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ARIZ

Arizona 39 at Washington 49

WASH
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadARIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreARIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:40 · Kyle Ostendorp punt for 45 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+22.7Home team on offense+3.2Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Time remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:23: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 39 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +13.0 pts (now 33%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:16: Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +9.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:14: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 20 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK) — ARIZ win probability +11.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:51: Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonah Coleman pass to for Two-Point Conversion) — ARIZ win probability +22.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 5:30: Cameron Davis run for 19 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +15.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ARIZ made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:10ARIZ 4th & 15 at ARIZ 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:10ARIZ 4th & 15 at ARIZ 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:51ARIZ 4th & 11 at ARIZ 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:49WASH 4th & 2 at ARIZ 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    81.2%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:40ARIZ 4th & 14 at ARIZ 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:03WASH 4th & 1 at ARIZ 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%−0.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−3.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:56ARIZ 4th & 1 at WASH 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−1.4
    87% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:50WASH 4th & 3 at WASH 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:01ARIZ 4th & 11 at WASH 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    8.2%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00ARIZ 4th & 6 at WASH 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:22WASH 4th & 1 at ARIZ 29, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 90.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%−1.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:23ARIZ 4th & 22 at WASH 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ARIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:25WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:48ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:46WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:23ARIZ Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:08WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:14WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:16ARIZ Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:15WASH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 1:56WASH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 13:14ARIZ Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:51ARIZ Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    23.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    22.5%−0.9
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 5:30WASH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:5019% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
80.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 2 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
80.9%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Jeremiah Martin for a loss of 9 yards to the Ariz 20Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+10
80.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 44 , Jalen McMillan returns for 10 yds to the Wash 30 ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive holding (Jalen Harris) to the Wash 44Similar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+10
80.5%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 46 , Jalen McMillan returns for 10 yds to the Ariz 30 ARIZONA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dalton Johnson) to the Ariz 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:4581% → 81%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
80.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Ariz 49Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+9
80.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 9 yds to the Ariz 40Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+7
80.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 7 yds to the Ariz 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
80.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+5
80.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short left to Polk,Ja'Lynn PENALTY ARIZ Offside (Shand,Paris) 5 yards from ARIZ28 to ARIZ23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY. The previous play is under review. The ruling on the field is confirmed.Similar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
81.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 23 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:2919% → 19%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
80.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ariz 22Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
80.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Tetairoa McMillanSimilar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+7
80.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 7 yds to the Ariz 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
80.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 6 yds to the Ariz 35Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
80.5%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-10
80.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Coleman,Jonah rush right for 7 yards gain to the ARIZ45 (Cook,Alex; Banks,Davon) PENALTY ARIZ Holding (McLachlan,Tanner) 10 yards from ARIZ38 to ARIZ28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:20
3RD & 11
OWN 28
0
80.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to DJ WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 11
OWN 28
0
81.0%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 45 yds · 4:0281% → 81%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
80.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
80.8%
Cameron Davis run for 7 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+4
80.9%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
81.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 28 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
81.2%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Ariz 25Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+8
81.2%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 8 yds to the Ariz 33Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 16
OPP 33
+14
80.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 14 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+2
80.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Ariz 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 2:0120% → 25%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
80.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 19 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
80.1%
Jayden de Laura run for 11 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
79.7%
DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+46
75.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 46 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5477% → 81%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
77.1%
Sam Adams II run for 9 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
77.7%
Sam Adams II run for 3 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+45
77.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 45 yds to the Ariz 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
78.0%
PENALTY ARIZ Offside (Branch-Haynes,Evan) 5 yards from ARIZ18 to ARIZ13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 13
0
78.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+4
78.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the Ariz 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+6
77.6%
Sam Adams II run for 6 yds to the Ariz 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
78.0%
Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short right to Polk,Ja'Lynn broken up by Stukes,Treydan PENALTY ARIZ Offside (Echols,Hunter) 2 yards from ARIZ03 to ARIZ01. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.2%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5920% → 19%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
79.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jonah ColemanSimilar
Q2 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
79.9%
Jonah Coleman run for no gain to the Ariz 29Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-5
80.3%
ARIZONA Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Jayden de Laura) to the Ariz 25Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 14
OWN 25
0
80.6%
Kyle Ostendorp punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:3780% → 80%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+27
80.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 27 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
81.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 15 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
81.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
81.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 2 yds to the Ariz 26Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+7
81.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 7 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q2 10:03
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
80.4%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the Ariz 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 66 yds · 4:0720% → 20%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
80.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to DJ Williams for 8 yds to the Ariz 27Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+14
79.6%
DJ Williams run for 14 yds to the Ariz 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
79.3%
DJ Williams run for no gain to the Ariz 41Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
79.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Jacob CowingSimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+39
80.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 39 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
77.7%
Jayden de Laura run for 8 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
77.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 1 yd to the Wash 11Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
79.5%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Tanner McLachlanSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+4
80.3%
Jayden de Laura run for 4 yds to the Wash 15 Jayden de Laura fumbled, recovered by Ariz Jonah ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0682% → 81%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
81.5%
Sam Adams II run for 1 yd to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+8
81.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 8 yds to the Wash 24Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
81.4%
Sam Adams II run for 2 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+17
80.5%
Jack McCallister punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ariz 45 , Jacob Cowing returns for 17 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:2719% → 33%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
80.6%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+2
79.4%
Jonah Coleman run for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+9
79.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 9 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
67.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 39 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 2:1573% → 82%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 5 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
73.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
73.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 10 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
74.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+4
75.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
75.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
75.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 11 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
75.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 11 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
76.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 9 yds to the Ariz 17Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+10
74.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 10 yds to the Ariz 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
74.9%
Sam Adams II run for 3 yds to the Ariz 4Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Sam Adams II for 4 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
80.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 25 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:4582% → 89%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
82.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 3 yds to the Ariz 45Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+45
88.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 45 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5812% → 24%
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
87.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun de Laura,Jayden pass incomplete short left to McMillan,Tetairoa PENALTY WASH Pass Interference (Perryman,Jordan) 15 yards from ARIZ36 to WASH49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
86.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 15 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
85.4%
Jayden de Laura run for 13 yds to the Wash 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
85.4%
Shotgun de Laura,Jayden pass incomplete short right to Cowing,Jacob PENALTY WASH Holding (Banks,Davon) 3 yards from WASH06 to WASH03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
75.8%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:5181% → 91%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
80.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 8 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+3
81.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
80.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 18 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
82.4%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Ariz 49Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+26
81.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 26 yds to the Ariz 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
82.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 4 yds to the Ariz 19Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
82.7%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds to the Ariz 15Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+7
81.8%
Cameron Davis run for 7 yds to the Ariz 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
90.9%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 4:1411% → 13%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.9%
DJ Williams run for 3 yds to the Ariz 28Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+19
88.4%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 19 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
87.7%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Tetairoa McMillanSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
88.1%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 9 yds to the Wash 44Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
87.3%
DJ Williams run for 2 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
87.5%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 12 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
86.8%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to DJ WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-6
86.9%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 6 yards to the Wash 36Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+5
88.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 11
OPP 31
+48
86.7%
Tyler Loop 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:0588% → 96%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
87.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Sam Adams II for 10 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
87.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+16
87.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 16 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
88.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 11 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
89.7%
Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass complete deep left to Jackson,Giles for 38 yards to the ARIZ00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:06 PENALTY WASH Holding (Kirkland,Jaxson) 10 yards from ARIZ38 to ARIZ48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 20
OPP 48
+48
96.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 48 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:425% → 16%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
94.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 9 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
94.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 17 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
95.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 5 yds to the Wash 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+5
95.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Jacob Cowing for 5 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
94.9%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
94.6%
Jayden de Laura pass incomplete to Dorian SingerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
0
95.1%
Jayden de Laura pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+11
95.3%
Jayden de Laura run for 11 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
84.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tanner McLachlan for 20 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:5290% → 90%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
89.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 27 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
90.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 10 yds to the Ariz 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
90.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
90.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 7 yds to the Ariz 31Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+2
90.4%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ariz 29Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+47
90.2%
Peyton Henry 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
4 plays · 71 yds · 1:3111% → 36%
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+26
89.0%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 26 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
86.9%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 9 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+10
86.6%
DJ Williams run for 10 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
63.8%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonah Coleman pass to for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2175% → 93%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
75.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 19 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
77.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the Ariz 48Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
78.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Ariz 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
78.7%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ariz 41Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+13
78.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 13 yds to the Ariz 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
79.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Ariz 28Similar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
79.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 1 yd to the Ariz 29Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+10
77.5%
Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short left to Polk,Ja'Lynn PENALTY ARIZ Holding (Warnell Jr.,DJ) 10 yards from ARIZ29 to ARIZ19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
93.2%
Cameron Davis run for 19 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23MISSED FG
15 plays · 53 yds · 4:027% → 3%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
92.6%
Jonah Coleman run for 12 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
91.7%
Jonah Coleman run for 3 yds to the Ariz 38Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+11
91.0%
Jayden de Laura run for 11 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
90.7%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 6 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+4
90.0%
Jonah Coleman run for 4 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
90.5%
Jayden de Laura run for 5 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+12
90.0%
Jayden de Laura run for 12 yds to the Wash 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
89.3%
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 12 yds to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
89.2%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Jeremiah Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 14Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 12
OPP 14
-10
93.7%
Jayden de Laura sacked by Voi Tunuufi for a loss of 10 yards to the Wash 24Similar
Q4 1:34
3RD & 22
OPP 24
0
96.0%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Jonah ColemanSimilar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 22
OPP 24
+41
96.6%
Tyler Loop 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -13 yds · 1:2396% → 96%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
96.1%
M. Penix Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 22
OWN 12
-1
96.0%
M. Penix Jr. takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:51
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 26 yds for a TD, (Jonah Coleman pass to for Two-Point Conversion)
-22.8
TD · Q4 5:30
Cameron Davis run for 19 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
+15.7
TD · Q2 2:23
Jayden de Laura pass complete to Dorian Singer for 39 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com