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NAU

Northern Arizona 3 at Arizona State 40

ASU
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadNAU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreNAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:12 · J.Feely punts 37 yards to NAZ 39, Center-J.Ferlmann. Fair catch by C.Owen.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:14: E.Jones rushed to NAZ End Zone for 1 yards. E.Jones for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ASU win probability +2.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:48: X.Valladay rushed to NAZ End Zone for 4 yards. X.Valladay for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ASU win probability +3.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:26: E.Jones rushed to NAZ End Zone for 17 yards. E.Jones for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ASU win probability +2.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:39: X.Valladay rushed to NAZ End Zone for 27 yards. X.Valladay for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — ASU win probability +1.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7NAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:36NAU 4th & 10 at NAU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:25ASU 4th & 5 at NAU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:56NAU 4th & 8 at NAU 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:18ASU 4th & 9 at NAU 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    91.3%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:14ASU 4th & 1 at NAU 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:34NAU 4th & 2 at NAU 28, down 10
    Close callPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:21NAU 4th & 3 at NAU 32, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:47ASU 4th & 4 at NAU 18, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:40NAU 4th & 11 at NAU 28, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:22ASU 4th & 9 at NAU 26, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:54NAU 4th & 6 at NAU 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:59ASU 4th & 12 at NAU 26, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:24NAU 4th & 5 at NAU 28, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:27NAU 4th & 5 at ASU 21, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    74% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:12ASU 4th & 4 at ASU 24, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 8:14ASU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:48ASU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:26ASU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NAUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:246% → 6%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.2%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 25. Catch made by C.Owen at NAZ 25. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by E.Woods at NAZ 34.Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
94.1%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 34. Catch made by C.Owen at NAZ 34. Gain of 6 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Brown at NAZ 40.Similar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.0%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Moore; M.Robertson at NAZ 40.Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
93.9%
R.Martinez steps back to pass. R.Martinez pass incomplete intended for K.Daniels.Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
93.9%
R.Martinez steps back to pass. R.Martinez pass incomplete intended for K.Daniels.Similar
Q1 13:36
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+38
93.9%
E.Herranen punts 38 yards to ASU 22, Center-T.Wigglesworth. Downed by NAZ.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:0094% → 93%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
93.9%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 22. Catch made by A.Johnson at ASU 22. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by A.Sweeney at ASU 38.Similar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
93.7%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 38. Catch made by E.Badger at ASU 38. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by G.Steele at ASU 44.Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
93.6%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 47 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Wilson at ASU 47.Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+7
93.5%
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ 46 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Vest at NAZ 46.Similar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
93.5%
E.Jones pass complete to NAZ 46. Catch made by M.Swinson at NAZ 46. Gain of 13 yards. Pushed out of bounds by M.Vest at NAZ 33.Similar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
93.4%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for B.Thompson.Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+19
93.4%
E.Jones pass complete to NAZ 33. Catch made by M.Swinson at NAZ 33. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by K.Hightower at NAZ 14.Similar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
93.3%
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ 10 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Wilson at NAZ 10.Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-1
93.1%
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ 11 for -1 yards. Tackled by H.Lameta at NAZ 11.Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+2
92.9%
D.Ngata rushed to NAZ 9 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Hightower at NAZ 9.Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
92.9%
C.Brown 27 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Ferlmann, Holder-E.Czaplicki.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:257% → 7%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.8%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 25. Catch made by C.Owen at NAZ 25. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by J.Moore at NAZ 25.Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.7%
G.Robinson rushed to NAZ 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Robertson; A.Cooper at NAZ 27.Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
92.6%
R.Martinez steps back to pass. R.Martinez pass incomplete intended for D.Hall.Similar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+52
92.7%
E.Herranen punts 52 yards to ASU 21, Center-S.Farfan. Downed by NAZ.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:2692% → 91%
Q1 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
92.4%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 30 for 9 yards. Tackled by C.Humphrey at ASU 30.Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+8
92.3%
E.Jones rushed to ASU 38 for 8 yards. Tackled by K.Hightower; D.Watts at ASU 38.Similar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
92.2%
D.Ngata rushed to NAZ 47 for 15 yards. Tackled by C.Humphrey at NAZ 47.Similar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.2%
PENALTY on ASU-I.Glass, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+6
91.9%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 48. Catch made by A.Johnson at ASU 48. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by C.Humphrey at NAZ 46.Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 9
OPP 46
0
92.0%
E.Jones pass complete to NAZ 46. Catch made by D.Ngata at NAZ 46. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by K.Hightower; J.Wilson at NAZ 46.Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
91.7%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for Z.Freeman.Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+25
91.3%
E.Czaplicki punts 25 yards to NAZ 21, Center-J.Ferlmann. Downed by ASU.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:009% → 10%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
91.5%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 28 for 7 yards. Tackled by T.Moore at NAZ 28.Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
91.2%
PENALTY on NAZ-P.Poutasi, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
91.2%
R.Martinez pass INTERCEPTED at NAZ 23. Intercepted by K.Markham at NAZ 23. K.Markham for yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on ASU-A.Cooper, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
91.0%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 28. Catch made by I.Gerena at NAZ 28. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by C.Soelle at NAZ 28.Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+6
91.1%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 34 for 6 yards. Tackled by T.Pesefea at NAZ 34.Similar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
90.8%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 34. Catch made by J.Glaspie at NAZ 34. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by R.Torrence at NAZ 36.Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
90.7%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 40 for 4 yards. Tackled by K.Soelle at NAZ 40.Similar
Q1 0:31
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+15
90.3%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 40. Catch made by J.Glaspie at NAZ 40. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 45.Similar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.0%
R.Martinez steps back to pass. R.Martinez pass incomplete intended for H.Johnson.Similar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
89.9%
G.Robinson rushed to ASU 45 for 0 yards. Tackled by O.Norman-Lott; K.Markham at ASU 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 4:3390% → 91%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
89.6%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 29 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Wilson at ASU 29.Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+20
89.5%
C.Hall rushed to ASU 49 for 20 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Hightower at ASU 49.Similar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
90.1%
E.Jones rushed to NAZ 46 for 5 yards. Tackled by C.Kwete; M.Vest at NAZ 46.Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+21
90.0%
E.Jones pass complete to NAZ 46. Catch made by G.Sanders at NAZ 46. Gain of 21 yards. G.Sanders ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
90.0%
E.Jones pass complete to NAZ 25. Catch made by E.Badger at NAZ 25. Gain of 15 yards. E.Badger ran out of bounds.Similar
Q2 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
90.0%
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ 9 for 1 yards. Tackled by H.Lameta at NAZ 9.Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
89.4%
E.Jones rushed to NAZ 7 for 2 yards. Tackled by H.Lameta at NAZ 7.Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
88.9%
E.Jones rushed to NAZ End Zone for yards. E.Jones for yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane and the play was overturned. E.Jones rushed to NAZ 1 for 6 yards. Tackled by M.Vest at NAZ 1.Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
E.Jones rushed to NAZ End Zone for 1 yards. E.Jones for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:259% → 9%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
91.2%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 20. Catch made by I.Gerena at NAZ 20. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by ASU at NAZ 27.Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
90.9%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 29 for 2 yards. Tackled by N.Silvera; T.Moore at NAZ 29.Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 1
OWN 29
-1
91.1%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 28 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Moore at NAZ 28.Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+47
91.4%
E.Herranen punts 47 yards to ASU 25, Center-S.Farfan. Downed by NAZ.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3591% → 95%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
91.0%
D.Ngata rushed to NAZ 46 for 29 yards. Tackled by T.Ellis at NAZ 46.Similar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
91.6%
D.Ngata rushed to NAZ 45 for 1 yards. Tackled by S.Newton at NAZ 45.Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+2
91.5%
D.Ngata rushed to NAZ 43 for 2 yards. Tackled by T.Ellis at NAZ 43.Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+6
91.1%
E.Jones pass complete to NAZ 43. Catch made by E.Badger at NAZ 43. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by C.Humphrey at NAZ 37.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
91.4%
PENALTY on NAZ-E.Kwete, Defensive Targeting, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
91.5%
E.Jones pass complete to NAZ 22. Catch made by M.Swinson at NAZ 22. Gain of 18 yards. Tackled by T.Ellis at NAZ 4.Similar
Q2 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.3%
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ End Zone for 4 yards. X.Valladay for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 9INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:466% → 6%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
R.Martinez rushed to NAZ 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Pesefea; M.Robertson at NAZ 25.Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.4%
D.Hall rushed to NAZ 36 for 11 yards. Tackled by C.Edmonds at NAZ 36.Similar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.1%
R.Martinez pass INTERCEPTED at NAZ 45. Intercepted by K.Soelle at NAZ 45. Tackled by NAZ at NAZ 45.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:2395% → 97%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+28
95.3%
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ 17 for 28 yards. Tackled by J.Wilson at NAZ 17.Similar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
97.4%
E.Jones rushed to NAZ End Zone for 17 yards. E.Jones for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:583% → 3%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.9%
D.Hall rushed to NAZ 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Cooper at NAZ 28.Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
96.7%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 28. Catch made by D.Hall at NAZ 28. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by M.Robertson at NAZ 32.Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
96.8%
R.Martinez steps back to pass. R.Martinez pass incomplete intended for D.Hall.Similar
Q2 1:21
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+37
96.9%
E.Herranen punts 37 yards to ASU 31, Center-S.Farfan. D.Taylor returned punt from the ASU 31. Tackled by J.Powell at ASU 36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:1497% → 99%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
97.4%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 41 for 9 yards. Tackled by M.Vest; S.Newton at ASU 41.Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+11
97.6%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 41. Catch made by E.Badger at ASU 41. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by K.Hightower at NAZ 48.Similar
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+20
97.6%
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ 28 for 20 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Davis at NAZ 28.Similar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
97.6%
E.Jones rushed to NAZ 27 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Kwete at NAZ 27.Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+27
99.4%
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ End Zone for 27 yards. X.Valladay for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:121% → 1%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.4%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 16. Catch made by C.Owen at NAZ 16. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by K.Soelle at NAZ 17.Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 17
-2
99.5%
R.Martinez rushed to NAZ 15 for -2 yards. Tackled by T.Moore at NAZ 15.Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 11
OWN 15
0
99.5%
R.Martinez pass INTERCEPTED at NAZ 49. Intercepted by C.Edmonds at NAZ 49. Tackled by NAZ at NAZ 14. PENALTY on ASU-ASU, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 15FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.5%
D.Ngata rushed to NAZ 21 for 3 yards. Tackled by NAZ at NAZ 21.Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+3
99.5%
D.Ngata rushed to NAZ 18 for 3 yards. Pushed out of bounds by K.Hightower at NAZ 18.Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 18
0
99.6%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for C.Johnson.Similar
Q3 9:47
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+36
99.6%
C.Brown 36 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Ferlmann, Holder-E.Czaplicki.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 4:010% → 0%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
99.6%
G.Robinson rushed to NAZ 7 for 1 yards. Tackled by R.Torrence at NAZ 7.Similar
Q3 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+1
99.6%
G.Robinson rushed to NAZ 8 for 1 yards. Tackled by B.Green at NAZ 8.Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+8
99.6%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 8. Catch made by G.Robinson at NAZ 8. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by M.Robertson at NAZ 16.Similar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
99.6%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 16. Catch made by H.Johnson at NAZ 16. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by ASU at NAZ 29.Similar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
99.6%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 26 for -3 yards. Tackled by J.Moore at NAZ 26.Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 13
OWN 26
-2
99.7%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 24 for -2 yards. Tackled by K.Bethley at NAZ 24.Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 15
OWN 24
+4
99.6%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 24. Catch made by G.Robinson at NAZ 24. Gain of 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by N.Silvera at NAZ 28.Similar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+37
99.6%
E.Herranen punts 37 yards to ASU 35, Center-S.Farfan. Fair catch by D.Taylor.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 17FG
10 plays · 39 yds · 5:09100% → 100%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 40 for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Vest at ASU 40.Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-1
99.8%
X.Valladay rushed to ASU 39 for -1 yards. Tackled by M.Ho Ching at ASU 39.Similar
Q3 4:16
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+14
99.8%
E.Jones pass complete to ASU 39. Catch made by A.Johnson at ASU 39. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by T.Montgomery at NAZ 47.Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.8%
E.Jones rushed to NAZ 45 for 2 yards. Tackled by K.Hightower; J.Wilson at NAZ 45.Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+7
99.8%
E.Jones pass complete to NAZ 45. Catch made by B.Thompson at NAZ 45. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by A.Davis at NAZ 38.Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+11
99.8%
E.Jones rushed to NAZ 27 for 11 yards. Tackled by H.Lameta at NAZ 27.Similar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ 27 for 0 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Wilson; M.Vest at NAZ 27.Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+1
99.8%
D.Ngata rushed to NAZ 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by NAZ at NAZ 26.Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 9
OPP 26
0
99.8%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for G.Sanders.Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 9
OPP 26
+44
99.8%
C.Brown 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Ferlmann, Holder-E.Czaplicki.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:160% → 0%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 29 for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by ASU at NAZ 29.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-1
99.9%
K.Daniels rushed to NAZ 28 for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Djonkam at NAZ 28.Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 28. Catch made by D.Hall at NAZ 28. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by ASU at NAZ 32.Similar
Q4 13:54
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+49
99.9%
E.Herranen punts 49 yards to ASU 19, Center-S.Farfan. D.Taylor returned punt from the ASU 19. Tackled by J.Walton at ASU 19.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 19FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 5:38100% → 100%
Q4 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
D.Ngata rushed to ASU 20 for 1 yards. Tackled by NAZ at ASU 20.Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
D.Ngata rushed to ASU 23 for 3 yards. Tackled by G.Steele; C.Kwete at ASU 23.Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
99.9%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for B.Thompson. PENALTY on NAZ-G.Steele, Defensive Pass Interference, 12 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
99.9%
T.White rushed to NAZ 49 for 16 yards. Tackled by K.Hightower at NAZ 49.Similar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
E.Jones rushed to NAZ 46 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Wilson at NAZ 46.Similar
Q4 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
T.White rushed to NAZ 42 for 4 yards. Tackled by NAZ at NAZ 42.Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
T.White rushed to NAZ 39 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Hightower at NAZ 39.Similar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for C.Johnson. PENALTY on NAZ-E.Rhambo, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
99.9%
T.White rushed to NAZ 27 for -3 yards. Tackled by M.Carreon at NAZ 27.Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 13
OPP 27
+1
99.9%
T.White rushed to NAZ 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Wallace at NAZ 26.Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 12
OPP 26
0
99.9%
E.Jones steps back to pass. E.Jones pass incomplete intended for G.Hart.Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+44
99.9%
C.Brown 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-J.Ferlmann, Holder-E.Czaplicki.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 23. Catch made by H.Johnson at NAZ 23. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by M.Robertson at NAZ 24.Similar
Q4 7:13
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
99.9%
R.Martinez steps back to pass. R.Martinez pass incomplete intended for NAZ.Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
R.Martinez pass complete to NAZ 24. Catch made by D.Hall at NAZ 24. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by C.Soelle at NAZ 28.Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+32
99.9%
E.Herranen punts 32 yards to ASU 40, Center-S.Farfan. Out of bounds. PENALTY on ASU-G.Hart, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NAUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
A.Wyble-Meza rushed to ASU 25 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Hall at ASU 25.Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
A.Wyble-Meza rushed to ASU 23 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Djonkam at ASU 23.Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+2
100.0%
J.Widener pass complete to ASU 23. Catch made by A.Wyble-Meza at ASU 23. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 21.Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
J.Widener pass complete to ASU 21. Catch made by E.Taylor at ASU 21. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by ASU at ASU 18.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:10100% → 100%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
99.9%
G.Hart rushed to ASU 21 for 3 yards. Tackled by NAZ at ASU 21.Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+2
100.0%
G.Hart rushed to ASU 23 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Watts at ASU 23.Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+1
100.0%
G.Hart rushed to ASU 24 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Ellis at ASU 24.Similar
Q4 0:12
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+37
100.0%
J.Feely punts 37 yards to NAZ 39, Center-J.Ferlmann. Fair catch by C.Owen.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:48
X.Valladay rushed to NAZ End Zone for 4 yards. X.Valladay for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+3.9
TD · Q2 8:14
E.Jones rushed to NAZ End Zone for 1 yards. E.Jones for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+2.5
TD · Q2 2:26
E.Jones rushed to NAZ End Zone for 17 yards. E.Jones for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com