Try the model
CAL

California 13 at Colorado 20

COLO
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadCAL aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreCAL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:07 · Jamieson Sheahan punt for 51 yds , Nikko Reed returns for 18 yds to the Colo 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingGarbage-time factorScore differential
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 117Pregame prior−9.2Home team on offense−7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Time remaining−1.2Garbage-time factor−3.0Score differential−3.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 14:25: Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK) — COLO win probability +24.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 4:30: Cole Becker 24 yd FG GOOD — COLO win probability +16.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 0:00: Dario Longhetto 34 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +18.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · OT 0:00: Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the Cal 20 — COLO win probability +16.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK) — COLO win probability +19.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9CAL made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:05COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:54CAL 4th & 7 at CAL 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:41COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:33CAL 4th & 20 at COLO 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%
    42% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:22COLO 4th & 12 at COLO 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49CAL 4th & 1 at COLO 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    74.8%−0.6
    77% to make
    Punt
    72.8%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:50CAL 4th & 10 at COLO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11COLO 4th & 11 at CAL 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    85% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:14CAL 4th & 5 at COLO 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:12COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.9%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:47COLO 4th & 2 at CAL 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−2.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−2.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:26CAL 4th & 9 at CAL 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:53COLO 4th & 2 at COLO 28, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:53CAL 4th & 2 at COLO 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    54.4%−2.9
    36% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−2.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:39COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 41, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:07CAL 4th & 15 at CAL 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−5.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:20CAL 4th & 7 at COLO 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−3.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−16.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:30COLO 4th & 6 at CAL 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−1.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−27.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:00CAL 4th & 16 at COLO 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−16.9
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−28.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CAL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 5:49CAL Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:25COLO Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:5380% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
19.9%
Jaydn Ott run for 12 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
19.9%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
19.9%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
20.4%
Jack Plummer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0220% → 21%
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
20.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
20.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 5 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
20.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+8
20.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 41 yds , Jeremiah Hunter returns for 8 yds to the Cal 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:1179% → 78%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
20.9%
Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the Cal 29Similar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-2
20.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 11
OWN 27
+4
20.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 4 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 10:54
4TH & 7
OWN 31
-3
22.1%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 52 yds , Nikko Reed returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1322% → 22%
Q1 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
22.0%
Deion Smith run for 8 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 2
OWN 22
-3
22.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 19Similar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
21.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 5
OWN 19
+10
22.4%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 43 yds , Jeremiah Hunter returns for 10 yds to the Cal 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5MISSED FG
9 plays · 16 yds · 4:0878% → 75%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
22.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 4 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
22.2%
Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+6
22.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 6 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
22.2%
Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+11
22.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 11 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-7
22.1%
Jack Plummer sacked by Terrance Lang for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 33Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 17
OPP 33
-3
22.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mavin Anderson for a loss of 3 yards to the Colo 36Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 20
OPP 36
0
22.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:33
4TH & 20
OPP 36
+54
24.9%
Dario Longhetto 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:1125% → 25%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
25.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the Colo 42Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-15
25.4%
MCCOWN, Owen pass to the right incomplete intended for TYSON, Jordyn thrown to the CAL20. PENALTY COL Face mask on TYSON, Jordyn enforced 15 yards from the COL42 to the COL27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+7
24.6%
Owen McCown run for 7 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
24.4%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the Colo 34Similar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+16
25.2%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 44 yds , Jeremiah Hunter returns for 16 yds to the Cal 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:3375% → 73%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
25.3%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+19
25.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 19 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
24.8%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
24.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 8 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+7
24.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 7 yds to the Colo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
24.5%
Jaydn Ott run for 9 yds to the Colo 19Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 1
OPP 19
-1
24.5%
Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+1
26.0%
Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
26.7%
Jack Plummer run for no gain to the Colo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8INT
10 plays · 22 yds · 4:4828% → 32%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
28.2%
Deion Smith run for 12 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
28.4%
Deion Smith run for 6 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
29.1%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+3
28.8%
Owen McCown run for 3 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
29.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Erik Olsen for 1 yd to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
29.1%
Deion Smith run for 5 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
28.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for 7 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
29.6%
Deion Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 49Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 14
OPP 49
-10
28.8%
HANKERSON, Anthony rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the CAL42 (IOSEFA, Muelu). PENALTY COL Holding on RUSSELL, Brady enforced 10 yards from the CAL49 to the COL41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 24
OWN 41
0
31.5%
Owen McCown pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9MISSED FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:1172% → 69%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
28.3%
Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Colo 45Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+15
28.4%
PLUMMER, Jack pass to the left intercepted by REED, Nikko at the COL32 intended for STURDIVANT, J.Michael. Reed return for 0 yards to the COL32, End of Play, clock 09:24. PENALTY COL Face mask enforced 15 yards from the COL45 to the COL30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
27.9%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
27.9%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
28.6%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
30.6%
Dario Longhetto 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 4:3932% → 38%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
32.3%
Deion Smith run for no gain to the Colo 30Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
32.0%
Owen McCown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 29Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+18
31.1%
Owen McCown run for 18 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
33.8%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offsides (Isaiah Young) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-1
34.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 13Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+2
34.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Cal 11Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 9
OPP 11
-5
36.7%
MCCOWN, Owen pass to the left complete for 11 yards to TYSON, Jordyn caught at the CAL0 and advanced to the CAL0, TOUCHDOWN COL, score nullified by penalty, clock 04:54. PENALTY COL Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WELLS, Van enforced 5 yards from the CAL11 to the CAL16 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+3
35.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the Cal 13Similar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+31
37.6%
Cole Becker 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:5763% → 62%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
37.0%
Jaydn Ott run for 5 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
36.2%
Jaydn Ott run for 1 yd to the Cal 31Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+17
36.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 17 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
34.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 9 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
33.9%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 1
OPP 43
-4
35.2%
Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 47Similar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
37.9%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 33 yds, downed at the Colo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:0240% → 40%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
39.9%
Owen McCown pass complete to Deion Smith for 8 yds to the Colo 22Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+9
40.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 9 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
40.4%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
40.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Deion Smith for 8 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-1
41.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Maurice Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 38Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 3
OWN 38
+11
39.7%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 41 yds , Justin Richard Baker returns for 11 yds to the Cal 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:1261% → 60%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
39.3%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
40.2%
Kneel down by PLUMMER, Jack at CAL31 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:1341% → 46%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.1%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
41.0%
Owen McCown pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 15 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
43.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 9 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
0
44.1%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
43.3%
Jayle Stacks run for 5 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
44.2%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Cal 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
44.1%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+6
43.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Deion Smith for 6 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q3 11:47
4TH & 2
OPP 36
-9
45.7%
Owen McCown sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2159% → 54%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
40.9%
Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 5 yards to the Cal 40Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+6
43.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Tommy Christakos for 6 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
42.4%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
45.7%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3346% → 46%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
45.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
46.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
44.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+26
45.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 45 yds , Justin Richard Baker returns for 26 yds to the Colo 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 17TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:0458% → 73%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
42.2%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+8
42.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Keleki Latu for 8 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
42.2%
Jaydn Ott run for no gain to the Colo 39Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+8
44.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 8 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
41.0%
Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Colo 28Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+14
40.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 14 yds to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
26.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 14 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0333% → 32%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
33.0%
Deion Smith run for 6 yds to the Colo 38Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+3
35.6%
Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 41Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
34.9%
Jayle Stacks run for no gain to the Colo 41Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
31.7%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Justin Richard Baker at the Cal 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:3271% → 68%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
29.4%
Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 14Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 12
OWN 14
-2
29.9%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 12Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+18
31.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 18 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
28.9%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
29.4%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
30.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 10
OWN 30
-5
31.9%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Cal 25Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+18
31.8%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 51 yds , Nikko Reed returns for 18 yds to the Colo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:4235% → 64%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
35.0%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
33.4%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+37
36.7%
Jordyn Tyson pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 37 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
39.0%
Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Cal 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
39.0%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the Cal 1Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 21FUMBLE
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:3043% → 46%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 1 yd to the Cal 26Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
57.3%
Jaydn Ott run for 23 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
53.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Keleki Latu for 24 yds Keleki Latu fumbled, recovered by Colo Nikko ReedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:3162% → 53%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
61.8%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 8 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Collin Gamble) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
50
-5
65.9%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Deion Smith for a loss of 5 yards Deion Smith fumbled, recovered by Cal Xavier CarltonSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
53.4%
PLUMMER, Jack pass to the right incomplete intended for MOJARRO, Elijah thrown to the COL43; QB hurried by LANG, Terrance. PENALTY COL Face mask enforced 15 yards from the COL45 to the COL30 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 23FG
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:0448% → 56%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
51.7%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 18 yds to the Colo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
51.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 4 yds to the Colo 8Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 6
OPP 8
-1
51.2%
Jaydn Ott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 9Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
53.2%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
44.5%
Dario Longhetto 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 5:5051% → 79%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
50.7%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Daniel Arias for 17 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
54.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 12 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
56.5%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to R.J. Sneed II for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 48Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
53.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+19
52.2%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 19 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
57.9%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
57.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+5
55.9%
SHROUT, J.T. pass to the left incomplete intended for ARIAS, Daniel thrown to the CAL0. PENALTY CAL Offsides on BURRELL, Nate enforced 5 yards from the CAL25 to the CAL20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
55.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the Cal 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
57.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the Cal 14Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+11
57.8%
Anthony Hankerson run for 11 yds to the Cal 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
57.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the Cal 3Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
64.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 6Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
62.3%
J.T. Shrout pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
78.7%
Cole Becker 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 25FG
14 plays · 59 yds · 4:3032% → 51%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mason Starling for 6 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
65.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
67.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mason Starling for 10 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
64.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 15 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
60.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mason Starling for 5 yds to the Colo 39Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+20
60.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 20 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
58.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Keleki Latu for 9 yds to the Colo 10Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+3
58.5%
Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the Colo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
58.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
65.3%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-9
67.7%
Jack Plummer sacked by Josh Chandler-Semedo for a loss of 9 yards to the Colo 16Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+34
49.3%
Dario Longhetto 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 26TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 85%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
65.6%
Anthony Hankerson run for 5 yds to the Cal 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-2
65.6%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 22Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
85.4%
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0020% → 11%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.1%
PLUMMER, Jack pass to the right incomplete intended for STARLING, Mason thrown to the COL1. PENALTY COL Pass Interference on MOORE, Kaylin enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the COL11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.1%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
80.1%
CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the Colo 15Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
83.5%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+4
88.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to DeCarlos Brooks for 4 yds to the Colo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:25
Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)
+24.7
TD · OT 0:00
J.T. Shrout pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 22 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)
+19.8
FG · Q4 0:00
Dario Longhetto 34 yd FG GOOD
-18.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com