Try the model
ARIZ

Arizona 34 at UCLA 28

UCLA
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Rose Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:10 · Kyle Ostendorp punt for 44 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+37.7Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:01: Jayden de Laura run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +11.2 pts (now 38%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:38: Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +11.4 pts (now 74%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:22: Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +25.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:34: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 17 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +38.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:07: Tyler Loop 23 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +13.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:10ARIZ 4th & 5 at ARIZ 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:02UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57UCLA 4th & 9 at UCLA 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:45ARIZ 4th & 17 at UCLA 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.0%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    22.3%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:17UCLA 4th & 7 at ARIZ 31, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.8%−1.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    68.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:49UCLA 4th & 16 at ARIZ 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−3.2
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−8.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:18ARIZ 4th & 4 at UCLA 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:18UCLA 4th & 5 at ARIZ 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    57.0%−2.9
    27% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:00ARIZ 4th & 3 at UCLA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    33.9%−3.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    34.7%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:20ARIZ 4th & 17 at UCLA 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.6%−5.4
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.8%−14.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:26UCLA 4th & 3 at ARIZ 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−4.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−2.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:34ARIZ 4th & 4 at UCLA 17, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%−0.8
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    28.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−13.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:47UCLA 4th & 6 at UCLA 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.7%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:07ARIZ 4th & 5 at UCLA 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−2.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−23.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00UCLA 4th & 10 at ARIZ 29, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−2.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−7.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:47ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:50ARIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:12UCLA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:11UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:01ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:38UCLA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:22UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.4%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:34ARIZ Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.5%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4411% → 12%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
88.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 14 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
88.5%
Rayshon Luke run for 3 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
88.3%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+2
88.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 2 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
88.1%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0588% → 88%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
88.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-1
88.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Jaxen Turner for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 18Similar
Q1 12:22
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+1
87.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 1 yd to the UCLA 19Similar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
87.7%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:1512% → 15%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
87.6%
Michael Wiley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 48Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+6
87.4%
Michael Wiley run for 6 yds to the UCLA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
87.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 1
OPP 33
0
86.9%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+18
86.8%
DJ Williams run for 18 yds to the UCLA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
86.6%
DJ Williams run for 5 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
85.1%
Michael Wiley run for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4386% → 84%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-9
85.5%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian pass to the left complete for 9 yards to BOBO, Jake caught at the UCL14 and advanced to the UCL18 (YOUNG, Christian), clock 08:40. PENALTY UCL Pass Interference on EZEIKE, Michael enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards to the UCL5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+15
85.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 15 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
85.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 2 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-1
84.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 21Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
84.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+4
84.3%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 46 yds , Jamarye Joiner returns for 4 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:0116% → 21%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
84.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 12 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
84.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 5 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+13
83.9%
Michael Wiley run for 13 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
83.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 19 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
83.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-10
83.9%
Jayden de Laura run for a loss of 10 yards to the UCLA 22 fumbled, recovered by Ariz Jayden de LauraSimilar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 18
OPP 22
+22
79.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 22 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 4:4279% → 80%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
78.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 4 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+6
79.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
79.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
79.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
79.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
79.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for 1 yd to the Ariz 39Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+14
79.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 14 yds to the Ariz 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
77.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 1 yd to the Ariz 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+1
77.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 1 yd to the Ariz 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+20
76.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 20 yds to the Ariz 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
77.3%
QB Keeper THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian fumbled at ARI5 forced by ECHOLS, Hunter, recovered by UCL THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian at the ARI5, returned 0 yards to the ARI5 (ECHOLS, Hunter). PENALTY ARI Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the ARI3 to the ARI2 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:2722% → 24%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.1%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+23
77.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 23 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
77.1%
DE LAURA, Jayden pass to the right complete for 6 yards to SINGER, Dorian caught at the UCL41 and advanced to the UCL41 (HUMPHREY, John). PENALTY Before the snap, UCL Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UCL47 to the UCL42. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+7
77.0%
Michael Wiley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
77.0%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
75.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-7
75.5%
Jayden de Laura sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 42Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 17
OPP 42
0
76.0%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 41 yds, downed at the UCLA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
5 plays · 99 yds · 1:3476% → 83%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
75.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 5 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+6
75.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
75.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the UCLA 12Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+37
75.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 37 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
82.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 51 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 6:1020% → 38%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
79.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 12 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
79.2%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
78.3%
Jacob Cowing run for 1 yd to the Ariz 43Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+28
78.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 28 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
77.6%
Tetairoa McMillan pass complete to Michael Wiley for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+16
78.0%
Jayden de Laura run for 16 yds to the UCLA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
77.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 12 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
77.6%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the UCLA 4Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
73.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 1 yd to the UCLA 3Similar
Q2 2:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
62.1%
Jayden de Laura run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10DOWNS
16 plays · 58 yds · 1:3968% → 67%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
67.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 9 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
69.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+10
68.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 10 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
69.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+14
68.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 14 yds to the Ariz 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
70.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 4 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
69.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+8
68.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Colson Yankoff for 8 yds to the Ariz 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
70.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Colson Yankoff for 1 yd to the Ariz 33Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+7
70.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 7 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
68.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 2
OPP 26
-5
68.0%
CHARBONNET, Zach rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the ARI23 (MALDONADO, Gunner;HARRIS, Jalen). PENALTY Before the snap, UCL Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ARI26 to the ARI31. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+11
67.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the Ariz 20 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by Ariz Hunter EcholsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
63.9%
Rayshon Luke run for 4 yds to the Ariz 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:0665% → 58%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
64.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 8 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+6
66.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
66.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 6 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+15
67.7%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian sacked for a loss of 6 yards at the UCL45 (ECHOLS, Hunter). PENALTY ARI Horse Collar Tackle on ECHOLS, Hunter enforced 15 yards from the ARI49 to the ARI34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
68.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 6 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+7
68.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
68.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 24Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 13
OPP 24
-3
68.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 16
OPP 27
0
65.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 16
OPP 27
+45
58.1%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:3144% → 47%
Q3 10:49
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+10
56.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 10 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
55.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 6 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
54.4%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
54.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
57.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 7 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
53.2%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
12 plays · 89 yds · 4:4056% → 74%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
56.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the UCLA 11Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+23
55.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 23 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
56.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 17 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
60.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 4 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
60.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Ariz 42Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-2
60.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Jalen Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 44Similar
Q3 8:18
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+23
57.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 23 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
62.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 16Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+9
62.2%
Colson Yankoff run for 9 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
62.2%
Colson Yankoff run for 6 yds to the Ariz 1Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
62.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Ariz 1Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 5:1833% → 45%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.0%
Jayden de Laura run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+25
66.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 25 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
62.9%
Michael Wiley run for 7 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+1
62.5%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 2
OPP 40
-1
62.9%
Jonah Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+30
62.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 30 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
57.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 7 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 4
0
57.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-14
59.7%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Grayson Murphy for a loss of 14 yards to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 17
OPP 18
+35
55.3%
Tyler Loop 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:5858% → 81%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
57.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 12 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
57.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
57.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+5
55.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the Ariz 46Similar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+6
54.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
58.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 11 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-12
60.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Ta'ita'i Uiagalelei for a loss of 12 yards to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 22
OPP 41
+36
55.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 36 yds to the Ariz 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 3:4126% → 65%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
73.9%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+48
74.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 48 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
66.9%
Michael Wiley run for 9 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+2
66.1%
Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-8
66.1%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Gabriel Murphy for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 18
OPP 31
0
69.7%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 18
OPP 31
+14
74.0%
Jayden de Laura run for 14 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+17
35.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 17 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4043% → 40%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
43.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
42.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
42.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
39.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 4:4072% → 94%
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
28.1%
Michael Wiley run for 8 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+4
25.8%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
25.8%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
25.8%
Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the UCLA 15Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+4
19.3%
Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
17.4%
Michael Wiley run for no gain to the UCLA 11Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+4
17.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 4 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q4 2:51
3RD & 6
OPP 7
+1
19.4%
Jayden de Laura run for 1 yd to the UCLA 6Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+23
5.8%
Tyler Loop 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 1:0713% → 11%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
12.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 15 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
14.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 9 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+4
18.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 4 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
16.7%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian pass to the left incomplete intended for BOBO, Jake thrown to the ARI25. PENALTY ARI Pass Interference on ROLAND-WALLACE, Christian enforced 15 yards to the ARI29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
21.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
16.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
13.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 29
0
10.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:34
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 17 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)
-38.8
TD · Q4 10:22
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+25.8
FG · Q4 1:07
Tyler Loop 23 yd FG GOOD
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com