Try the model
ASU

Arizona State 17 at Oklahoma State 34

OKST
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadASU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreASU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:17 · Eddie Czaplicki punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Pregame prior+25.7Home team on offense−2.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:45: Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +6.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:18: Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK) — ASU win probability +8.6 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:25: Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 21 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK) — ASU win probability +19.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 13:31: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 31 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +10.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:41: Spencer Sanders pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 14 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK) — OKST win probability +4.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 9ASU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:41OKST 4th & 10 at ASU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:00ASU 4th & 4 at OKST 9, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.3%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:01OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:16ASU 4th & 10 at OKST 44, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:58OKST 4th & 25 at OKST 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:54ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:17ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 41, up 3
    Close callPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:08OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:52ASU 4th & 6 at ASU 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:51ASU 4th & 14 at ASU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.9%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:26OKST 4th & 7 at ASU 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.4%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:46OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:33ASU 4th & 6 at OKST 30, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.3%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:48OKST 4th & 7 at ASU 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−6.9
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:44ASU 4th & 3 at ASU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:26OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:00ASU 4th & 10 at ASU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:35ASU 4th & 20 at ASU 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:15OKST 4th & 15 at ASU 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ASU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 8:28OKST Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:45OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:18ASU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:25ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:31OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:41OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 1:5985% → 84%
Q1 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
84.5%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
84.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+7
84.3%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 7 yds to the ArzSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
84.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dominic RichardsonSimilar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
84.2%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 7
OPP 43
-3
84.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for a loss of 3 yards to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q1 12:41
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
83.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cam Johnson at the ArzSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:1516% → 18%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+42
83.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 42 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
83.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+18
83.3%
Emory Jones pass complete to Charles Hall IV for 18 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
82.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 11 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
82.8%
Emory Jones run for 1 yd to the OKSt 14Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
82.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 5 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
82.4%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Messiah SwinsonSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+27
82.3%
Carter Brown 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3982% → 82%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.2%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
82.2%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
82.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+8
81.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 52 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 8 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3818% → 19%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
82.0%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+28
81.6%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 28 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
81.0%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Charles Hall IVSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
81.0%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Daniyel NgataSimilar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
81.1%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q1 6:16
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
81.5%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:1181% → 80%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+16
81.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to John Paul Richardson for 16 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
81.0%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+27
80.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 12 yds to the ArzSt 38 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the ArzSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
81.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-15
81.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dominic Richardson OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 25
OWN 38
0
80.6%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 4:58
4TH & 25
OWN 38
+4
80.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 46 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 4 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5119% → 20%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
80.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
80.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
80.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for no gain to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+4
80.4%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 57 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 4 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7INT
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:3680% → 80%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
79.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 9 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+11
80.0%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 11 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
80.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 20
OWN 31
0
79.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 20
OWN 31
+8
78.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 8 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+18
78.5%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 18 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
79.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 9 yds to the ArzSt 34Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+3
80.5%
Brennan Presley run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
80.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
80.3%
Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Kyle Soelle return for no gain to the ArzSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:4322% → 23%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-8
78.2%
Emory Jones sacked by Collin Oliver for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 14Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 18
OWN 14
+18
78.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 18 yds to the ArzSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
77.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
77.0%
Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+2
76.5%
Daniyel Ngata run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
76.8%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5277% → 76%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
77.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 1 yd to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+4
77.2%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
76.7%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 5
OWN 20
-5
76.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for a loss of 5 yards to the ArzSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:1124% → 26%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
76.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 37Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+2
75.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-2
74.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 37 Xazavian Valladay fumbled, forced by Brock Martin, recovered by OKSt Tyler LacySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:0478% → 82%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
77.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 7 yds to the ArzSt 30Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+13
78.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 13 yds to the ArzSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
78.4%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
78.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 3Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:2718% → 18%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.6%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
81.7%
Emory Jones pass complete to Messiah Swinson for 15 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
80.8%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q2 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
81.0%
Giovanni Sanders run for no gain to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+4
81.4%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 4 yds to the ArzSt 47Similar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
81.6%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 49 yds, downed at the OKSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
14 plays · 96 yds · 3:0080% → 88%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
79.8%
Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+9
79.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 9 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+4
79.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
79.9%
Spencer Sanders run for 7 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+10
79.9%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Presley, Brennan, PENALTY ARIZONAST pass interference 10 yards to the OKLAST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
79.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 6 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 4
OWN 40
0
80.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+10
80.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
50
0
81.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 10
50
+15
80.9%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete, PENALTY ARIZONAST roughing passer 15 yards to the ARIZONAST35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
81.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 10 yds to the ArzSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
81.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 19 yds to the ArzSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
81.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Brennan PresleySimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
88.1%
Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:3412% → 12%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.7%
Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
87.8%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 6 yards to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q2 1:57
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+2
87.8%
Emory Jones run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
88.0%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ArzSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FG
8 plays · 14 yds · 1:2088% → 91%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.8%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
87.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 39Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+10
87.4%
Sanders, Spencer pass incomplete to Johnson, Braydon, PENALTY ARIZONAST holding 10 yards to the ARIZONAST29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
88.1%
Ollie Gordon run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 28Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+2
88.1%
Ollie Gordon run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 26Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
87.6%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+43
91.0%
Tanner Brown 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
90.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2711% → 22%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.9%
Emory Jones run for no gain to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+73
89.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 73 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
86.9%
Emory Jones run for no gain to the OKSt 2Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 0
OPP 2
+1
86.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (1 Yards) to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:1282% → 81%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
81.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 12 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.2%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the OKSt 20Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
82.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
81.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+9
80.6%
Tom Hutton punt for 50 yds , Cam Johnson returns for 9 yds to the ArzSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:0520% → 19%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
80.5%
Daniyel Ngata run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 42Similar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+9
79.4%
Daniyel Ngata run for 9 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
78.9%
Daniyel Ngata run for no gain to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
79.6%
Jones, Emory pass incomplete to Badger, Elijhah, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference 15 yards to the OKLAST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ARIZONAST.Similar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
77.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+6
80.5%
Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
79.9%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+48
81.2%
Carter Brown 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20FG
10 plays · 63 yds · 1:3285% → 88%
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
85.2%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 12 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
86.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+43
86.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 43 yds to the ArzSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
87.3%
Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the ArzSt 10 for a 1ST down ARIZONA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (5 Yards) to the ArzSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
87.3%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 4Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
87.3%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to John Paul RichardsonSimilar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 0
OPP 4
+2
87.1%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the ArzSt 2Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-5
87.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 7Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
86.5%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Bryson GreenSimilar
Q3 5:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
87.6%
Tanner Brown 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4813% → 12%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
87.3%
Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the ArzSt 29Similar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
87.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 32Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 2
OWN 32
-1
87.4%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArzSt 31Similar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+18
88.2%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 52 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 18 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0688% → 88%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
88.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+4
88.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-1
88.3%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 2:26
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
87.8%
Tom Hutton punt for 44 yds, fair catch by D.J. Taylor at the ArzSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 2:5712% → 31%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
88.1%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Jalin ConyersSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
88.2%
Daniyel Ngata run for 4 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q3 1:14
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+10
89.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 10 yds to the ArzSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-8
87.9%
Emory Jones sacked by Tyler Lacy for a loss of 8 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q3 0:04
2ND & 18
OWN 21
0
89.8%
Emory Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 21
+20
90.2%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 20 yds to the ArzSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+38
88.2%
Xazavian Valladay run for 38 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
69.0%
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 21 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:4477% → 91%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
77.4%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 23 yds to the ArzSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
80.0%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the ArzSt 41Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+10
79.9%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ArzSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
90.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 31 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2511% → 9%
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.5%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Messiah SwinsonSimilar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.7%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Elijhah BadgerSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
90.1%
Emory Jones pass incomplete to Charles Hall IVSimilar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 75 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:0790% → 98%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
89.7%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 6 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
89.9%
Dominic Richardson run for 8 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
90.0%
Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
90.6%
Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 38 Dominic Richardson fumbled, recovered by OKSt Preston WilsonSimilar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+8
89.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 8 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
90.7%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+10
90.9%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dominic Richardson for 10 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.3%
Spencer Sanders run for no gain to the ArzSt 43Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
91.2%
Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+15
90.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the ArzSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
92.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Brennan Presley for 5 yds to the ArzSt 23Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+3
92.8%
Spencer Sanders run for 3 yds to the ArzSt 20Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+6
93.1%
Ollie Gordon run for 6 yds to the ArzSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
97.8%
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Ollie Gordon for 14 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 27FUMBLE
7 plays · -10 yds · 2:483% → 2%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
96.9%
Xazavian Valladay run for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 25Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 14
OWN 25
-4
97.2%
Emory Jones sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 4 yards to the ArzSt 21Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 18
OWN 21
-5
97.5%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ArzSt 16Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 23
OWN 16
-8
97.6%
ARIZONA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-8 Yards) to the ArzSt 8Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 31
OWN 8
+11
98.1%
Emory Jones pass complete to Giovanni Sanders for 11 yds to the ArzSt 19Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 20
OWN 19
0
98.2%
Eddie Czaplicki punt for 50 yds , Brennan Presley returns for no gain to the OKSt 31 Brennan Presley fumbled, recovered by OKSt Brennan PresleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 4:0698% → 99%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
98.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+19
98.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 19 yds to the ArzSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
98.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-15 Yards) to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 2:31
1ST & 25
OWN 42
+4
98.7%
Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 21
OWN 46
+8
98.8%
Dominic Richardson run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 46Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 13
OPP 46
-2
99.0%
Spencer Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArzSt 48Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & 15
OPP 48
+16
98.9%
Tom Hutton punt for 37 yds , D.J. Taylor returns for 16 yds to the ArzSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
98.2%
Daniyel Ngata run for 8 yds to the ArzSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:25
Emory Jones pass complete to Elijhah Badger for 21 yds for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)
-19.3
TD · Q4 13:31
Spencer Sanders pass complete to Bryson Green for 31 yds for a TD, (Tanner Brown KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q3 12:18
Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd for a TD, (Carter Brown KICK)
-8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com