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CSU

Colorado State 7 at Washington State 38

WSU
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Gesa Field
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Win probability · WSU
modelWSU aheadCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playWSU scoreCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:08 · Paddy Turner punt for 26 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 4Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+34.8Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:02: Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 17 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK) — WSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 9:59: De'Zhaun Stribling 13 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 3:24: De'Zhaun Stribling 19 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:10: Donovan Ollie 2 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick) — WSU win probability +2.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:07: Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 14 yds for a TD, (Michael Boyle KICK) — CSU win probability +1.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: CSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:08CSU 4th & 15 at CSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19CSU 4th & 15 at CSU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:30CSU 4th & 12 at WSU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:19CSU 4th & 29 at WSU 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:22CSU 4th & 10 at CSU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:09CSU 4th & 3 at WSU 28, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:05WSU 4th & 5 at CSU 5, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:50CSU 4th & 5 at WSU 37, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:16WSU 4th & 7 at WSU 6, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:00CSU 4th & 8 at CSU 35, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:28WSU 4th & 7 at CSU 28, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:05CSU 4th & 9 at CSU 48, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:25WSU 4th & 10 at CSU 49, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:00CSU 4th & 5 at WSU 24, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:47CSU 4th & 5 at WSU 16, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:02WSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:59WSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:24WSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:10WSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:07CSU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:07WSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CSUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5114% → 15%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.6%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
85.5%
Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the ColSt 29Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-9
85.2%
Clay Millen sacked by Daiyan Henley for a loss of 9 yards to the ColSt 20Similar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
85.2%
Paddy Turner punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:0085% → 86%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
85.2%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+23
85.1%
Nakia Watson run for 23 yds to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
85.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 6 yds to the ColSt 17Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+17
85.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 17 yds for a TD, (Dean Janikowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4215% → 15%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Avery Morrow run for no gain to the ColSt 25Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
85.3%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (Avery Morrow) to the ColSt 20Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
85.4%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
85.4%
Paddy Turner punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:1486% → 86%
Q1 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.5%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+26
85.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 26 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
85.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Orion Peters for 1 yd to the ColSt 25Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+12
85.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 12 yds to the ColSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
86.4%
De'Zhaun Stribling 13 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:2814% → 13%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
86.5%
Clay Millen run for 11 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
86.5%
Jaylen Thomas run for 2 yds to the ColSt 38Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+25
86.2%
Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 25 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
86.1%
Avery Morrow run for 7 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 3
OPP 30
0
86.1%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+5
86.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the WshSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
86.2%
Jaylen Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 26Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
86.3%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 11
OPP 26
-1
86.6%
Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 27Similar
Q1 5:30
4TH & 12
OPP 27
+44
86.9%
Michael Boyle 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 2:0287% → 90%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
87.4%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 30Similar
Q1 4:56
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+12
87.5%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 12 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+39
87.8%
Nakia Watson run for 39 yds to the ColSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
87.9%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the ColSt 19Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
90.2%
De'Zhaun Stribling 19 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 7PUNT
16 plays · 32 yds · 7:0310% → 7%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.2%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 3 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
90.4%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Greg Laday) to the ColSt 23Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-8
90.8%
Clay Millen sacked by Quinn Roff for a loss of 8 yards to the ColSt 15Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
91.1%
(01:38) MILLEN, Clay pass to the right complete for 8 yards to HORTON, Tory caught at the CSU13 and advanced to the CSU23 (MARSH, Armani), clock 01:38. PENALTY CSU Personal Foul on NAIL, Xavier enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the CSU15 to the CSU7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:31
3RD & 27
OWN 8
+15
91.3%
WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Francisco Mauigoa) to the ColSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
91.1%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the ColSt 23Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+23
91.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 23 yds to the ColSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
91.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 9 yds to the WshSt 45Similar
Q2 14:57
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+8
91.1%
Clay Millen run for 8 yds to the WshSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
91.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 13 yds to the WshSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
91.2%
Ty McCullouch run for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 13:11
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+1
91.5%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 24Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 10
OPP 24
-5
92.1%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 29Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 15
OPP 29
-14
92.6%
run for a loss of 14 yards to the WshSt 43 fumbled, recovered by ColSt Clay MillenSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 29
OPP 43
0
92.9%
Paddy Turner punt for 25 yds, downed at the WshSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 8TD
15 plays · 82 yds · 5:0893% → 97%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
93.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for no gain to the WshSt 18Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+20
93.2%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 30 yds to the WshSt 48 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the WshSt 17Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+8
93.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Orion Peters for 8 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
94.0%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 4 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
94.2%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Leyton Smithson for 2 yds to the WshSt 31Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
94.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+25
94.3%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Nakia Watson for 25 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+17
94.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 17 yds to the ColSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.7%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
94.7%
(07:23) WARD, Cameron pass to the right incomplete intended for SMITHSON, Leyton thrown to the CSU2, clock 07:23. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on GUZMAN, Brandon enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the CSU13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
94.8%
Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the ColSt 11Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
94.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+5
94.8%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Offsides (Dequan Jackson) to the ColSt 6Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+4
94.8%
Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the ColSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.4%
Donovan Ollie 2 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:472% → 2%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Keegan Holles run for 2 yds to the ColSt 27Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
98.2%
Clay Millen sacked by Brennan Jackson and Francisco Mauigoa for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 23Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+2
98.4%
Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 2 yds to the ColSt 25Similar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Paddy Turner punt for 53 yds, downed at the WshSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:1598% → 98%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
98.0%
Cameron Ward run for 3 yds to the WshSt 25Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+10
98.1%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 10 yds to the WshSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.2%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 2 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
98.3%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the WshSt 38Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-3
98.4%
Cameron Ward run for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 35 Cameron Ward fumbled, recovered by ColSt Cam'Ron CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:361% → 2%
Q2 1:45
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+6
98.8%
Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 6 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
98.7%
Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for a loss of 7 yards to the WshSt 42Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+6
98.8%
Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 6 yds to the WshSt 36Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+8
98.9%
Clay Millen run for 8 yds to the WshSt 28Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 3
OPP 28
-2
97.7%
Clay Millen sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 13FG
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:5499% → 99%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
98.8%
Cameron Ward pass complete to De'Zhaun Stribling for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
50
+18
98.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 18 yds to the ColSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+27
98.9%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 27 yds to the ColSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.9%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.0%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
99.0%
Dean Janikowski 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:141% → 1%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
Avery Morrow run for 6 yds to the ColSt 31Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.2%
Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 5 yds to the ColSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
99.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 22 yds to the WshSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
99.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for a loss of 1 yard to the WshSt 43Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+1
99.2%
Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the WshSt 42Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 5 yds to the WshSt 37Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
99.2%
Clay Millen pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2899% → 99%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
99.4%
Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 6
0
99.4%
Nakia Watson run for no gain to the WshSt 6Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
99.4%
Nick Haberer punt for 61 yds, downed at the ColSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:161% → 0%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
99.4%
COLORADO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Melquan Stovall) to the ColSt 32Similar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 11
OWN 32
+3
99.4%
Clay Millen pass complete to Avery Morrow for 3 yds to the ColSt 35Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
99.4%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:00
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
99.6%
Paddy Turner punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 41 yds · 2:25100% → 100%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+38
99.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Robert Ferrel for 38 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-9
99.6%
Cameron Ward sacked by Mohamed Kamara for a loss of 9 yards to the ColSt 40Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 19
OPP 40
-4
99.7%
Cameron Ward sacked by Grady Kelly and Mohamed Kamara for a loss of 4 yards to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 23
OPP 44
+16
99.6%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for 16 yds to the ColSt 28Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & 7
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Lincoln Victor for no gain to the ColSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
99.7%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 19 yds to the ColSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:47
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.7%
Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 1 yd to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+1
99.7%
Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 1 yd to the ColSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.7%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 3 yds to the ColSt 46Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-3
99.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Billy Riviere III for a loss of 3 yards to the ColSt 49Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.7%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Konner Gomness for 1 yd to the ColSt 48Similar
Q3 1:25
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Nick Haberer punt for 34 yds , David Bailey returns for no gain to the ColSt 49 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Kick Catch Interference on ARCHIE, Armauni enforced (-15 Yards) to the ColSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 18:521% → 1%
Q3 14:59
2ND & 14
OWN 40
+4
98.9%
Clay Millen run for 4 yds to the ColSt 44Similar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+27
99.2%
Clay Millen pass complete to Jaylen Thomas for 27 yds to the WshSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.0%
Jaylen Thomas run for no gain to the WshSt 29Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-3
99.2%
Clay Millen sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 32Similar
Q3 12:19
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+8
99.3%
Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 8 yds to the WshSt 24Similar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 3 yds to the ColSt 33Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+11
99.8%
Clay Millen pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 11 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
99.8%
(00:01) MILLEN, Clay pass to the right complete for 1 yard to ROSS-SIMMONS, Justus caught at the CSU45 and advanced to the CSU45 (THORNTON, Kyle), clock 00:01. PENALTY Before the snap, CSU False Start on DAVIS, Gray enforced 5 yards from the end of the play at the CSU45 to the CSU40. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+15
99.8%
Clay Millen pass complete to Tory Horton for 15 yds to the WshSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Clay Millen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
99.9%
COLORADO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WshSt 14Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
98.8%
Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 14 yds for a TD, (Michael Boyle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 21INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Jaylen Jenkins for 4 yds to the WshSt 29Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass complete to Donovan Ollie for 2 yds to the WshSt 31 WASHINGTON ST Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on OLLIE, Donovan ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Cameron Ward pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
98.8%
Clay Millen run for 3 yds to the WshSt 18Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+5
98.8%
Clay Millen run for 5 yds to the WshSt 13Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 2
OPP 13
-3
98.9%
Clay Millen sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WshSt 16Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 5
OPP 16
-10
99.1%
Clay Millen sacked by Andrew Edson for a loss of 10 yards to the WshSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WSUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 6:38100% → 100%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.5%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 7 yds to the WshSt 33Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-2
99.5%
Jaylen Jenkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WshSt 31Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+14
99.6%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 14 yds to the WshSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Kannon Katzer run for no gain to the WshSt 45Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+24
99.7%
Kannon Katzer run for 24 yds to the ColSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
99.7%
Jaylen Jenkins run for 1 yd to the ColSt 30Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+22
99.8%
Kannon Katzer run for 22 yds to the ColSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.8%
Kannon Katzer run for 7 yds to the ColSt 1Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Kannon Katzer run for no gain to the ColSt 1Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Kannon Katzer 1 Yd Run (Dean Janikowski Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CSUDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:450% → 0%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
100.0%
Keegan Holles run for 18 yds to the WshSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
100.0%
Tyson Williams run for 3 yds to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Keegan Holles run for no gain to the WshSt 44Similar
Q4 0:21
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Keegan Holles run for no gain to the WshSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:10
Donovan Ollie 2 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)
+2.6
TD · Q1 3:24
De'Zhaun Stribling 19 Yd pass from Cameron Ward (Dean Janikowski Kick)
+2.2
TD · Q4 11:07
Clay Millen pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 14 yds for a TD, (Michael Boyle KICK)
-1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com