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UTAH

Utah 34 at Arizona State 13

ASU
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:31 · Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+55.5+27.80−27.8−55.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior−40.2Home team on offense−1.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:16: Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:03: Jordan Noyes 23 yd FG GOOD — UTAH win probability +1.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:44: Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Carter Brown 47 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +1.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:16: Jaylen Dixon run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UTAH made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:31UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:03ASU 4th & 28 at ASU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:31ASU 4th & 16 at ASU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:16UTAH 4th & 1 at ASU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.0%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.7%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:08ASU 4th & 16 at ASU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:23UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:03UTAH 4th & 5 at ASU 5, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.8%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    80.8%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:45ASU 4th & 8 at UTAH 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−2.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:06ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:12ASU 4th & 8 at UTAH 29, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.3%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:57UTAH 4th & 1 at ASU 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%−1.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:52ASU 4th & 11 at ASU 45, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:44UTAH 4th & 2 at ASU 2, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:54UTAH 4th & 1 at ASU 15, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.4
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:49UTAH 4th & 7 at ASU 10, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:29UTAH 4th & 3 at UTAH 10, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:06ASU 4th & 7 at UTAH 11, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1UTAH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:41UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:16UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:44UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:16UTAH Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:06ASU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:2491% → 91%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
8.6%
Jaylon Glover run for 11 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
8.8%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
8.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the Utah 38Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
9.1%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
9.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 39 yds, fair catch by D.J. Taylor at the ArzSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -18 yds · 1:259% → 10%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
9.2%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-7
9.3%
Emory Jones sacked by Lander Barton for a loss of 7 yards to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 17
OWN 16
-11
9.5%
Emory Jones sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 11 yards to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q1 12:03
4TH & 28
OWN 5
0
9.7%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:1590% → 91%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
9.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 9 yds to the ARIZONAST 44 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Timarcus Davis) to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
9.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 29 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:5910% → 10%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
9.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ArzSt 27Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+6
9.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 6 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-15
9.8%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the ArzSt 18Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 19
OWN 18
+3
9.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Cam Johnson for 3 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q1 9:31
4TH & 16
OWN 21
0
9.9%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5TD
16 plays · 70 yds · 6:1590% → 90%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
10.0%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Michael Mokofisi) to the Utah 25Similar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+5
10.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the Utah 30Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
10.1%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+11
10.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 11 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
10.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 14 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
10.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 3 yds to the ArzSt 40Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
10.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 4 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+8
10.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 8 yds to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
10.4%
Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
10.4%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+8
10.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 8 yds Devaughn Vele fumbled, recovered by Utah Micah Bernard for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
10.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+3
10.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+2
11.0%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 6Similar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+6
9.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:0210% → 10%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
9.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 24Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
10.1%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+11
10.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 11 yds to the ArzSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
10.3%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+4
10.4%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-9
10.5%
Emory Jones sacked by Van Fillinger for a loss of 9 yards to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
10.3%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:3790% → 90%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
10.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
9.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the Utah 41Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
9.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the Utah 45Similar
Q2 13:31
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
9.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the Utah 48Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-5
10.2%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 43Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
10.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 44 yds, fair catch by D.J. Taylor at the ArzSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8INT
5 plays · 31 yds · 1:1411% → 11%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
10.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
10.3%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+15
10.2%
UTAH Penalty, Personal Foul (Lander Barton) to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
10.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
11.0%
Emory Jones pass intercepted for a 1ST down Clark Phillips III return for no gain to the ArzSt 44 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Charles Hall IV) to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:5290% → 92%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
9.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 6 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+5
9.8%
Micah Bernard run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
9.8%
Cameron Rising run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+7
9.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
9.7%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
10.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 1 yd to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q2 7:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
9.9%
Jaylon Glover run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
8.4%
Jordan Noyes 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0111% → 11%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
10.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+19
10.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 19 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
11.1%
Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the Utah 18Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
11.1%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
10.8%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
11.4%
Carter Brown 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5190% → 96%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
10.4%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
10.4%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Dalton Kincaid) to the Utah 23Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
10.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+17
10.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 17 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
10.1%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
10.1%
Micah Bernard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Utah 39Similar
Q2 2:38
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+19
10.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Money Parks for 19 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
9.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 25 yds to the ArzSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
9.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 8 yds to the ArzSt 9Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+7
9.2%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.8%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:348% → 9%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
7.5%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
7.3%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 11 yds to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
7.5%
Emory Jones sacked by Gabe Reid for a loss of 7 yards to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 17
OPP 49
+20
6.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 20 yds to the Utah 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
7.4%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+47
8.6%
Carter Brown 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:458% → 8%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.9%
Emory Jones run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
8.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 33Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
8.3%
Emory Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
7.8%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:5393% → 94%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
6.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 8 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+3
6.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
6.3%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
6.3%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
6.4%
Cameron Rising pass intercepted Timarcus Davis return for no gain to the ArzSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:388% → 8%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
8.3%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 21 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
8.7%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-11
8.6%
Emory Jones sacked by Cole Bishop for a loss of 11 yards to the Utah 42Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 21
OPP 42
+13
7.9%
Emory Jones pass complete to Charles Hall IV for 13 yds to the Utah 29Similar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+3
8.2%
Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the Utah 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:4894% → 99%
Q3 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+28
6.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 28 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
5.9%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
5.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 38Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
5.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q3 7:57
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+3
6.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
5.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 5 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+11
5.3%
Cameron Rising run for 11 yds to the ArzSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
5.2%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 11Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+11
1.0%
Jaylen Dixon run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:591% → 1%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
1.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 21 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
1.0%
Emory Jones run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 6
50
-5
1.0%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
1.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for no gain to the ArzSt 45Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
1.0%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:52
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+16
0.9%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 51 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 16 yds to the Utah 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 78 yds · 2:5499% → 99%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+72
0.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Thomas Yassmin for 72 yds to the ArzSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
0.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
0.7%
Micah Bernard run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q3 1:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
0.7%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
0.8%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:351% → 1%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+28
0.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Andre Johnson for 28 yds to the ArzSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 19 yds Elijhah Badger fumbled, forced by R.J. Hubert, recovered by Utah Malone Mataele ARIZONA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Elijhah Badger) to the ArzSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 4:0699% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
0.6%
Cameron Rising run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
0.6%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
0.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 17Similar
Q4 13:33
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
0.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 15Similar
Q4 12:54
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
0.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
0.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+8
0.5%
Tavion Thomas run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 2
OPP 5
0
0.5%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the ArzSt 5Similar
Q4 11:08
4TH & 2
OPP 5
-5
0.5%
UTAH Penalty, False Start (Braeden Daniels) to the ArzSt 10Similar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
0.4%
Jordan Noyes 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21INT
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
0.3%
Emory Jones pass complete to Charles Hall IV for 23 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
0.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 9:21
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+5
0.3%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 5 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
0.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Bryan Thompson for 15 yds to the Utah 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
0.2%
Emory Jones run for 3 yds to the Utah 17Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
0.2%
Emory Jones pass intercepted Cole Bishop return for no gain to the Utah 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
0.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds to the Utah 5Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+1
0.2%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 1 yd to the Utah 6Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+4
0.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 4 yds to the Utah 10Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
0.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:190% → 1%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.2%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
0.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Cam Johnson for 5 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+9
0.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 9 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
0.2%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
0.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+14
0.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 14 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
0.2%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+8
0.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 8 yds to the Utah 6Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 2
OPP 6
-5
0.1%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Utah 11Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
0.2%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+11
1.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 11 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:5599% → 100%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 7 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
0.6%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 4 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
0.5%
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 3 yds to the Utah 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:44
Ja'Quinden Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q3 6:16
Jaylen Dixon run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
-4.2
TD · Q1 3:16
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 6 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com