Try the model
ORE

Oregon 49 at Colorado 10

COLO
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:20 · Alex Bales punt for 43 yds, downed at the Colo 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior−5.6Home team on offense−57.0Score differential−38.3Garbage-time factor−16.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:25: Bucky Irving pass complete to Bo Nix for 18 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +1.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:14: J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 81 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK) — COLO win probability +1.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:53: Bo Nix pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 16 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 11:51: Cole Becker 44 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +0.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:17: Bo Nix run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK) — ORE win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ORE made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 7:20COLO 4th & 2 at ORE 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:15ORE 4th & 1 at COLO 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.8%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:13COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:25ORE 4th & 3 at ORE 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:02COLO 4th & 5 at ORE 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−1.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:51COLO 4th & 4 at ORE 26, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.6%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:22ORE 4th & 5 at COLO 5, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:05ORE 4th & 1 at COLO 16, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:25COLO 4th & 3 at ORE 49, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:55COLO 4th & 7 at ORE 23, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:20ORE 4th & 16 at ORE 17, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:40ORE 4th & 11 at COLO 26, up 39
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:14ORE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:25ORE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:43ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:14COLO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:53ORE Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:17ORE Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:25ORE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:53ORE Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OREDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3896% → 96%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
3.9%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+58
4.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 58 yds Kris Hutson fumbled, forced by Trevor Woods, recovered by OregnSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
4.1%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the Colo 9Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+3
4.2%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the Colo 6Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
4.4%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Colo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
4.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Josh Conerly Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 4:404% → 5%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
4.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brady Russell for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
4.5%
Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
4.5%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jordyn TysonSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
4.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 9 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+4
4.7%
Deion Smith run for 4 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
4.7%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 17 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
4.8%
J.T. Shrout run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 36 J.T. Shrout fumbled, recovered by ColoSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+12
4.9%
Deion Smith run for 12 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
5.2%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
5.4%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Montana Lemonious-CraigSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+6
5.4%
Deion Smith run for 6 yds to the Oregn 16Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+1
5.4%
Jayle Stacks run for 1 yd to the Oregn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 3TD
14 plays · 85 yds · 4:4195% → 95%
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
5.4%
Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the Oregn 23Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+9
5.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
5.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Moliki MatavaoSimilar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
5.5%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+8
5.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 8 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
5.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 5 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+6
5.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 6 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
5.6%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kris HutsonSimilar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
5.7%
Sean Dollars run for 4 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+5
5.8%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 3:15
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+2
6.2%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
6.1%
Bucky Irving run for 16 yds to the Colo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
4.8%
Bucky Irving pass complete to Bo Nix for 18 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:526% → 6%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.7%
Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
5.7%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Colo 29Similar
Q1 1:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
5.8%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jordyn TysonSimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
5.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Delgado at the Oregn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 5TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:1995% → 95%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
5.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 12 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
5.0%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the Oregn 46Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+41
5.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 41 yds to the Colo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
5.0%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 18Similar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+4
5.0%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the Colo 14Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+2
5.1%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Colo 12Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+11
5.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 11 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
5.0%
Bo Nix run for no gain to the Colo 1Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.6%
Noah Sewell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6TD
4 plays · 81 yds · 0:165% → 6%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
5.4%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Montana Lemonious-CraigSimilar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
5.4%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 19
+81
6.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 81 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:2695% → 94%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
5.4%
Bucky Irving run for 7 yds to the Oregn 32Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
5.4%
Bucky Irving run for 4 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
5.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for no gain to the Oregn 36Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
5.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 6 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+1
5.4%
Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the Oregn 43Similar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
5.6%
Alex Bales punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:587% → 8%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
6.8%
Jayle Stacks run for 3 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
7.1%
Jayle Stacks run for 2 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
6.9%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 6 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
7.3%
Jayle Stacks run for 1 yd to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
7.4%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jack HesteraSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+9
7.3%
J.T. Shrout run for 9 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
7.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 17 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
7.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jordyn TysonSimilar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
8.0%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Oregn 22Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
7.8%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Oregn 22Similar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
7.8%
Cole Becker 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:4794% → 98%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
6.2%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
6.2%
Noah Whittington run for 5 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+3
6.2%
Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+23
6.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Patrick Herbert for 23 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+25
5.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 25 yds to the Colo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
5.2%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 2 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+16
2.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 16 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:445% → 5%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
4.7%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 5 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
4.8%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brady Russell for 6 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:574% → 6%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
4.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 15 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
4.7%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 16 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
5.1%
Alex Fontenot run for 27 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST down COLORADO Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
5.2%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 37Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+4
5.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 33Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+7
5.0%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brady Russell for 7 yds to the Oregn 26Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
5.1%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed IISimilar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
5.8%
Cole Becker 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:2395% → 96%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+65
4.6%
Bucky Irving run for 65 yds to the Colo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
4.1%
Bucky Irving run for 3 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
4.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 2 yds to the Colo 5Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
3.8%
Noah Whittington run for no gain to the Colo 5Similar
Q3 9:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
4.2%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Cam McCormickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:245% → 5%
Q3 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
5.3%
Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 5
OWN 10
-36
5.4%
J.T. Shrout pass intercepted Christian Gonzalez return for 36 yds to the Colo 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3196% → 99%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 0
OPP 2
-5
3.8%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 7Similar
Q3 8:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
3.8%
Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.6%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:181% → 1%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
Alex Fontenot run for no gain to the Colo 25Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Brady RussellSimilar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+17
0.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 17 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
0.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brady Russell for 6 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 4
OWN 48
-5
0.6%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 43Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-41
0.5%
J.T. Shrout pass intercepted Christian Gonzalez return for 41 yds to the Colo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:0599% → 100%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
0.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Noah Whittington for 2 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
0.6%
Noah Whittington run for 7 yds to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
0.5%
Bo Nix run for no gain to the Colo 16Similar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
0.6%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
0.5%
COLORADO Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Colo 9Similar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 5
OPP 9
0
0.4%
Bo Nix pass incomplete to Troy FranklinSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
0.4%
Noah Whittington run for 9 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:231% → 0%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
0.5%
COLORADO Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-12 Yards) to the Colo 13Similar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+1
0.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the Colo 14Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+15
0.6%
OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
0.6%
OREGON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
0.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
0.6%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jack HesteraSimilar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+4
0.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
0.3%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Ty RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:17100% → 100%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
0.3%
Sean Dollars run for 6 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+25
0.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 25 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
0.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Sean Dollars for 9 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+10
0.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 10 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
0.3%
Sean Dollars run for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 4Similar
Q4 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.3%
Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the Colo 1Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Bo Nix run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19DOWNS
17 plays · 52 yds · 6:440% → 0%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.2%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 5 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
0.2%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 11 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.2%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
0.2%
Jayle Stacks run for 6 yds to the Colo 47Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+6
0.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.2%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Jordyn TysonSimilar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-4
0.1%
Drew Carter run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 49Similar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+15
0.1%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 15 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
0.2%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 6 yds to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
0.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the Oregn 30Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+4
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
0.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the Oregn 19Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
0.1%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 3
OPP 19
-4
0.1%
J.T. Shrout run for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 23 J.T. Shrout fumbled, recovered by ColoSimilar
Q4 5:55
4TH & 7
OPP 23
0
0.1%
J.T. Shrout pass incomplete to Montana Lemonious-CraigSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-8
0.2%
Ty Thompson pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for a loss of 8 yards to the Oregn 15Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+2
0.2%
Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the Oregn 17Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 16
OWN 17
0
0.2%
Ty Thompson pass incomplete to Sean DollarsSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
0.2%
Alex Bales punt for 43 yds, downed at the Colo 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 35Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+2
0.1%
Jayle Stacks run for 2 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-5
0.1%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 32Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 18
OWN 32
-7
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OregnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
0.1%
Ty Thompson run for 1 yd to the Colo 24Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+2
0.1%
Kilohana Haasenritter run for 2 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-4
0.1%
Ty Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 26Similar
Q4 0:40
4TH & 11
OPP 26
+7
0.1%
Kilohana Haasenritter run for 7 yds to the Colo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 9 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+12
0.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 12 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
0.1%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Colo 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:17
Bo Nix run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
-3.2
TD · Q2 0:53
Bo Nix pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 16 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
-2.7
TD · Q1 2:25
Bucky Irving pass complete to Bo Nix for 18 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)
-1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com