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2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadEMU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreEMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:34 · A.Smith kneels at the EMC 44.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:59: E.Jones rushed to EMC End Zone for 3 yards. E.Jones for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ASU win probability +7.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 1:16: S.Evans rushed to ASU End Zone for 3 yards. S.Evans for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — EMU win probability +8.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 7:09: J.Gomez 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Bird, Holder-A.Heston. — EMU win probability +9.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:55: X.Valladay rushed to EMC End Zone for 44 yards. X.Valladay for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ASU win probability +21.4 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. FG · Q4 4:26: J.Gomez 20 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Bird, Holder-A.Heston. — EMU win probability +6.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: EMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:08EMU 4th & 5 at ASU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:55ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:48ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:12ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−1.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:49ASU 4th & 4 at EMU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    53.0%−1.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    53.1%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:09EMU 4th & 10 at ASU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    40.6%−9.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:04ASU 4th & 15 at EMU 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    32.9%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:37EMU 4th & 13 at EMU 37, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−3.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:26EMU 4th & 2 at ASU 2, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.1%−3.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−15.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3EMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:22EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 15:00ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:17EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:59ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:16EMU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:55ASU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EMUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:5210% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.6%
T.Powell steps back to pass. T.Powell pass incomplete intended for D.Lassiter.Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
89.5%
T.Powell pass complete to EMC 35. Catch made by G.Oakes at EMC 35. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 44.Similar
Q1 14:31
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
89.4%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 50 for 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at EMC 50.Similar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+5
89.3%
T.Powell pass complete to EMC 50. Catch made by T.Knue at EMC 50. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at ASU 45.Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
89.2%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 41 for 4 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 41.Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+15
88.9%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 26 for 15 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 26.Similar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
88.8%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 23 for 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 23.Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+9
88.6%
T.Powell pass complete to ASU 23. Catch made by D.Lassiter at ASU 23. Gain of 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at ASU 14.Similar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
88.5%
T.Powell pass complete to ASU 14. Catch made by D.Smith at ASU 14. Gain of 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at ASU 8.Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 4
OPP 8
-1
88.5%
J.Jackson rushed to ASU 9 for -1 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 9.Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
88.3%
T.Powell steps back to pass. T.Powell pass incomplete intended for S.Evans.Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 5
OPP 9
0
88.3%
J.Gomez 27 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-EMC, Holder-EMC.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:0288% → 87%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
88.2%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 24 for 3 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 24.Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+4
88.0%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 24. Catch made by A.Johnson at ASU 24. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 28.Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
87.8%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 28 for 0 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 28.Similar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+72
87.3%
E.Czaplicki punts 72 yards to EMC End Zone, Center-J.Ferlmann. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:2713% → 18%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
87.5%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 18 for -2 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 18.Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+10
87.4%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 28 for 10 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 28.Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+20
87.0%
A.Smith rushed to EMC 48 for 20 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 48.Similar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
86.6%
T.Powell steps back to pass. T.Powell pass incomplete intended for D.Lassiter.Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
86.5%
T.Powell pass complete to EMC 48. Catch made by G.Oakes at EMC 48. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 47.Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+5
86.2%
PENALTY on EMC-EMC, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 5:53
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+10
86.2%
T.Powell pass complete to EMC 48. Catch made by A.Jackson at EMC 48. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 42.Similar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
85.7%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 36 for 6 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 36.Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
85.5%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 33 for 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 33.Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
85.2%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 30 for 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 30.Similar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+26
84.8%
T.Powell pass complete to ASU 30. Catch made by A.Paaske at ASU 30. Gain of 26 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 4.Similar
Q1 3:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.4%
J.Jackson rushed to ASU End Zone for 4 yards. J.Jackson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3083% → 81%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.5%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 25. Catch made by E.Badger at ASU 25. Gain of yards. Pushed out of bounds by EMC at ASU 44. PENALTY on ASU-D.Holmes, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+7
82.3%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 15. Catch made by A.Johnson at ASU 15. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 22.Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+9
81.3%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 22. Catch made by X.Valladay at ASU 22. Gain of 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by EMC at ASU 31.Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
81.0%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for J.Conyers.Similar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+44
80.8%
E.Czaplicki punts 44 yards to EMC 25, Center-J.Ferlmann. Fair catch by H.Beydoun.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 5INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:5919% → 20%
Q1 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.4%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 28.Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
81.1%
T.Powell pass complete to EMC 28. Catch made by T.Knue at EMC 28. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 34.Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
80.8%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 37 for 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 37.Similar
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.4%
T.Powell pass INTERCEPTED at ASU 46. Intercepted by K.Markham at ASU 46. Tackled by A.Howie at EMC 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:2981% → 85%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
81.2%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 14 for 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by EMC at EMC 14. PENALTY on EMC-K.Shine, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 7 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
81.0%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 3 for 4 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 3.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.7%
E.Jones pass complete to EMC 3. Catch made by A.Johnson at EMC 3. Gain of 3 yards. A.Johnson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 7TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:3517% → 28%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.1%
T.Powell pass complete to EMC 25. Catch made by D.Lassiter at EMC 25. Gain of 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at EMC 36.Similar
Q2 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
82.6%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 40.Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+6
82.0%
T.Powell pass complete to EMC 40. Catch made by G.Oakes at EMC 40. Gain of 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at EMC 46.Similar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
81.6%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 47 for 7 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 47.Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
81.2%
J.Jackson rushed to ASU 43 for 4 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 43.Similar
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-9
80.8%
T.Powell steps back to pass. T.Powell sacked at EMC 48 for -9 yards (A.Cooper)Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+13
81.2%
A.Smith rushed to ASU 39 for 13 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 39.Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+7
80.3%
A.Smith pass complete to ASU 39. Catch made by S.Evans at ASU 39. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 32.Similar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
79.5%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 27 for 5 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 27.Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+2
79.1%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 25 for 2 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 25.Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+16
79.0%
A.Smith rushed to ASU 9 for 16 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at ASU 9.Similar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
77.9%
A.Smith rushed to ASU 6 for 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 6.Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.4%
A.Smith pass complete to ASU 6. Catch made by H.Beydoun at ASU 6. Gain of 6 yards. H.Beydoun for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:1272% → 78%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.1%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for A.Johnson.Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
71.9%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 25. Catch made by E.Badger at ASU 25. Gain of 29 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 46.Similar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
72.9%
D.Ngata rushed to EMC 32 for 14 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 32.Similar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
73.1%
D.Ngata rushed to EMC 23 for 9 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 23.Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+2
72.5%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 21 for 2 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 21.Similar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
71.8%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 21 for 0 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 21.Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
71.2%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for C.Hatch.Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+15
70.0%
E.Jones pass complete to EMC 21. Catch made by A.Johnson at EMC 21. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 6.Similar
Q2 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
70.5%
Z.Freeman rushed to EMC 2 for 4 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 2.Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
69.9%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 3 for -1 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 3.Similar
Q2 2:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
77.6%
E.Jones rushed to EMC End Zone for 3 yards. E.Jones for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 1:3026% → 39%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
74.5%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for D.Lassiter.Similar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+14
74.7%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 35 for 14 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 35.Similar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
73.8%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for H.Beydoun.Similar
Q2 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
74.0%
A.Smith rushed to EMC 43 for 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at EMC 43.Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
71.8%
A.Smith pass complete to EMC 43. Catch made by G.Oakes at EMC 43. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at EMC 48.Similar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+42
71.5%
A.Smith pass complete to EMC 48. Catch made by T.Knue at EMC 48. Gain of 42 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 10.Similar
Q2 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
69.4%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 3 for 7 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 3.Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.9%
S.Evans rushed to ASU End Zone for 3 yards. S.Evans for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:5562% → 59%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
62.1%
PENALTY on ASU-ASU, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 15
OWN 17
0
61.9%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for X.Valladay.Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+8
61.8%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 17. Catch made by E.Badger at ASU 17. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 25.Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+6
59.5%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 25. Catch made by E.Badger at ASU 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 31.Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+5
60.1%
PENALTY on ASU-C.McCullough, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+59
58.9%
E.Czaplicki punts 59 yards to EMC 15, Center-ASU. H.Beydoun returned punt from the EMC 15. Tackled by ASU at EMC 26. PENALTY on ASU-C.Edmonds, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 5:0360% → 53%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
60.0%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 9. Catch made by X.Valladay at ASU 9. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 16.Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+13
59.7%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 16. Catch made by E.Badger at ASU 16. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 29.Similar
Q3 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
59.0%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 37 for 8 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 37.Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+6
59.2%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 37. Catch made by G.Sanders at ASU 37. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 43.Similar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
58.3%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 50 for 7 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 50.Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 3
OPP 0
0
60.2%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for A.Johnson.Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 3
OPP 0
+5
58.5%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 50. Catch made by C.Hall at ASU 50. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 45.Similar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
58.4%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for Z.Freeman.Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
58.0%
D.Ngata rushed to EMC 36 for 9 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 36.Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
57.4%
PENALTY on ASU-D.Holmes, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 10:36
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+2
56.5%
E.Jones scrambles to EMC 39 for 2 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 39.Similar
Q3 9:49
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
53.3%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for G.Sanders.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 12FG
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:3649% → 62%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+28
51.3%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 33 for 28 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 33.Similar
Q3 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
50.1%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 26 for 7 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 26.Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+4
48.8%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 22 for 4 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 22.Similar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
48.1%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for D.Smith.Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
48.2%
A.Smith rushed to ASU 22 for 0 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 22.Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
47.3%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith pass incomplete intended for EMC.Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 10
OPP 22
0
38.2%
J.Gomez 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Bird, Holder-A.Heston.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13PUNT
13 plays · 19 yds · 4:5345% → 32%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
44.9%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 46 for 6 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 46.Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+9
44.4%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 45 for 9 yards. Pushed out of bounds by EMC at EMC 45.Similar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
44.9%
E.Jones rushed to EMC 43 for 2 yards. Pushed out of bounds by EMC at EMC 43.Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
42.5%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 39 for 4 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 39.Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+7
40.7%
E.Jones pass complete to EMC 39. Catch made by E.Badger at EMC 39. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 32. PENALTY on ASU-E.Badger, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
40.1%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for E.Badger.Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
39.3%
E.Jones pass complete to EMC 47. Catch made by C.Hall at EMC 47. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 36.Similar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
39.4%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 33 for yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 33. PENALTY on ASU-I.Glass, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+5
37.1%
E.Jones pass complete to EMC 46. Catch made by J.Conyers at EMC 46. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 41.Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 15
OPP 41
0
35.1%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for ASU.Similar
Q3 2:08
3RD & 15
OPP 41
0
33.5%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for G.Sanders.Similar
Q3 2:04
4TH & 15
OPP 41
+31
32.4%
E.Czaplicki punts 31 yards to EMC 10, Center-J.Ferlmann. Downed by ASU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:2175% → 83%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
25.4%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 14 for 4 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 14.Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+12
23.8%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 26 for 12 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 26.Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
22.5%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 26 for 0 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 26.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+14
21.9%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 40 for 14 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 40.Similar
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
19.9%
A.Smith rushed to EMC 42 for 2 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 42.Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-7
19.8%
A.Smith steps back to pass. A.Smith sacked at EMC 35 for -7 yards (M.Robertson) A.Smith FUMBLES, forced by M.Robertson. Fumble RECOVERED by EMC-H.Beydoun at EMC 35. Tackled by ASU at EMC 35.Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+2
18.2%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 37 for 2 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 37.Similar
Q4 12:37
4TH & 13
OWN 37
+43
17.3%
M.Tomasek punts 43 yards to ASU 20, Center-S.Bird. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:2725% → 49%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
25.4%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 20. Catch made by X.Valladay at ASU 20. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 30. PENALTY on EMC-G.Trueman, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
26.8%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 47 for 8 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 47.Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+3
28.1%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 44.Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
27.3%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for X.Valladay.Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
48.6%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC End Zone for 44 yards. X.Valladay for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 16FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 6:2264% → 87%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.1%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 31.Similar
Q4 10:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
32.4%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 34.Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+32
32.3%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 34 for 32 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at ASU 34.Similar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
27.3%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 25 for 9 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 25.Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+3
25.6%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 22 for 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 22.Similar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
21.1%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 9 for 13 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 9.Similar
Q4 6:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
20.5%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 7 for 2 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 7.Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
19.2%
J.Jackson rushed to ASU 3 for 4 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 3.Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
19.1%
S.Evans rushed to ASU 2 for 1 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 2.Similar
Q4 4:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
12.7%
J.Gomez 20 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Bird, Holder-A.Heston.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17FUMBLE
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:0615% → 11%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+12
15.2%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 29. Catch made by E.Badger at ASU 29. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by EMC at ASU 41.Similar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
16.6%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 41. Catch made by E.Badger at ASU 41. Gain of 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by EMC at EMC 46.Similar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
18.4%
E.Jones pass complete to EMC 46. Catch made by G.Sanders at EMC 46. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by EMC at EMC 41.Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+22
18.0%
X.Valladay rushed to EMC 19 for 22 yards. Tackled by EMC at EMC 19.Similar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 25
OPP 34
0
12.7%
E.Jones pass complete to EMC 34. Catch made by M.Swinson at EMC 34. Gain of yards. M.Swinson ran out of bounds. PENALTY on EMC-H.Beydoun, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 20
OPP 29
0
12.7%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for M.Swinson.Similar
Q4 2:11
2ND & 30
OPP 39
+7
10.5%
E.Jones pass complete to EMC 39. Catch made by J.Conyers at EMC 39. Gain of 7 yards. J.Conyers FUMBLES, forced by K.Shine. Fumble RECOVERED by EMC-K.Shine at EMC 32. Tackled by ASU at EMC 32. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EMUDrive 18END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:4792% → 93%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-9
8.3%
EMC rushed to EMC 23 for -9 yards. EMC FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by EMC-A.Smith at EMC 23. Tackled by ASU at EMC 23.Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 19
OWN 23
+2
6.6%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 25 for 2 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 25.Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 17
OWN 25
+20
6.8%
S.Evans rushed to EMC 45 for 20 yards. Tackled by ASU at EMC 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:55
X.Valladay rushed to EMC End Zone for 44 yards. X.Valladay for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+21.4
FG · Q3 7:09
J.Gomez 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-S.Bird, Holder-A.Heston.
-9
TD · Q2 1:16
S.Evans rushed to ASU End Zone for 3 yards. S.Evans for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com