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ASU

Arizona State 14 at Stanford 15

STAN
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:03 · Emory Jones pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Pregame prior+0.0Home team on offense+12.3Score differential−1.5Garbage-time factor+4.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:01: Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 39 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK) — ASU win probability +5.7 pts (now 40%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:08: Joshua Karty 44 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +5.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 14:52: Joshua Karty 36 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +8.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. FG · Q4 6:28: Joshua Karty 47 yd FG GOOD — STAN win probability +8.2 pts (now 67%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: Kneel down by MCKEE, Tanner at STA42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00. — STAN win probability +16.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 13:42ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:00STAN 4th & 9 at ASU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:55STAN 4th & 10 at ASU 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:23STAN 4th & 5 at ASU 35, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    49.5%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:54ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 41, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:07STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 41, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:54ASU 4th & 4 at STAN 24, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:12STAN 4th & 12 at ASU 44, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−1.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%−1.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:08STAN 4th & 12 at ASU 26, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−2.3
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    26.6%−8.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:19ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:52STAN 4th & 6 at ASU 18, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−1.4
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−16.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:33ASU 4th & 6 at STAN 40, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 57.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    54.6%−3.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:28STAN 4th & 10 at ASU 29, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−4.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.7%−15.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:54ASU 4th & 16 at STAN 43, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−3.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    37.1%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:28STAN 4th & 20 at STAN 19, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−15.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:28ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.5%−1.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:03ASU 4th & 19 at STAN 43, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 15.6 ptsWent for it · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%−15.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    27.7%
    28% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−14.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:47ASU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:01ASU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1828% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
71.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
71.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
71.6%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
71.4%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:4271% → 71%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
71.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
71.4%
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+14
71.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 14 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
71.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 12 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+16
71.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 16 yds to the ArzSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
71.6%
Tanner McKee run for no gain to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
71.6%
Ashton Daniels run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
71.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:00
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+44
71.3%
Joshua Karty 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:1329% → 32%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
71.2%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
71.2%
Emory Jones sacked by Aeneas DiCosmo for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+14
71.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 14 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
71.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+15
70.9%
JONES, Emory pass to the right incomplete intended for BADGER, Elijhah thrown to the STA26. PENALTY STA Pass Interference on KELLY, Kyu Blu enforced 15 yards to the STA45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+30
70.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 30 yds to the Stanf 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
68.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 15 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:5269% → 69%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 8 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+20
69.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 20 yds to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
69.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 2 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+10
69.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 10 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
69.9%
Caleb Robinson run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
69.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+11
69.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 11 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
69.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-2
69.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 12
OPP 20
+2
69.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 2 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q1 1:55
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+36
68.5%
Joshua Karty 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5432% → 40%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.8%
Daniyel Ngata run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
67.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
67.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 4 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+8
66.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
65.7%
Daniyel Ngata run for 8 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+3
65.6%
Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
59.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 39 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:3261% → 59%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
60.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 16 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
61.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 7 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+7
62.3%
Casey Filkins run for 7 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
62.3%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
62.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 11 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
62.7%
Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+1
62.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Shield Taylor for 1 yd to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 5
OPP 35
0
59.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
58.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2943% → 45%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
56.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 2 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
56.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
56.1%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
55.5%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:4755% → 53%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
55.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 16 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
56.2%
Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 40Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+1
57.2%
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Stanf 41Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
56.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
52.8%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9INT
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:2047% → 50%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
53.5%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+10
53.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
53.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 17 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
49.9%
Emory Jones pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10INT
4 plays · 23 yds · 1:0655% → 54%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
55.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 17 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
56.1%
Tanner McKee run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
56.1%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
54.0%
Tanner McKee pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:4749% → 56%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
50.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+5
51.2%
STANFORD Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-3
49.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+11
51.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 11 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
49.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
48.6%
STANFORD Penalty, Offsides (Jaxson Moi) to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
48.5%
Emory Jones run for 23 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
47.8%
Daniyel Ngata run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 12
OPP 32
-1
47.9%
Emory Jones sacked by Ricky Miezan for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 33Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+9
43.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Cam Johnson for 9 yds to the Stanf 24Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+42
44.5%
Carter Brown 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12END OF HALF
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:5447% → 49%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
46.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Caleb Robinson for 8 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 2
OWN 32
0
48.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+5
47.7%
Casey Filkins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
47.9%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
44.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Caleb Robinson for 8 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+12
46.1%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 12 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
49.1%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
48.5%
Tanner McKee sacked by Tautala Pesefea Jr. and Anthonie Cooper for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:4148% → 44%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
48.3%
Elijah Higgins run for 11 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
50.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 12 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
51.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 2 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
51.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 40
-4
50.8%
Tanner McKee sacked by Anthonie Cooper for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
44.1%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
44.3%
Daniyel Ngata run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 13Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+3
44.1%
Daniyel Ngata run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+4
45.0%
Daniyel Ngata run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
43.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-4
42.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
45.0%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:5047% → 48%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
46.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 12 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
48.3%
Tanner McKee run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
48.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 6 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+3
46.6%
Casey Filkins run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
48.3%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-7
48.2%
Tanner McKee sacked by B.J. Green II for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 17
OPP 31
+15
43.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 15 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 2
OPP 16
-10
42.0%
MCKEE, Tanner pass to the right complete for 16 yards to HIGGINS, Elijah caught at the ASU11 and advanced to the ASU0, TOUCHDOWN STA, score nullified by penalty, clock 06:13 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY STA Holding on ROGERS, Levi enforced 10 yards from the ASU16 to the ASU26 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:08
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
47.8%
Joshua Karty 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:4954% → 53%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
46.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
46.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+23
47.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 23 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
43.0%
JONES, Emory pass to the left incomplete intended for BADGER, Elijhah thrown to the STA35. PENALTY ASU Holding on GLASS, Isaia enforced 10 yards from the ASU49 to the ASU39. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+5
45.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+5
42.3%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 5 yds to the ArzSt 49Similar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
40.6%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
43.4%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Casey Filkins at the Stanf 15Similar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
46.6%
FILKINS, Casey rush to the right for a gain of 23 yards to the STA38, out of bounds. PENALTY ASU Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the ASU00 to the STA15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17FG
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:2747% → 59%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+38
46.6%
Casey Filkins run for 23 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Khoury Bethley) to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
51.8%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
51.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+10
48.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 10 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
52.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 15 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
54.4%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
52.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
50.0%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
58.7%
Joshua Karty 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 3:1350% → 54%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
49.9%
Emory Jones run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
48.5%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 20 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
45.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
45.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Stanf 39Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-1
46.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 40Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
45.7%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 39 yds, downed at the Stanf 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19FG
16 plays · 70 yds · 5:0553% → 67%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
53.0%
Tanner McKee run for 5 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
52.7%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 5
OWN 6
0
50.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Chris Edmonds) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+34
53.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 19 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Tautala Pesefea Jr.) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
50
0
59.3%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
50
+10
58.7%
MCKEE, Tanner pass to the right incomplete intended for TREMAYNE, Brycen thrown to the ASU35. PENALTY ASU Holding on TORRENCE, Ro enforced 10 yards from the STA50 to the ASU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
59.8%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
59.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 6 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
59.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
62.3%
Tanner McKee run for no gain to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
62.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 5 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-15
59.8%
STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Drake Nugent) to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
62.3%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
62.0%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
59.2%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:28
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+47
67.4%
Joshua Karty 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:2938% → 36%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
61.7%
Emory Jones sacked by Ernest Cooper for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+36
63.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 36 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
56.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 38Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
56.9%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
59.0%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 11
OPP 38
-5
62.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (Emory Jones) to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
64.1%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 36 yds, downed at the Stanf 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:2666% → 75%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
66.4%
Caleb Robinson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+20
66.0%
Caleb Robinson run for 20 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
73.4%
Caleb Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
72.0%
Caleb Robinson run for no gain to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 2:22
3RD & 12
OWN 27
-8
69.8%
Tanner McKee sacked by Ed Woods for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 19Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 20
OWN 19
+2
74.9%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 2 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 1:2531% → 21%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
69.2%
Emory Jones run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 3
OWN 39
-5
64.8%
JONES, Emory pass to the right incomplete intended for VALLADAY, Xazavian thrown to the ASU45. PENALTY ASU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on THOMPSON, Bryan enforced 5 yards from the ASU39 to the ASU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
69.3%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+2
71.3%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+30
72.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 30 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-9
59.1%
Emory Jones sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Stanf 43Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & 19
OPP 43
0
72.1%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:16
3RD & 19
OPP 43
0
74.6%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:03
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
79.0%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.4%
Kneel down by MCKEE, Tanner at STA42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
Kneel down by MCKEE, Tanner at STA42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
+16.4
FG · Q4 14:52
Joshua Karty 36 yd FG GOOD
+8.7
FG · Q4 6:28
Joshua Karty 47 yd FG GOOD
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com