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UCLA

UCLA 50 at Arizona State 36

ASU
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:26 · Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 57Pregame prior−25.8Home team on offense−1.6Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:33: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 9 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +10.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:15: Elijhah Badger 7 Yd pass from Trenton Bourguet (Trenton Bourguet Pass to Xazavian Valladay for Two-Point Conversion) — ASU win probability +11.4 pts (now 13%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:03: Kazmeir Allen run for 75 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +8.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:24: Xazavian Valladay 1 Yd Run (Trenton Bourguet Pass to Andre Johnson for Two-Point Conversion) — ASU win probability +23.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 2:30: Colson Yankoff 1 Yd Run (Dorian Thompson-Robinson Pass to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for Two-Point Conversion) — UCLA win probability +6.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:19ASU 4th & 3 at UCLA 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:41ASU 4th & 3 at UCLA 3, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.7%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    29.3%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:07ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:49UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 19, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:26ASU 4th & 11 at ASU 42, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:21ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:19ASU 4th & 8 at ASU 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:03ASU 4th & 4 at UCLA 20, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    -2.2%−4.5
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:09ASU 4th & 8 at UCLA 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−5.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:58UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 29, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4UCLA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:54UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:41ASU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:32UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:43UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:33UCLA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:03UCLA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:15ASU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    7.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:03UCLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:30ASU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 6:24ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    14.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    13.1%−1.0
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 2:30UCLA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    94.9%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCLADrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:3317% → 19%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
17.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+3
17.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 3 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
17.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+12
17.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 12 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
17.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q1 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
17.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q1 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
17.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+25
19.1%
Carter Brown 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2581% → 81%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.1%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
19.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Logan LoyaSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+22
19.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 22 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+34
18.9%
Kazmeir Allen run for 34 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
18.7%
Kazmeir Allen run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
18.7%
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
19.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:0719% → 25%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
19.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 15 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
19.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 13 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
19.8%
Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+5
19.9%
Trenton Bourguet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
20.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+13
20.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 13 yds to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
20.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 10 yds to the UCLA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
20.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the UCLA 6Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
20.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
22.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Valladay,Xazavian rush left for 3 yards gain to the LA00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:32 PENALTY ASU Holding (Glass,Isaia) 10 yards from LA03 to LA13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+10
22.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 10 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
22.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Valladay,Xazavian rush left for 3 yards gain to the LA00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 03:32 PENALTY ASU Holding (Glass,Isaia) 10 yards from LA03 to LA13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+10
22.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 10 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q1 2:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
24.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 5TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:0176% → 79%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
24.5%
Keegan Jones run for 12 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
24.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
50
+5
23.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 5 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+42
23.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 42 yds to the ArzSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
21.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for 3 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
Q1 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
21.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:1823% → 23%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
22.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+10
22.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Trenton pass incomplete short middle to Sanders,Giovanni PENALTY LA Holding (Hearn,Azizi) 10 yards from ASU24 to ASU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
23.1%
Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+6
23.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 6 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
23.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
23.1%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1877% → 75%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
23.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for no gain to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
23.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for no gain to the UCLA 19Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
23.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
23.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
24.7%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Javen Jacobs at the ArzSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2325% → 24%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
25.0%
Trenton Bourguet sacked by Grayson Murphy for a loss of 10 yards to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 20
OWN 33
0
23.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+9
23.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 9 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
23.8%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 9TD
6 plays · 91 yds · 1:4376% → 82%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
24.5%
Kazmeir Allen run for 4 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q2 11:26
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+33
24.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 33 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
23.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 11 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
23.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 33 yds to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
18.4%
Keegan Jones run for 10 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 14 yds · 3:2219% → 18%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
19.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
19.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 7 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
19.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 4 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
19.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Andre Johnson for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+11
18.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 11 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-5
18.9%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Bohle,Emmit) 5 yards from ASU44 to ASU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
18.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
17.8%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
16 plays · 90 yds · 5:4882% → 92%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
18.4%
Kazmeir Allen run for 4 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
18.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Logan LoyaSimilar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+10
18.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 10 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
18.3%
Keegan Jones run for 10 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
18.1%
Keegan Jones run for 5 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-6
17.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Tautala Pesefea Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+16
18.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 16 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
17.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
17.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 3 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+7
17.5%
Colson Yankoff run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
17.4%
Colson Yankoff run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+5
17.3%
Colson Yankoff run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
17.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Joe Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 14
OPP 27
0
17.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q2 6:21
3RD & 14
OPP 27
+18
17.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 18 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
7.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 9 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12END OF HALF
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:3311% → 13%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
11.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
11.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 9 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
12.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 2 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+12
12.1%
Trenton Bourguet run for 12 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
12.6%
Trenton Bourguet sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4111% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
11.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
11.2%
Trenton Bourguet sacked by Darius Muasau for a loss of 9 yards to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+10
11.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 10 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q3 13:19
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
10.6%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:1691% → 99%
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
9.5%
Kazmeir Allen run for 6 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
9.1%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
9.3%
Kazmeir Allen run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 40 Kazmeir Allen fumbled, recovered by UCLA Dorian Thompson-Robinson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
8.9%
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
8.7%
PENALTY LA False Start (DiGiorgio,Garrett) 5 yards from ASU36 to ASU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:19
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
8.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+15
9.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 15 yds to the ArzSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+22
8.6%
Keegan Jones run for 22 yds to the ArzSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
8.6%
Keegan Jones run for no gain to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
7.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Colson YankoffSimilar
Q3 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
1.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:481% → 13%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
1.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 12 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
1.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Trenton pass incomplete short right to Badger,Elijhah PENALTY LA Pass Interference (Davies,Jaylin) 15 yards from ASU37 to LA48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
1.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+17
1.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 17 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
1.6%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from LA26 to LA31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 15
OPP 31
0
1.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 15
OPP 31
0
1.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 15
OPP 31
+11
1.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 11 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+13
1.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 13 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
12.9%
Elijhah Badger 7 Yd pass from Trenton Bourguet (Trenton Bourguet Pass to Xazavian Valladay for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
2.4%
Kazmeir Allen run for 75 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:034% → 9%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
3.9%
Tevin White run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+33
3.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 18 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Mo Osling III) to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
4.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 8 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+2
4.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Andre Johnson for 2 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
4.7%
Tevin White run for 5 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+2
4.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+13
4.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 13 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
4.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the UCLA 5Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
5.1%
Trenton Bourguet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
Q3 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
11.3%
Swinson,Messiah pass attempt Successful PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Swinson,Messiah) 15 yards from LA03 to LA03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
8.9%
PENALTY LA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Murphy,Gabriel) 15 yards from ASU35 to ASU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:2995% → 96%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+34
5.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 34 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
4.7%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+3
4.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 46 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by ArzSt Joe MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:229% → 11%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
9.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 8 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
10.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 15 yds to the UCLA 31 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Isaia Glass) to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
9.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Azizi Hearn) to the UCLA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
11.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the UCLA 16Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+4
8.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 4 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+2
7.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 2 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
10.9%
Carter Brown 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:0695% → 95%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
5.2%
Keegan Jones run for 7 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+1
5.0%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the UCLA 31Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+2
5.4%
Colson Yankoff run for 2 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 8:58
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
4.7%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:347% → 31%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
6.7%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 17 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
7.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the UCLA 45Similar
Q4 8:58
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+16
7.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 16 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
7.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Xazavian ValladaySimilar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+23
7.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 23 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
7.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the UCLA 1Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.5%
Xazavian Valladay 1 Yd Run (Trenton Bourguet Pass to Andre Johnson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 22TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:4881% → 99%
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+20
18.7%
Keegan Jones run for 20 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
16.3%
Keegan Jones run for 3 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+15
15.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Khoury Bethley) to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
14.3%
Colson Yankoff run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+23
14.1%
Colson Yankoff run for 23 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
7.4%
Colson Yankoff run for no gain to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.2%
Colson Yankoff 1 Yd Run (Dorian Thompson-Robinson Pass to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23INT
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:153% → 3%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
2.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 14 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
2.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
50
+3
2.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 3 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+6
3.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 6 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+14
3.3%
Daniyel Ngata run for 14 yds to the UCLA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
3.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 15 yds to the UCLA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
3.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 5 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
3.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
1.2%
Kneel down by UCLA at LA19 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:24
Xazavian Valladay 1 Yd Run (Trenton Bourguet Pass to Andre Johnson for Two-Point Conversion)
+23
TD · Q3 6:15
Elijhah Badger 7 Yd pass from Trenton Bourguet (Trenton Bourguet Pass to Xazavian Valladay for Two-Point Conversion)
+11.4
TD · Q2 0:33
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 9 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com