Try the model
UCLA

UCLA 45 at Colorado 17

COLO
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Folsom Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · COLO
modelCOLO aheadUCLA aheadconfidence bandkey playCOLO scoreUCLA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TJ Harden run for 2 yds to the Colo 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:00: Zach Charbonnet run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +4.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:19: Owen McCown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK) — COLO win probability +4.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:23: Zach Charbonnet run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +6.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:48: Nicholas Barr-Mira 44 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:03: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Colson Yankoff for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
COLO made the numbers' call on 7 of 11UCLA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00COLO 4th & 1 at UCLA 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:55COLO 4th & 7 at UCLA 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:32COLO 4th & 17 at COLO 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:12COLO 4th & 17 at UCLA 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:06COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 34, down 18
    Close callPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:57UCLA 4th & 2 at COLO 27, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:19COLO 4th & 2 at UCLA 2, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:35COLO 4th & 20 at COLO 15, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−1.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:32UCLA 4th & 14 at UCLA 43, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:06COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:48UCLA 4th & 5 at COLO 26, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    90.5%−2.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:34COLO 4th & 4 at COLO 44, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:21COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 33, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:35UCLA 4th & 3 at UCLA 36, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:35COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 37, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
COLO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UCLA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 6:18UCLA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:46UCLA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:00UCLA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:19COLO Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:23UCLA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:03UCLA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:56UCLA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:59COLO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
COLODrive 1MISSED FG
15 plays · 39 yds · 6:059% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
8.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 6 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
8.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Brady Russell for 9 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
8.5%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 3 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+1
8.5%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+5
8.5%
MCCOWN, Owen sacked for a loss of 4 yards at the COL40, fumble on the sack (forced by MURPHY, Gabriel), recovered by UCL HAVILI-KAUFUSI, Sitiveni at the COL40, returned 0 yards to the COL40, End of Play. PENALTY UCL Offsides on MURPHY, Gabriel enforced 5 yards from the COL44 to the COL49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
8.5%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
8.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Maurice Bell for 7 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
8.5%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
8.5%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 2 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
8.5%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 2 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
8.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Deion Smith for 2 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+2
8.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-5
8.5%
COLORADO Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCLA 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+4
8.5%
Owen McCown pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 4 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+54
11.0%
Cole Becker 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:3789% → 90%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
10.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+12
10.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 12 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
10.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 43
-5
10.6%
UCLA Penalty, False Start (Garrett DiGiorgio) to the Colo 48Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+28
10.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 28 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
10.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 4 yards to the Colo 24Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+24
10.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Matt Sykes for 24 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:4611% → 12%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.8%
COLORADO Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
10.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
10.6%
MCCOWN, Owen pass up the middle incomplete intended for ARIAS, Daniel thrown to the COL37; QB hurried by MURPHY, Gabriel. PENALTY UCL Targeting on MURPHY, Gabriel enforced 15 yards from the COL25 to the COL40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
11.0%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 3 yds to the Colo 43Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+5
11.0%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 5 yds to the Colo 48Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
11.1%
Owen McCown run for 3 yds to the UCLA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-11
11.2%
Owen McCown sacked by Laiatu Latu for a loss of 11 yards to the Colo 40Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 21
OWN 40
0
10.8%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 21
OWN 40
+4
10.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Deion Smith for 4 yds to the Colo 44Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 17
OWN 44
0
11.5%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 51 yds, downed at the UCLA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 1:4688% → 90%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+13
11.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 13 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
11.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Matt Sykes for 14 yds to the UCLA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
11.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Matt Sykes for 3 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
11.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 8 yds to the UCLA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
11.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 22 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
11.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
9.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 35 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 5FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:3410% → 12%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.2%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
10.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Maurice Bell for 15 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+42
10.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Daniel Arias for 42 yds to the UCLA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
10.9%
Owen McCown run for no gain to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
10.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+10
10.7%
Anthony Hankerson run for 10 yds to the UCLA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
10.9%
COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Brady Russell) to the UCLA 13Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
10.9%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-1
10.9%
Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 14Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
-3
10.6%
Owen McCown sacked by Grayson Murphy for a loss of 3 yards to the UCLA 17Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
11.7%
Cole Becker 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1289% → 93%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
11.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 14 yds to the UCLA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
11.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 12 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
11.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd to the Colo 48Similar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+8
11.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 8 yds to the Colo 40Similar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+19
11.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 19 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
11.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 13 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
11.1%
CHARBONNET, Zach rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the COL3 (WOODS, Trevor), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, UCL Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the COL8 to the COL13. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
6.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:549% → 9%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
8.7%
Maurice Bell run for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 19Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+7
8.6%
Deion Smith run for 7 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
8.6%
Owen McCown pass complete to Brady Russell for 8 yds to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
9.1%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 57 yds · 3:0992% → 93%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
7.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+11
7.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 11 yds to the UCLA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
7.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain to the UCLA 28Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
7.6%
Keegan Jones run for 9 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
7.6%
Keegan Jones run for 3 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
7.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Josiah Norwood for 25 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
7.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
7.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd to the Colo 34Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+7
7.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Matt Sykes for 7 yds to the Colo 27Similar
Q2 3:57
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+1
7.5%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the Colo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 3:389% → 14%
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
9.4%
Owen McCown pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 9 yds to the Colo 35Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+10
9.7%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 10 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
10.2%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 4 yds to the Colo 49Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
10.2%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+15
10.0%
MCCOWN, Owen pass to the left incomplete intended for SOWELL, Chase thrown to the UCL34; QB hurried by LATU, Laiatu. PENALTY UCL Roughing the Passer on LATU, Laiatu enforced 15 yards from the COL49 to the UCL36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+31
10.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 31 yds to the UCLA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
10.5%
OFFERDAHL, Charlie rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the UCL0, TOUCHDOWN COL, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:27. PENALTY COL Holding on RODDICK, Casey enforced 10 yards from the UCL5 to the UCL15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+8
10.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Brady Russell for 8 yds to the UCLA 7Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
9.9%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 3 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
9.5%
OFFERDAHL, Charlie rush to the left for no gain to the UCL4 (SYKES, Jacob). PENALTY UCL Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the UCL4 to the UCL2 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
9.6%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
14.1%
Owen McCown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:3787% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
13.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 21 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
12.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 3 yds to the UCLA 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+5
12.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 5 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+46
6.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:488% → 7%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
7.6%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
7.6%
Owen McCown sacked by Laiatu Latu for a loss of 10 yards to the Colo 15Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+1
7.4%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 39 yds , Logan Loya returns for 1 yd to the UCLA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:0394% → 93%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
6.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 7
50
-9
6.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson sacked by Josh Chandler-Semedo for a loss of 9 yards to the UCLA 41Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+2
6.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 14
OWN 43
+11
6.6%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 45 yds , R.J. Sneed returns for 11 yds to the Colo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:268% → 7%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
7.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+4
7.5%
Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
7.7%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 3
OWN 30
+1
7.4%
Brady Russell run for 1 yd to the Colo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1894% → 97%
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
5.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 1 yd to the Colo 30Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+4
5.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 4 yds to the Colo 26Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
5.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
3.2%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:575% → 5%
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
4.8%
MCCOWN, Owen pass up the middle incomplete intended for SOWELL, Chase broken up by BLAYLOCK, Stephan at the COL42. PENALTY UCL Holding on HUMPHREY, John enforced 10 yards from the COL25 to the COL35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
4.9%
Owen McCown run for 2 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
5.0%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-7
4.8%
Owen McCown sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:4898% → 99%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+28
2.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 28 yds to the Colo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Colson Yankoff for 2 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:291% → 1%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to Brady Russell for 8 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
1.2%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 5 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
1.3%
Owen McCown pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 8 yds to the Colo 46Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-2
1.3%
Charlie Offerdahl run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 44Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
1.3%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
0.8%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Logan Loya at the UCLA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+19
0.8%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Michael Ezeike for 19 yds to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
0.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
0.8%
Keegan Jones run for 7 yds to the UCLA 37Similar
Q3 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
0.8%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20INT
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:191% → 1%
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
0.7%
Owen McCown pass complete to Ty Robinson for 9 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q3 2:21
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+9
0.7%
Deion Smith run for 9 yds to the Colo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
0.7%
Owen McCown pass intercepted COLORADO Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:0699% → 100%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
0.6%
Ethan Garbers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+15
0.6%
COLORADO Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jeremy Mack Jr.) to the Colo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
0.6%
Colson Yankoff run for 3 yds to the Colo 11Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+8
0.4%
Keegan Jones run for 8 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Colson Yankoff for 3 yds for a TD, (Joseph Firebaugh Jr. KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:260% → 0%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
0.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for 7 yds to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the Colo 33Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
0.3%
Owen McCown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 3
OWN 33
+6
0.3%
Trent Carrizosa punt for 47 yds , Logan Loya returns for 6 yds to the UCLA 39 UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (Jaylin Davies) to the UCLA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
0.4%
TJ Harden run for no gain to the UCLA 13Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
0.4%
TJ Harden run for 6 yds to the UCLA 19Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+10
0.4%
Ethan Garbers pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 10 yds to the UCLA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
0.4%
Colson Yankoff run for 4 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+1
0.4%
TJ Harden run for 1 yd to the UCLA 34Similar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+2
0.4%
Ethan Garbers run for 2 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
0.3%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 49 yds, fair catch by R.J. Sneed at the Colo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 24TD
16 plays · 85 yds · 6:360% → 0%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
0.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Daniel Arias for 6 yds to the Colo 21Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+15
0.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 15 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
0.2%
Owen McCown sacked by James Dinneen for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 28Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 18
OWN 28
+2
0.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Maurice Bell for 2 yds to the Colo 30Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 16
OWN 30
+7
0.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Erik Olsen for 7 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+10
0.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Erik Olsen for 10 yds to the Colo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
0.2%
Owen McCown pass complete to Daniel Arias for 9 yds to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-5
0.1%
MCCOWN, Owen pass to the right complete for 19 yards to LEMONIOUS-CRAIG, Montana caught at the UCL25 and advanced to the UCL25 (DAVIES, Jaylin). PENALTY COL Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the UCL44 to the UCL49 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+9
0.1%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 9 yds to the UCLA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
0.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Maurice Bell for no gain to the UCLA 40Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
0.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Maurice Bell for 2 yds to the UCLA 38Similar
Q4 6:08
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+25
0.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Daniel Arias for 25 yds to the UCLA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
0.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jack Hestera for 4 yds to the UCLA 9Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+1
0.1%
Charlie Offerdahl run for 1 yd to the UCLA 8Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+8
0.1%
Owen McCown pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 8 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 25END OF 4TH QUARTER
5 plays · 36 yds · 2:59100% → 100%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
0.2%
TJ Harden run for 20 yds to the Colo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
0.2%
TJ Harden run for 8 yds to the Colo 37Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+4
0.2%
TJ Harden run for 4 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
0.2%
Christian Grubb run for 2 yds to the Colo 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
0.1%
TJ Harden run for 2 yds to the Colo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:23
Zach Charbonnet run for 46 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-6.2
TD · Q2 0:19
Owen McCown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q2 9:00
Zach Charbonnet run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com