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ARIZ

Arizona 20 at Utah 45

UTAH
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:20 · Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 101Pregame prior+17.4Home team on offense+20.2Score differential+9.5Garbage-time factor+8.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:07: Jayden de Laura run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +1.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:35: Nate Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:21: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:23: Nate Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK) — UTAH win probability +7.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:44: Tyler Loop 30 yd FG GOOD — ARIZ win probability +3.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 4ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 12:42UTAH 4th & 9 at ARIZ 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    86.7%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19ARIZ 4th & 7 at ARIZ 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:02ARIZ 4th & 20 at UTAH 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%
    47% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:15ARIZ 4th & 5 at UTAH 48, down 14
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:30UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:44ARIZ 4th & 6 at UTAH 13, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:20ARIZ 4th & 1 at ARIZ 11, down 18
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:20UTAH 4th & 1 at ARIZ 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−1.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:31UTAH 4th & 3 at ARIZ 9, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:05ARIZ 4th & 14 at ARIZ 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:39ARIZ 4th & 4 at ARIZ 30, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:31ARIZ 4th & 7 at ARIZ 49, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ARIZ made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:53UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:07ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:35UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:21UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:23UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:16UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:10UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:57ARIZ Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:4613% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.4%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+38
87.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 38 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
87.1%
Jayden de Laura run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 40 fumbled, recovered by Utah Jonah EllissSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:3287% → 87%
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.2%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
87.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 4 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+15
87.2%
RISING, Cameron pass to the left incomplete intended for ENIS, Solomon thrown to the ARZ23. PENALTY ARZ Pass Interference on ROLAND-WALLACE, Christian enforced 15 yards to the ARZ41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
87.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 1 yd to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
87.2%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:14
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
87.2%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
86.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 38 yds, downed at the Ariz 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2313% → 14%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
86.8%
DJ Williams run for 1 yd to the Ariz 3Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
86.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+2
86.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 7
OWN 5
0
86.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:2687% → 87%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
86.6%
Money Parks run for 8 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+2
86.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
86.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 11 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
86.6%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+9
86.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds to the Ariz 7Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
86.9%
Jaylen Dixon run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:4013% → 16%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
86.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 17 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+57
86.4%
Michael Wiley run for 57 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
85.9%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 3Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.4%
Jayden de Laura run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:3285% → 86%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
85.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+9
85.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
85.4%
Cameron Rising sacked by Hunter Echols for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 35Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+25
85.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 25 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
85.6%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
85.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+14
85.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 14 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+17
84.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 17 yds to the Ariz 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
84.4%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the Ariz 8Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
86.4%
Nate Johnson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:2814% → 14%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
85.8%
DJ Williams run for 11 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+28
85.7%
Rayshon Luke run for 28 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
85.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 8 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+14
84.6%
DJ Williams run for 14 yds to the Utah 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
84.2%
Jayden de Laura sacked by JaTravis Broughton for a loss of 10 yards to the Utah 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 34
0
84.7%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 34
0
85.4%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 20
OPP 34
-6
85.8%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Jonah Elliss and Karene Reid for a loss of 6 yards to the Utah 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:4186% → 90%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
86.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 17 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
86.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the Ariz 39Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
86.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the Ariz 34Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+32
85.9%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 32 yds to the Ariz 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:5911% → 11%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
88.6%
Jayden de Laura run for 12 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
88.4%
Rayshon Luke run for 12 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
88.2%
Michael Wiley run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 40 Michael Wiley fumbled, recovered by Ariz Jayden de LauraSimilar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+12
88.7%
Jayden de Laura run for 12 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
88.0%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
88.8%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 44 yds, downed at the Utah 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 4:4589% → 89%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+5
89.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 5 yds to the Utah 9Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 5
OWN 9
+8
89.0%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.2%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
89.1%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+11
88.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 11 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
89.2%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
89.5%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the Utah 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
89.7%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
89.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 40Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
89.3%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
88.9%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 47 yds , returns for no gain to the Ariz 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 3:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.1%
Nate Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 12FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 2:395% → 9%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 6 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
94.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
94.6%
Jayden de Laura run for 7 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+45
94.6%
pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 45 yds to the Utah 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
93.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Michael Wiley for 3 yds to the Utah 14Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+1
94.1%
Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the Utah 13Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
94.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+30
90.9%
Tyler Loop 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:4493% → 94%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 4 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
93.6%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
93.4%
Micah Bernard run for 14 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
93.8%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
93.5%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the Utah 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FUMBLE
8 plays · 73 yds · 4:1692% → 95%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+29
92.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kyon Barrs) to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
92.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 11 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
92.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 8 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+9
92.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 9 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
92.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+10
92.2%
Jaylon Glover run for 10 yds to the Ariz 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
95.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 2 Ja'Quinden Jackson fumbled, recovered by Ariz Ta'ita'i UiagaleleiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:247% → 6%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+9
93.2%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 9 yds to the Ariz 11Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 1
OWN 11
0
93.1%
Jayden de Laura run for no gain to the Ariz 11Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 1
OWN 11
0
93.2%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 1
OWN 11
+6
94.3%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 45 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:4996% → 97%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
50
+19
95.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 19 yds to the Ariz 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
95.6%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
95.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Ariz 23Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
95.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ariz 22Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+6
95.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
95.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Ariz 15Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+6
95.6%
Nate Johnson run for 6 yds to the Ariz 9Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
95.5%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Ariz 9Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+27
96.7%
Jadon Redding 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:542% → 3%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+23
97.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 23 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
97.5%
Jayden de Laura run for 10 yds to the Utah 46 fumbled, recovered by Utah Connor O'TooleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:5298% → 98%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
97.9%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+30
98.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 30 yds Thomas Yassmin fumbled, recovered by Ariz Christian YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:332% → 2%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
97.7%
Michael Wiley run for 8 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+7
97.6%
Michael Wiley run for 7 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-12
97.6%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Aliki Vimahi for a loss of 12 yards to the Ariz 25Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 22
OWN 25
+8
97.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 8 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
97.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:05
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+12
98.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 40 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 12 yds to the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 4:4499% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
98.6%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
98.6%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+5
98.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Cameron Rising run for no gain to the Ariz 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+10
98.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 10 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
98.6%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the Ariz 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
98.6%
Micah Bernard run for no gain to the Ariz 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+15
98.5%
RISING, Cameron pass to the right incomplete intended for COPE, Makai thrown to the ARZ6. PENALTY ARZ Pass Interference on RUTHERFORD, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the ARZ23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
98.6%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+11
98.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 11 yds to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 12 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 4 yds to the Ariz 30Similar
Q4 10:08
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 4
OWN 30
+13
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 13 yds Jacob Cowing fumbled, recovered by Utah R.J. HubertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22TD
7 plays · 43 yds · 4:29100% → 100%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the Ariz 37Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+15
99.9%
ARIZONA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jerry Roberts) to the Ariz 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
99.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 6 yds to the Ariz 13Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+6
99.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 6 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 2 yds to the Ariz 5Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 3 yds to the Ariz 2Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 5 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+15
100.0%
FIFITA, Noah pass to the left incomplete intended for MCMILLAN, Tetairoa thrown to the UTE40. PENALTY UTE Pass Interference on LAWLER, Kenzel enforced 15 yards to the ARZ46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
100.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
100.0%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 7
OWN 49
+45
100.0%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 45 yds for a SAFETY , Tiquan Gilmore returns for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 24TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
100.0%
Rayshon Luke run for 2 yds to the Ariz 44Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+51
100.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 51 yds to the Utah 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.9%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the Utah 2Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 2 yds for a TD, (Noah Fifita pass to Tetairoa McMillan for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 3 yds to the Utah 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+1
99.9%
Charlie Vincent run for 1 yd to the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:23
Nate Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 11:21
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jadon Redding KICK)
+3.7
FG · Q2 0:44
Tyler Loop 30 yd FG GOOD
-3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com