Try the model
ETSU

East Tennessee State 7 at Mississippi State 56

MSST
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Davis Wade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MSST
modelMSST aheadETSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMSST scoreETSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:26 · Trace Kelley punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the MisSt 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Pregame prior+17.1Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+30.3Blowout margin+18.6Garbage-time factor+8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 13:25: Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 12 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — ETSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:51: Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — MSST win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:00: Emmanuel Forbes 82 Yd Interception Return (Massimo Biscardi Kick) — MSST win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ETSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:18: Jo'quavious Marks run for 22 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — MSST win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MSST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MSST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ETSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 6:06ETSU 4th & 1 at MSST 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:09ETSU 4th & 7 at MSST 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:41ETSU 4th & 14 at ETSU 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:54ETSU 4th & 3 at ETSU 37, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:18ETSU 4th & 21 at ETSU 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:12MSST 4th & 8 at ETSU 31, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 4:44ETSU 4th & 11 at ETSU 36, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:53ETSU 4th & 7 at ETSU 36, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:26ETSU 4th & 1 at ETSU 34, down 56
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:07MSST 4th & 12 at MSST 49, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:48ETSU 4th & 5 at ETSU 44, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:20MSST 4th & 4 at MSST 39, up 49
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    100.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MSST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8ETSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:25MSST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:14MSST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:51MSST Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:00MSST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:18MSST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:06MSST Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:13MSST Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:05MSST Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:07ETSU Touchdown, down 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MSSTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:2699% → 99%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.0%
ROGERS, Will pass up the middle complete for 6 yards to WALLEY, Jaden to the ETS35 (SCOTT, Stephen;WRIGHT, Rodney). PENALTY ETS Offsides on WRIGHT, Rodney enforced 5 yards from the ETS41 to the ETS36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 5
OPP 36
+9
99.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 9 yds to the ETnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
99.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 15 yds to the ETnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
98.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 12 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 2INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 4:201% → 1%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 26Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
98.9%
Tyler Riddell run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 30Similar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
98.9%
Baron May run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
98.9%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Isaiah Wilson for 9 yds to the ETnSt 46Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
98.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
98.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 5 yds to the MisSt 46Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
98.9%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Jacob Saylors for 3 yds to the MisSt 43Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 2
OPP 43
0
98.6%
Tyler Riddell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 3TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:5199% → 99%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
98.7%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the MisSt 45Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
98.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Rara Thomas for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
50
+12
98.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Rara Thomas for 12 yds to the ETnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
98.7%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 31Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
98.7%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+7
98.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 7 yds to the ETnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
98.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 16 yds to the ETnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.7%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Rara Thomas for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 4MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 5:571% → 2%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
98.6%
Jacob Saylors run for 11 yds to the ETnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.6%
Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
98.6%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:06
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+7
98.6%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Cameron Lewis for 7 yds to the MisSt 49Similar
Q1 6:06
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
98.6%
Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
98.6%
Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 48Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+18
98.6%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Cameron Lewis for 18 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
98.2%
Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 31Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+4
98.2%
Jawan Martin run for 4 yds to the MisSt 27Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
98.3%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:09
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
98.2%
Tyler Keltner 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 5TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:0998% → 99%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
98.4%
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 9 yds to the MisSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
98.4%
J.J. Jernighan run for 2 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
98.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Scoobie Ford for 19 yds to the ETnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
98.5%
J.J. Jernighan run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+5
98.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Scoobie Ford for 5 yds to the ETnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+26
98.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 26 yds to the ETnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.9%
Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 26Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Tyler Riddell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.9%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 9
OWN 26
-5
98.9%
EAST TENN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 21Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 14
OWN 21
-2
98.9%
Trace Kelley punt for 39 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 7Uncategorized
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.0%
Will Rogers run for 3 yds to the MisSt 41Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
99.0%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 1 yd to the MisSt 42Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
98.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 5 yds to the MisSt 47Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
99.0%
MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Rogers) to the MisSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 8INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:541% → 1%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
98.7%
Jacob Saylors run for no gain to the MisSt 24Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-82
99.4%
Emmanuel Forbes 82 Yd Interception Return (Massimo Biscardi Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:001% → 0%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Baron May pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.5%
Baron May run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 37Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
99.4%
Baron May pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Trace Kelley punt for 16 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 10TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
99.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 7 yds to the ETnSt 46Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+4
99.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 4 yds to the ETnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
99.5%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 20 yds to the ETnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.6%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 22 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 3:000% → 0%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.7%
Jacob Saylors run for 11 yds to the ETnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Jacob Saylors run for no gain to the ETnSt 36Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.7%
Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 35Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-10
99.7%
Tyler Riddell sacked by Sherman Timbs for a loss of 10 yards to the ETnSt 25Similar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Trace Kelley punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the MisSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 3:06100% → 100%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+20
99.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 20 yds to the ETnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.7%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 29Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
99.7%
Will Rogers run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 27Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-15
99.7%
ROGERS, Will pass to the right complete for 4 yards to ROBINSON, Justin caught at the ETS24 and advanced to the ETS23 (PRICE, Mike). PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on FORD, Scoobie enforced 15 yards to the ETS42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 19
OPP 42
+11
99.7%
Will Rogers pass complete to J.J. Jernighan for 11 yds to the ETnSt 31Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+49
99.7%
Massimo Biscardi 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 10 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
99.8%
Jacob Saylors run for 10 yds to the ETnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 14INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 2:470% → 0%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.7%
Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 37Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Jawan Martin run for no gain to the ETnSt 37Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+10
99.7%
Tyler Riddell pass complete to Will Huzzie for 10 yds to the ETnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.7%
Trey Foster run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 49Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Tyler Riddell pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 15TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 6 yds to the MisSt 48Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 4
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 7 yds to the ETnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 15 yds to the ETnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.8%
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 6 yds to the ETnSt 24Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+19
99.8%
Jo'quavious Marks run for 19 yds to the ETnSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.8%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 5 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 4:130% → 0%
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
99.9%
Baron May run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 22Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Baron May run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Baron May run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 29Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
99.9%
Baron May run for 8 yds to the ETnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Baron May run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 39Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-3
99.9%
Trey Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 36Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Baron May pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Trace Kelley punt for 29 yds, downed at the MisSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 17TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 11 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Will Rogers run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 49Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+16
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 16 yds to the ETnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 8 yds to the ETnSt 25Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
99.9%
ROGERS, Will pass to the right incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Justin thrown to the ETS3. PENALTY ETS Pass Interference on HUZZIE, Alijah enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the ETS11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to J.J. Jernighan for 2 yds to the ETnSt 8Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Will Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 18DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.9%
Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 36Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Baron May pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Baron May run for no gain to the ETnSt 36Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 7
OWN 36
-4
99.9%
Noah West pass complete to Ton'Quez Ball for a loss of 4 yards to the ETnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 19TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Rara Thomas for 11 yds to the ETnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 3 yds to the ETnSt 18Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 5 yds to the ETnSt 13Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+11
99.9%
LOVERTICH, Chance pass to the left incomplete intended for THOMAS, Rara thrown to the ETS0. PENALTY ETS Pass Interference on SMITH, Quinn enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the ETS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to J.J. Jernighan for 2 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:320% → 0%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Trey Foster run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 29Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Adrian Johnson run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 33Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Trey Foster run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 34Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Trace Kelley punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the MisSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 21PUNT TD
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 14 yds to the ETnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
J.J. Jernighan run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 45Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Marquez Dortch for 1 yd to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-7
99.9%
Chance Lovertich sacked by Rodney Wright and Ja'Varius Harrison for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 49Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 12
OWN 49
+29
99.9%
Erek Campbell 29 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Tyler Keltner Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 22INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Zavion Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 32Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Mac McCovery run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 40Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+4
100.0%
Baron May run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 44Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Baron May pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:48
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
100.0%
Trace Kelley punt for 49 yds, downed at the MisSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MSSTDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+15
99.9%
Javaris Bufford run for 15 yds to the MisSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Javaris Bufford run for 3 yds to the MisSt 25Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Sawyer Robertson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 6 yds to the MisSt 39Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 4
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+19
100.0%
George Georgopoulos punt for 39 yds , Alijah Huzzie returns for 19 yds to the ETnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETSUDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
100.0%
Adrian Johnson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 1
50
+3
100.0%
Adrian Johnson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
100.0%
Baron May run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 49Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+1
100.0%
Adrian Johnson run for 1 yd to the MisSt 48Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+2
100.0%
Adrian Johnson run for 2 yds to the MisSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:00
Emmanuel Forbes 82 Yd Interception Return (Massimo Biscardi Kick)
+0.7
TD · Q2 12:51
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 13:25
Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 12 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-0.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com