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WSU

Washington State 52 at Stanford 14

STAN
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · [SG] Kneel down by MATEER, John at STA21 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:29: Cameron Ward pass complete to Anderson Grover for 7 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:27: Cameron Ward run for 15 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:42: Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +4.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:06: Jaden Hicks 17 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +7.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:03: Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 9 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +2.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:53STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:55STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 28, down 14
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:06WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:47WSU 4th & 17 at WSU 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.8%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:06STAN 4th & 14 at STAN 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:37WSU 4th & 21 at STAN 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−2.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:03WSU 4th & 3 at STAN 9, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    84.0%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:26WSU 4th & 4 at STAN 42, up 28
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:56STAN 4th & 9 at STAN 5, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:43WSU 4th & 5 at STAN 5, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:33STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:51WSU 4th & 5 at WSU 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:30STAN 4th & 10 at WSU 46, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:18STAN 4th & 3 at WSU 3, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:48WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:29WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:27WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:42STAN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:06WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:03WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:53STAN Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:17WSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:0746% → 47%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
53.6%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 22Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+65
53.6%
Nakia Watson run for 65 yds to the Stanf 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
53.6%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Stanf 13Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
53.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 4 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
Q1 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
52.8%
Leyton Smithson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5053% → 53%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
53.0%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
53.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 3 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
52.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
52.6%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:2448% → 50%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
52.5%
Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 2
OPP 47
0
52.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+4
52.5%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
52.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
52.4%
Cameron Ward run for 13 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
52.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 5 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+18
52.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Orion Peters for 18 yds to the Stanf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
49.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Anderson Grover for 7 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2950% → 49%
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
50.2%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
49.5%
Ashton Daniels run for 7 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
49.6%
Mitch Leigber run for 1 yd to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 7:55
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
49.0%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 47 yds, downed at the WshSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2852% → 58%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
48.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 11 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
48.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 29 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
48.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+20
48.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 20 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
41.7%
Cameron Ward run for 15 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:3843% → 46%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
42.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+13
42.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 13 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+31
43.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 31 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
43.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+23
43.7%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Mitch Leigber for 23 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.1%
Ashton Daniels run for no gain to the WshSt 1Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.3%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3655% → 55%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.9%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
44.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
45.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
44.9%
Nick Haberer punt for 47 yds , Jason Thompson returns for 10 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:3545% → 45%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
44.5%
Tanner McKee run for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+18
44.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 18 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
45.0%
Mitch Leigber run for no gain to the Stanf 44 Mitch Leigber fumbled, recovered by WshSt Daiyan HenleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:4457% → 56%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
43.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
43.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-15
43.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on STRIBLING, De'Zhaun enforced (-15 Yards) to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
43.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jason Thompson at the Stanf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 4:4144% → 39%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
43.5%
Mitch Leigber run for 1 yd to the Stanf 11Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+6
43.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 6 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+4
43.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 4 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
42.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 3 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+6
42.3%
Ashton Daniels run for 6 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+3
42.7%
Mitch Leigber run for 3 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
42.4%
MCKEE, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for HUMPHREYS, John thrown to the STA40. PENALTY STA Holding on ROGERS, Levi enforced 10 yards from the STA33 to the STA23 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 23
0
42.2%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 23
+3
42.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 3 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 26
+3
42.0%
Tanner McKee run for 3 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 12:06
4TH & 14
OWN 29
+21
38.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 50 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 21 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:2962% → 64%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
38.4%
Nakia Watson run for 14 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
38.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 5 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
38.1%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
38.3%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
38.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-19
38.3%
Lincoln Victor run for a loss of 19 yards to the WshSt 48 Lincoln Victor fumbled, recovered by WshSt Lincoln VictorSimilar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 29
OWN 48
+8
39.0%
Dylan Paine run for 8 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 21
OPP 44
0
35.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jason Thompson at the Stanf 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:3136% → 28%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
35.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+17
28.3%
Jaden Hicks 17 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:3928% → 27%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+19
28.0%
Tanner McKee run for 19 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
28.3%
Mudia Reuben run for 11 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
29.2%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+22
26.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 22 yds Elijah Higgins fumbled, recovered by WshSt Travion BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:1780% → 87%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
20.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 8 yds to the WshSt 46Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+9
20.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 9 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
20.1%
Dylan Paine run for 7 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+6
19.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 6 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
19.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Drake Owen for 4 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
19.5%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+8
20.1%
Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
19.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
19.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+7
20.5%
Cameron Ward run for 7 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+9
12.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 9 yds for a TD (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:485% → 4%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
5.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 7 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
4.5%
Tanner McKee run for 4 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
4.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 12 yds Benjamin Yurosek fumbled, recovered by WshSt Daiyan HenleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 16TD
1 play · 41 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
6.3%
Nakia Watson 41 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:594% → 3%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
4.3%
Brendon Barrow run for 7 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
3.3%
Brendon Barrow run for 1 yd to the Stanf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:026% → 7%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
5.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 6 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+11
5.5%
Brendon Barrow run for 11 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
5.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 11 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
6.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 26 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
6.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+14
6.4%
MCKEE, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for HUMPHREYS, John thrown to the WSU5. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on JACKSON, Chris enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the WSU6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
6.3%
Mitch Leigber run for no gain to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
6.5%
Ashton Daniels 2 Yd Run (Joshua Karty Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 2:2795% → 96%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
5.4%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 27Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
5.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
5.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Offsides (Kyu Blu Kelly) to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
5.1%
Cameron Ward run for 5 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+15
5.4%
WARD, Cameron pass up the middle incomplete intended for PETERS, Orion thrown to the STA32. PENALTY STA Roughing the Passer on BAILEY, David enforced 15 yards from the WSU37 to the STA48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
5.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
5.2%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
5.3%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
4.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jason Thompson at the Stanf 4Similar
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
4.0%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Elijah Higgins) to the Stanf 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:304% → 4%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 12
OWN 2
0
4.0%
Mitch Leigber run for no gain to the Stanf 2Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 12
OWN 2
+3
3.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 3 yds to the Stanf 5Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 9
OWN 5
0
3.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 9
OWN 5
+16
3.6%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 47 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 16 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21FG
5 plays · 31 yds · 2:1397% → 96%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+27
3.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 27 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
3.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
3.3%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 11Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
3.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 6 yds to the Stanf 5Similar
Q3 5:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
3.8%
Dean Janikowski 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:102% → 2%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
2.4%
Tanner McKee sacked by Travion Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 17Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+4
2.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Shield Taylor for 4 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
2.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 7 yds to the Stanf 28Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+3
1.8%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 45 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 3 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:4298% → 98%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
1.7%
Dylan Paine run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+6
1.6%
Dylan Paine run for 6 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
1.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
1.9%
Nick Haberer punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jason Thompson at the Stanf 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:212% → 1%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
1.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+19
1.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 19 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
1.6%
Mitch Leigber run for 9 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
1.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
1.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 2 yds to the WshSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
1.0%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
1.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Mitch Leigber for 5 yds to the WshSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-5
1.0%
Tanner McKee sacked by Brennan Jackson for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 46Similar
Q4 13:30
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
0.8%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 25TD
4 plays · 54 yds · 2:1399% → 100%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
0.8%
John Mateer run for 16 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
0.8%
John Mateer pass complete to Orion Peters for 5 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+6
0.8%
John Mateer run for 6 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
0.5%
Orion Peters 27 Yd pass from John Mateer (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:520% → 0%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
0.3%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 7 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+10
0.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 10 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Mitch Leigber for 4 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
0.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Colby Bowman for 5 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
0.4%
Mitch Leigber run for 2 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
0.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 14 yds to the WshSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+14
0.4%
MCKEE, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Elijah thrown to the WSU8. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on LATAIMUA, Jackson enforced at the spot of the foul for 14 yards to the WSU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
0.5%
Mitch Leigber run for 2 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 11:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
0.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
0.4%
Mitch Leigber run for 4 yds to the WshSt 3Similar
Q4 6:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
0.2%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 27END OF GAME
9 plays · 76 yds · 6:18100% → 100%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
0.3%
Javan Robinson run for 4 yds to the WshSt 7Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+34
0.3%
Javan Robinson run for 34 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+37
0.2%
John Mateer run for 37 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
0.2%
Javan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 2
OPP 14
-1
0.2%
John Mateer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 15Similar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+4
0.2%
Javan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
0.2%
[SG] Kneel down by MATEER, John at STA14 (team loss of 3).Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 13
OPP 14
0
0.2%
[SG] Kneel down by MATEER, John at STA17 (team loss of 3).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 17
0
0.1%
[SG] Kneel down by MATEER, John at STA21 (team loss of 4), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:06
Jaden Hicks 17 Yd Fumble Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)
-7.4
TD · Q1 6:27
Cameron Ward run for 15 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q1 3:42
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com