Try the model
WASH

Washington 38 at Arizona State 45

ASU
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Mountain America Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:47 · Eddie Czaplicki punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Pregame prior−2.1Home team on offense+23.0Garbage-time factor+15.6Score differential+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Time remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:57: Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 10 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK) — ASU win probability +18.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:45: Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK) — ASU win probability +17.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:36: Cameron Davis run for 1 yd for a TD — WASH win probability +16.2 pts (now 41%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:09: Cameron Davis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +20.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:27: Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 2 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK) — ASU win probability +32.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 0 of 3WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 3:57ASU 4th & 6 at WASH 35, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.0%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:15WASH 4th & 9 at ASU 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−3.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:50WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:50WASH 4th & 5 at WASH 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:41ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 32, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:37WASH 4th & 1 at WASH 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    46.3%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q4 3:51WASH 4th & 9 at ASU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−1.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 2:47ASU 4th & 5 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q4 2:47WASH 4th & 11 at WASH 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:29WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:45ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:47ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:51ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:34WASH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:57ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:36WASH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:45ASU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:36WASH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:09WASH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:27ASU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:3187% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
13.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
13.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 5 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
13.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+10
13.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 10 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
13.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+18
13.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 18 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
13.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 7 yds to the ArzSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+10
13.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 10 yds to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
13.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+5
13.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short left to Davis,Taj broken up by Johnson,Isaiah PENALTY ASU Offside (Green,B.J.) 5 yards from ASU12 to ASU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+3
13.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 3 yds to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+3
13.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
14.4%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2FG
14 plays · 40 yds · 6:3215% → 18%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
14.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 1 yd to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+14
14.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 14 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
14.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
14.9%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+10
14.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 10 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
15.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 8 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
15.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+1
15.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
15.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 4 yds to the Wash 35Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+4
15.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the Wash 31Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
15.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wash 30Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+5
14.9%
Shotgun Ngata,Daniyel rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UW 27 (Tuputala,Alphonzo) PENALTY ASU Illegal Formation 5 yards from UW 30 to UW 35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+53
18.1%
Carter Brown 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 5:4282% → 83%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
17.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
17.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 7 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
17.5%
Giles Jackson run for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+6
17.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+4
17.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
17.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+11
17.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 11 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
18.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 13 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
18.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-5
18.5%
PENALTY UW False Start (Bainivalu,Henry) 5 yards from ASU22 to ASU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+1
18.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 26
+15
19.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short right to McMillan,Jalen PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Clark,Jordan) 15 yards from ASU26 to ASU11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
18.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
18.4%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
18.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q2 13:15
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
17.5%
Peyton Henry 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3018% → 28%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
18.2%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
17.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 11 yds to the ArzSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
18.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
19.0%
Emory Jones run for no gain to the Wash 49Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
18.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 17 yds to the Wash 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
19.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+1
19.6%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the Wash 28Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+6
19.0%
Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Targeting ( Yards) to the Wash 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
28.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:4976% → 75%
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
24.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
24.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 5 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
24.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+15
25.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 58 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 15 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+15
25.3%
Jack McCallister punt for 58 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 15 yds to the ArzSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:0326% → 42%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
26.0%
Daniyel Ngata run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+10
26.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 10 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+26
26.2%
Daniyel Ngata run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
50
+3
28.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wash 47Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+5
28.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 5 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+5
27.8%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 5 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
28.3%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Cam JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
28.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 3 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+20
27.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 20 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
28.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q2 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
41.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 14 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7INT TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:5062% → 52%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
38.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 15 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
36.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-38
47.6%
Jordan Clark 38 Yd Interception Return (Carter Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 2:1752% → 58%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
48.4%
Cameron Davis run for 19 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
47.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 11 yds to the ArzSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
45.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 2
OPP 37
0
45.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+6
45.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 6 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
44.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 4 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+26
44.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 26 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
44.2%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
42.4%
PENALTY ASU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Moore,Travez) 15 yards from UW 35 to UW 50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
43.9%
Kneel down by Arizona St. at ASU24 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1444% → 44%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
44.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
44.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
44.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Giovanni SandersSimilar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
44.4%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0455% → 52%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
44.8%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+2
44.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+4
45.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 4 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 11:37
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+3
48.1%
Rome Odunze run for 3 yds to the Wash 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:4053% → 71%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
52.5%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 8 yds to the Wash 21Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+3
52.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
52.5%
Daniyel Ngata run for 8 yds to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 10
0
52.5%
Trenton Bourguet run for no gain to the Wash 10Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
71.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 10 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2132% → 53%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
67.9%
Richard Newton run for 20 yds to the Wash 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
65.7%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 5
50
+13
64.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 13 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
64.7%
Richard Newton run for 16 yds to the ArzSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
62.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 17 yds to the ArzSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
47.4%
Cameron Davis run for 4 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 1:4660% → 80%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
59.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
59.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bourguet,Trenton pass incomplete short right to Thompson,Bryan PENALTY UW Offside (Tunuufi,Voi) 5 yards from ASU24 to ASU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+15
60.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+17
62.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Charles Hall IV for 17 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+38
62.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 38 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.3%
Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:0925% → 41%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.1%
Sam Adams II run for 1 yd to the Wash 26Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
75.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Sam Adams II for 1 yd to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+13
75.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 13 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
73.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+42
73.9%
Cameron Davis run for 42 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
69.7%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+8
69.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short left to Culp,Devin broken up by Soelle,Kyle PENALTY ASU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Taylor,D.J.) 8 yards from ASU16 to ASU08, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
69.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 2 yds to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
69.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q3 4:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
71.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q3 1:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
77.9%
Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short left to Odunze,Rome PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Davis,Timarcus) 4 yards from ASU06 to ASU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
75.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 1 yd to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
75.5%
Cameron Davis run for no gain to the ArzSt 1Similar
Q3 0:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.3%
Cameron Davis run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16INT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:1274% → 72%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
73.0%
Trenton Bourguet pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+15
72.0%
WASHINGTON Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Voi Tunuufi) to the Wash 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:3938% → 62%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
62.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 16 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
60.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 25 yds to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
58.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Taj Davis for 5 yds to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+2
58.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 2 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
37.6%
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 4:3547% → 87%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
46.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 18 yds to the ArzSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
48.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
47.9%
Trenton Bourguet pass incomplete to Messiah SwinsonSimilar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+14
45.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
50
+2
52.1%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 2 yds to the Wash 48Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+2
52.4%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 2 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 12:02
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+32
51.2%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 32 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
54.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 13 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wash 2Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.6%
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 2 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 3:3620% → 14%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
80.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 18 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
77.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 9 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 1
OPP 48
0
74.4%
Will Nixon run for no gain to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
75.7%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
75.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
75.3%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+1
76.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 1 yd to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q4 3:51
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
86.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:0494% → 94%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
93.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-5
94.0%
PENALTY ASU False Start (Martinez,Chris) 5 yards from ASU48 to ASU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+2
93.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q4 3:41
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+5
93.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 5
50
0
94.0%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jalen McMillan at the Wash 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:478% → 7%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-10
92.5%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Wash 3Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 20
OWN 3
0
93.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 20
OWN 3
+9
93.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the Wash 12Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 11
OWN 12
+4
93.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 19 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Targeting (-15 Yards) to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
91.0%
Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 13 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
90.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+10
90.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 10 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
88.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
88.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Taj DavisSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+30
90.6%
run for 30 yds to the Wash 39 fumbled, recovered by Wash Troy FautanuSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 40
OWN 39
-5
93.0%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UW 39 to UW 44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 35
OWN 44
0
93.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:27
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 2 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)
+32.6
TD · Q4 12:09
Cameron Davis run for 5 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
-20.3
TD · Q3 8:57
Trenton Bourguet pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 10 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)
+18.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com