Try the model
TENN

Tennessee 38 at South Carolina 63

SC
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:54 · Kai Kroeger punt for 55 yds , Dee Williams returns for 9 yds to the Tenn 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 119Pregame prior−26.5Home team on offense+10.9Score differential+2.8Garbage-time factor+5.9Blowout margin−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:06: Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +7.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:04: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 18 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +17.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:53: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 41 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +15.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 5:03: Antwane Wells Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +17.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:41: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +12.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:00SC 4th & 6 at TENN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:20SC 4th & 1 at SC 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:33TENN 4th & 28 at TENN 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:24TENN 4th & 3 at SC 3, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    73.8%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−6.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:03TENN 4th & 1 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.8%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:58TENN 4th & 6 at SC 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    54.3%−6.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:08TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:54SC 4th & 6 at SC 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:53TENN 4th & 25 at TENN 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−3.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:19TENN 4th & 1 at SC 13, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.2
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TENN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:34SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:30TENN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:25SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:15SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:24TENN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:06SC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 2:04SC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:12TENN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:53TENN Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:03SC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:41SC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 9:26SC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 2:06SC Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 1:14TENN Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:217% → 10%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
7.2%
Juju McDowell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
7.4%
Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+21
7.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Traevon Kenion for 21 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
7.9%
Dakereon Joyner run for 13 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
8.1%
Ahmarean Brown run for 2 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
8.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
8.4%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 1
OPP 27
-5
8.5%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+13
8.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 13 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
9.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 19 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:5591% → 91%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
9.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
9.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 11 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+29
9.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 29 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
8.9%
Jabari Small run for 31 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:529% → 12%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
9.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 7 yds to the SCaro 42Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+2
9.7%
Jaheim Bell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
9.9%
Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the SCaro 44Similar
Q1 7:20
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
10.1%
Jaheim Bell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
10.6%
Rattler, Spencer pass complete to Wells Jr., Antwane for 24 yards to the TENNESSEE31, PENALTY SOCAROLINA ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:25
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+60
11.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 60 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · -5 yds · 1:4288% → 87%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.9%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
11.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 8 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
12.0%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-10
12.1%
Hooker, Hendon pass complete to Hyatt, Jalin for 28 yards to the SOCAROLINA32, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 18
OWN 30
-10
12.7%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Tonka Hemingway for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 28
OWN 20
0
13.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 28
OWN 20
0
13.4%
Paxton Brooks punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:1013% → 19%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
13.4%
Xavier Legette run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 35Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+6
13.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 6 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+7
14.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 7 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+36
15.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 36 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
15.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
15.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 5 yds to the Tenn 11Similar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+11
19.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 11 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 3:4182% → 82%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
18.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+12
18.8%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to White, Squirrel, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference 12 yards to the TENNESSEE42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
18.8%
Jaylen Wright run for 7 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q1 0:08
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+7
18.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Squirrel White for 7 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
18.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 6 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+9
18.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
19.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 12 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
19.6%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the SCaro 17Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
19.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 9 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
20.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
20.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the SCaro 3Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
20.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
21.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q2 12:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
17.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 3 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:0919% → 31%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
19.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 11 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
19.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nate Adkins for 8 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+2
20.7%
Jaheim Bell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+34
21.3%
Ahmarean Brown run for 34 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
22.3%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Spencer Rattler for 15 yds to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
23.1%
Ahmarean Brown run for 3 yds to the Tenn 1Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.7%
Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:0172% → 69%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
27.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 16 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
27.5%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
27.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+6
28.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 1
50
+1
28.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
28.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
30.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+30
29.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 16 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Emmanwori) to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST down. Emmanwori has been disqualified.Similar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
30.0%
Dylan Sampson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
30.5%
Dylan Sampson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 8Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-2
32.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Dylan Sampson for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 10Similar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
30.8%
Chase McGrath 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 2:4933% → 63%
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
32.6%
Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 4:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
33.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
36.5%
Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete to Vann, Josh, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
38.5%
Jaheim Bell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
40.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+7
39.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
43.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
43.3%
Rattler, Spencer pass sacked for loss of 8 yards to the SOCAROLINA37 (McDonald, Tamarion), PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+27
43.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 27 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
44.2%
Juju McDowell run for no gain to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
62.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 18 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:4351% → 59%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
49.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
47.0%
Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
49.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
50.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
50
+5
47.8%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
47.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Squirrel White for 6 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
47.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 14 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
46.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 10 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
46.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
46.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 8 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
41.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 7 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
46.7%
Jaheim Bell run for 12 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:4858% → 54%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
42.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
42.0%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
43.3%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
43.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
43.6%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
44.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jacob WarrenSimilar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
46.3%
Paxton Brooks punt for 35 yds, downed at the SCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0448% → 50%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-4
47.6%
Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+3
48.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 3 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+5
48.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 5 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+9
49.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 55 yds , Dee Williams returns for 9 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 0:5550% → 67%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
49.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+17
50.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 17 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
48.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+16
49.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 16 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
48.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+41
33.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 41 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:4539% → 67%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
38.8%
Jaheim Bell run for 9 yds to the SCaro 44Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
42.0%
Jaheim Bell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
42.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 11 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
44.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nate Adkins for 12 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
46.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 5 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-1
47.3%
Dakereon Joyner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 25Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+8
46.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 8 yds to the Tenn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
49.1%
Jaheim Bell run for 14 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.6%
Antwane Wells Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 2:0538% → 30%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.9%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 4:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
64.6%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Hyatt, Jalin, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference 9 yards to the TENNESSEE37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
62.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 7 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+18
61.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Squirrel White for 3 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
62.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
62.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jabari SmallSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-15
64.0%
Hooker, Hendon pass complete to Tillman, Cedric for 8 yards to the SOCAROLINA30, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference 15 yards to the TENNESSEE47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 25
OWN 47
0
68.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q3 2:53
4TH & 25
OWN 47
0
70.1%
Paxton Brooks punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 6:0370% → 95%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
70.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 13 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
72.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 37Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+28
72.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 28 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
75.3%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Aaron Beasley for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 20
OPP 45
0
76.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 20
OPP 45
+25
76.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 25 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
78.1%
Jaheim Bell run for 11 yds to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:21
1ST & 0
OPP 9
-5
79.2%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 14Similar
Q4 13:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+9
79.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 9 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
80.3%
Juju McDowell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 8Similar
Q4 12:33
3RD & 0
OPP 8
+4
80.0%
Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete to Wells Jr., Antwane, PENALTY TENNESSEE personal foul (Baron, Tyler) 4 yards to the TENNESSEE4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q4 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
81.4%
Jaheim Bell run for 1 yd to the Tenn 3Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 0
OPP 3
+1
82.9%
Rattler, Spencer pass incomplete to Bell, Jaheim, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference 1 yards to the TENNESSEE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.Similar
Q4 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
93.4%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Tenn 17 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by SCaro Jordan BurchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19TD
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:5795% → 99%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
95.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 8 yds to the Tenn 9Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 2
OPP 9
+7
95.3%
Jaheim Bell run for 7 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
95.6%
Xavier Legette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 3Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 55 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
99.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 16 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
99.2%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 3
50
0
99.2%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 3
50
+5
99.3%
Milton III, Joe pass incomplete to Keyton, Ramel, PENALTY SOCAROLINA offside 5 yards to the SOCAROLINA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.3%
Joe Milton III run for 9 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+14
99.2%
Jabari Small run for 14 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.2%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.3%
Joe Milton III run for 8 yds to the SCaro 14Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
99.3%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the SCaro 13Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 1
OPP 13
-5
99.3%
Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 5:0599% → 100%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.4%
Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+7
99.5%
Jaheim Bell run for 7 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 6 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q4 5:09
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+7
99.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+36
99.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 36 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.7%
Jaheim Bell run for 1 yd to the Tenn 19Similar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+4
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 4 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 15
-5
99.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 20 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:410% → 0%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+64
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 64 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-10
99.9%
Milton III, Joe pass incomplete to Hyatt, Jalin, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 20
OPP 21
0
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Cedric TillmanSimilar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 20
OPP 21
+21
99.7%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 21 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:22100% → 100%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Jaheim Bell run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40Similar
Q4 0:33
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:04
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 18 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+17.5
TD · Q3 5:03
Antwane Wells Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+17.5
TD · Q3 9:53
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 41 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
-15.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com