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WSU

Washington State 10 at Oregon State 24

ORST
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Reser Stadium
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Win probability · ORST
modelORST aheadWSU aheadconfidence bandkey playORST scoreWSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.9ORST 70.1%Dean Janikowski 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 10 · Q2 9:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:20 · Dean Janikowski 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Home team on offense+3.1Pregame prior+10.0Score differential+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:01: Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Gould for 17 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK) — ORST win probability +9.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:15: Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 9 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +13.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 4:15: Ben Gulbranson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29 — ORST win probability +9.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 0:00: run for 2 yds to the WshSt 2 — ORST win probability +5.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:57: Jack Colletto 2 Yd Run (Atticus Sappington Kick) — ORST win probability +7.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 14:50ORST 4th & 5 at WSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    59.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:04WSU 4th & 10 at WSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:35WSU 4th & 9 at ORST 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:00ORST 4th & 7 at WSU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−3.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:20WSU 4th & 7 at ORST 12, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−5.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:46ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:59WSU 4th & 3 at ORST 48, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.9%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:26ORST 4th & 3 at ORST 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:35WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:12ORST 4th & 19 at ORST 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−4.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00WSU 4th & 3 at ORST 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    30.3%−2.6
    30% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:35WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−2.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:14WSU 4th & 11 at ORST 38, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    9.8%
    38% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:42ORST 4th & 8 at ORST 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:19WSU 4th & 27 at WSU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:22ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 45, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−1.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:06WSU 4th & 8 at WSU 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:26ORST 4th & 1 at WSU 17, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.6%−0.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−2.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:08WSU 4th & 19 at ORST 25, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ORST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:33ORST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:01ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:15WSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:57ORST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1TD
8 plays · 40 yds · 4:1765% → 67%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
65.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
65.4%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the WshSt 36Similar
Q1 14:50
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+1
65.4%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the WshSt 35Similar
Q1 14:50
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+10
65.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 10 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
65.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 15 yds to the WshSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
65.4%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
65.4%
run for 4 yds to the WshSt 1Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.9%
Jack Colletto 1 Yd Run (Atticus Sappington Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2334% → 33%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
66.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
66.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
66.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
66.8%
Nick Haberer punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 4:1467% → 68%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
66.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 9 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 1
OWN 30
0
67.0%
Jam Griffin run for no gain to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
66.7%
run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
66.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+13
66.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 13 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
67.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
67.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
67.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1533% → 32%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
66.8%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 4
OPP 35
0
66.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 4
OPP 35
-5
66.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by Kyrei Fisher-Morris and Kitan Oladapo for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
67.9%
Nick Haberer punt for 35 yds, downed at the OrgSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5FG
12 plays · 87 yds · 5:3568% → 70%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
68.0%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 10 Jam Griffin fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Jack CollettoSimilar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+4
68.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 4 yds to the OrgSt 14Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+5
67.7%
Ben Gulbranson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
68.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Colletto for 10 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
68.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+9
68.5%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
68.9%
Silas Bolden run for 13 yds to the WshSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+32
70.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 32 yds Jack Velling fumbled, recovered by OrgSt for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
70.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the WshSt 8Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
70.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
70.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
70.1%
Atticus Sappington 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:3430% → 30%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
70.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+4
70.6%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 4 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+25
70.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 25 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
69.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 14 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
69.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 13 yds to the OrgSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
68.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 5 yds to the OrgSt 23Similar
Q2 13:54
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
68.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:54
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+8
69.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 8 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-12
68.3%
Cameron Ward sacked by John McCartan for a loss of 12 yards to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 22
OPP 27
0
71.1%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 22
OPP 27
+15
72.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 15 yds to the OrgSt 12Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
70.1%
Dean Janikowski 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3471% → 71%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.2%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
72.0%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
71.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
71.6%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
71.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
71.4%
Luke Loecher punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Robert Ferrel at the WshSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:4728% → 29%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
71.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 15 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
71.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
71.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+14
72.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 14 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
70.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 3 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
69.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-1
69.9%
Dylan Paine run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 48Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
71.5%
Nick Haberer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3373% → 72%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
72.8%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 16Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
72.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+2
72.2%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 18Similar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 3
OWN 18
+67
71.8%
Luke Loecher punt for 52 yds WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WshSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:5127% → 26%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
73.0%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 5 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+9
72.8%
Cameron Ward run for 9 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
72.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 8 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
71.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:26
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
71.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:26
4TH & 2
OWN 37
-5
73.0%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Francisco Mauigoa) to the WshSt 32Similar
Q2 1:35
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
74.2%
Nick Haberer punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:2374% → 72%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
73.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-9
72.8%
Ben Gulbranson sacked by Ron Stone Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the OrgSt 11Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 19
OWN 11
0
72.0%
Luke Loecher punt for 59 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for no gain to the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 28 yds · 1:1226% → 29%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
74.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
74.6%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 10 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
73.4%
WARD, Cameron pass up the middle complete for 14 yards to STRIBLING, De'Zhaun caught at the WSU49 and advanced to the OSU46, End of Play. PENALTY WSU Holding on FA'AMOE, Fa'alili enforced 10 yards from the WSU40 to the WSU30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 20
OWN 30
+18
74.7%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 18 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
71.4%
Cameron Ward run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
71.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 7 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
70.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
70.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
0
71.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2528% → 26%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
72.0%
Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
72.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+3
73.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 3 yds to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
74.1%
Nick Haberer punt for 42 yds , Anthony Gould returns for no gain to the OrgSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 5:3474% → 86%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
73.9%
Jam Griffin run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 30Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+7
73.9%
Jam Griffin run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
74.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jake Overman for 11 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
75.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
75.4%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+6
75.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Gould for 6 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
76.6%
Silas Bolden run for 1 yd to the WshSt 40Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+10
76.4%
Ben Gulbranson run for 10 yds to the WshSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
76.9%
Damien Martinez run for 7 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+6
76.9%
Jam Griffin run for 6 yds to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
86.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Gould for 17 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 3:4115% → 31%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
84.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 4 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-1
84.2%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 22 Cameron Ward fumbled, recovered by WshSt Christian HilbornSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+16
85.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 16 yds to the WshSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
83.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 23 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
81.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+30
81.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 30 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
68.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 9 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1878% → 93%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.7%
Ben Gulbranson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
77.8%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
77.8%
OREGON ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q3 4:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
76.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 7 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
78.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
78.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+50
80.2%
Damien Martinez run for 50 yds to the WshSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
85.6%
run for 2 yds to the WshSt 2Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Jack Colletto 2 Yd Run (Atticus Sappington Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17DOWNS
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:4310% → 11%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+38
90.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 38 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
88.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
87.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+4
88.1%
Cameron Ward run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & 6
OPP 33
-5
88.6%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (Tsion Nunnally) to the OrgSt 38Similar
Q4 13:14
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
89.5%
Cameron Ward pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3294% → 95%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
93.5%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-1
96.0%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
95.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:42
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+5
95.4%
Luke Loecher punt for 48 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 5 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:2310% → 8%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
90.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+22
91.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 22 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
89.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by Isaac Hodgins for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+2
89.9%
Dylan Paine run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q4 11:42
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-17
90.0%
Cameron Ward sacked for a loss of 17 yards to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 27
OWN 34
+8
92.3%
Nick Haberer punt for 38 yds , Anthony Gould returns for 8 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5797% → 97%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.2%
Damien Martinez run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 41Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
97.3%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
97.1%
OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Kipper) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+27
97.4%
Luke Loecher punt for 47 yds , Robert Ferrel returns for 27 yds to the WshSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:167% → 6%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
92.6%
Cameron Ward sacked by Sione Lolohea and Cory Stover for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
93.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+4
93.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Dylan Paine for 4 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q4 6:06
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
93.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22MISSED FG
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:4098% → 99%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
98.0%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jack Velling for 7 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 3
OPP 30
-4
98.3%
Jam Griffin run for a loss of 4 yards to the WshSt 34Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+8
98.2%
Damien Martinez run for 8 yds to the WshSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
98.3%
Damien Martinez run for 2 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+4
98.9%
Jack Colletto run for 4 yds to the WshSt 20Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+3
99.1%
Jesiah Irish run for 3 yds to the WshSt 17Similar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+35
99.0%
Atticus Sappington 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 67 yds · 2:182% → 2%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
98.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Orion Peters for 11 yds to the WshSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
98.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+29
98.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 29 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
98.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Anderson Grover for 11 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
98.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 13 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
98.0%
Dylan Paine run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 15Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 9
OPP 15
-10
98.2%
Cameron Ward sacked by Jaydon Grant for a loss of 10 yards to the OrgSt 25Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 19
OPP 25
+12
98.5%
Cameron Ward run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 1:0899% → 99%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.3%
Kneel down by GULBRANSON, Ben at OSU11 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 11
0
99.4%
Kneel down by GULBRANSON, Ben at OSU9 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:15
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 9 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q3 8:01
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Gould for 17 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)
+9.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 4:15
Ben Gulbranson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29
+9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com