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STAN

Stanford 13 at UCLA 38

UCLA
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:19 · Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 48 yds , Jason Thompson returns for 3 yds to the Stanf 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 170Pregame prior+1.5Home team on offense+34.2Score differential+21.0Garbage-time factor+14.7Blowout margin+13.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:45: Zach Charbonnet run for 23 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:57: Nicholas Barr-Mira 31 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +1.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:26: Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +6.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:23: Joshua Karty 49 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +3.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:03: Zach Charbonnet run for 37 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9STAN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:35STAN 4th & 4 at UCLA 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.2%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:50UCLA 4th & 6 at STAN 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:13STAN 4th & 21 at STAN 44, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:40UCLA 4th & 6 at STAN 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    85.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:57UCLA 4th & 9 at STAN 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.6%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    83.3%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:00STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:30UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:55STAN 4th & 7 at STAN 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:23STAN 4th & 9 at UCLA 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:08UCLA 4th & 14 at UCLA 47, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:23STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:11UCLA 4th & 4 at UCLA 40, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:16STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 35, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−1.0
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:00UCLA 4th & 1 at STAN 49, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.3%−0.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:03UCLA 4th & 1 at STAN 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−1.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:09STAN 4th & 14 at UCLA 47, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:11STAN 4th & 2 at UCLA 2, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:19UCLA 4th & 10 at UCLA 25, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5STAN made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 6:05UCLA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:45UCLA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:26UCLA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:03UCLA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:29UCLA Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:11STAN Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 3:5517% → 18%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
83.5%
Caleb Robinson run for 12 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
83.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 10 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
83.2%
Caleb Robinson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
83.0%
Tanner McKee run for 5 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+8
82.9%
Caleb Robinson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
82.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 6 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
82.6%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+15
82.6%
McKee, Tanner pass incomplete to Tremayne, Brycen, PENALTY UCLA pass interference 15 yards to the UCLA5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.Similar
Q1 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
82.5%
Caleb Robinson run for 1 yd to the UCLA 4Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.3%
Caleb Robinson run for no gain to the UCLA 4Similar
Q1 10:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
82.2%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q1 10:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
82.1%
Joshua Karty 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:1582% → 82%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
82.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 14 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
82.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
50
+11
82.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 11 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
82.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kazmeir AllenSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
82.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
82.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+12
81.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 12 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
82.0%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 28Similar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+4
81.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 11
OPP 24
-5
81.8%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 29Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 16
OPP 29
+25
81.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 25 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
81.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 6Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
81.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds to the Stanf 3Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
82.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
81.8%
Tanner McKee pass intercepted Darius Muasau return for 5 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
1 play · 23 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
84.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 23 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:0217% → 16%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
83.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 19 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
82.9%
Brendon Barrow run for 1 yd to the Stanf 45Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+10
82.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 10 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-10
82.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Stanf 45Similar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 20
OWN 45
-4
83.3%
Tanner McKee sacked by Gary Smith III for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 41Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 24
OWN 41
+3
83.4%
Brendon Barrow run for 3 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 2:24
3RD & 21
OWN 44
0
83.6%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Caleb RobinsonSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 21
OWN 44
+9
83.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds , Logan Loya returns for 9 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 4:0884% → 87%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
83.5%
Thompson-Robinson, Dorian pass incomplete, PENALTY STANFORD holding 10 yards to the UCLA24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UCLA.Similar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
83.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 11 yds to the UCLA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
83.6%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 30Similar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+8
83.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
84.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q1 0:55
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+11
83.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Matt Sykes for 11 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
84.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Logan LoyaSimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
84.0%
Keegan Jones run for no gain to the UCLA 49Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+4
83.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 6
OPP 47
+20
83.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 20 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
84.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 13 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
84.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kazmeir AllenSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
84.3%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the Stanf 10Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-3
84.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 13Similar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+31
86.6%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:4014% → 14%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.7%
Caleb Robinson run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brendon Barrow for 11 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
85.5%
Tanner McKee run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
85.5%
Caleb Robinson run for 5 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
85.2%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 2
OWN 44
-5
85.8%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 39Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+1
86.0%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 42 yds , Logan Loya returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:1987% → 94%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
87.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 7 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+8
87.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 8 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
87.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-1
87.4%
Kazmeir Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 38Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+6
87.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 6 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q2 6:30
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+5
86.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
87.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 15 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+27
88.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Matt Sykes for 27 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
88.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:056% → 6%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.7%
Caleb Robinson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
93.8%
Tanner McKee run for 1 yd to the Stanf 28Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
94.0%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q2 2:55
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-2
94.1%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 38 yds , Logan Loya returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 32 Logan Loya fumbled, recovered by Stanf Sam RoushSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:077% → 10%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
93.3%
Tanner McKee sacked by Bo Calvert for a loss of 2 yards to the UCLA 34Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+3
93.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Caleb Robinson for 3 yds to the UCLA 31Similar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
93.7%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
90.3%
Joshua Karty 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11MISSED FG
17 plays · 52 yds · 1:1091% → 90%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
91.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 11 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
91.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 5 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+13
90.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 13 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
90.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 9 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 1
OPP 37
0
90.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Michael EzeikeSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+16
89.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 16 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
90.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+17
90.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 17 yds to the Stanf 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 0
OPP 4
-5
90.6%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 9Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
90.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
90.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-14
90.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Stephen Herron for a loss of 14 yards to the Stanf 23Similar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 0
OPP 23
+41
89.6%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
90.2%
Brendon Barrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3291% → 94%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
91.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 9 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+17
93.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 17 yds to the Stanf 49 Zach Charbonnet fumbled, recovered by UCLASimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
93.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 2 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
93.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-8
94.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by David Bailey for a loss of 8 yards to the UCLA 47Similar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
93.6%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jason Thompson at the Stanf 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:278% → 7%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
91.9%
Caleb Robinson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 14Similar
Q3 11:29
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
92.1%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Brendon BarrowSimilar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+30
92.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 30 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
91.4%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Shield TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
91.6%
Caleb Robinson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-3
93.0%
Tanner McKee sacked by Laiatu Latu for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 43 Tanner McKee fumbled, recovered by StanfSimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
93.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:5994% → 95%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
94.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+21
94.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 21 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
95.1%
Colson Yankoff run for 3 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
95.2%
Colson Yankoff run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
95.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
94.8%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jason Thompson at the Stanf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:296% → 5%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
94.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 7 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+4
94.1%
Ashton Daniels run for 4 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
94.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Caleb Robinson for 1 yd to the Stanf 22Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+14
94.7%
Mudia Reuben run for 14 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.5%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Shield TaylorSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.6%
Tanner McKee sacked by Stephan Blaylock for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+4
95.0%
Tanner McKee run for 4 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
95.0%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 23 yds, downed at the UCLA 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:5296% → 99%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-7
96.1%
Kazmeir Allen run for a loss of 7 yards to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 17
OWN 35
0
95.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+16
95.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 16 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+3
95.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
96.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
96.6%
Kazmeir Allen run for 2 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
96.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 0:03
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+37
99.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 37 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:461% → 1%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.1%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+15
99.1%
Brendon Barrow run for 15 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
99.1%
Brendon Barrow run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
99.1%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Brendon BarrowSimilar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
99.1%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 14
OPP 47
0
99.1%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 46 yds, downed at the UCLA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19TD
6 plays · 99 yds · 2:2199% → 100%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
99.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 3Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
99.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+7
99.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the UCLA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
99.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+6
99.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
99.8%
Kazmeir Allen run for 72 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 20TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:120% → 0%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.9%
Ashton Daniels run for 18 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Ashton Daniels pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 4 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brendon Barrow for 8 yds to the UCLA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
Brendon Barrow run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 6 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+13
99.9%
Brendon Barrow run for 13 yds to the UCLA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
99.9%
Brendon Barrow run for 6 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Brycen TremayneSimilar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+11
99.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 11 yds to the UCLA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 1 yd to the UCLA 6Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.9%
Tanner McKee run for 4 yds to the UCLA 2Similar
Q4 4:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 2 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Colson Yankoff run for 5 yds to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Colson Yankoff run for no gain to the UCLA 30Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.8%
Ethan Garbers sacked by Levani Damuni for a loss of 5 yards to the UCLA 25 Ethan Garbers fumbled, recovered by UCLA Ethan Garbers , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 48 yds , Jason Thompson returns for 3 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 48 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Mitch Leigber run for 8 yds to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+21
99.8%
Ari Patu pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 6 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST down UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.8%
Ashton Daniels run for 9 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+10
99.7%
Ashton Daniels run for 10 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:26
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+6.4
FG · Q2 1:23
Joshua Karty 49 yd FG GOOD
-3.5
TD · Q3 0:03
Zach Charbonnet run for 37 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com