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LOU

Louisville 13 at Kentucky 26

UK
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:34 · Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Kent 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Home team on offense+1.7Pregame prior+8.8Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 10:28: Matt Ruffolo 29 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +6.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:37: Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +10.4 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q3 8:43: Matt Ruffolo 35 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +5.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:35: Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +10.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:03: Tyler Hudson 27 Yd pass from Brock Domann (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — LOU win probability +5.2 pts (now 10%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 3 of 7LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:20UK 4th & 1 at UK 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:35LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:34LOU 4th & 1 at UK 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    35.3%−0.9
    85% to make
    Punt
    32.6%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:48UK 4th & 4 at LOU 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.4%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    63.4%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:28UK 4th & 11 at LOU 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−6.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:34LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:58UK 4th & 9 at UK 47, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:58LOU 4th & 1 at UK 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    21.9%−2.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:55LOU 4th & 4 at LOU 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:43UK 4th & 6 at LOU 17, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−8.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:23LOU 4th & 10 at LOU 35, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:06UK 4th & 4 at LOU 22, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:59LOU 4th & 3 at UK 41, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−0.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:12UK 4th & 10 at LOU 40, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:46UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:37LOU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:35UK Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:03LOU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3361% → 61%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 25Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
61.1%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
61.1%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 20Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
61.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 14 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 13:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
61.1%
Wilson Berry punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:4539% → 39%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
61.1%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+10
61.1%
Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 10 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
61.1%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 37Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-2
61.1%
Brock Domann pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 35Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+6
61.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q1 10:35
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
61.2%
Mark Vassett punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:4961% → 65%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
61.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+70
61.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Kattus for 70 yds to the Lvile 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
62.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Lvile 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
62.0%
QB Keeper LEVIS, Will rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the LOU0, TOUCHDOWN UKY, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY Before the snap, UKY Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the LOU2 to the LOU7. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
62.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 8Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
64.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4DOWNS
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:1236% → 35%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
63.7%
Maurice Turner run for 7 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 3
OWN 20
0
63.6%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+3
63.9%
Brock Domann run for 3 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
63.6%
Maurice Turner run for 9 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+10
63.2%
DOMANN, Brock pass to the right incomplete intended for HUDSON, Tyler thrown to the UKY31. PENALTY UKY Holding on VALENTINE, Carrington enforced 10 yards from the LOU32 to the LOU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+22
63.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 22 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
62.9%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+7
62.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+7
62.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 7 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
62.5%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-1
62.6%
Maurice Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 23Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+10
63.0%
Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 10 yds to the Kent 13Similar
Q1 2:34
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
64.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Kent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 5:0666% → 69%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
65.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 18 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
65.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-10
66.6%
MCCLAIN, JuTahn rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the UKY41 (SANOGO, MoMo). PENALTY UKY Holding on DINGLE, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the UKY39 to the UKY29 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
65.7%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+15
65.3%
LEVIS, Will pass up the middle incomplete intended for KATTUS, Josh thrown to the UKY45. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on DUNCAN, Kenderick enforced 15 yards to the UKY44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
66.6%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+15
67.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 15 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
67.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 15 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
68.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
68.0%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+1
67.6%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Lvile 25Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
68.5%
Matt Ruffolo 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2231% → 32%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.9%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
68.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 11 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
68.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
68.0%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-20
68.3%
Brock Domann sacked for a loss of 20 yards to the Lvile 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7FG
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:5871% → 75%
Q2 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
70.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 7Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
71.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Levis) to the Lvile 11Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
69.0%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
75.2%
Matt Ruffolo 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5426% → 24%
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.1%
Maurice Turner run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
74.2%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Zion Childress for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 16Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+13
74.6%
Maurice Turner run for 13 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 6
OWN 29
-4
75.9%
Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds , Barion Brown returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 4:3677% → 78%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
76.5%
JuTahn McClain run for 12 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
76.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 6 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
77.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+6
76.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Kattus for 6 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
77.6%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-10
77.4%
Will Levis sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 36Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 20
OWN 36
+16
76.1%
JuTahn McClain run for 16 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 4
OPP 48
-5
76.5%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+30
77.9%
Wilson Berry punt for 47 yds , Braden Smith returns for 30 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 3:2123% → 36%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
77.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 6 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+7
76.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 7 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.8%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+9
77.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 9 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
75.8%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+3
76.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 3 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
76.2%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyler Hudson) to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 16
OPP 45
+21
77.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 21 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
74.8%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+3
74.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
74.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) to the Kent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
64.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:3771% → 70%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
71.2%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-10
70.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+2
70.2%
JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0532% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
67.8%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Deone Walker and Trevin Wallace for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+6
68.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+9
69.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+13
69.5%
Mark Vassett punt for 39 yds , Barion Brown returns for 13 yds to the Kent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:1273% → 78%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
72.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 48Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
72.9%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+21
71.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 21 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
73.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+6
73.4%
JuTahn McClain run for 6 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+1
72.4%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Lvile 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
73.3%
Will Levis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+2
73.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 6
OPP 17
0
72.5%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 6
OPP 17
+35
78.0%
Matt Ruffolo 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4524% → 22%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
76.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
78.3%
Malik Cunningham pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:2381% → 91%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
80.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 12 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
80.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Lvile 3Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:1213% → 11%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.9%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 7 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
86.0%
Maurice Turner run for 3 yds to the Lvile 35 Maurice Turner fumbled, recovered by Lvile Renato Brown for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
86.1%
Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 1 yd to the Lvile 36Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
86.3%
Brock Domann sacked by Jamarius Dinkins for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 35Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
87.3%
Brock Domann pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
89.5%
Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds , Barion Brown returns for no gain to the Kent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 7:1792% → 98%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
91.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+4
91.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
91.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+13
91.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Rahsaan Lewis for 13 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
92.2%
JuTahn McClain run for 7 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+10
92.3%
JuTahn McClain run for 10 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-4
93.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+14
93.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
94.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+5
94.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-3
93.8%
JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+40
97.5%
Matt Ruffolo 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:034% → 10%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.0%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
95.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
95.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
95.8%
Brock Domann pass complete to Marshon Ford for 16 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
95.7%
Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 4 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-10
95.6%
DOMANN, Brock pass to the left complete for 9 yards to BELL, Chris caught at the UKY40 and advanced to the UKY35 (JONES, Jacquez). PENALTY LOU Holding on MARTIN, Isaac enforced 10 yards from the UKY44 to the LOU46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+13
96.1%
Jawhar Jordan run for 13 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
95.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
95.9%
PENALTY UKY Personal Foul on WRIGHT, Jordan LOU Personal Foul on BROWN, Renato , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+12
95.9%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 12 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
95.0%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
89.8%
Tyler Hudson 27 Yd pass from Brock Domann (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:4896% → 98%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
96.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 20 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
96.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+5
96.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
97.6%
JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 41Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+1
97.6%
JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
97.9%
JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Wilson Berry punt for 39 yds, downed at the Lvile 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20INT
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:362% → 2%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+17
98.2%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 17 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
98.0%
Jawhar Jordan run for 15 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
97.8%
DOMANN, Brock pass up the middle complete for 7 yards to HUDSON, Tyler caught at the LOU36 and advanced to the LOU40 (WALLACE, Trevin). PENALTY LOU Holding on REID, Trevor enforced 10 yards from the LOU33 to the LOU23 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+9
98.1%
Brock Domann pass complete to Braden Smith for 9 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+3
98.0%
Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 3 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+13
98.0%
Brock Domann pass complete to Tyler Hudson for 13 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
97.8%
Brock Domann pass complete to Maurice Turner for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 8
50
0
98.4%
Brock Domann pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 8
50
0
98.4%
Brock Domann pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.7%
Kneel down by UKY at LOU47 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
98.7%
Kneel down by UKY at LOU48 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
98.8%
Kneel down by UKY at LOU48 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:35
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q2 0:37
Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)
-10.4
FG · Q2 10:28
Matt Ruffolo 29 yd FG GOOD
+6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com