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UCD

UC Davis 13 at California 34

CAL
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · California Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · CAL
modelCAL aheadUCD aheadconfidence bandkey playCAL scoreUCD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+4.1CAL 91.9%Dario Longhetto 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 27 · Q3 7:02
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:02 · Dario Longhetto 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior+15.0Home team on offense+17.9Score differential+7.8Garbage-time factor+5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:09: Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Gomez KICK) — UCD win probability +5.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:25: Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 8 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK) — CAL win probability +4.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:20: Craig Woodson 39 Yd Interception Return (Dario Longhetto Kick) — CAL win probability +6.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:04: Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Gomez PAT MISSED) — UCD win probability +5.6 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UCD has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 7:02: Dario Longhetto 41 yd FG GOOD — CAL win probability +4.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CAL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CAL made the numbers' call on 3 of 6UCD made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 13:37CAL 4th & 17 at CAL 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59UCD 4th & 5 at UCD 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:48CAL 4th & 18 at CAL 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.3
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:48UCD 4th & 1 at CAL 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:57UCD 4th & 1 at CAL 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−1.0
    89% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−3.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:00CAL 4th & 3 at CAL 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:20UCD 4th & 1 at UCD 15, up 7
    Close callPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:33UCD 4th & 10 at CAL 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:36UCD 4th & 6 at CAL 38, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%
    38% to make
    Punt
    19.7%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:02CAL 4th & 8 at UCD 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−4.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:02UCD 4th & 3 at CAL 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−4.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:20CAL 4th & 1 at CAL 21, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:26UCD 4th & 3 at UCD 40, down 14
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:48CAL 4th & 7 at UCD 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:56UCD 4th & 1 at UCD 21, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−0.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:19UCD 4th & 17 at CAL 43, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    28% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:47UCD 4th & 18 at CAL 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CAL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UCD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:09UCD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:54CAL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:25CAL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:20CAL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:04UCD Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:19CAL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CALDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:2386% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.0%
Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
86.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-9
86.0%
Jack Plummer sacked by Da'Von Frazier for a loss of 9 yards to the Cal 18Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
85.5%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trent Tompkins at the UCDav 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3814% → 15%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
85.6%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for no gain to the UCDav 33Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
85.6%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. for 1 yd to the UCDav 34Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+9
85.6%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 9 yds to the UCDav 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
85.5%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCDav 48Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
85.5%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Ulonzo Gilliam Jr.Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 5
OWN 48
0
85.5%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+4
84.8%
Henry Reich punt for 43 yds , Jeremiah Hunter returns for 4 yds to the Cal 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 2:1185% → 84%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
84.8%
Damien Moore run for 4 yds to the Cal 17Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
84.8%
Damien Moore run for no gain to the Cal 17Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 6
OWN 17
-12
84.7%
Jack Plummer sacked by Jaylin White for a loss of 12 yards to the Cal 5Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 18
OWN 5
+7
83.8%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 55 yds , Trent Tompkins returns for 7 yds to the UCDav 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 4TD
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:3916% → 22%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
83.7%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cal 49Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+10
83.7%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 10 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
83.7%
Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 1 yd to the Cal 38Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
83.7%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 35Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
83.7%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 5 yds to the Cal 30Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+2
83.9%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
83.6%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+6
83.6%
Trent Tompkins run for 6 yds to the Cal 22Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+6
83.7%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Blake Thorpe for 6 yds to the Cal 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
83.5%
C.J. Hutton run for 7 yds to the Cal 9Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+4
83.5%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
83.5%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Trent TompkinsSimilar
Q1 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
83.5%
Trent Tompkins run for 1 yd to the Cal 4Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
78.4%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 5INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.3%
Jack Plummer pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 6DOWNS
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:0622% → 23%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
78.2%
Trent Tompkins run for 3 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+13
78.1%
Lan Larison run for 13 yds to the Cal 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
78.1%
Lan Larison run for no gain to the Cal 18Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
78.1%
Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 9 yds to the Cal 9Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
78.3%
Miles Hastings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
76.9%
Trent Tompkins run for 2 yds to the Cal 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:5778% → 76%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
77.5%
Jaydn Ott run for 11 yds to the Cal 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
76.9%
Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the Cal 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
77.0%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+4
76.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Keleki Latu for 4 yds to the Cal 29Similar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
75.7%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 65 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4024% → 25%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
76.1%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Ulonzo Gilliam Jr.Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 6
-2
76.1%
Miles Hastings sacked by Xavier Carlton for a loss of 2 yards to the UCDav 4Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 12
OWN 4
+5
76.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hastings,Miles pass incomplete short right to Hutton,C.J. PENALTY CAL Offside (Carlton,Xavier) 5 yards from UCD04 to UCD09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+6
76.5%
Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 6 yds to the UCDav 15Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 1
OWN 15
+13
75.4%
Henry Reich punt for 51 yds , Jeremiah Hunter returns for 13 yds to the Cal 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 9TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:2676% → 80%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
76.1%
Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the UCDav 49Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
76.4%
Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the UCDav 46Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+9
76.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 9 yds to the UCDav 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
76.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 12 yds to the UCDav 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
77.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 14 yds to the UCDav 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
77.0%
Jaydn Ott run for 5 yds to the UCDav 6Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
77.0%
Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the UCDav 3Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
80.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 3 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 45 yds · 2:1722% → 24%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
77.7%
Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 6 yds to the UCDav 22Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+2
77.5%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCDav 24Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+12
77.9%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 12 yds to the UCDav 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
77.2%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 25 yds to the CALIFORNIA 39 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
76.1%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Justin KraftSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
76.1%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to C.J. HuttonSimilar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
76.7%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Justin KraftSimilar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
75.9%
Henry Reich punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 11TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 4:0878% → 85%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
77.8%
Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the Cal 17Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
77.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Mavin AndersonSimilar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+28
77.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 28 yds to the Cal 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
79.3%
Jaydn Ott run for 6 yds to the UCDav 49Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+10
79.7%
Jaydn Ott run for 10 yds to the UCDav 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
79.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Plummer,Jack pass incomplete short middle to Mangum,Mason PENALTY CAL Holding (Cindric,Matthew) 10 yards from UCD39 to UCD49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 20
OPP 49
+2
78.8%
Jaydn Ott run for 2 yds to the UCDav 47Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 18
OPP 47
+27
78.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 27 yds to the UCDav 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
80.0%
Jaydn Ott run for 3 yds to the UCDav 17Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+9
80.0%
Jaydn Ott run for 9 yds to the UCDav 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
84.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 8 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 1:4917% → 19%
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.7%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCDav 31Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
82.1%
Miles Hastings pass complete to McCallan Castles for 12 yds to the UCDav 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
81.9%
Miles Hastings pass complete to McCallan Castles for 15 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
81.0%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Blake Thorpe for 6 yds to the Cal 36Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+3
80.7%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 3 yds to the Cal 33Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-5
80.8%
PENALTY UCD False Start (Sarale,Nico) 5 yards from CAL33 to CAL38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
81.3%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Justin KraftSimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+4
81.5%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Justin Kraft for 4 yds to the Cal 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 13FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:3683% → 86%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
83.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 6 yds to the Cal 40Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+9
84.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 9 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+19
84.2%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 19 yds to the UCDav 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
84.6%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Jaydn Ott for 18 yds to the UCDav 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+32
86.1%
Dario Longhetto 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 14INT TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4085% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.9%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCDav 30Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-39
91.2%
Craig Woodson 39 Yd Interception Return (Dario Longhetto Kick)Similar
Q3 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
92.1%
Longhetto,Dario kick attempt good (H: Sheahan,Jamieson, LS: Zellers,Slater) PENALTY CAL Holding (Croteau,Braxten) 10 yards from UCD03 to UCD03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
91.7%
PENALTY CAL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from CAL35 to CAL20. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 15TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
86.1%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Gomez PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 16FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 6:5787% → 92%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
87.4%
Jaydn Ott run for 6 yds to the Cal 24Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+6
87.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to J. Michael Sturdivant for 6 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
87.4%
Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
87.6%
Jack Plummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+10
87.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Keleki Latu for 10 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
88.1%
Jaydn Ott run for 9 yds to the UCDav 47Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+1
88.2%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 1 yd to the UCDav 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
88.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
88.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to DeCarlos BrooksSimilar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+10
87.5%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Elijah Mojarro for 10 yds to the UCDav 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
88.2%
Jack Plummer run for 11 yds to the UCDav 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-15
88.2%
Brooks,DeCarlos rush left for 5 yards gain to the UCD20 (Moreno,George) PENALTY CAL Chop Block (Lovell,Spencer) 15 yards from UCD25 to UCD40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 25
OPP 40
0
88.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Damien Moore for no gain to the UCDav 40Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 25
OPP 40
+17
87.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Tommy Christakos for 17 yds to the UCDav 23Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
87.8%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Tommy ChristakosSimilar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+41
91.9%
Dario Longhetto 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 17INT
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:3410% → 11%
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.4%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 1 yd to the UCDav 26Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
90.4%
Trent Tompkins run for no gain to the UCDav 26Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
90.6%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 9 yds to the UCDav 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
89.8%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCDav 38Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
89.6%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Chaz DavisSimilar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+13
90.0%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. for 13 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
88.9%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 14 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
88.3%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to McCallan CastlesSimilar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
88.4%
Miles Hastings run for 7 yds to the Cal 28Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
88.7%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Josh GaleSimilar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+4
89.5%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Justin Kraft for 4 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
89.4%
Miles Hastings pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0894% → 94%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
93.9%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jeremiah HunterSimilar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+10
93.9%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 10 yds to the Cal 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
94.0%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Mavin AndersonSimilar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
94.0%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the Cal 16Similar
Q3 2:28
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+5
93.8%
Jack Plummer pass complete to DeCarlos Brooks for 5 yds to the Cal 21Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+4
94.0%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 50 yds , Trent Tompkins returns for 4 yds to the UCDav 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:348% → 8%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
92.4%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCDav 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
92.1%
Shotgun Tompkins,Trent rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UCD36 (Woodson,Craig) PENALTY UCD Illegal Block in Back (Amoah,Nick) 11 yard from UCD37 to UCD26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 26
+3
92.9%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. for 3 yds to the UCDav 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+11
93.0%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. for 11 yds to the UCDav 40Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
92.5%
Justin Dwinell punt for 37 yds , Jeremiah Hunter returns for no gain to the Cal 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 2:3895% → 95%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
94.9%
Jaydn Ott run for 4 yds to the Cal 27Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
95.0%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Monroe Young for 10 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
95.1%
Jaydn Ott run for 18 yds to the UCDav 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
95.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 2 yds to the UCDav 47Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+5
95.3%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Andy Alfieri for 5 yds to the UCDav 42Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 7
OPP 42
0
95.2%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Jaydn OttSimilar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 7
OPP 42
0
95.3%
Jamieson Sheahan punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:527% → 6%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
93.3%
Lan Larison run for 1 yd to the UCDav 13Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+5
93.3%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 5 yds to the UCDav 18Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+3
93.3%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Lan Larison for 3 yds to the UCDav 21Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 1
OWN 21
0
94.0%
Justin Dwinell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Hunter at the Cal 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 22TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:3796% → 99%
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
96.3%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the Cal 46Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+36
96.4%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Monroe Young for 36 yds to the UCDav 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
96.4%
Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Monroe YoungSimilar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
96.4%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the UCDav 14Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
99.1%
Jack Plummer pass complete to Mavin Anderson for 14 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCDDrive 23MISSED FG
17 plays · 43 yds · 4:321% → 1%
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.2%
Miles Hastings pass complete to C.J. Hutton for 1 yd to the UCDav 24Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.2%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Justin Poerio for 10 yds to the UCDav 34Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.1%
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCDav 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.1%
Matteo Perez run for 4 yds to the UCDav 42Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+6
99.1%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Matteo Perez for 6 yds to the UCDav 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
99.1%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Blake Thorpe for 16 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Matteo PerezSimilar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.1%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. for 5 yds to the Cal 31Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-15
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hastings,Miles pass complete short right to Hutton,C.J. for 7 yards to the CAL24 (Rutchena,Nate) PENALTY UCD Chop Block (Parks,Jake) 15 yards from CAL31 to CAL46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+3
99.2%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. for 3 yds to the Cal 43Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 17
OPP 43
+19
99.2%
Miles Hastings pass complete to Trent Tompkins for 19 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-8
98.9%
Miles Hastings sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 18
OPP 32
0
99.4%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Lance Babb IISimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 18
OPP 32
0
99.4%
Miles Hastings pass incomplete to Chaz DavisSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 18
OPP 32
+50
99.5%
Isaiah Gomez 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CALDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:47100% → 100%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.5%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 34Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
99.5%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 32Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+12
99.6%
DeCarlos Brooks run for 12 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.6%
Ashton Stredick run for 8 yds to the UCDav 48Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+5
99.6%
Ashton Stredick run for 5 yds to the UCDav 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
99.7%
Kai Millner run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCDav 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:20
Craig Woodson 39 Yd Interception Return (Dario Longhetto Kick)
+6.3
TD · Q3 14:04
Ulonzo Gilliam Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Gomez PAT MISSED)
-5.6
TD · Q1 3:09
Miles Hastings pass complete to Chaz Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Gomez KICK)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com