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ORST

Oregon State 16 at Utah 42

UTAH
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadORST aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreORST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:09 · Jack Bouwmeester punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+15.5Home team on offense+9.4Score differential+1.9Garbage-time factor+3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:13: Cameron Rising run for 24 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:37: Atticus Sappington 26 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +2.7 pts (now 21%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 9:46: Atticus Sappington 31 yd FG GOOD — ORST win probability +6.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ORST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:18: Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 16 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +9.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:57: Jaylen Dixon run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ORST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 7:37UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:39ORST 4th & 4 at ORST 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:13UTAH 4th & 9 at UTAH 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:20ORST 4th & 4 at UTAH 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    23.2%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:38ORST 4th & 8 at UTAH 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    13.6%−4.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:25UTAH 4th & 14 at ORST 35, up 11
    Close callPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    81.2%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:37ORST 4th & 8 at UTAH 8, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    14.2%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:09UTAH 4th & 2 at UTAH 33, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.7
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:28UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 29, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:46ORST 4th & 4 at UTAH 13, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.1%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−8.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:02ORST 4th & 2 at ORST 49, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.8%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:56ORST 4th & 1 at ORST 36, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ORST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:03UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:36ORST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:21UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:13UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:18UTAH Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:57UTAH Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:38UTAH Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ORSTDrive 1INT
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:3721% → 21%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
79.4%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 11 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
79.2%
Chance Nolan pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 1:1579% → 80%
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
79.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 5 yds to the OrgSt 20Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
79.3%
Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 19Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
79.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 19 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:2121% → 23%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
79.4%
Jam Griffin run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+9
79.3%
Chance Nolan run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
79.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
79.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+11
79.3%
Chance Nolan run for 11 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
79.3%
Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 15 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
77.5%
Silas Bolden run for 29 yds for a TD, (Atticus Sappington KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5978% → 77%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 27Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
78.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 3 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
78.0%
Cameron Rising run for no gain to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
77.0%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 40 yds , Anthony Gould returns for no gain to the OrgSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 5INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1623% → 21%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
77.2%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-38
79.4%
Clark Phillips III 38 Yd Interception Return (Jordan Noyes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3521% → 21%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
79.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+3
79.2%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
79.3%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:39
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
79.5%
Luke Loecher punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2679% → 79%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
79.4%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 16Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+3
79.4%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the Utah 19Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 9
OWN 19
0
79.1%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
78.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:5321% → 22%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
78.9%
Jam Griffin run for 15 yds to the Utah 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
78.5%
Jam Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 47Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+4
78.7%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the Utah 43Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+3
78.6%
Chance Nolan run for 3 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
78.5%
Chance Nolan pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:0780% → 84%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
79.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Munir McClain for 12 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
80.0%
Cameron Rising run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
80.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
80.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 5 yds to the OrgSt 24Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+24
84.2%
Cameron Rising run for 24 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 10FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:3518% → 19%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
50
+3
81.9%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the Utah 47Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+11
81.9%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
81.9%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+7
81.3%
Jam Griffin run for 7 yds to the Utah 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
81.3%
Jam Griffin run for 2 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
81.3%
GULBRANSON, Ben pass to the right incomplete intended for GOULD, Anthony thrown to the UTA0. PENALTY UTA Personal Foul on PHILLIPS, Clark enforced half the distance from the goal, 11 yards from the UTA22 to the UTA11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
81.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
81.3%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
81.7%
Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 8Similar
Q2 9:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
81.0%
Atticus Sappington 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 6:1382% → 83%
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the Utah 31Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-2
82.5%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 29Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
81.8%
Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
82.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 10 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
83.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+5
83.1%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
83.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 11 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
83.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 4 yds to the OrgSt 27Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+1
83.1%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q2 9:38
3RD & 5
OPP 26
-11
82.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for a loss of 11 yards to the OrgSt 35 Ja'Quinden Jackson fumbled, recovered by Utah Ja'Quinden JacksonSimilar
Q2 3:25
4TH & 14
OPP 35
0
82.5%
Cameron Rising punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 12FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 2:4817% → 21%
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
83.1%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 26Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
82.8%
Jesiah Irish run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
83.2%
Jesiah Irish run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
82.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:25
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+63
83.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 63 yds to the Utah 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
82.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
81.6%
Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the Utah 5Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
81.9%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 8Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
79.2%
Atticus Sappington 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:1983% → 82%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
82.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 8 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
83.1%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
82.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
81.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Anthony Gould at the OrgSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
80.6%
UTAH Penalty, Illegal Substitution ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3283% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
82.5%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+5
82.3%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
81.9%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
81.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 28 ydsSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
80.4%
GRIFFIN, Jam rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the OSU49 (O'TOOLE, Connor). PENALTY OSU Holding on BLOOMFIELD, Heneli enforced 10 yards from the OSU43 to the OSU33. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 16FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 3:4219% → 27%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+6
81.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 6 yds to the OrgSt 39Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+30
81.3%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Gould for 30 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
78.2%
Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the Utah 22Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+3
77.9%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the Utah 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
77.9%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
78.2%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the Utah 18Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+5
79.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Damien Martinez for 5 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
72.7%
Atticus Sappington 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2876% → 89%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
76.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 18 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
77.8%
Cameron Rising run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
78.6%
Micah Bernard run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+20
78.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 20 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
79.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 7 yds to the OrgSt 9Similar
Q3 9:46
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+8
79.3%
Cameron Rising run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-15
79.3%
RISING, Cameron pass to the left complete for 1 yard to KINCAID, Dalton caught at the OSU0 and advanced to the OSU0, TOUCHDOWN UTA, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY UTA Personal Foul on KENDALL, Logan enforced 15 yards from the OSU1 to the OSU16. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
0
79.2%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
88.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 16 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 18INT
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:3113% → 16%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
86.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 4 yds to the OrgSt 45Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 45
-2
86.2%
Damien Martinez run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 43Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+6
86.4%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 6 yds to the OrgSt 49Similar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+16
85.9%
Jack Colletto pass complete to Anthony Gould for 16 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+27
84.0%
Tyjon Lindsey pass complete to Ben Gulbranson for 27 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
83.8%
Ben Gulbranson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:4390% → 96%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
90.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Logan Kendall for 8 yds to the OrgSt 22Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+22
96.4%
Jaylen Dixon run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:016% → 5%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
94.1%
Ben Gulbranson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+14
94.2%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 14 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
93.9%
Jam Griffin run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 32Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+1
93.6%
Damien Martinez run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 33Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+3
94.7%
Damien Martinez run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 36Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
94.7%
Jack Colletto run for no gain to the OrgSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:1897% → 100%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.3%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
97.3%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 35Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+15
97.2%
RISING, Cameron pass to the right incomplete intended for VELE, Devaughn thrown to the OSU0. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on OLADAPO, Kitan enforced 15 yards to the OSU20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
97.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 14 yds to the OrgSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
97.3%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 4Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 4 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ORSTDrive 22INT
10 plays · 70 yds · 5:220% → 0%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.6%
Damien Martinez run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 40Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+16
99.6%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Gould for 16 yds to the Utah 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.6%
Ben Gulbranson run for 5 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+7
99.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 7 yds to the Utah 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Gould for 2 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+9
99.5%
Damien Martinez run for 9 yds to the Utah 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
99.5%
Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Silas Bolden for 13 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.5%
Jam Griffin run for 3 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.7%
Ben Gulbranson pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23END OF GAME
12 plays · 77 yds · 7:16100% → 100%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
99.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 13 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
99.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.8%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+4
99.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 42Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+5
99.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+12
99.8%
Bryson Barnes run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
99.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for no gain to the OrgSt 7Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 5Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:18
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 16 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+9.7
FG · Q3 9:46
Atticus Sappington 31 yd FG GOOD
-6.9
TD · Q3 1:57
Jaylen Dixon run for 22 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com