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COLO

Colorado 9 at Oregon State 42

ORST
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by GEBBIA, Tristan at OSU46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:30: Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 16 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +2.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:44: Cole Becker 44 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +1.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:45: Damien Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +3.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:30: Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 60 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +4.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:19: Alex Austin 42 Yd Interception Return (Atticus Sappington Kick) — ORST win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4COLO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:31COLO 4th & 8 at COLO 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:08ORST 4th & 1 at COLO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:37COLO 4th & 4 at ORST 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:44COLO 4th & 8 at ORST 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:29ORST 4th & 5 at ORST 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:32COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:18COLO 4th & 10 at ORST 37, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%
    40% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:48COLO 4th & 12 at COLO 27, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:20ORST 4th & 7 at COLO 45, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:15ORST 4th & 1 at COLO 20, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:12COLO 4th & 10 at ORST 10, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6COLO made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 8:09ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:30ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:45ORST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:30ORST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:19ORST Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:38COLO Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:38ORST Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:298% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
92.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
92.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
92.2%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+23
91.9%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 43 yds , Anthony Gould returns for 23 yds to the Colo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
91.9%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the OrgSt 46 Ben Gulbranson fumbled, recovered by Colo Terrance LangSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:188% → 8%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.8%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
91.8%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-2
91.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 40 Anthony Hankerson fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Rejzohn WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:5992% → 92%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
91.9%
Damien Martinez run for 10 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 5
OPP 25
-5
91.9%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Joshua Gray) to the Colo 30Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
91.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jam Griffin for 6 yds to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
91.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+6
91.8%
run for 6 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
91.9%
Jam Griffin run for 8 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+3
91.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the Colo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
91.9%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the Colo 25Similar
Q1 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.5%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:329% → 9%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.2%
Jayle Stacks run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
91.2%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 6 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
91.2%
Jayle Stacks run for 2 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
91.2%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 3 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
91.1%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 8 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
91.1%
Jack Hestera run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
91.0%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
91.0%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
90.6%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 6:0791% → 93%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
90.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 12 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
90.8%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+12
90.9%
Damien Martinez run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
91.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 11 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
91.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jake Overman for 5 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+3
91.1%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
91.0%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
90.4%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+10
90.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Damien Martinez for 10 yds to the Colo 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+7
90.2%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the Colo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
92.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 16 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 4:469% → 10%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
91.5%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 1 yd to the Colo 42Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+7
91.5%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 7 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+10
91.3%
Jayle Stacks run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
91.3%
Jayle Stacks run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-6
90.9%
J.T. Shrout sacked by Easton Mascarenas-Arnold for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 16
OPP 34
+2
91.3%
Jayle Stacks run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+6
91.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Brady Russell for 6 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+44
89.9%
Cole Becker 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:0891% → 90%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
90.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
90.6%
OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+18
90.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 18 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
90.9%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 37Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+7
90.6%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
90.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
90.1%
Luke Loecher punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jordyn Tyson at the Colo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5710% → 9%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
90.0%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the Colo 15Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
90.0%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 5 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+1
90.2%
J.T. Shrout run for 1 yd to the Colo 21Similar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
90.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:4791% → 94%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
90.8%
Jam Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+5
90.6%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+11
90.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 11 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
90.8%
GULBRANSON, Ben pass to the right incomplete intended for GOULD, Anthony thrown to the COL40. PENALTY COL Roughing the Passer on MONTGOMERY, Jamar enforced 15 yards COL Unsportsmanlike Conduct on MONTGOMERY, Jamar enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the COL25 to the COL13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
90.8%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
90.8%
GULBRANSON, Ben pass up the middle incomplete intended for GOULD, Anthony thrown to the COL0. PENALTY COL Holding on PERRY, Quinn enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the COL7 to the COL4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
94.1%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 1:276% → 7%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
93.6%
SHROUT, J.T. pass to the left incomplete intended for LEMONIOUS-CRAIG, Montana thrown to the OSU45. PENALTY OSU Holding on AUSTIN, Alex enforced 10 yards from the COL25 to the COL35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
93.4%
J.T. Shrout run for 12 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.1%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
93.3%
COLORADO Penalty, Holding Unnecessary Roughness on RUSSELL, Brady enforced ( Yards) to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+21
93.3%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jack Hestera for 21 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
92.7%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
92.4%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
93.1%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 10
OPP 37
0
93.2%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:1294% → 94%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
93.9%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
94.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+8
94.4%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 13TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:2694% → 98%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
93.9%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 21Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+10
93.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 10 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
93.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jam Griffin for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
50
-10
94.1%
GRIFFIN, Jam rush up the middle for a gain of 25 yards to the COL25 (WOODS, Trevor). PENALTY OSU Holding on KIPPER, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the COL50 to the OSU40. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+60
98.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 60 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-42
99.2%
Alex Austin 42 Yd Interception Return (Atticus Sappington Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.2%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 3 yds to the Colo 32Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-5
99.2%
run for a loss of 5 yards to the Colo 27 fumbled, recovered by Colo J.T. ShroutSimilar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 12
OWN 27
0
99.2%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 12
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:28100% → 100%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 6 yds to the OrgSt 44Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+8
99.5%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-15
99.5%
IRISH, Jesiah rush to the right for a gain of 12 yards to the COL36 (OLIVER, Jason), out of bounds. PENALTY OSU Personal Foul on BOLDEN, Silas enforced 15 yards from the COL48 to the OSU37. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 25
OWN 37
+6
99.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jake Overman for 6 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 19
OWN 43
+12
99.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Gould for 12 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
99.6%
Josh Green punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:421% → 1%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
99.2%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 20 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+27
99.1%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 27 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
99.0%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Daniel Arias for 14 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
98.9%
J.T. Shrout run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 17Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
98.8%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
98.8%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+13
99.0%
SHROUT, J.T. pass to the right incomplete intended for LEMONIOUS-CRAIG, Montana thrown to the OSU0, clock 04:06. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on WRIGHT, Rejzohn enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the OSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
98.7%
Jordyn Tyson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 6Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.0%
SHROUT, J.T. pass up the middle incomplete intended for HESTERA, Jack thrown to the OSU0. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on GRANT, Jaydon enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the OSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.7%
Jayle Stacks run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 1Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Jayle Stacks 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 55 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
99.5%
Damien Martinez run for 23 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+23
99.6%
Jam Griffin run for 23 yds to the Colo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.6%
Isaiah Newell run for 8 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
-1
99.7%
Isaiah Newell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+2
99.7%
run for 2 yds to the Colo 20Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
99.7%
run for no gain to the Colo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 67 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+58
99.7%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 58 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.6%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
99.6%
Charlie Offerdahl run for no gain to the OrgSt 13 Charlie Offerdahl fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Isaac HodginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 5:17100% → 100%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
99.7%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 12
OWN 11
-4
99.7%
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Robert Barnes and Marvin Ham II for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 16
OWN 7
+40
99.7%
Damien Martinez run for 40 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+27
99.7%
Damien Martinez run for 27 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.7%
Isaiah Newell run for 9 yds to the Colo 17Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+2
99.7%
Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the Colo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
99.7%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the Colo 7Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+3
99.7%
run for 3 yds to the Colo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21INT
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:170% → 0%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+19
99.9%
Jayle Stacks run for 19 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Jordyn Tyson run for 1 yd to the Colo 48Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+27
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 27 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Maurice Bell for 5 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+11
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Charlie Offerdahl for 11 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
99.9%
Dante Capolungo run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 10Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
100.0%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
J.T. Shrout pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Kanoa Shannon run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
99.9%
Kanoa Shannon run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
100.0%
Isaiah Newell run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
Kneel down by GEBBIA, Tristan at OSU48 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
100.0%
Kneel down by GEBBIA, Tristan at OSU46 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:30
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 60 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+4.3
TD · Q2 1:45
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q2 13:30
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 16 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com