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NMSU

New Mexico State 14 at Missouri 45

MIZ
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadNMSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreNMSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:02: Cody Schrader run for 2 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:28: Brady Cook pass complete to Ryan Hoerstkamp for 32 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:42: Cody Schrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:29: Star Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Ethan Albertson KICK) — NMSU win probability +1.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:55: Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 14 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 3 of 4NMSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:32NMSU 4th & 2 at MIZ 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:32MIZ 4th & 5 at NMSU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    95.3%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    95.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:35NMSU 4th & 9 at NMSU 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:07NMSU 4th & 11 at NMSU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:38NMSU 4th & 10 at MIZ 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00MIZ 4th & 4 at NMSU 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.8%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:42NMSU 4th & 2 at MIZ 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:54MIZ 4th & 4 at NMSU 25, up 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:54NMSU 4th & 2 at NMSU 33, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q4 2:24MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 40, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NMSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:14MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:02MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:28MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:42MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:29NMSU Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:55MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:41MIZ Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:20NMSU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NMSUDrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:283% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Kordell David for 15 yds to the NMxSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.7%
Jamoni Jones run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+7
96.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jamoni Jones for 7 yds to the NMxSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+8
96.7%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 8 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
96.7%
Jamoni Jones run for 4 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
96.7%
Jamoni Jones run for 4 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
96.7%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
96.1%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 5:1896% → 96%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.2%
Luther Burden III run for 7 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+15
96.2%
Brady Cook run for 15 yds to the NMxSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.2%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
96.2%
Brady Cook run for no gain to the NMxSt 42Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+5
96.2%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 37 Cody Schrader fumbled, recovered by Misso Cody SchraderSimilar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+13
96.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 13 yds to the NMxSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
96.2%
Brady Cook run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 17Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 3
OPP 17
-5
96.2%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NMxSt 22Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
95.5%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 19Similar
Q1 6:59
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+7
95.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the NMxSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
95.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
95.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 12 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:324% → 5%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
95.6%
Star Thomas run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 25Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+12
95.7%
Diego Pavia run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
95.6%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
95.6%
Jonathan Brady run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 38Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
95.6%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
95.3%
Josh Carlson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4TD
17 plays · 81 yds · 6:3395% → 96%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
95.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
95.3%
Luther Burden III run for 3 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+7
95.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 7 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-3
95.4%
Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 3 yards to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 13
OWN 26
0
95.3%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+21
95.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 21 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
95.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
95.5%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 47Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+11
94.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 11 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
95.0%
Cody Schrader run for 8 yds to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+5
95.1%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
95.1%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+7
95.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 7 yds to the NMxSt 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
95.0%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
95.1%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+4
95.1%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.2%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 11:244% → 5%
Q2 12:02
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
95.6%
Diego Pavia run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
95.6%
Diego Pavia run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
95.6%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:02
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
95.7%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
95.6%
Jamoni Jones run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q2 12:02
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+1
95.5%
Jamoni Jones run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 11
OWN 34
+2
95.5%
Josh Carlson punt for 34 yds , Luther Burden III returns for 2 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
95.3%
Diego Pavia run for 11 yds to the NMxSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:3996% → 98%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
95.5%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
95.6%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Misso 38Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+18
95.5%
Brady Cook run for 18 yds to the NMxSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
95.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 9 yds to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
95.8%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the NMxSt 35Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
95.7%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Ryan Hoerstkamp for 32 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:503% → 2%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.5%
Tim Gans run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 23Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
97.8%
Tim Gans run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 21Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+25
97.8%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jamoni Jones for 25 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
97.6%
Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 48Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
97.6%
Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+6
97.5%
Diego Pavia run for 6 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.5%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
97.6%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
97.6%
Diego Pavia pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
97.7%
Josh Carlson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:3298% → 98%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+14
98.4%
Brady Cook run for 14 yds to the Misso 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
98.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 24 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
98.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 6 yds to the NMxSt 48Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
98.3%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
98.4%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 4:1398% → 100%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
98.0%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
98.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 1 yd to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+19
98.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 19 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
98.1%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 41Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+17
98.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 17 yds to the NMxSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
98.1%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 21Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+9
98.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 9 yds to the NMxSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
98.1%
Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 5Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
99.6%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:130% → 2%
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Jamoni Jones run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
99.6%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, False Start (Kordell David) to the NMxSt 26Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.6%
Diego Pavia run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 28Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
99.6%
Diego Pavia run for 11 yds to the NMxSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
99.6%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Jamoni Jones for 13 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
99.6%
Diego Pavia sacked by DJ Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 49Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+5
99.6%
QB Keeper PAVIA, Diego rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the MIZ44 (MANUEL, Martez). PENALTY MIZ Offsides on JEFFCOAT, Trajan enforced 5 yards from the MIZ49 to the MIZ44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+2
99.6%
Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+2
99.6%
Gavin Frakes run for 2 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q3 10:42
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+21
99.6%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Eric Marsh for 21 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.5%
Jamoni Jones run for 9 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+10
98.2%
Star Thomas run for 10 yds for a TD, (Ethan Albertson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:2998% → 100%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
98.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Dominic Lovett) to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+15
98.0%
Brady Cook run for 15 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+32
98.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tavorus Jones for 32 yds to the NMxSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
98.2%
Luther Burden III run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 24Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
98.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Ryan Hoerstkamp for no gain to the NMxSt 24Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+10
98.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 10 yds to the NMxSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 14 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 12INT TD
6 plays · 14 yds · 3:140% → 0%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Star Thomas run for no gain to the NMxSt 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.9%
Diego Pavia pass complete to Justice Powers for 8 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Jamoni Jones run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-2
99.9%
Star Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 39Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 6
OWN 39
-40
99.9%
Daylan Carnell 40 Yd Interception Return (Harrison Mevis Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jamoni Jones run for no gain to the NMxSt 25Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Gavin Frakes pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 14FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 41Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+10
99.9%
Sam Horn run for 10 yds to the NMxSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.9%
HORN, Sam pass to the left complete for 29 yards to BANISTER, Barrett caught at the NMS13 and advanced to the NMS2 (SCULARK, BJ;BROHARD, Trevor). PENALTY MIZ Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on WALTERS, Mitchell enforced 5 yards from the NMS31 to the NMS36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 15
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Sam Horn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+11
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 11 yds to the NMxSt 25Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Sam Horn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+43
99.9%
Harrison Mevis 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Bryce Childress run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Gavin Frakes run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 34Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Jamoni Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 33Similar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Josh Carlson punt for 33 yds, downed at the Misso 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+10
99.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Tavorus Jones run for 1 yd to the Misso 44 Tavorus Jones fumbled, recovered by NMxSt Mike EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 44 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Star Thomas run for 1 yd to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Gavin Frakes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 9
OPP 43
-5
99.9%
NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Misso 48Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+18
99.9%
Gavin Frakes pass complete to Trevor Stephens for 18 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
Gavin Frakes run for 3 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
99.9%
FRAKES, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for DAVID, Kordell thrown to the MIZ1. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on NORWOOD, Dreyden enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards to the MIZ14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Gavin Frakes run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ethan Albertson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
BJ Harris run for 5 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
BJ Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-5
99.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 40Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 19END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
100.0%
Star Thomas run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 23Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+12
100.0%
Star Thomas run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
100.0%
Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 37Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-7
100.0%
Gavin Frakes sacked by Dreyden Norwood for a loss of 7 yards to the NMxSt 30Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:28
Brady Cook pass complete to Ryan Hoerstkamp for 32 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q3 0:55
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 14 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+1.8
TD · Q3 10:42
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com