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COLO

Colorado 10 at Air Force 41

AF
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Falcon Stadium
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Win probability · AF
modelAF aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playAF scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+2.5AF 99.0%B.Roberts rushed to COL End Zone for46 yards. B.Roberts for 46 yards,TOUCHDOWN.AWAY 10 - HOME 34 · Q4 11:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:24 · B.Roberts rushed to COL End Zone for 46 yards. B.Roberts for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 112Pregame prior+8.0Home team on offense+30.7Score differential+21.5Garbage-time factor+12.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 0:23: M.Dapore 47 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-B.Bentley, Holder-C.Bay. — AF win probability +2.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:02: B.Roberts rushed to COL End Zone for 20 yards. B.Roberts for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AF win probability +3.5 pts (now 92%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:06: D.Smith rushed to AF End Zone for 25 yards. D.Smith for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — COLO win probability +6.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:45: C.Becker 41 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Bedell, Holder-A.Logan. — COLO win probability +3.4 pts (now 15%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:39: H.Daniels rushed to COL End Zone for 1 yards. H.Daniels for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — AF win probability +7.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AF made the numbers' call on 3 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:31COLO 4th & 1 at COLO 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:49AF 4th & 7 at COLO 37, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.9%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:17COLO 4th & 5 at COLO 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:35AF 4th & 6 at COLO 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:28COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:23AF 4th & 5 at COLO 30, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:56COLO 4th & 7 at COLO 44, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:45COLO 4th & 10 at AF 23, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−2.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:48AF 4th & 6 at AF 5, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:12COLO 4th & 2 at AF 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−1.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:31COLO 4th & 3 at COLO 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:04AF 4th & 1 at AF 41, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:30COLO 4th & 6 at COLO 15, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AF made the numbers' call on 4 of 5COLO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:31AF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:02AF Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:06COLO Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:39AF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:24AF Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:10AF Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AFDrive 1TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
86.0%
B.Roberts rushed to COL End Zone for 14 yards. B.Roberts for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5614% → 14%
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.9%
A.Fontenot rushed to COL 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Taylor at COL 26.Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
85.9%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for D.Arias.Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
85.9%
J.Shrout scrambles to COL 34 for 8 yards. Tackled by T.Blackmon at COL 34.Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+32
85.8%
A.Logan punts 32 yards to AF 34, Center-D.Bedell. Fair catch by D.Kinamon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 3FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:3486% → 86%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
85.8%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 37 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Chandler-Semedo at AF 37.Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
85.8%
PENALTY on AF-E.Smalley, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+28
85.7%
Z.Larrier rushed to COL 40 for 28 yards. Tackled by K.Moore at COL 40.Similar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
85.9%
D.Hughes rushed to COL 32 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Chandler-Semedo at COL 32. PENALTY on AF-D.Kinamon, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 16
OPP 46
0
85.7%
H.Daniels steps back to pass. H.Daniels pass incomplete intended for B.Jefferson.Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+9
85.7%
D.Kinamon rushed to COL 37 for 9 yards. Tackled by N.Bethel at COL 37.Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
85.7%
H.Daniels scrambles to COL 37 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Martin at COL 37.Similar
Q1 9:49
4TH & 7
OPP 37
0
85.6%
M.Dapore 54 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-B.Bentley, Holder-C.Bay. PENALTY on COL-J.Sami, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2515% → 15%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
85.4%
A.Fontenot rushed to COL 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Blackmon, C.Goff at COL 28.Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
85.2%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for C.Penry.Similar
Q1 8:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
85.4%
J.Shrout pass complete to COL 28. Catch made by A.Fontenot at COL 28. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by V.Sanford, A.Mock at COL 30.Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+34
85.4%
A.Logan punts 34 yards to AF 36, Center-D.Bedell. Fair catch by D.Kinamon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:3786% → 85%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
85.5%
O.Fattah rushed to AF 41 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Lang, M.Ham at AF 41.Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
85.6%
D.Kinamon rushed to AF 48 for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by Q.Perry at AF 48.Similar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.6%
D.Hughes rushed to AF 48 for 0 yards. Tackled by I.Lewis at AF 48.Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
85.6%
O.Fattah rushed to COL 48 for 4 yards. Tackled by Q.Perry, N.Reed at COL 48.Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
85.6%
H.Daniels steps back to pass. H.Daniels pass incomplete intended for AF.Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 6
OPP 48
+46
85.4%
C.Bay punts 46 yards to COL 2, Center-B.Bentley. Downed by K.Chesney.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5615% → 15%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
85.0%
J.Shrout rushed to COL 3 for 1 yards. Tackled by P.Zdroik at COL 3.Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
85.0%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for J.Tyson.Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+19
85.2%
J.Shrout pass complete to COL 3. Catch made by D.Arias at COL 3. Gain of 19 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Mack II, A.Mock at COL 22.Similar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
84.7%
D.Smith rushed to COL 22 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Taylor, M.Mack II at COL 22.Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
84.7%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for C.Sowell.Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
85.3%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for J.Tyson. PENALTY on COL-N.Fenske, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+41
85.5%
A.Logan punts 41 yards to AF 37, Center-D.Bedell. Fair catch by D.Kinamon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 7FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:5886% → 88%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
85.5%
Z.Larrier rushed to AF 50 for 13 yards. Tackled by C.Main at AF 50.Similar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+7
85.8%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 43 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Chandler-Semedo, I.Lewis at COL 43.Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+8
85.6%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 35 for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Chandler-Semedo, T.Woods at COL 35.Similar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
85.6%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Montgomery, Q.Perry at COL 33.Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
85.6%
H.Daniels steps back to pass. H.Daniels pass incomplete intended for K.Patterson.Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+3
85.3%
J.Eldridge rushed to COL 30 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Woods at COL 30.Similar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
87.8%
M.Dapore 47 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-B.Bentley, Holder-C.Bay.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 8INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:1713% → 13%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.8%
D.Smith rushed to COL 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Mock, T.Blackmon at COL 26.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
86.8%
J.Shrout pass INTERCEPTED at COL 45. Intercepted by C.Goff at COL 45. Tackled by D.Arias at COL 35.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:4889% → 92%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
88.6%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Woods at COL 30.Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+5
88.6%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 25 for 5 yards. Tackled by N.Rodman, G.Thomas at COL 25.Similar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
88.7%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 20 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Woods at COL 20.Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
92.2%
B.Roberts rushed to COL End Zone for 20 yards. B.Roberts for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 10TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:428% → 14%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
92.3%
A.Fontenot rushed to COL 50 for 21 yards. Tackled by V.Sanford at COL 50.Similar
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
91.7%
PENALTY on COL-J.Wiley, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 12:03
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+23
92.6%
D.Smith rushed to AF 32 for 23 yards. Tackled by J.Goodwin at AF 32.Similar
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
92.0%
J.Shrout pass complete to AF 32. Catch made by R.Sneed at AF 32. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by J.Goodwin at AF 25.Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+25
86.0%
D.Smith rushed to AF End Zone for 25 yards. D.Smith for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11FUMBLE
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:0789% → 89%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.6%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by N.Rodman, Q.Perry at AF 31.Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
88.9%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Lang at AF 34.Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
88.6%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 35 for 1 yards. Tackled by COL at AF 35. The Replay Official reviewed the short of the line to gain and the play was upheld.Similar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
88.8%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 42 for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Woods at AF 42.Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+16
89.3%
Z.Larrier rushed to COL 42 for 16 yards. Tackled by N.Reed, Q.Perry at COL 42.Similar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
89.5%
Z.Larrier rushed to COL 38 for 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by I.Lewis at COL 38.Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+9
89.1%
H.Daniels rushed to COL 29 for 9 yards. Tackled by G.Thomas at COL 29.Similar
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
89.2%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 13 for 16 yards. Tackled by J.Chandler-Semedo at COL 13.Similar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
89.3%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 9 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Martin, G.Thomas at COL 9.Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
89.3%
J.Eldridge rushed to COL 1 for 9 yards. J.Eldridge FUMBLES, forced by J.Sami. Fumble RECOVERED by COL-J.Chandler-Semedo at COL End Zone. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:4412% → 12%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
87.8%
A.Fontenot rushed to COL 25 for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Mack II at COL 25.Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
87.6%
A.Fontenot rushed to COL 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by C.Goff, A.Mock at COL 31.Similar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
87.6%
A.Fontenot rushed to COL 37 for 6 yards. Tackled by C.Goff at COL 37.Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
87.4%
A.Fontenot rushed to COL 41 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Taylor at COL 41.Similar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
87.5%
A.Fontenot rushed to COL 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by T.Taylor at COL 44.Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
87.3%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for C.Sowell.Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
87.6%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for J.Tyson.Similar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+39
88.0%
A.Logan punts 39 yards to AF 17, Center-D.Bedell. Fair catch by D.Kinamon.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4989% → 89%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
89.3%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 22 for 5 yards. Tackled by Q.Perry, T.Woods at AF 22.Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+4
89.4%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 26 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Chandler-Semedo, T.Martin at AF 26.Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-3
89.3%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 23 for -3 yards. B.Roberts FUMBLES, forced by T.Woods. Fumble RECOVERED by COL-C.Main at AF 23.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 14FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:1114% → 15%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
86.2%
D.Smith rushed to AF 23 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Blackmon at AF 23.Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
86.5%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for D.Smith.Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
87.1%
D.Smith rushed to AF 23 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Blackmon at AF 23.Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
84.8%
C.Becker 41 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-D.Bedell, Holder-A.Logan.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:5417% → 17%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
83.4%
D.Smith rushed to AF 14 for -1 yards. Tackled by AF at AF 14.Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+2
83.6%
D.Smith rushed to AF 12 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Goodwin at AF 12.Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
84.5%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for B.Russell. PENALTY on AF-M.Mack II, Defensive Pass Interference, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
83.3%
A.Fontenot rushed to AF 2 for 0 yards. Tackled by V.Sanford, K.Pescaia at AF 2.Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
83.2%
A.Fontenot rushed to AF 1 for 1 yards. A.Fontenot FUMBLES, forced by J.Goodwin. Fumble RECOVERED by AF-A.Mock at AF 1. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble and the play was upheld.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4986% → 85%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
86.0%
H.Daniels rushed to AF 3 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Sami at AF 3.Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+1
86.0%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 4 for 1 yards. Tackled by N.Rodman at AF 4.Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+1
85.4%
J.Eldridge rushed to AF 5 for 1 yards. Tackled by Q.Perry at AF 5.Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 6
OWN 5
0
84.8%
C.Bay punts 46 yards to COL 49, Center-B.Bentley. C.Penry returned punt from the COL 49. Tackled by A.Maxwell at AF 40.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2216% → 15%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
84.5%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for J.Tyson.Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
84.5%
D.Smith rushed to AF 35 for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Mack II at AF 35.Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+3
84.6%
D.Smith rushed to AF 32 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Goff at AF 32.Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+1
85.5%
D.Smith rushed to AF 31 for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Mack II, C.Herrera at AF 31.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 18TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:2687% → 96%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
87.1%
O.Fattah rushed to AF 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by Q.Perry at AF 33.Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+5
87.1%
H.Daniels rushed to AF 38 for 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by N.Reed at AF 38.Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+7
87.3%
H.Daniels rushed to AF 45 for 7 yards. Tackled by R.Barnes at AF 45.Similar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+40
88.1%
J.Eldridge rushed to COL 15 for 40 yards. Tackled by J.Chandler-Semedo at COL 15.Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
88.6%
H.Daniels pass complete to COL 15. Catch made by D.Kinamon at COL 15. Gain of 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by Q.Perry at COL 7.Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+4
88.6%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 3 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Martin at COL 3.Similar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 2
OPP 3
+2
88.7%
B.Roberts rushed to COL 1 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Jackson at COL 1.Similar
Q3 3:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.7%
H.Daniels rushed to COL 1 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Sami, Q.Perry at COL 1.Similar
Q3 2:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.7%
H.Daniels rushed to COL End Zone for 1 yards. H.Daniels for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 65 yds · 2:1996% → 97%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
95.6%
J.Eldridge rushed to AF 23 for 8 yards. Tackled by J.Chandler-Semedo at AF 23.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+1
96.0%
B.Roberts rushed to AF 24 for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Ham at AF 24.Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
96.3%
H.Daniels rushed to AF 27 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Chandler-Semedo, N.Rodman at AF 27.Similar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+48
96.5%
B.Jefferson rushed to COL 25 for 48 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Moore at COL 25.Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
97.0%
O.Fattah rushed to COL 20 for 5 yards. O.Fattah FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by COL-Q.Perry at COL 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 26 yds · 1:304% → 4%
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.1%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for B.Russell.Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
96.2%
J.Shrout pass complete to COL 20. Catch made by D.Arias at COL 20. Gain of 17 yards. Pushed out of bounds by E.Castonguay at COL 37.Similar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
95.9%
J.Shrout pass complete to COL 37. Catch made by J.Tyson at COL 37. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by A.Mock at COL 43.Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
96.0%
A.Fontenot rushed to COL 44 for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Mack II at COL 44.Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
96.1%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for J.Hestera.Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+2
96.4%
J.Shrout scrambles to COL 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by AF at COL 46.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 21TD
1 play · 46 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.0%
B.Roberts rushed to COL End Zone for 46 yards. B.Roberts for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 22TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 6:5699% → 100%
Q4 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.0%
O.Fattah rushed to AF 35 for 3 yards. Tackled by Q.Perry at AF 35.Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
99.0%
J.Eldridge rushed to AF 40 for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Ham, J.Oliver at AF 40.Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
99.1%
O.Fattah rushed to AF 41 for 1 yards. O.Fattah FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by AF-O.Fattah at AF 41.Similar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
99.1%
H.Daniels rushed to AF 43 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Sami at AF 43.Similar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
99.2%
J.Eldridge rushed to COL 46 for 11 yards. Tackled by M.Ham at COL 46.Similar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.2%
E.Michel rushed to COL 39 for 7 yards. Tackled by Q.Perry, D.Grant at COL 39.Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+6
99.3%
E.Michel rushed to COL 33 for 6 yards. Tackled by Q.Perry at COL 33.Similar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.3%
E.Michel rushed to COL 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Maddox, D.Dixson at COL 27.Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+6
99.4%
E.Michel rushed to COL 21 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Mack, Q.Perry at COL 21.Similar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
99.4%
E.Michel rushed to COL 16 for 5 yards. Tackled by N.Rodman; J.Chandler-Semedo at COL 16.Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+5
99.4%
E.Michel rushed to COL 11 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Dixson at COL 11.Similar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
J.Eldridge rushed to COL End Zone for 11 yards. J.Eldridge for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
100.0%
J.Stacks rushed to COL 10 for -1 yards. Tackled by K.Tompkins at COL 10.Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+5
100.0%
C.Offerdahl rushed to COL 15 for 5 yards. Tackled by O.Aihie; J.Tomasi at COL 15.Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
100.0%
J.Shrout steps back to pass. J.Shrout pass incomplete intended for J.Hestera.Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 6
OWN 15
+49
100.0%
A.Logan punts 49 yards to AF 36, Center-D.Bedell. Downed by E.Kerry.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:39
H.Daniels rushed to COL End Zone for 1 yards. H.Daniels for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+7
TD · Q2 11:06
D.Smith rushed to AF End Zone for 25 yards. D.Smith for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-6
TD · Q2 13:02
B.Roberts rushed to COL End Zone for 20 yards. B.Roberts for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com