Try the model
LSU

LSU 23 at Texas A&M 38

TA&M
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Kyle Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadLSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreLSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDFUMBLETDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:08 · Jay Bramblett punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 82Pregame prior−10.7Home team on offense+5.9Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:10: Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 3 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +10.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:40: John Emery Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK) — LSU win probability +15.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  3. FUMBLE · Q3 7:03: Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 8 yards Jayden Daniels fumbled, forced by Edgerrin Cooper, recovered by TexAM Demani Richardson , return for 27 yds, (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +18.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:54: Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 21 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +10.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:21: John Emery Jr. 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — LSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: LSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:31LSU 4th & 5 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 9:23TA&M 4th & 7 at LSU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    34.4%−3.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:38LSU 4th & 2 at TA&M 16, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.5%−1.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    53.0%−6.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:08LSU 4th & 7 at TA&M 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.7%
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:14TA&M 4th & 9 at TA&M 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:19TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 2:57LSU 4th & 16 at TA&M 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−3.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 12:29LSU 4th & 17 at LSU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−2.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:00TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:37LSU 4th & 15 at TA&M 27, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:54TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:00LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:10TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:40LSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:54TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:46TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:21LSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 2:2070% → 69%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.0%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+15
30.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 15 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
30.4%
Noah Cain run for no gain to the LSU 45Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
30.6%
John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 5
50
0
30.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:31
4TH & 5
50
0
30.9%
Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2TD
15 plays · 90 yds · 7:0631% → 39%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
31.3%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+6
31.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 6 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+8
31.6%
Devon Achane run for 8 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
32.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 10 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
32.5%
Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
33.0%
Conner Weigman run for no gain to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
33.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 9 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+4
33.4%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
33.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 4 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+5
34.2%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
34.2%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
34.9%
Devon Achane run for 8 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+2
34.9%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the LSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
35.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 7 yds to the LSU 10Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
39.2%
Devon Achane run for 10 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 3TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4562% → 66%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the LSU 28Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
38.4%
Daniels, Jayden pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference (Jones, Jaylon) 12 yards to the LSU40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.Similar
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
38.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
38.3%
John Emery Jr. run for 11 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
37.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 5 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
38.2%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
38.4%
John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
38.7%
Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32 Noah Cain fumbled, forced by Antonio Johnson, recovered by LSU Emery JonesSimilar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
38.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 4 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
38.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
39.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+16
40.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the TexAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
34.2%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 4:2838% → 42%
Q2 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
37.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
39.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 18 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
40.1%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
40.5%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the LSU 26Similar
Q2 11:38
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
40.2%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
41.3%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
41.3%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the LSU 19Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+9
41.0%
Conner Weigman run for 9 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
41.9%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the LSU 7Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
42.4%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
41.7%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
41.7%
Randy Bond 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 5FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:3859% → 63%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
41.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 13 yds to the LSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
40.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 22 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
40.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
40.2%
John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+10
40.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 10 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
39.5%
Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+6
39.8%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 6 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 2
OPP 16
0
41.0%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+34
37.3%
Damian Ramos 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:1642% → 56%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+29
41.8%
Devon Achane run for 29 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
44.6%
Conner Weigman run for no gain to the LSU 43Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-2
44.9%
Conner Weigman run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 45Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+12
43.2%
Conner Weigman run for 12 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+13
46.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+17
46.4%
Devon Achane run for 17 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
47.0%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the LSU 2Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
47.5%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 3Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 3 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-2
59.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Offside (-2 Yards) to the LSU 5Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+15
55.9%
LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:5244% → 42%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
56.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 12 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
55.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+11
55.7%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 11 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
53.7%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
54.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 3 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
55.4%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
58.1%
Jay Bramblett punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
57.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4057% → 55%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.9%
Conner Weigman run for 1 yd to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
57.1%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
55.9%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:14
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
55.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:1144% → 62%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
56.2%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 4 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+16
55.8%
Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
54.1%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+12
54.4%
Noah Cain run for 12 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
53.3%
Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+5
53.4%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 5 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+7
55.5%
John Emery Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
54.0%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for no gain to the TexAM 19Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
38.4%
John Emery Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1346% → 45%
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
46.3%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
47.0%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
46.2%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
45.4%
Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 12FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5656% → 39%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
43.8%
Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the LSU 32Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
42.2%
Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the LSU 35Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+27
60.7%
Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 8 yards Jayden Daniels fumbled, forced by Edgerrin Cooper, recovered by TexAM Demani Richardson , return for 27 yds, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:5838% → 32%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 8 yds to the LSU 33Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
60.4%
Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the LSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
61.9%
Noah Cain run for 5 yds to the LSU 41Similar
Q3 5:33
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
60.6%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 8 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
61.3%
Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+8
61.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 8 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
61.5%
Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 6
OPP 37
0
61.2%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 6
OPP 37
-10
62.5%
LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 47Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 16
OPP 47
0
66.3%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:57
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
68.0%
Jay Bramblett punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 2:5371% → 91%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
70.7%
Devon Achane run for 9 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+1
73.5%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
73.2%
Amari Daniels run for 11 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
77.5%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+13
78.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
79.5%
Amari Daniels run for 23 yds to the LSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
81.1%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the LSU 21Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+21
91.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 21 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 2:1713% → 11%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.1%
John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 25Similar
Q4 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
87.1%
Jayden Daniels sacked by Walter Nolen for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 20Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-10
88.3%
LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LSU 10Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 25
OWN 10
+8
88.6%
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the LSU 18Similar
Q4 12:29
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+3
89.0%
Jay Bramblett punt for 47 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for 3 yds to the TexAM 21 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the TexAM 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 4:3292% → 99%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
92.0%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+1
92.4%
Conner Weigman run for 1 yd to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+39
92.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 39 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
93.7%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the LSU 30Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+3
94.5%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the LSU 27Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+17
94.6%
Devon Achane run for 17 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
94.9%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the LSU 10Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.2%
Devon Achane run for 10 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:151% → 8%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
98.6%
Jayden Daniels run for 24 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
98.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Noah Cain for 10 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
98.5%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 18 yds to the TexAM 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.3%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 4 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+16
98.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 16 yds to the TexAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.4%
John Emery Jr. 3 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:1196% → 97%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.9%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 24Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
96.0%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
96.5%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
96.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LSUDrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:144% → 4%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
95.9%
Jayden Daniels pass complete to Noah Cain for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
50
+10
95.8%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tyreek Chappell) to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
95.7%
Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 3:07
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+10
95.1%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
95.1%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-5
95.5%
LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 15
OPP 27
0
95.6%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 15
OPP 27
0
95.9%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 15
OPP 27
0
96.5%
Jayden Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20END OF GAME
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:3198% → 99%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
97.7%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-3
98.0%
Devon Achane run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+24
98.4%
Devon Achane run for 24 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
98.7%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the LSU 45Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+2
98.8%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the LSU 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+5
98.9%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the LSU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q3 7:03
Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 8 yards Jayden Daniels fumbled, forced by Edgerrin Cooper, recovered by TexAM Demani Richardson , return for 27 yds, (Randy Bond KICK)
+18.5
TD · Q3 9:40
John Emery Jr. run for 19 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)
-15.6
TD · Q2 1:10
Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 3 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)
+10.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com