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WASH

Washington 32 at UCLA 40

UCLA
2022 · Week 5 · Sep 30, 2022 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadWASH aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreWASH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDSAFETYTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:23 · Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Wash 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Home team on offense+16.6Score differential+6.0Garbage-time factor+4.5Pregame prior−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Time remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:50: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 12 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +9.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:02: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 15 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +11.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:35: Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +10.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:40: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WASH win probability +7.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:59: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Penix Jr. pass to Jalen McMillan for Two-Point Conversion) — WASH win probability +8.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WASH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:28WASH 4th & 6 at UCLA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    54.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:00UCLA 4th & 3 at WASH 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:41WASH 4th & 19 at UCLA 32, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    48.3%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:07WASH 4th & 8 at WASH 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:29UCLA 4th & 6 at WASH 6, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.2%−6.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:23UCLA 4th & 1 at WASH 16, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    71.1%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:15WASH 4th & 4 at WASH 45, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:58UCLA 4th & 7 at UCLA 44, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  9. Q4 5:59WASH 4th & 12 at UCLA 49, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:59WASH 4th & 9 at UCLA 9, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WASH made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 10:28WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:54UCLA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:50UCLA Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:02UCLA Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:35UCLA Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:40WASH Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    11.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:46UCLA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:03WASH Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:59WASH Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    7.9%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WASHDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1756% → 57%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
44.1%
Wayne Taulapapa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 24Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
44.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+13
44.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 13 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
44.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 15 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
44.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+6
44.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 6 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
44.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 2 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
44.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 2 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
44.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+33
43.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 33 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 2:1544% → 44%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
44.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
44.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 1 yd to the Wash 40Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+22
44.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 22 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
44.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kam BrownSimilar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
44.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+11
44.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 11 yds to the Wash 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
44.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Wash 3Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
44.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Zach CharbonnetSimilar
Q1 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
44.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q1 8:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
43.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 3SF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4457% → 55%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
43.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
44.8%
Michael Penix Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards for a SAFETY Michael Penix Jr. fumbled, recovered by Wash Wayne Taulapapa for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 4:0145% → 50%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
44.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 2 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+4
44.6%
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+40
44.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 40 yds to the Wash 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
45.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 6 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+11
46.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 11 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
46.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
46.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Hudson HabermehlSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+20
46.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 20 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
47.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Wash 2Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
47.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the Wash 1Similar
Q1 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
50.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 5FG
17 plays · 43 yds · 5:0751% → 53%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
49.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 7 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
49.0%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Darius Muasau) to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
48.8%
UCLA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Grayson Murphy) to the Wash 42Similar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 5
OWN 42
+6
48.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 6 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
48.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 8 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+10
47.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Cameron Davis for 10 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
47.6%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Davis, Cameron, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the UCLA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:10
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+9
48.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 9 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+10
47.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 10 yds to the UCLA 25Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
48.4%
Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the UCLA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
47.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
48.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 10
OPP 23
-9
48.8%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Laiatu Latu for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 19
OPP 32
+50
47.4%
Peyton Henry 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:4548% → 60%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
48.0%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 20Similar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-5
47.8%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the UCLA 15Similar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
47.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+18
47.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 18 yds to the UCLA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
48.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 5 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
50.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 7 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
50.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the UCLA 49Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+81
50.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 17 yds to the WASHINGTON 34 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul to the Wash 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
59.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 12 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 7INT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1843% → 41%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
56.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+9
56.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 9 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-11
57.5%
Davis, Cameron rush for 2 yards to the WASHINGTON29, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 11 yards to the WASHINGTON16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 12
OWN 16
-29
59.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted Stephan Blaylock return for 29 yds to the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
70.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 15 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5232% → 30%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
67.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 8 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-10
66.8%
Taulapapa, Wayne rush for 12 yards to the WASHINGTON45, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
68.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
69.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jack WestoverSimilar
Q2 6:07
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+9
70.0%
Jack McCallister punt for 50 yds , Logan Loya returns for 9 yds to the UCLA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 10FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:2772% → 79%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
72.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+11
72.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 11 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
73.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 8 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+4
74.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+33
74.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 33 yds to the Wash 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
75.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
75.7%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the Wash 8Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
75.5%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the Wash 6Similar
Q2 2:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
78.8%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
75.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass intercepted JonJon Vaughns return for 3 yds to the Wash 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:5380% → 80%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
80.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Zach CharbonnetSimilar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
80.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incomplete to Kazmeir AllenSimilar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+14
79.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 14 yds to the Wash 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-7
81.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Jeremiah Martin for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 32Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 17
OPP 32
+10
81.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 10 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+6
81.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 6 yds to the Wash 16Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 1
OPP 16
0
79.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the Wash 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:1524% → 22%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
76.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 6 yds to the Wash 22Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 4
OWN 22
0
77.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+12
78.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 12 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
78.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
78.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2078% → 92%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
78.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 15 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
79.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 6 yds to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+5
79.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 5 yds to the Wash 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
79.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+6
80.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 6 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
80.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 13 yds to the Wash 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
81.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 9 yds to the Wash 13Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+11
81.7%
Zach Charbonnet run for 11 yds to the Wash 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:499% → 14%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
91.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
91.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 7 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Wash 43Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
92.1%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-1
93.2%
Cameron Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 45Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & 4
OWN 45
+8
93.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
93.7%
Penix Jr., Michael pass complete to Davis, Cameron for loss of 1 yard to the UCLA48, PENALTY WASHINGTON holding 10 yards to the WASHINGTON43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+17
94.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 17 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
93.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+7
93.9%
Cameron Davis run for 7 yds to the UCLA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
93.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+14
93.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 14 yds to the UCLA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
86.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 16TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:4490% → 97%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
90.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
91.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+22
91.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 22 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
91.6%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 39Similar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+39
96.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 39 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 17TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 6:274% → 10%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.2%
Richard Newton run for 5 yds to the Wash 27Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+3
96.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Richard Newton for 3 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+9
96.5%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Odunze, Rome, PENALTY UCLA pass interference 9 yards to the WASHINGTON39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.Similar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
96.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 3 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+4
97.0%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 4 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 0:57
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-5
97.2%
WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wash 41Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+20
97.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 20 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
97.5%
Penix Jr., Michael pass incomplete to Odunze, Rome, PENALTY UCLA offside 5 yards to the UCLA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+8
97.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 8 yds to the UCLA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
97.2%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
97.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 5 yds to the UCLA 17Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+4
97.9%
Richard Newton run for 4 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
97.8%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the UCLA 10Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+6
97.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 6 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
90.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 4 yds for a TD, (J. Polk Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:4794% → 95%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
94.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 24Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+2
94.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+15
94.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 15 yds to the UCLA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
95.3%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+4
95.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the UCLA 47Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-3
95.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Keegan Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
95.4%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Wash 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 19TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 3:465% → 12%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+34
94.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 34 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
94.1%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 12 yds to the UCLA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
94.1%
Michael Penix Jr. sacked by Bo Calvert for a loss of 7 yards to the Wash 46Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 17
OWN 46
0
94.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 17
OWN 46
+5
95.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 5 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 12
OPP 49
+15
95.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 15 yds to the UCLA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
94.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 16 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
94.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 12 yds to the UCLA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
95.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 0
OPP 6
-15
94.3%
WASHINGTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UCLA 21Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 0
OPP 21
+7
95.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Will Nixon for 7 yds to the UCLA 14Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
96.1%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 3:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
88.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Penix Jr. pass to Jalen McMillan for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 20END OF GAME
14 plays · 33 yds · 3:2293% → 97%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the UCLA 29Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
94.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
95.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 6 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
95.9%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
50
+1
96.4%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the Wash 49Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
96.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
97.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 6 yds to the Wash 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
97.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wash 41Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-1
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:02
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 15 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q3 11:35
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+10.3
TD · Q2 9:50
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 12 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
+9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com