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WSU

Washington State 31 at Arizona 20

ARIZ
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:17 · Nick Haberer punt for 52 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for 1 yd to the Ariz 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime per score still needed
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Home team on offense−3.3Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0Time per score still needed+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:06: Cameron Ward run for 17 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:27: Nakia Watson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +18.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:45: Dean Janikowski 23 yd FG GOOD — WSU win probability +4.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:09: Derrick Langford Jr. 35 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +12.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:41: Jayden de Laura run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +5.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 9:52ARIZ 4th & 12 at ARIZ 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:21ARIZ 4th & 2 at WSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−0.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:21WSU 4th & 1 at WSU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:17WSU 4th & 16 at WSU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−1.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:51ARIZ 4th & 4 at WSU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−1.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:38ARIZ 4th & 10 at WSU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30ARIZ 4th & 4 at WSU 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:34ARIZ 4th & 4 at ARIZ 31, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:28WSU 4th & 2 at ARIZ 41, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−2.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−2.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:30ARIZ 4th & 4 at ARIZ 46, down 15
    Close callPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:41WSU 4th & 6 at WSU 24, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−1.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:45WSU 4th & 6 at ARIZ 6, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−7.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:09ARIZ 4th & 13 at WSU 49, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:22WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 18, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:19WSU 4th & 4 at ARIZ 36, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.8%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:07WSU 4th & 15 at WSU 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 2WSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:31WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:06WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:27WSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:09WSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:41ARIZ Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:16ARIZ Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2950% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
50.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
50.1%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
50.1%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+19
50.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 19 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
50.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 4 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+16
50.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 16 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
50.1%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
50.1%
Cameron Ward run for 8 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+4
50.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 4 yds to the Ariz 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
50.1%
ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (2 Yards) to the Ariz 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
48.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 4 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3949% → 49%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
49.4%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Quinn Roff for a loss of 8 yards to the Ariz 17Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+6
49.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 6 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q1 9:52
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+15
48.7%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 44 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 15 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:3352% → 51%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
48.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
48.5%
Cameron Ward run for 12 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+33
48.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 33 yds Donovan Ollie fumbled, recovered by Ariz Tacario DavisSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
48.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Ariz 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 4DOWNS
12 plays · 69 yds · 4:5849% → 48%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 13
OWN 4
0
48.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 13
OWN 4
+9
48.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 9 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+8
48.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 8 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
48.9%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 18Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+19
48.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 19 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
49.0%
Rayshon Luke run for 5 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+25
49.4%
Michael Wiley run for 25 yds to the WshSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
49.8%
Jayden de Laura run for no gain to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
49.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+8
48.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 8 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+1
47.8%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the WshSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 4:0453% → 54%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
46.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 23Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+6
47.1%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+4
46.8%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+7
46.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 7 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
46.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 39Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-4
46.3%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 15
OWN 35
-1
47.4%
Cameron Ward sacked by Isaiah Ward for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 16
OWN 34
+1
46.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 52 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for 1 yd to the Ariz 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 6DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:0945% → 45%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
45.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+16
45.8%
Michael Wiley run for 16 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
46.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+11
46.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 11 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
47.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
47.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+2
47.1%
Jayden de Laura run for 2 yds to the WshSt 40Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
45.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:4557% → 67%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
42.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
43.0%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 5 yds to the WshSt 47 Jaylen Jenkins fumbled, recovered by WshSt Renard BellSimilar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
42.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 4 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+19
42.3%
Nakia Watson run for 19 yds to the Ariz 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
42.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 13 yds to the Ariz 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
42.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cooper Mathers for no gain to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
32.6%
Cameron Ward run for 17 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 8FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:2834% → 37%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.4%
Rayshon Luke run for 1 yd to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
34.3%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+47
34.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 47 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
36.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
36.6%
Rayshon Luke run for no gain to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
36.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:38
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
37.3%
Tyler Loop 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 5:0463% → 82%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
36.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 9 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
36.6%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
36.2%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
36.3%
Cameron Ward run for 12 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
36.1%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
36.2%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+10
36.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 10 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
35.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 11 yds to the Ariz 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
35.8%
ARIZONA Penalty, Personal Foul (Christian Roland-Wallace) to the Ariz 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
35.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 1 yd to the Ariz 2Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
17.6%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 10FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:5724% → 29%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+19
23.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 19 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
25.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 20 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
26.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
24.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 6 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
25.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
29.4%
Tyler Loop 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
24.2%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2628% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
27.7%
Michael Wiley run for 7 yds to the Ariz 32Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
27.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
27.1%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 31Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+1
25.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 43 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 1 yd to the WshSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:0677% → 79%
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
23.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 11 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
22.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 13 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
21.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 4 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
21.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:34
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+4
22.1%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q3 11:28
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+1
21.1%
Cameron Ward run for 1 yd to the Ariz 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5825% → 23%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
24.5%
DJ Williams run for no gain to the Ariz 40Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-8
23.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for a loss of 8 yards to the Ariz 32Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+14
22.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 14 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q3 9:30
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
23.1%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4982% → 82%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
18.5%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 5 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
18.5%
Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 9:30
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
18.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for no gain to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
18.2%
Nick Haberer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jamarye Joiner at the Ariz 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 16INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3620% → 20%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
20.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 1 yd to the Ariz 31Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
19.6%
Jayden de Laura pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:2085% → 90%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
15.2%
Cameron Ward run for 6 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+5
15.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 5 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
14.5%
Nakia Watson run for 7 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
14.5%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Sam Lockett III) to the Ariz 6Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
14.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
14.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
10.0%
Dean Janikowski 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 18INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:3614% → 2%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
14.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-35
1.7%
Derrick Langford Jr. 35 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19INT
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:562% → 1%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
1.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 23Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+31
1.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 31 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-3
1.6%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 13
OPP 49
0
1.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for no gain to the WshSt 49Similar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 13
OPP 49
+20
1.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 20 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
1.2%
Jayden de Laura pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:5199% → 99%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
1.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on FA'AMOE, Fa'alili ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+9
1.4%
Nakia Watson run for 9 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+3
1.4%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-6
1.2%
Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 10
-4
1.2%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 6
+12
1.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 12 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
1.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 48 yds, downed at the Ariz 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:411% → 7%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
0.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
0.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jonah Coleman for 1 yd to the Ariz 48Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+14
0.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 14 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
0.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 9 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+8
0.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 8 yds to the WshSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
0.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+8
0.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 8 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
6.7%
Jayden de Laura run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22MISSED FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 4:2296% → 97%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+23
4.4%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 23 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
3.9%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 8
50
+3
3.9%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 3 yds to the Ariz 47Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+5
4.0%
JENKINS, Jaylen rush to the right for a gain of 3 yards to the ARI44 (TURNER, Jaxen). PENALTY ARI Offsides on YOUNG, Christian enforced 5 yards from the ARI47 to the ARI42 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
3.9%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 6 yds to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
2.4%
Jaylen Jenkins run for no gain to the Ariz 36Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
2.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+53
2.5%
Dean Janikowski 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
3.5%
DE LAURA, Jayden pass up the middle complete for 28 yards to WILEY, Michael caught at the ARI37 and advanced to the WSU36 (MAUIGOA, Francisco), out of bounds. PENALTY ARI Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BAKER, Josh enforced 5 yards from the ARI36 to the ARI31 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23INT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:283% → 2%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
3.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+20
3.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 20 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
3.8%
Michael Wiley run for 7 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 3
OPP 42
-14
4.1%
Jayden de Laura sacked for a loss of 14 yards to the Ariz 44Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 17
OWN 44
0
2.0%
Jayden de Laura pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
1.7%
PAINE, Dylan rush up the middle for no gain to the WSU49 (MALDONADO, Gunner;DAVIS II, Russell). PENALTY WSU Holding on HILBORN, Christian enforced 10 yards from the WSU49 to the WSU39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4498% → 99%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 20
OWN 39
-3
1.8%
Dylan Paine run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 36Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 23
OWN 36
-5
1.8%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Cameron Ward) to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 28
OWN 31
+13
1.5%
Dylan Paine run for 13 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
1.4%
Dylan Paine run for no gain to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
1.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for no gain to the Ariz 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 0:511% → 3%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
0.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 13 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+26
0.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 26 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+47
3.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 47 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:1697% → 97%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
3.2%
Kneel down by WARD, Cameron at ARI45 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
3.1%
Kneel down by WARD, Cameron at ARI46 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:27
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-18.3
TD · Q3 4:09
Derrick Langford Jr. 35 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)
-12.7
TD · Q2 9:06
Cameron Ward run for 17 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com