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MASS

Massachusetts 3 at Texas A&M 20

TA&M
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+0.3TA&M 92.7%Randy Bond 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 13 · Q3 7:49
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:49 · Randy Bond 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+27.8Home team on offense+11.3Garbage-time factor+6.1Score differential+1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:56: Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 22 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +1.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:48: Le'Veon Moss run for 23 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST down — TA&M win probability +1.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 9:27: Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexAM 26 — MASS win probability +1.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:06: Timeout UMASS, clock 07:06 — TA&M win probability +2.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:10: Le'Veon Moss run for 12 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +3.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MASS made the numbers' call on 13 of 14
  1. Q1 10:58TA&M 4th & 8 at MASS 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:13MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:51TA&M 4th & 9 at MASS 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:06MASS 4th & 8 at TA&M 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:23MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:32TA&M 4th & 17 at TA&M 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:52MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:01MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:01MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:45MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:49TA&M 4th & 16 at MASS 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−3.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:44MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:44MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:56TA&M 4th & 14 at TA&M 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.9%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:48MASS 4th & 6 at TA&M 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:38TA&M 4th & 4 at MASS 28, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−2.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:27MASS 4th & 11 at MASS 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:58TA&M 4th & 5 at TA&M 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:58MASS 4th & 7 at MASS 36, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:19MASS 4th & 20 at MASS 15, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:01MASS 4th & 17 at MASS 4, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 5:56TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 5:10TA&M Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:5698% → 97%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.8%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
97.8%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+22
97.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 22 yds to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.8%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+28
97.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 28 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
97.8%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 13
OPP 15
0
97.8%
Amari Daniels run for no gain to the UMass 15Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 13
OPP 15
0
97.8%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q1 14:54
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+5
97.8%
PENALTY MASS Offside (Klages,Hugo) 5 yards from MASS15 to MASS10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
97.4%
Randy Bond 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:453% → 3%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 25Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.4%
Brady Olson run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.3%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 4 yds Isaac Ross fumbled, recovered by UMass Max LongmanSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 14
OWN 31
0
97.1%
Brady Olson run for no gain to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+5
97.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
96.9%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 30 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for no gain to the TexAM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:2297% → 97%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
96.8%
Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+20
96.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jalen Preston for 20 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
96.9%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the UMass 37Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+1
96.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 1 yd to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
96.9%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Donovan GreenSimilar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
96.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 4FG
13 plays · 72 yds · 5:453% → 5%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
96.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
96.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
96.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+13
96.5%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 13 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
96.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 8 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+3
96.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
96.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 6 yds to the TexAM 32Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
96.4%
Ellis Merriweather run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+21
96.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 21 yds to the TexAM 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.2%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
95.2%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the TexAM 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.4%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
94.6%
Cameron Carson 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · 58 yds · 2:3495% → 94%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
95.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 18 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
95.3%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-8
95.3%
Conner Weigman sacked by Jalen Mackie for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+45
94.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 45 yds Moose Muhammad III fumbled, recovered by UMass Jalen StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:566% → 6%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
94.0%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 19Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 5
OWN 19
0
94.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Jacquon GibsonSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 5
OWN 19
0
94.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 5
OWN 19
0
94.0%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the UMass 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5194% → 94%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
94.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
94.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-7
94.1%
Conner Weigman sacked by Marcus Bradley for a loss of 7 yards to the TexAM 44Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 17
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:407% → 7%
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
93.3%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 1 yd to the UMass 14Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+4
93.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 18Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
93.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Kay'Ron AdamsSimilar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 5
OWN 18
0
92.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:5694% → 95%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
93.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+22
93.7%
Conner Weigman run for 22 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
94.0%
Le'Veon Moss run for 3 yds to the UMass 22Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+22
95.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 22 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:435% → 5%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
94.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 33Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+1
94.9%
Gino Campiotti run for 1 yd to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
95.0%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:01
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
94.8%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:1695% → 95%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+29
94.5%
Conner Weigman run for 29 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
94.9%
Amari Daniels run for 6 yds to the UMass 32Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
94.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for no gain Donovan Green fumbled, recovered by UMassSimilar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
94.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for no gain Donovan Green fumbled, recovered by UMass Jordan MahoneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:446% → 6%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
94.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 2 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+5
94.1%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 3
OWN 39
-5
93.8%
PENALTY MASS False Start (Mottinger,Ethan) 5 yards from MASS39 to MASS34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+1
94.3%
Brady Olson run for 1 yd to the UMass 35Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
94.1%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:5294% → 94%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
93.9%
Conner Weigman sacked by Hugo Klages for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 38Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+4
93.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for 4 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+32
93.2%
Conner Weigman run for 32 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
93.9%
Conner Weigman run for 4 yds to the UMass 30 Conner Weigman fumbled, recovered by UMass Conner WeigmanSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+47
93.8%
Randy Bond 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
93.3%
B. Olson takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:157% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
92.8%
Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
92.5%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
92.7%
Gino Campiotti run for 2 yds to the UMass 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.6%
Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the UMass 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 1 yd to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
92.9%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Isaac RossSimilar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+13
92.3%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 40 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for 13 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:5693% → 93%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
92.6%
Amari Daniels run for 7 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+9
93.0%
Amari Daniels run for 9 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
93.1%
Earnest Crownover run for 2 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+8
93.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 8 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+26
93.1%
Amari Daniels run for 26 yds to the UMass 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
93.2%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q3 11:45
2ND & 12
OPP 13
0
93.2%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 17
OPP 18
+1
92.4%
Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the UMass 17Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 16
OPP 17
+35
92.7%
Randy Bond 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 17PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 2:597% → 7%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
92.9%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+5
92.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 5 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
93.0%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 3 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
92.7%
Isaac Ross pass incomplete to Cameron Sullivan-BrownSimilar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
92.8%
Gino Campiotti run for 3 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+3
93.0%
Brady Olson run for 3 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q3 7:43
4TH & 4
OWN 39
-5
93.2%
PENALTY MASS Delay Of Game 5 yards from MASS39 to MASS34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
93.2%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for no gain to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
93.2%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 38 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for no gain to the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4893% → 92%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
93.1%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
93.1%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 17
OWN 20
+3
92.5%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 2:56
4TH & 14
OWN 23
0
91.7%
Nik Constantinou punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 19 yds · 3:088% → 8%
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
91.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Isaac RossSimilar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
91.7%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 4 yds to the UMass 43Similar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+14
91.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 14 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
90.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+2
90.9%
Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+1
91.2%
Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the TexAM 39Similar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 6
OPP 39
-3
91.9%
Brady Olson sacked by Martrell Harris Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 43 Brady Olson fumbled, recovered by UMass Chris Russell Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20MISSED FG
5 plays · 29 yds · 2:1093% → 92%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
93.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 23 yds to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
93.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the UMass 30Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+2
93.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the UMass 28Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
93.1%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+45
92.3%
Randy Bond 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 3:118% → 6%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
91.6%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 8 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+5
90.8%
Kay'Ron Adams run for 5 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-14
90.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ellis Merriweather for 1 yd to the UMass 42 UMASS Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh Atwood) to the UMass 27Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 24
OWN 27
+6
92.3%
Brady Olson run for 6 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+7
92.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Isaac Ross for 7 yds to the UMass 40Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
93.7%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2992% → 92%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
92.0%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
92.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jalen PrestonSimilar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+3
91.4%
Conner Weigman run for 3 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 7:58
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
92.3%
Nik Constantinou punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Isaac Ross at the UMass 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:008% → 5%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
92.1%
Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
91.8%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Cameron Sullivan-BrownSimilar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
92.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Isaac RossSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
94.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:4895% → 99%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
94.9%
Le'Veon Moss run for 11 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
95.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 9 yds to the UMass 16Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+4
95.2%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the UMass 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.6%
Le'Veon Moss run for 12 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:512% → 2%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
98.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Olson,Brady rush left for 0 yards to the MASS25 (Nolen,Walter), out of bounds PENALTY MASS Holding (Hassard,Jonny) 10 yards from MASS25 to MASS15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
98.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Josiah JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
98.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Isaac RossSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
98.4%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to George Johnson IIISimilar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
98.4%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Moose Muhammad III at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26FUMBLE
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
50
+10
98.7%
UMASS Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UMass 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
98.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.7%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the UMass 34 Le'Veon Moss fumbled, recovered by UMass Tyler Rudolph for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
98.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the UMass 36Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
+25
98.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Earnest Crownover for 25 yds Earnest Crownover fumbled, recovered by UMass Josh WallaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:592% → 2%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the UMass 11Similar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
98.4%
Kay'Ron Adams run for no gain to the UMass 11Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
98.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Kay'Ron Adams for 2 yds to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 8
OWN 7
-6
98.5%
Brady Olson sacked by Malick Sylla for a loss of 6 yards to the UMass 7Similar
Q4 3:00
4TH & 14
OWN 7
-3
98.5%
PENALTY MASS Delay Of Game 3 yards from MASS07 to MASS04. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 17
OWN 4
+16
98.5%
CJ Kolodziey punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 18 , Moose Muhammad III returns for 16 yds to the UMass 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 28END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 6 yds · 1:0199% → 99%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.1%
Le'Veon Moss run for 6 yds to the UMass 12Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
0
99.1%
Earnest Crownover run for no gain to the UMass 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:10
Le'Veon Moss run for 12 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)
+3.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:06
Timeout UMASS, clock 07:06
+2.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 9:27
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexAM 26
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com