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ASU

Arizona State 18 at Washington State 28

WSU
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:21 · Eddie Czaplicki punt for 47 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 12 yds to the WshSt 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 76Home team on offense+16.3Pregame prior+14.9Score differential+10.8Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:59: Leyton Smithson 2 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski PAT blocked) — WSU win probability +3.0 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:43: Nakia Watson 5 Yd Run (Cameron Ward Pass to Leyton Smithson for Two-Point Conversion) — WSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:03: Nakia Watson 2 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:53: Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 25 — ASU win probability +3.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:57: Elijhah Badger 9 Yd pass from Emory Jones (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ASU win probability +3.8 pts (now 5%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:17WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:31WSU 4th & 2 at ASU 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    72.8%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    71.8%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51ASU 4th & 7 at ASU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:48ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:57WSU 4th & 1 at ASU 2, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.2%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    79.6%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    75.2%−6.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:14ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 16, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:44WSU 4th & 12 at ASU 45, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−1.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:21ASU 4th & 25 at ASU 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:58ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 32, down 28
    Close callPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:44WSU 4th & 29 at ASU 42, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:00ASU 4th & 15 at ASU 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:08WSU 4th & 21 at WSU 2, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:51ASU 4th & 5 at WSU 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:54WSU 4th & 3 at WSU 39, up 22
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:56ASU 4th & 3 at WSU 12, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−0.1
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−1.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:01ASU 4th & 7 at WSU 7, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:40WSU 4th & 2 at WSU 15, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:17WSU 4th & 1 at ASU 34, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ASU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 6:31WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:59WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:43WSU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:03WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:51ASU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:10ASU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.8%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:57ASU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:4076% → 76%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
76.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:33
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
75.9%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
75.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 2 yds to the WshSt 38Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
75.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
75.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+5
75.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the WshSt 43Similar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
75.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
74.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 14 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
74.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 15
OWN 19
0
74.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+7
74.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 7 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-25
74.9%
Trenton Bourguet sacked for a loss of 25 yards to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 33
OWN 1
+4
75.1%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 42 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 4 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:0175% → 77%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
75.3%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
75.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+10
75.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 10 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
75.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 7 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+8
75.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 8 yds to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
75.1%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
75.1%
Cameron Ward run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
74.7%
Nakia Watson run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.7%
Nakia Watson 2 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3924% → 23%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
76.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
76.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+6
76.8%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 62 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 6 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 1:3976% → 80%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
76.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
76.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Orion Peters for 11 yds to the WshSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
76.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 9 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+20
76.8%
Nakia Watson run for 20 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+26
77.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 36 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Donovan Ollie) to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
77.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 17 yds to the ArzSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.4%
Leyton Smithson 2 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0422% → 21%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
78.4%
Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+16
79.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 16 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
79.2%
Daniyel Ngata run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 2:24
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
78.7%
Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
78.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
79.1%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 36 yds, downed at the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:4280% → 81%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
80.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 15 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
81.0%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+25
81.2%
Nakia Watson run for 25 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
81.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 18 yds to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
81.7%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 8
OPP 9
0
81.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+7
81.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 7 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q2 13:57
4TH & 1
OPP 2
0
81.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:4020% → 19%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
80.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+6
80.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
80.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
80.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:53
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+3
80.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 3 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 8
OWN 16
+10
80.9%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 52 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 10 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2283% → 82%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
83.0%
Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
82.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+12
82.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 12 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 10:08
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-10
82.4%
QB Keeper WARD, Cameron rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the ASU30 (SOELLE, Connor), clock 10:08. PENALTY WSU Holding on STEPHENS, Grant enforced 10 yards from the ASU35 to the ASU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
81.9%
Nick Haberer punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:1319% → 18%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
81.1%
Daniyel Ngata run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+3
80.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
81.2%
Daniyel Ngata run for no gain to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
81.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
81.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:2983% → 91%
Q2 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
82.7%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.4%
Nakia Watson 5 Yd Run (Cameron Ward Pass to Leyton Smithson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 4:2010% → 8%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.6%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
89.8%
(07:11) JONES, Emory pass to the left intercepted by LANGFORD, Derrick at the ASU37 intended for THOMPSON, Bryan. Langford return for 24 yards to the ASU13 (MARTINEZ, Chris), clock 07:03. PENALTY WSU Offsides on STONE JR., Ron enforced 5 yards from the ASU27 to the ASU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+8
89.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
89.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 15 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
89.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
90.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 11
OPP 46
-5
90.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 16
OWN 49
-9
91.6%
Emory Jones sacked by Andrew Edson for a loss of 9 yards to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 25
OWN 40
+12
91.9%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 47 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 12 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 3:0693% → 98%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
93.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 8 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
93.5%
Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
93.9%
(02:33) WARD, Cameron pass to the left incomplete intended for WATSON, Nakia thrown to the WSU38, clock 02:29. PENALTY ASU Holding on CLARK, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the WSU41 to the ASU49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
94.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 4 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
94.3%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+4
94.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 4 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
94.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+22
94.6%
Nakia Watson run for 22 yds to the ArzSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
94.9%
Cameron Ward run for no gain to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
95.0%
(00:30) WARD, Cameron pass to the left incomplete intended for NUNNALLY, Tsion thrown to the ASU0, clock 00:26. PENALTY ASU Offsides on HARRISON, Robby enforced 5 yards from the ASU16 to the ASU11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+10
94.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Anderson Grover for 10 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
94.9%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.1%
Nakia Watson 2 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:556% → 1%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
94.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+4
98.4%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
98.6%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Anderson Grover at the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:1399% → 99%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
98.6%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+17
98.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Anderson Grover for 17 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 4 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+36
98.9%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 36 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
99.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-14
99.0%
Cameron Ward sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 14 yards to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 10:04
4TH & 24
OPP 37
-5
99.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 29
OPP 42
0
99.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 37 yds, downed at the ArzSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 5:331% → 0%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
99.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+27
99.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 27 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
99.3%
Elijhah Badger run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
99.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-6
99.5%
Emory Jones sacked by Quinn Roff for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+1
99.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 1 yd to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q3 4:00
4TH & 15
OWN 39
0
99.6%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 48 yds , Anderson Grover returns for no gain to the WshSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.6%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 8
OWN 15
-4
99.6%
Cameron Ward sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott and Merlin Robertson for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 11Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 12
OWN 11
-9
99.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by Omarr Norman-Lott and Nesta Jade Silvera for a loss of 9 yards to the WshSt 2Similar
Q3 2:08
4TH & 21
OWN 2
+49
99.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 49 yds , Javen Jacobs returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:080% → 2%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.7%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 5 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 0:51
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+47
98.1%
Jalin Conyers 47 Yd pass from Emory Jones (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5198% → 99%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
98.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 9 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
98.4%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
98.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 1 yd to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
98.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+6
98.5%
Dylan Paine run for 6 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
98.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by D.J. Taylor at the ArzSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 71 yds · 5:451% → 1%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
98.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Andre Johnson for 9 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q4 13:17
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+11
98.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Cam Johnson for 11 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
98.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Cam Johnson for 16 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
98.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 5 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
98.7%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+7
98.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
98.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the WshSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.7%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+7
98.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 3
OPP 12
0
98.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the WshSt 12Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+5
98.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Andre Johnson for 5 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.8%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.8%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.9%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.1%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1699% → 99%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
99.2%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 4
OWN 13
-6
99.2%
Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 6 yards to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+8
99.3%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 8 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 2
OWN 15
+5
99.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 33 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 5 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:231% → 3%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 4 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+16
99.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 16 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+22
99.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 22 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.9%
Xazavian Valladay 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5098% → 98%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
98.2%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q4 3:24
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
98.4%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
98.5%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q4 2:17
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-3
98.4%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:191% → 5%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
99.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 15 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
99.1%
Emory Jones sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+5
99.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+35
99.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 35 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.3%
Elijhah Badger 9 Yd pass from Emory Jones (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:2597% → 97%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.8%
(00:56) [NHSG] Kneel down by WSU at ASU42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:42.Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & 11
OPP 42
0
96.8%
(00:31) [NHSG] Kneel down by WSU at ASU43 (team loss of 1), clock 00:23.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:43
Nakia Watson 5 Yd Run (Cameron Ward Pass to Leyton Smithson for Two-Point Conversion)
+8.6
TD · Q2 0:03
Nakia Watson 2 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)
+4.2
TD · Q4 0:57
Elijhah Badger 9 Yd pass from Emory Jones (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com