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ASU

Arizona State 25 at USC 42

USC
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:32 · Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by D.J. Taylor at the ArzSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Pregame prior+28.2Home team on offense+3.6Garbage-time factor+0.7Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:27: Emory Jones run for 6 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK) — ASU win probability +6.2 pts (now 16%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:10: Travis Dye run for 2 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK) — USC win probability +7.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:54: Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 2 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK) — USC win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:16: Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Emory Jones pass to Xazavian Valladay for Two-Point Conversion) — ASU win probability +6.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:46: Travis Dye run for 1 yd for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK) — USC win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ASU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 14:15ASU 4th & 1 at USC 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    8.8%−0.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:53ASU 4th & 12 at USC 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:32USC 4th & 5 at USC 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:23ASU 4th & 16 at ASU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  5. Q3 6:38ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  6. Q4 14:14ASU 4th & 16 at ASU 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−1.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:28USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:28ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:52USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:05USC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:27ASU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:10USC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:54USC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:16ASU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    5.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.4%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:46USC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2294% → 94%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Travis Dye run for no gain to the USC 25Similar
Q1 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.2%
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 20Similar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+9
94.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 9 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
94.0%
Caleb Williams run for 6 yds to the USC 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by USC Caleb Williams for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
93.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 27 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
93.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 21 yds to the ArzSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
93.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 7 yds to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+2
93.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 2 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+7
93.5%
Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.8%
Caleb Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:326% → 8%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
93.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
93.4%
Daniyel Ngata run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
93.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Andre Johnson for 5 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
93.2%
Emory Jones run for no gain to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+19
93.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 19 yds to the USC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.9%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q1 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+6
92.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Charles Hall IV for 6 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+29
91.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 29 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0992% → 93%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.0%
Raleek Brown run for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
92.1%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
91.8%
Caleb Williams run for 10 yds to the USC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
92.0%
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 36Similar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+15
91.7%
Brown, Raleek rush for loss of 2 yards to the USC34, PENALTY ARIZONAST face mask (Robertson, Merlin) 15 yards to the ARIZONAST49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
91.9%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+27
91.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 27 yds to the ArzSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
91.7%
Raleek Brown run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
91.6%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Kyle FordSimilar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+13
91.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 13 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
91.5%
Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
92.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 7 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 6:428% → 11%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
92.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for 23 yds to the ArzSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
91.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 7 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
91.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q2 14:41
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
91.2%
Case Hatch run for no gain to the USC 43Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+4
91.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 4 yds to the USC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
90.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 6 yds to the USC 33Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-1
90.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 34Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+14
90.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 14 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
90.0%
Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd to the USC 19Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+7
89.8%
Emory Jones pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 7 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 2
OPP 12
-10
90.0%
Jones, Emory rush for 8 yards to the USC4, PENALTY ARIZONAST holding 10 yards to the USC22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 12
OPP 22
0
90.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Andre JohnsonSimilar
Q2 9:53
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+40
89.0%
Carter Brown 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5TD
12 plays · 94 yds · 3:3589% → 92%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
88.9%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+13
88.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 13 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+31
88.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 31 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
50
-7
89.4%
Raleek Brown run for 3 yds to the ARIZONAST 47 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USC 43Similar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 17
OWN 43
+7
89.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
50
+19
89.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 19 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.6%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+12
89.6%
Raleek Brown run for 12 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
89.4%
Caleb Williams run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (4 Yards) to the ArzSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 4 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:209% → 16%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 4 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
90.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
91.2%
Daniyel Ngata run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
50
+9
90.7%
Emory Jones run for 9 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q2 3:26
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+34
90.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 34 yds to the USC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
89.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for 1 yd to the USC 6Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
83.7%
Emory Jones run for 6 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 1:3386% → 86%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
86.3%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the USC 9Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+5
85.9%
Caleb Williams run for 5 yds to the USC 14Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+4
85.7%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
86.3%
Williams, Caleb pass complete to Epps, Malcolm for 82 yards to the ARIZONAST0, PENALTY USC holding 9 yards to the USC9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & 19
OWN 9
0
85.8%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Travis DyeSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 19
OWN 9
+25
85.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 25 yds to the USC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
86.3%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Mario WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
86.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 5 yds to the USC 39Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
86.4%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Brenden RiceSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
85.5%
Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by D.J. Taylor at the ArzSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
85.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:1415% → 15%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
85.1%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
85.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Andre JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+11
85.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 11 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
83.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-8
83.4%
Emory Jones sacked by Eric Gentry and Shane Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 16
OWN 35
0
85.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for no gain to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
85.1%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the USC 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 10INT
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:5986% → 87%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
85.7%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
85.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 8 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
85.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 14 yds to the ArzSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
86.6%
Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 44Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+24
86.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 24 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
86.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 11 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
86.7%
Caleb Williams pass intercepted, touchback. Timarcus Davis return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0817% → 16%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
83.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 6 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
82.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
83.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+5
84.2%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 39 yds , Jordan Addison returns for 5 yds to the USC 31 ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 5:1586% → 92%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
50
+12
85.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 12 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
85.6%
Caleb Williams run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-8
86.0%
Caleb Williams sacked by Khoury Bethley for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 14
OPP 42
+14
83.4%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Brenden Rice for 14 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
85.8%
Raleek Brown run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+15
85.6%
Caleb Williams run for 15 yds to the ArzSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
85.4%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+5
85.2%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
92.4%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13FUMBLE
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:389% → 8%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
90.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
90.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-10
90.8%
Emory Jones sacked by Tyrone Taleni for a loss of 10 yards to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q4 14:14
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+2
92.1%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 36 yds , Jordan Addison returns for 2 yds to the USC 40 Jordan Addison fumbled, recovered by USC Jordan AddisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14TD
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:0493% → 98%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
92.9%
Raleek Brown run for 3 yds to the USC 43Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
92.9%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Kyron HudsonSimilar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+18
92.3%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 18 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
93.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 4 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+15
93.0%
Williams, Caleb pass incomplete to Addison, Jordan, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference 15 yards to the ARIZONAST20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
93.0%
Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+8
93.0%
Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
93.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyle Ford for 7 yds to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q4 10:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.2%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 2 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:322% → 7%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Charles Hall IVSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.6%
Emory Jones sacked by Solomon Tuliaupupu for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+16
97.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 16 yds to the ArzSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
97.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 6 yds to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
97.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
50
+12
97.4%
Emory Jones run for 12 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-6
97.4%
Emory Jones sacked by Tyrone Taleni and Nick Figueroa for a loss of 6 yards to the USC 44Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 16
OPP 44
0
97.5%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q4 7:06
3RD & 16
OPP 44
+15
97.7%
Jones, Emory pass incomplete to Hall IV, Charles, PENALTY USC pass interference 15 yards to the USC29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONAST.Similar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
97.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Charles Hall IV for 17 yds to the USC 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
97.2%
Jones, Emory pass incomplete to Swinson, Messiah, PENALTY USC pass interference 10 yards to the USC2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONAST.Similar
Q4 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Emory Jones pass to Xazavian Valladay for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
92.7%
Brown, Carter kickoff 10 yards to the ARIZONAST45, on-side kick, recovered by ARIZONAST on ARIZONAST45, PENALTY ARIZONAST illegal touching 5 yards to the ARIZONAST30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16TD
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:1194% → 99%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
93.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 4 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+16
93.9%
Travis Dye run for 16 yds to the ArzSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
94.1%
Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+13
95.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 13 yds to the ArzSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Travis Dye run for 1 yd for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
98.7%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17INT
13 plays · 59 yds · 3:092% → 2%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Bryan ThompsonSimilar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.2%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q4 2:55
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
98.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 11 yds to the ArzSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
98.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 19 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
98.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 6 yds to the USC 38Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
97.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Cam Johnson for 9 yds to the USC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.5%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Xazavian ValladaySimilar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+8
97.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 8 yds to the USC 21Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+6
97.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 6 yds to the USC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
97.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Daniyel Ngata for 6 yds to the USC 9Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-7
97.6%
Emory Jones sacked by Tuli Tuipulotu for a loss of 7 yards to the USC 16Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 11
OPP 16
-56
97.9%
Emory Jones pass intercepted Calen Bullock return for 56 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
99.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:10
Travis Dye run for 2 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q4 6:16
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds for a TD, (Emory Jones pass to Xazavian Valladay for Two-Point Conversion)
-6.7
TD · Q2 2:27
Emory Jones run for 6 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com