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Oregon 44 at Washington State 41

WSU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadORE aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreORE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:48 · Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 21 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense+19.2Pregame prior−2.0Score differential+8.7Garbage-time factor+4.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:41: Cameron Ward 5 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 4:31: Dean Janikowski 38 Yd Field Goal — WSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 39%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:36: Francisco Mauigoa 95 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +10.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 8:50: Dean Janikowski 38 Yd Field Goal — ORE win probability +1.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:48: Cam McCormick 1 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick) — WSU win probability +1.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ORE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6ORE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 7:36ORE 4th & 6 at WSU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    58.8%−1.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:31WSU 4th & 4 at ORE 21, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    38.5%−2.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:56ORE 4th & 10 at WSU 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    54.8%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:45WSU 4th & 11 at ORE 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    44.3%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:07ORE 4th & 3 at WSU 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%−0.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−5.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:33ORE 4th & 10 at WSU 11, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−1.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−6.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:20WSU 4th & 14 at WSU 21, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−3.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:50WSU 4th & 20 at ORE 21, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−3.7
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−8.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:10ORE 4th & 7 at ORE 45, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:20ORE 4th & 17 at ORE 39, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:54WSU 4th & 7 at ORE 40, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−1.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:48ORE 4th & 2 at WSU 49, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:42WSU 4th & 11 at WSU 24, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:41WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:36WSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WSUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1830% → 33%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
30.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 24 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
30.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 9 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+15
30.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 15 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
30.9%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+8
31.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 8 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
31.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+5
31.3%
(12:45) WATSON, Nakia rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the ORE13 (BRIDGES, Trikweze;SEWELL, Noah), clock 12:40. PENALTY Before the snap, ORE Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the ORE18 to the ORE13 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
31.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 8 yds to the Oregn 5Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
33.1%
Cameron Ward 5 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 2FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:0467% → 66%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 2 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
32.9%
Bucky Irving run for 13 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+38
33.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 38 yds to the WshSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+17
33.0%
Bucky Irving run for 17 yds to the WshSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
33.0%
OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 10Similar
Q1 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
33.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Cam McCormick for 5 yds to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
33.0%
Jordan James run for 1 yd to the WshSt 4Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
33.2%
Jordan James run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 6Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
34.2%
Camden Lewis 24 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:0434% → 39%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
34.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 17 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
35.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 7 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+9
35.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 9 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
36.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 15 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
36.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
36.8%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Oregn 21Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
37.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
38.9%
Dean Janikowski 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 4FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:3464% → 62%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
36.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 22 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
35.6%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the WshSt 47Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 4
OPP 47
-1
35.6%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 48Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+7
36.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 7 yds to the WshSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
36.0%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+21
36.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 21 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
35.7%
Noah Whittington run for 18 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
35.9%
Bo Nix run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 3Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
36.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 5Similar
Q1 0:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
37.1%
Bucky Irving run for a loss of 5 yards to the WshSt 10Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
38.2%
Camden Lewis 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 5:1039% → 41%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.8%
Jaylen Jenkins run for no gain to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
38.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 12 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
39.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 1 yd to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+4
40.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 4 yds to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+6
40.5%
Cameron Ward run for 6 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
41.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 47Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+12
41.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 12 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+1
41.7%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the Oregn 48Similar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+6
41.4%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Oregn 42Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 11
OPP 42
0
41.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 6INT TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:0358% → 44%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+19
42.0%
Bucky Irving run for 19 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
41.6%
Bucky Irving run for 5 yds to the Oregn 36Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+13
40.9%
Bucky Irving run for 13 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
40.3%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
40.7%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the WshSt 48Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+12
41.2%
Bo Nix run for 12 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+18
41.2%
Bucky Irving pass complete to Bo Nix for 18 yds to the WshSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
40.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 2 yds to the WshSt 16Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+2
40.6%
Noah Whittington run for 2 yds to the WshSt 14Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+3
41.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seven McGee for 3 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q2 5:07
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+4
43.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Sean Dollars for 4 yds to the WshSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-95
56.1%
Francisco Mauigoa 95 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 7FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:0239% → 38%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.4%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the Oregn 26Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+17
62.1%
Noah Whittington run for 17 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
61.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 4 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+42
62.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 42 yds to the WshSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
60.9%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the WshSt 9Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
61.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 1 yd to the WshSt 8Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-3
61.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Sean Dollars for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 11Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
61.8%
Camden Lewis 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 1:1263% → 67%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.2%
(01:32) WARD, Cameron pass to the right complete for 12 yards to FERREL, Robert caught at the WSU25 and advanced to the WSU37 (BRIDGES, Trikweze), clock 01:28. PENALTY WSU Pass Interference on OLLIE, Donovan enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards to the WSU12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+2
63.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 2 yds to the WshSt 15Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+4
65.7%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 4 yds to the WshSt 19Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-5
66.8%
(01:12) JENKINS, Jaylen rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the WSU31 (JOHNSON, DJ), clock 00:52. PENALTY Before the snap, WSU False Start enforced 5 yards from the end of the play at the WSU31 to the WSU26. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
66.7%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 21Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
66.6%
Nick Haberer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Steve Stephens IV at the Oregn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 9END OF HALF
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:1233% → 34%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
66.9%
Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
65.4%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+15
66.1%
Bo Nix pass complete to Seven McGee for 15 yds to the WshSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4735% → 38%
Q3 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
65.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 55 yds to the WshSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
61.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 8 yds to the WshSt 12Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+12
62.1%
Mar'Keise Irving 12 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 11FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 5:2069% → 74%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
68.8%
Nakia Watson run for 9 yds to the WshSt 34Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
69.9%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the WshSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-11
70.2%
Cameron Ward sacked by DJ Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the WshSt 25Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 21
OWN 25
+12
70.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 12 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+12
70.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 12 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
72.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Tsion Nunnally for 2 yds to the Oregn 49Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
73.6%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+38
72.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 38 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
74.0%
Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Oregn 6Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-2
74.7%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 8Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-13
75.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Cameron Ward for a loss of 13 yards to the Oregn 21Similar
Q3 8:50
4TH & 20
OPP 21
+38
73.7%
Dean Janikowski 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:4628% → 22%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
72.2%
Bucky Irving run for 6 yds to the Oregn 31Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
72.0%
Bo Nix run for 11 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
72.1%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
72.4%
Noah Whittington run for 3 yds to the Oregn 45Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
74.1%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:10
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
75.3%
Adam Barry punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Robert Ferrel at the WshSt 38Similar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
77.9%
(07:03) WARD, Cameron pass to the left incomplete intended for STRIBLING, De'Zhaun thrown to the WSU42, clock 06:59. PENALTY ORE Unsportsmanlike Conduct on JOHNSON, DJ enforced 15 yards from the WSU38 to the ORE47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:4278% → 82%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
78.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 16 yds to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
78.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for 4 yds to the Oregn 27Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
79.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 3 yds to the Oregn 24Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+6
79.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Renard Bell for 6 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
80.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 3 yds to the Oregn 15Similar
Q3 4:16
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+15
81.8%
De'Zhaun Stribling 15 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 14TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 4:1421% → 22%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
78.9%
Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Oregn 18Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+23
79.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 23 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
77.8%
Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 6 yds to the Oregn 47Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+4
77.4%
Noah Whittington run for 4 yds to the WshSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
77.5%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+27
77.5%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 27 yds to the WshSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
76.4%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 1 yd to the WshSt 15Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+13
77.0%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds to the WshSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
77.3%
Bucky Irving run for 1 yd to the WshSt 1Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.7%
Jordan James run for 1 yd for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:4185% → 87%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
85.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 4 yds to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+9
85.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 9 yds to the WshSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
86.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for no gain to the WshSt 48Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
86.8%
Cameron Ward pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:4417% → 14%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
83.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 44Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
84.8%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 12
OWN 44
0
85.9%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 12
OWN 44
-5
86.4%
OREGON Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jordan James) to the Oregn 39Similar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
86.5%
Ross James punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Robert Ferrel at the WshSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 5:3190% → 95%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
89.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 13 yds to the WshSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+25
90.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 25 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
90.8%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
90.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 44Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+4
90.8%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 40Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 7
OPP 40
+12
90.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 12 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
91.9%
Cameron Ward sacked by DJ Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 31 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Targeting on JOHNSON, DJ enforced (DJ Johnson) to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
92.0%
Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 19Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 13
OPP 19
-5
92.4%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 24Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 18
OPP 24
0
92.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 18
OPP 24
0
93.0%
(08:15) WARD, Cameron pass to the right incomplete intended for WATSON, Nakia thrown to the ORE31; QB hurried by DORLUS, Brandon, clock 08:09. PENALTY ORE Roughing the Passer on SHIPLEY, Jake enforced half the distance from the goal, 12 yards from the ORE24 to the ORE12 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
93.4%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 14Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+13
94.4%
Cameron Ward run for 13 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.7%
Robert Ferrel 1 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:539% → 7%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
91.3%
Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 18 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
90.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 8 yds to the WshSt 49Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
89.9%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
90.6%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+21
90.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Bucky Irving for 21 yds to the WshSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
89.9%
Bo Nix pass complete to Chase Cota for 5 yds to the WshSt 23Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+6
90.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 6 yds to the WshSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
90.7%
Bo Nix pass complete to Kris Hutson for 6 yds to the WshSt 11Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+10
90.9%
Noah Whittington run for 10 yds to the WshSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
91.1%
Bo Nix run for no gain to the WshSt 1Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.6%
Cam McCormick 1 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0496% → 97%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
95.6%
Nakia Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 22Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
96.3%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+2
96.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 2 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
96.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Seven McGee at the Oregn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OREDrive 20TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:144% → 4%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
96.2%
Bucky Irving run for 8 yds to the Oregn 39Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+2
96.3%
Bucky Irving run for 2 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.3%
Bo Nix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
96.6%
Bo Nix pass complete to Troy Franklin for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 1
50
+50
96.5%
Troy Franklin 50 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Bo Nix Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21INT TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:1998% → 98%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.8%
Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-27
97.9%
Mase Funa 27 Yd Interception Return (Camden Lewis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 0:5398% → 99%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 10 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
98.0%
Cameron Ward run for 16 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-12
99.2%
Cameron Ward sacked by Noah Sewell for a loss of 12 yards to the WshSt 39Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 22
OWN 39
+60
99.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 60 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Nakia Watson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-99.2
TD · Q2 4:36
Francisco Mauigoa 95 Yd Interception Return (Dean Janikowski Kick)
+10.2
FG · Q1 4:31
Dean Janikowski 38 Yd Field Goal
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com