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South Alabama 31 at UCLA 32

UCLA
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Rose Bowl
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Win probability · UCLA
modelUCLA aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUCLA scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG—UCLA 83.4%Nicholas Barr-Mira 49 Yd Field GoalAWAY 7 - HOME 6 · Q1 4:22
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:22 · Nicholas Barr-Mira 49 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+31.9Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:25: Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 9 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK) — UCLA win probability +10.5 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:43: Marco Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +21.4 pts (now 43%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:57: Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +24.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:25: Logan Loya 8 Yd pass from Dorian Thompson-Robinson (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UCLA win probability +18.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Nicholas Barr-Mira 24 yd FG GOOD — UCLA win probability +63.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UCLA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCLA made the numbers' call on 4 of 7USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:15UCLA 4th & 9 at USA 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    83.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:22UCLA 4th & 8 at USA 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    80.2%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:18USA 4th & 8 at UCLA 20, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:50USA 4th & 2 at USA 48, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q3 4:46UCLA 4th & 8 at USA 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    66.5%−8.2
    average punt
  6. Q4 12:25UCLA 4th & 4 at USA 8, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%−0.3
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−15.5
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:25USA 4th & 3 at USA 32, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.8
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 10:44USA 4th & 3 at USA 32, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:44UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 44, down 2
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:08UCLA 4th & 5 at UCLA 44, down 2
    Close callPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:52USA 4th & 2 at UCLA 22, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    65.9%−3.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−26.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00UCLA 4th & 3 at USA 6, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−47.9
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−63.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCLA made the numbers' call on 1 of 2USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:51USA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:25UCLA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:43USA Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:57USA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:25UCLA Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:3413% → 13%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
87.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+6
87.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 13:46
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+7
86.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 7 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.6%
Carter Bradley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 2FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5087% → 87%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
86.8%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
86.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+1
86.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd to the SAlab 20Similar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+38
86.6%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2414% → 16%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
86.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 5 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
86.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
86.5%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+12
86.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 12 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
86.4%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 8
50
0
86.4%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 8
50
+47
86.4%
La'Damian Webb run for 47 yds to the UCLA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.3%
(12:15) WEBB, La'Damian rush up the middle for a loss of 1 yard to the UCL4 (MURPHY, Gabriel), clock 12:15. PENALTY UCL Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the UCL3 to the UCL1 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.3%
M. Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (D. Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 4FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:2485% → 83%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
84.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 3 yds to the UCLA 13Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-1
84.6%
Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCLA 12Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+44
84.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 44 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
85.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the SAlab 43Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+5
85.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+5
85.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Hudson Habermehl for 5 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
85.2%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 8
OPP 31
0
85.2%
Matt Sykes run for no gain to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 8
OPP 31
0
83.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:22
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
83.4%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:0317% → 19%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.4%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 11 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
83.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 6 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+10
82.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 10 yds to the UCLA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
82.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 7 yds to the UCLA 41Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+19
81.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 19 yds to the UCLA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
80.8%
Carter Bradley run for 2 yds to the UCLA 20Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
80.4%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
80.9%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:18
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+38
80.7%
Diego Guajardo 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 6FUMBLE
12 plays · 68 yds · 15:0082% → 69%
Q1 1:50
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+15
82.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 15 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
82.3%
Keegan Jones run for 5 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
79.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 9 yds to the UCLA 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+9
79.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 9 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+8
78.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
78.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 6 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
77.9%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain Zach Charbonnet fumbled, recovered by SAlab Zeke ChapmanSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
68.8%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
68.8%
Keegan Jones run for 11 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
68.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 6 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
69.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for no gain Zach Charbonnet fumbled, recovered by SAlab Zeke ChapmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 7TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:5764% → 73%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
64.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 1 yd to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
74.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 9 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
69.2%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Zach Charbonnet for 1 yd to the UCLA 32Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
69.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+34
67.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 34 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
73.3%
Keegan Jones run for 25 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.3%
Keegan Jones run for no gain to the SAlab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 8:1725% → 32%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
50
+13
75.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 13 yds to the UCLA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
74.8%
Carter Bradley run for 4 yds to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
73.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for no gain to the UCLA 33Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+12
74.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 12 yds to the UCLA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
72.2%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
71.6%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the UCLA 18Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+9
71.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the UCLA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
70.4%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q2 6:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
70.2%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Reggie Smith) to the UCLA 9Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
70.0%
La'Damian Webb 9 Yd Run (Diego Guajardo Kick)Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
68.9%
Carter Bradley run for no gain to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
69.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 16 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
67.8%
Terrion Avery run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 0:0021% → 23%
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 2 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
78.5%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
78.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 11 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
77.0%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+6
77.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 6 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 2
OWN 48
0
76.5%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the SAlab 48Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
77.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 11TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3878% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
78.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 21 yds to the UCLA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
80.1%
Zach Charbonnet run for 8 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+20
80.5%
Zach Charbonnet run for 20 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
80.9%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian pass to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Kam thrown to the USA10. PENALTY USA Pass Interference on JORDAN, Jalen declined USA Roughing the Passer on SHERIFF, Jamie enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards from the USA26 to the USA11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
81.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 11 yds for a TD, (Nicholas Barr-Mira KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12FUMBLE
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:2522% → 27%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.7%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
77.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
77.7%
La'Damian Webb run for 10 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
76.0%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+15
76.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 15 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
75.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 8 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
73.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 8 yds to the UCLA 36Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+3
73.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the UCLA 33 La'Damian Webb fumbled, recovered by UCLA Devin KirkwoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 13FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 5:2578% → 83%
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
78.4%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the UCLA 34Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+8
78.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kam Brown for 8 yds to the UCLA 42Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
79.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds to the UCLA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
79.8%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the UCLA 45Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+1
79.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 1 yd to the UCLA 46Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+10
78.4%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian pass to the left incomplete intended for MOKIAO-ATIMALALA, Titus thrown to the USA44. PENALTY USA Holding on FLETCHER, Ricky enforced 10 yards from the UCL46 to the USA44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
80.5%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 20 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
81.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 5 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
81.3%
Zach Charbonnet run for 1 yd to the SAlab 18Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+5
80.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Jake Bobo for 5 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
81.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:11
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
81.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 2 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q3 10:11
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
80.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
83.2%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 2:5818% → 43%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
81.8%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
82.2%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+13
83.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 13 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+37
80.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 37 yds to the UCLA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
78.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 5 yds to the UCLA 12Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+8
78.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the UCLA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
78.0%
Marco Lee run for 3 yds to the UCLA 1Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.6%
Marco Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 15FUMBLE
1 play · -24 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-24
64.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for a loss of 24 yards to the UCLA 6 Dorian Thompson-Robinson fumbled, recovered by SAlab Ed Smith IVSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2744% → 68%
Q3 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
56.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the UCLA 4Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
31.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 17TD
11 plays · 68 yds · 3:2640% → 62%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
40.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
40.2%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the UCLA 35Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+28
39.1%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 28 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+28
38.0%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Logan Loya for 28 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
43.7%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 11 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
46.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 8 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+4
46.3%
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
46.3%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
46.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+5
43.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 8Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+8
62.3%
Logan Loya 8 Yd pass from Dorian Thompson-Robinson (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4148% → 47%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.4%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
52.5%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
53.8%
Terrion Avery run for 6 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
54.6%
Jack Brooks punt for 44 yds , Logan Loya returns for 15 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
53.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 44 yds , Logan Loya returns for 15 yds to the UCLA 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3660% → 58%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
60.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
59.8%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Kazmeir Allen for 4 yds to the UCLA 43Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+1
60.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson run for 1 yd to the UCLA 44Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
57.9%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 46 ydsSimilar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
57.9%
Nicholas Barr-Mira punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 57 yds · 6:1650% → 70%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
49.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 11 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
49.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 2 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
49.8%
Carter Bradley run for 2 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+7
50.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 7 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
48.4%
BRADLEY, Carter pass to the left incomplete intended for WAYNE, Jalen thrown to the UCL46. PENALTY UCL Pass Interference on KIRKWOOD, Devin enforced 15 yards to the USA47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
45.6%
Omni Wells run for 2 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+1
45.4%
Marco Lee run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 7
50
+15
46.0%
UCLA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UCLA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
43.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the UCLA 28Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+2
43.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the UCLA 26Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+4
45.2%
Terrion Avery run for 4 yds to the UCLA 22Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 2
OPP 22
-11
30.0%
Tanner McGee sacked by Carl Jones Jr. for a loss of 11 yards to the UCLA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCLADrive 21FG
19 plays · 61 yds · 2:5247% → 95%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
47.4%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+29
47.3%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 29 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
53.6%
Dorian Thompson-Robinson pass complete to Titus Mokiao-Atimalala for 9 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+5
57.0%
THOMPSON-ROBINSON, Dorian pass up the middle complete for 3 yards to JONES, Keegan caught at the USA26 and advanced to the USA26 (KISER, Trey). PENALTY Before the snap, USA Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the USA29 to the USA24 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
57.0%
Keegan Jones run for 7 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+1
56.9%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+1
53.1%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the SAlab 16Similar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
49.0%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
47.4%
Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
51.5%
Keegan Jones run for 1 yd to the SAlab 12Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
51.5%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the SAlab 10Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+2
47.5%
Keegan Jones run for 2 yds to the SAlab 10Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+4
43.9%
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the SAlab 6Similar
Q4 0:03
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+4
30.8%
Keegan Jones run for 4 yds to the SAlab 6Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+24
94.5%
Nicholas Barr-Mira 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Nicholas Barr-Mira 24 yd FG GOOD
+63.8
TD · Q3 0:57
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)
-24.3
TD · Q3 1:43
Marco Lee run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)
-21.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com