100.0%
Drew Carter sacked by Jacob Bandes for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
100.0%
Jay'Veon Sunday run for 19 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
100.0%
D. Morris takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:33
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q2 0:15
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
+1.1
TD · Q1 2:49
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 27 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com