Try the model
SDSU

San Diego State 7 at Utah 35

UTAH
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadSDSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreSDSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:33 · Jack Browning punt for 48 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 7 yds to the Utah 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior+42.6Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.3Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 1:50: Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 6 yds to the SDSt 47 — SDSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: SDSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:59: Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 30 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:07: Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 13 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:20: Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 15 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:31: Tavion Thomas run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7SDSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 12:01UTAH 4th & 10 at SDSU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    91.4%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33SDSU 4th & 8 at SDSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:53UTAH 4th & 18 at UTAH 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:43SDSU 4th & 1 at SDSU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:25UTAH 4th & 3 at SDSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    88.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:13UTAH 4th & 3 at SDSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    88.4%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:42SDSU 4th & 4 at SDSU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:26UTAH 4th & 17 at UTAH 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:24SDSU 4th & 7 at SDSU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:41SDSU 4th & 2 at SDSU 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:26SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 24, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:03SDSU 4th & 11 at SDSU 38, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:54UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 36, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:20SDSU 4th & 5 at UTAH 26, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:11SDSU 4th & 5 at UTAH 26, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:48UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 30, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:11SDSU 4th & 5 at SDSU 31, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:50SDSU 4th & 6 at UTAH 21, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SDSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 8:59UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:07UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:20UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:31UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:34UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:56SDSU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 2:3995% → 94%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
94.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 13 yds to the Utah 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.7%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
94.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+9
94.6%
Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the Utah 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
94.5%
Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+10
94.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 10 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.4%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
94.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
94.3%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
94.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:286% → 6%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
94.2%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Simmons) to the SDSt 4Similar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 14
OWN 4
-1
94.1%
Jaylon Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 3Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 15
OWN 3
-2
94.0%
Braxton Burmeister sacked by Van Fillinger and Karene Reid for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 1Similar
Q1 10:34
3RD & 17
OWN 1
0
93.9%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Mark Redman) to the SDSt 1Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 17
OWN 1
+9
93.8%
Jordan Byrd run for 9 yds to the SDSt 10Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+7
93.7%
Jack Browning punt for 48 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 7 yds to the Utah 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:2494% → 93%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
93.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the SDSt 44Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 3
OPP 44
-15
93.6%
Cameron Rising sacked by Michael Shawcroft for a loss of 15 yards to the Utah 41Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 18
OWN 41
0
93.2%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
93.1%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:047% → 8%
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Cam DavisSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.0%
Jaylon Armstead run for 14 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.9%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Brionne PennySimilar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
92.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+7
92.7%
Braxton Burmeister run for 7 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
Q1 5:43
4TH & 1
OWN 48
0
92.5%
Jack Browning punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Devaughn Vele at the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:2093% → 92%
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
92.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
92.8%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Brant KuitheSimilar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+9
92.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 9 yds to the Utah 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
92.5%
Jaylen Dixon run for 22 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
92.7%
Bernard, Micah rush for 7 yards to the SANDIEGOST41, PENALTY UTAH holding (Laumea, Sataoa) 10 yards to the UTAH42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+10
92.4%
Micah Bernard run for 10 yds to the SDSt 48Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
92.5%
Cameron Rising pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:25
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+7
92.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 7 yds to the SDSt 41Similar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
92.0%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
92.0%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Micah BernardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:089% → 9%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
91.0%
Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tyrell Shavers for 6 yds to the SDSt 47Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
90.7%
Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 47Similar
Q1 0:54
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
90.6%
Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tyrell ShaversSimilar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+14
90.9%
Jack Browning punt for 43 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 14 yds to the Utah 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:4491% → 90%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
91.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
91.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 33Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
91.2%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
91.1%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 36Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
91.0%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-8
90.7%
Cameron Rising sacked by Garret Fountain for a loss of 8 yards to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 17
OWN 28
+7
90.2%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 44 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 7 yds to the SDSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3610% → 11%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.8%
Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
89.6%
Cam Davis run for no gain to the SDSt 37Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+1
89.5%
William Haskell pass complete to Cam Davis for 1 yd to the SDSt 38Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+9
89.5%
Jack Browning punt for 48 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 9 yds to the Utah 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:1190% → 92%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
89.8%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Tavion Thomas for 3 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+2
89.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 28Similar
Q2 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+15
89.3%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 15 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
89.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 20 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
90.1%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Devaughn VeleSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+7
89.9%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 7 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+30
92.2%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 30 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:098% → 9%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
91.6%
Kyle Crum run for 9 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 1
OWN 49
0
91.1%
Kenan Christon run for no gain to the SDSt 49Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-1
91.0%
Kyle Crum run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 48Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+13
91.4%
Jack Browning punt for 47 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 13 yds to the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 11TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 4:2392% → 94%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
91.6%
Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 19Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 19
0
91.5%
Tavion Thomas run for no gain to the Utah 19Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+23
91.0%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 8 yds to the Utah 27 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Personal Foul (Cooper McDonald) to the Utah 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
91.8%
Micah Bernard run for 7 yds to the Utah 49Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+24
91.8%
Micah Bernard run for 24 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
91.9%
Cameron Rising run for 15 yds to the SDSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
91.9%
Micah Bernard run for 2 yds to the SDSt 10Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 8
OPP 10
-3
91.7%
Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 13Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 11
OPP 13
+13
94.4%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 13 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:3695% → 98%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
94.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 5 yds to the SDSt 22Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+5
94.7%
Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
94.7%
Rising, Cameron rush for no gain to the SANDIEGOST17, PENALTY UTAH illegal shift 5 yards to the SANDIEGOST22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+7
94.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 7 yds to the SDSt 15Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
98.1%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 15 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
97.0%
Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 14INT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:333% → 3%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.2%
Kyle Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
97.2%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Simmons) to the SDSt 20Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+18
97.2%
Jordan Byrd run for 18 yds to the SDSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
97.1%
Kyle Crum sacked by Van Fillinger for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 31Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+6
97.2%
Jordan Byrd run for 6 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-13
97.3%
Kyle Crum pass intercepted Karene Reid return for 13 yds to the SDSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 15TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:4198% → 99%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
97.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
97.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the SDSt 21Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+3
97.8%
Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the SDSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.4%
Tavion Thomas run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:591% → 0%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.5%
Christon, Kenan rush for loss of 1 yard to the SANDIEGOST24, PENALTY SANDIEGOST holding (Uluave, Alama) 10 yards to the SANDIEGOST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
99.5%
Kenan Christon run for 3 yds to the SDSt 18Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
99.5%
Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Josh NicholsonSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+6
99.5%
Kenan Christon run for 6 yds to the SDSt 24Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+17
99.6%
Jack Browning punt for 48 yds , Devaughn Vele returns for 17 yds to the Utah 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+26
99.5%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 26 yds to the SDSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.6%
Micah Bernard run for 1 yd to the SDSt 28Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+25
99.6%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 25 yds to the SDSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 3 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:570% → 0%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.7%
Cam Davis run for 2 yds to the SDSt 18Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
99.7%
Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Jesse MatthewsSimilar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+10
99.8%
Cam Davis run for 10 yds to the SDSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.7%
Kyle Crum pass complete to Josh Nicholson for 5 yds to the SDSt 33Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+4
99.8%
Cam Davis run for 4 yds to the SDSt 37Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
99.8%
Kyle Crum run for 2 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Jesse MatthewsSimilar
Q3 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
99.8%
Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 38Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Kyle Crum pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+11
99.8%
Jack Browning punt for 55 yds , Tiquan Gilmore returns for 11 yds to the Utah 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:38100% → 100%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
99.7%
Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 8 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+8
99.8%
Chris Curry run for 8 yds to the Utah 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Money ParksSimilar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the Utah 36Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Cameron Rising pass incomplete to Solomon EnisSimilar
Q3 0:54
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:330% → 0%
Q3 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Kyle Crum pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 15 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Kyle Crum run for 3 yds to the SDSt 43Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 2 yds to the SDSt 45Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-5
99.9%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 40Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+29
99.9%
Jaylon Armstead run for 14 yds to the UTAH 46 for a 1ST down UTAH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Utah 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.8%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Jonathan Harrison) to the Utah 36Similar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Brionne PennySimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 14
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
Kyle Crum pass complete to Phillippe Wesley for 9 yds to the Utah 26Similar
Q4 12:20
4TH & 5
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 5
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Mark RedmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 1 yd to the Utah 27Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the Utah 32Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Bryson Barnes run for 3 yds to the Utah 35Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 1
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Utah 30Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Jack Bouwmeester punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
99.9%
Kenan Christon run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 22Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Kyle Crum run for 4 yds to the SDSt 26Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Brionne PennySimilar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
UTAH Penalty, Delay of Game (Mohamoud Diabate) to the SDSt 31Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 5
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
Jack Browning punt for 42 yds , Tiquan Gilmore returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Utah 25 Tiquan Gilmore fumbled, recovered by SDSt Mekhi ShawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDSUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 25 yds · 4:040% → 0%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Kyle Crum run for 1 yd to the Utah 24Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
Martin Blake run for 3 yds to the Utah 21Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Josh NicholsonSimilar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Kyle Crum pass complete to Brionne Penny for 6 yds to the Utah 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
99.9%
SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (Jonathan Harrison) to the Utah 20Similar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 15
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Kyle Crum pass incomplete to Darius De Los ReyesSimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+7
99.9%
Martin Blake run for 7 yds to the Utah 13Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+1
99.9%
Martin Blake run for 1 yd to the Utah 12Similar
Q4 4:41
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+7
99.9%
Crum, Kyle pass incomplete to Penny, Brionne, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Marks, Faybian) 7 yards to the UTAH5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SANDIEGOST.Similar
Q4 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
Martin Blake run for 2 yds to the Utah 3Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-15
99.9%
Crum, Kyle pass complete to Penny, Brionne for 3 yards to the UTAH0, PENALTY SANDIEGOST personal foul 15 yards to the UTAH18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 0
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Kyle Crum pass complete to Josh Nicholson for 18 yds for a TD, (Jack Browning KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:23100% → 100%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 9 yds to the Utah 34Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the Utah 40Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the Utah 44Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 3 yds to the Utah 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 4 yds to the SDSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:20
Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 15 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+3.5
TD · Q2 2:07
Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 13 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q2 8:59
Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 30 yds for a TD, (Jordan Noyes KICK)
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com