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COLG

Colgate 10 at Stanford 41

STAN
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadCOLG aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreCOLG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:05 · Shelby Pruett punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the Stanf 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Pregame prior+1.9Home team on offense+36.1Score differential+31.9Garbage-time factor+12.1Blowout margin+17.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:48: Asauni Allen 0 Yd Fumble Return (Spencer Biscoe Kick) — COLG win probability +0.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:31: E.J. Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +0.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:16: Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 5:17: Spencer Biscoe 25 yd FG GOOD — COLG win probability +1.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: COLG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:15: Casey Filkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK) — STAN win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: STAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4COLG made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 8:51COLG 4th & 3 at STAN 15, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:53STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:26COLG 4th & 5 at COLG 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:57COLG 4th & 9 at STAN 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:51COLG 4th & 14 at COLG 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:51COLG 4th & 14 at COLG 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:30COLG 4th & 7 at COLG 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:17COLG 4th & 7 at STAN 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:04STAN 4th & 14 at STAN 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:11COLG 4th & 1 at COLG 34, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:11COLG 4th & 1 at COLG 34, down 18
    Close callPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:03COLG 4th & 11 at COLG 19, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:54STAN 4th & 8 at STAN 37, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:48COLG 4th & 4 at COLG 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:48STAN 4th & 1 at COLG 15, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:05COLG 4th & 8 at COLG 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:05COLG 4th & 8 at COLG 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
STAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 6COLG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:42STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:48COLG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:49STAN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:31STAN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:16STAN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:15STAN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:15STAN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
STANDrive 1TD
1 play · 87 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+87
98.7%
E.J. Smith run for 87 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 2MISSED FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:511% → 2%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.7%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for 3 yds to the Colg 28Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
98.7%
Max Hurleman run for 3 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q1 14:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
98.7%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for 4 yds to the Colg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.7%
Max Hurleman run for 2 yds to the Colg 37Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
98.7%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 4 yds to the Colg 41Similar
Q1 14:42
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+11
98.7%
Michael Brescia run for 11 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.7%
Max Hurleman run for 5 yds to the Stanf 43Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+21
98.7%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Jake Ryan for 21 yds to the Stanf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
98.7%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Jaedon Henry for 3 yds to the Stanf 19Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
98.7%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:42
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-5
98.7%
COLGATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 24Similar
Q1 14:42
3RD & 12
OPP 24
+9
98.7%
Michael Brescia run for 9 yds to the Stanf 15Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
98.3%
Spencer Biscoe 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5898% → 98%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 6 yds to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
98.3%
E.J. Smith run for 8 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
98.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 7 yds to the Stanf 41Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-2
98.3%
E.J. Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 39Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
98.3%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+7
98.1%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 42 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 7 yds to the Colg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:272% → 2%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.1%
Jaedon Henry run for 3 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
98.1%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 7
OWN 29
-5
98.1%
COLGATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colg 24Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 12
OWN 24
+7
98.2%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 7 yds to the Colg 31Similar
Q1 5:26
4TH & 5
OWN 31
0
98.0%
Shelby Pruett punt for 41 yds , returns for no gain to the Stanf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 5MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
97.9%
Michael Brescia run for 5 yds to the Stanf 23Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
97.9%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-4
97.9%
Michael Brescia sacked by Ricky Miezan and Aeneas DiCosmo for a loss of 4 yards to the Stanf 27Similar
Q1 3:57
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
97.8%
Spencer Biscoe 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:2198% → 98%
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
97.9%
E.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 26Similar
Q1 3:57
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+7
97.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 7 yds to the Stanf 33Similar
Q1 3:57
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+10
97.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 10 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
97.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 3
50
+6
97.7%
E.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the Colg 44 E.J. Smith fumbled, recovered by Colg Owen GossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 7FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:483% → 3%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
97.4%
Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the Colg 46Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+6
97.5%
Michael Brescia run for 6 yds to the Stanf 48Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 48
-5
97.2%
COLGATE Penalty, Delay Of Game (Michael Brescia) to the Colg 47Similar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 7
OWN 47
0
96.6%
Asauni Allen 0 Yd Fumble Return (Spencer Biscoe Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5997% → 97%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.7%
Casey Filkins run for 6 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+30
96.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 30 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
96.9%
Casey Filkins run for 3 yds to the Colg 36Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+10
96.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 10 yds to the Colg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
97.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 26 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:583% → 3%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.0%
Max Hurleman run for 2 yds to the Colg 27Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
97.0%
Michael Brescia run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 26Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
97.1%
COLGATE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colg 21Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
97.1%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
96.8%
Shelby Pruett punt for 51 ydsSimilar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
96.8%
Shelby Pruett punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Bryce Farrell at the Stanf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 4:2097% → 97%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
96.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 4 yds to the Stanf 32Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+15
96.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 15 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
96.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 25 yds to the Colg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
97.0%
E.J. Smith run for 6 yds to the Colg 22Similar
Q2 10:51
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+1
97.0%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 1 yd to the Colg 21Similar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+16
96.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 16 yds to the Colg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
97.0%
Casey Filkins run for 4 yds to the Colg 1Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:013% → 3%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.2%
Michael Brescia run for 3 yds to the Colg 28Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.1%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.3%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+13
97.3%
Shelby Pruett punt for 41 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 13 yds to the Stanf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12TD
11 plays · 56 yds · 4:1498% → 99%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
97.5%
E.J. Smith run for 1 yd to the Stanf 45Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+5
97.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 4
50
+10
97.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 10 yds to the Colg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.5%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+30
97.5%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Casey Filkins for 30 yds to the Colg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-15
97.5%
SMITH, E.J. rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the COL12 (ALLEN, Asauni). PENALTY STA Face mask on SMITH, E.J. enforced 15 yards from the COL10 to the COL25 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 25
+2
97.2%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 2 yds to the Colg 23Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
+10
97.4%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 10 yds to the Colg 13Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
98.9%
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:121% → 2%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
98.6%
Jaedon Henry run for 11 yds to the Colg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.5%
Jaedon Henry run for 5 yds to the Colg 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+6
98.4%
Max Hurleman run for 6 yds to the Colg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 14INT
11 plays · 45 yds · 5:171% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the Colg 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
98.6%
Michael Brescia run for 6 yds to the Colg 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
98.5%
Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the Colg 35 Jaedon Henry fumbled, recovered by Colg Michael Brescia for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.5%
Max Hurleman run for 3 yds to the Colg 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
98.5%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Max Hurleman for 6 yds to the Colg 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
98.5%
Michael Brescia run for 5 yds to the Colg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
98.5%
Max Hurleman run for 9 yds to the Stanf 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+7
98.4%
Max Hurleman run for 7 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.4%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
98.4%
Jaedon Henry run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
98.5%
Michael Brescia pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:4899% → 99%
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.8%
Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 6 yds to the Stanf 31Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.8%
Tanner McKee pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 16FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:381% → 2%
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.7%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Garrett Oakey for 7 yds to the Stanf 47Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+7
98.6%
Max Hurleman run for 7 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+19
98.7%
Max Hurleman run for 19 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
98.5%
Treyvohn Saunders run for 12 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
98.5%
Max Hurleman run for 1 yd to the Stanf 8Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
98.5%
Michael Brescia run for 1 yd to the Stanf 7Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.6%
Michael Brescia pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
97.6%
Spencer Biscoe 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:0998% → 98%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.3%
E.J. Smith run for 16 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
98.4%
E.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 40Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-3
98.4%
E.J. Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 37Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 14
OWN 37
0
98.3%
Tanner McKee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
98.2%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:532% → 2%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.8%
Jaedon Henry run for 3 yds to the Colg 28Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
97.7%
Michael Brescia pass complete to Jaedon Henry for 2 yds to the Colg 30Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
97.7%
Michael Brescia run for 4 yds to the Colg 34Similar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
97.7%
Shelby Pruett punt for 42 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for 1 yd to the Stanf 25Similar
Q3 1:11
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
97.7%
Shelby Pruett punt for 42 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for 1 yd to the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5698% → 100%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.3%
Casey Filkins run for 5 yds to the Stanf 30Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
98.3%
Tanner McKee pass complete to E.J. Smith for 15 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+53
98.6%
Tanner McKee pass complete to John Humphreys for 53 yds to the Colg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.6%
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd to the Colg 1Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
Max Hurleman run for 1 yd to the Colg 21Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-10
99.6%
Michael Brescia sacked by Stephen Herron for a loss of 10 yards to the Colg 11Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+8
99.6%
Michael Brescia run for 8 yds to the Colg 19Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+8
99.6%
Shelby Pruett punt for 54 yds , Casey Filkins returns for 8 yds to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.7%
STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Sam Roush) to the Stanf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
99.7%
Caleb Robinson run for 4 yds to the Stanf 34Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+1
99.7%
Caleb Robinson run for 1 yd to the Stanf 35Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.7%
Ari Patu run for 2 yds to the Stanf 37Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+10
99.7%
Ryan Sanborn punt for 53 yds , Max Hurleman returns for 10 yds to the Colg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Marco Maldonado run for 3 yds to the Colg 23Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
99.8%
Marco Maldonado run for 1 yd to the Colg 24Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+2
99.8%
Harry Kirk pass complete to Brady Hutchison for 2 yds to the Colg 26Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Shelby Pruett punt for 37 yds , Bryce Farrell returns for no gain to the Colg 26 COLGATE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Colg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 23TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:33100% → 100%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
99.8%
Ari Patu pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 13 yds to the Colg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Caleb Robinson run for 2 yds to the Colg 33Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+4
99.8%
Brendon Barrow run for 4 yds to the Colg 29Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+5
99.8%
COLGATE Penalty, Delay Of Game (K2 Dickens) to the Colg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Ari Patu pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
99.8%
Brendon Barrow run for 7 yds to the Colg 17Similar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
Brendon Barrow run for 2 yds to the Colg 15Similar
Q4 7:48
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+3
99.8%
Ari Patu run for 3 yds to the Colg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.8%
Caleb Robinson run for 5 yds to the Colg 7Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Ari Patu pass complete to Mudia Reuben for 7 yds for a TD, (Emmet Kenney PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLGDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Zach Osborne run for 3 yds to the Colg 28Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Moises Aracena run for no gain to the Colg 28Similar
Q4 3:15
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
100.0%
Alex Rosso run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colg 27Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Shelby Pruett punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Shelby Pruett punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the Stanf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Arlen Harris run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
100.0%
Arlen Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:16
Tanner McKee pass complete to Michael Wilson for 13 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q4 14:15
Casey Filkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)
+1.1
FG · Q3 5:17
Spencer Biscoe 25 yd FG GOOD
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com