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STAN

Stanford 22 at Washington 40

WASH
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Husky Stadium
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Win probability · WASH
modelWASH aheadSTAN aheadconfidence bandkey playWASH scoreSTAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Dylan Morris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:53: Wayne Taulapapa run for 34 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +11.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:00: Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 23 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +6.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:54: Peyton Henry 47 yd FG GOOD — WASH win probability +4.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:43: Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 30 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK) — WASH win probability +7.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WASH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:58: John Humphreys 17 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Tanner McKee Pass to Brycen Tremayne for Two-Point Conversion) — STAN win probability +6.5 pts (now 8%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WASH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8STAN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:59STAN 4th & 13 at STAN 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  2. Q2 13:26WASH 4th & 10 at STAN 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−2.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:08STAN 4th & 10 at WASH 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:32WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:39WASH 4th & 3 at STAN 45, up 10
    Close callPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 10:54WASH 4th & 8 at STAN 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−4.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:09STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 19, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:27STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 44, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:49WASH 4th & 4 at STAN 15, up 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.0%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−2.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:49STAN 4th & 4 at STAN 43, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:21WASH 4th & 5 at STAN 9, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−3.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:45WASH 4th & 1 at STAN 21, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.7
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.8%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:58STAN 4th & 11 at STAN 37, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:03WASH 4th & 6 at WASH 37, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WASH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4STAN made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 10:32WASH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:53WASH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:00STAN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:43WASH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:58STAN Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:41WASH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:45STAN Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:5620% → 21%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
79.8%
Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
79.8%
Tanner McKee run for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-5
79.9%
Tanner McKee sacked by Bralen Trice for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 20Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 13
OWN 20
+12
79.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 50 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 12 yds to the Wash 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 2TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:2780% → 80%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
79.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Ja'Lynn PolkSimilar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
79.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 9 yds to the Stanf 49Similar
Q1 12:59
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+7
79.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 7 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
79.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 18 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
79.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 21 yds to the Stanf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.2%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3INT
16 plays · 59 yds · 6:5820% → 22%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
79.7%
Casey Filkins run for 7 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-7
79.6%
Tanner McKee sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+22
79.8%
Casey Filkins run for 22 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
79.5%
Caleb Robinson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 6
50
-6
79.4%
Tanner McKee sacked by Alphonzo Tuputala for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 44Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+15
79.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 15 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
79.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brendon Barrow for 3 yds to the Wash 38Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
79.4%
Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the Wash 36Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+4
79.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 4 yds to the Wash 32Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+5
79.6%
No Huddle McKee,Tanner rush middle for 0 yards to the WASH32 (Trice,Bralen) PENALTY WASH Offside (Ale,Ulumoo) 5 yards from WASH32 to WASH27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
79.3%
Casey Filkins run for no gain to the Wash 27Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+8
79.3%
Casey Filkins run for 8 yds to the Wash 19Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
79.4%
Casey Filkins run for 3 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
79.3%
Tanner McKee sacked by Bralen Trice for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 17Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 11
OPP 17
0
78.4%
Tanner McKee pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 4FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 5:0380% → 79%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
79.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+13
79.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 13 yds to the Wash 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
79.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 7 yds to the Wash 33Similar
Q1 3:29
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
80.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Richard NewtonSimilar
Q1 3:29
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+8
79.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 8 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
80.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 26 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
80.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 1 yd to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+5
80.4%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+11
80.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 11 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
80.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Rome OdunzeSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
80.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
80.0%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
79.4%
Peyton Henry 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:1320% → 20%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
80.1%
Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+16
80.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 16 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
79.6%
Casey Filkins run for 9 yds to the Stanf 46Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+8
79.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 8 yds to the Wash 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
79.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 4 yds to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
79.0%
Casey Filkins run for no gain to the Wash 42Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-4
79.2%
Tanner McKee sacked by Alphonzo Tuputala for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 46Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
80.5%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3679% → 79%
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+17
78.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 17 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Giles JacksonSimilar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
79.1%
Richard Newton run for 1 yd to the Wash 21Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+8
79.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 7:34
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-5
79.1%
PENALTY WASH Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH29 to WASH24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+8
78.7%
Jack McCallister punt for 39 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 8 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
79.3%
Tanner McKee sacked by Jeremiah Martin for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 43 Tanner McKee fumbled, recovered by Stanf Faatui Tuitele , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 8TD
2 plays · 43 yds · 0:3281% → 92%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
81.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Devin Culp for 9 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q2 5:53
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+34
92.2%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 34 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4713% → 22%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.2%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+37
87.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 37 yds to the Wash 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
85.7%
Casey Filkins run for 9 yds to the Wash 29Similar
Q2 5:47
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
85.1%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+6
85.5%
Casey Filkins run for 6 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
85.1%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Benjamin YurosekSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+23
78.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 23 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:2180% → 82%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
80.1%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 11 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
80.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
80.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 9 yds to the Wash 45Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
80.6%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
81.3%
Michael Penix Jr. run for 5 yds to the Wash 43 Michael Penix Jr. fumbled, recovered by Stanf Michael Penix Jr.Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+12
80.6%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 12 yds to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
80.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
81.6%
Jack McCallister punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3918% → 17%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
81.9%
Tanner McKee run for 1 yd to the Stanf 1Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+3
83.3%
Ari Patu run for 3 yds to the Stanf 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 12FG
10 plays · 46 yds · 4:0683% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 3 yds to the Wash 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
82.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Wash 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
82.8%
Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
83.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Wash 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+23
83.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 23 yds to the Stanf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
84.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
84.1%
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the Stanf 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
83.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
88.2%
Peyton Henry 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4012% → 11%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
88.0%
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Stanf 15Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
88.2%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Mudia ReubenSimilar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 9
OWN 15
+4
88.3%
Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q3 9:09
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
88.8%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 48 yds , Giles Jackson returns for no gain to the Wash 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 14TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:2689% → 97%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
89.2%
Will Nixon run for 13 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
89.7%
Shotgun Penix Jr.,Michael pass incomplete short right to Odunze,Rome PENALTY STAN Pass Interference (Kelly,Kyu Blu) 15 yards from WASH44 to STAN41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
89.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the Stanf 36Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+2
89.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+4
89.3%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 4 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
96.9%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 30 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:164% → 4%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
96.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
96.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Silas Starr for 4 yds to the Stanf 39Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
96.3%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Michael WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
96.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 5 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
96.5%
Tanner McKee run for no gain to the Stanf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 16FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:3897% → 98%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
97.1%
Jalen McMillan run for 2 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
97.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 9 yds to the Stanf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+12
97.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 12 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
97.1%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 4
OPP 15
0
97.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Devin CulpSimilar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
97.1%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
97.9%
Peyton Henry 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:512% → 8%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to John HumphreysSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.8%
Casey Filkins run for 12 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
97.6%
Tanner McKee run for 5 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
97.6%
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Stanf 43Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
97.7%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Elijah HigginsSimilar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+20
97.7%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 20 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.4%
Tanner McKee run for no gain to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+21
98.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 21 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
98.1%
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
91.6%
John Humphreys 17 Yd pass from Tanner McKee (Tanner McKee Pass to Brycen Tremayne for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 18FG
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:3795% → 97%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+61
94.8%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 61 yds to the Stanf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
95.2%
Will Nixon run for 3 yds to the Stanf 11Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+5
95.2%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Jack Westover for 5 yds to the Stanf 6Similar
Q4 13:58
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+3
95.1%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Stanf 9Similar
Q4 11:21
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
97.3%
Peyton Henry 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:363% → 3%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
96.8%
Michael Wilson run for 12 yds to the Stanf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
96.7%
Tanner McKee sacked by Zion Tupuola-Fetui for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 30 Tanner McKee fumbled, recovered by Stanf Faatui Tuitele , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 20TD
6 plays · 30 yds · 3:0498% → 100%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
97.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass incomplete to Jalen McMillanSimilar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
97.6%
Giles Jackson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+11
97.5%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 11 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
97.4%
Devin Culp run for 2 yds to the Stanf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
97.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Stanf 21Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+21
99.7%
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Giles Jackson for 21 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
99.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 14 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.6%
Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-5
99.6%
Tanner McKee sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Tanner McKee pass incomplete to Casey FilkinsSimilar
Q4 5:58
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Wash 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
99.7%
Giles Jackson run for 8 yds to the Wash 30Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
Richard Newton run for 3 yds to the Wash 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.7%
Richard Newton run for 6 yds to the Wash 39Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 4
OWN 39
-5
99.7%
PENALTY WASH False Start (Jackson,Giles) 5 yards from WASH39 to WASH34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-5
99.7%
PENALTY WASH Delay Of Game 5 yards from WASH34 to WASH29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Sam Adams II run for no gain to the Wash 29Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+8
99.8%
Giles Jackson run for 8 yds to the Wash 37Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+17
99.9%
Jack McCallister punt for 47 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 17 yds to the Stanf 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 1:180% → 2%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
99.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 7 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+2
99.8%
Casey Filkins run for 2 yds to the Stanf 17Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+5
99.8%
Casey Filkins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
98.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 78 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WASHDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:4599% → 99%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
99.1%
Sam Adams II run for 4 yds to the Wash 17Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 6
OWN 17
-1
99.1%
Dylan Morris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 16Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 16
-1
99.2%
Dylan Morris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:53
Wayne Taulapapa run for 34 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
+11.1
TD · Q3 6:43
Michael Penix Jr. pass complete to Rome Odunze for 30 yds for a TD, (Peyton Henry KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q2 4:00
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 23 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)
-6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com