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APSU

Austin Peay 0 at Alabama 34

ALA
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Bryant-Denny Stadium
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadAPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreAPSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:32 · Matt Rigney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+37.8Home team on offense+14.2Score differential+5.4Garbage-time factor+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7Blowout margin+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:37: Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 5:25: Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 15 yds to the APeay 30 for a 1ST down — ALA win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 2:27: Will Reichard 29 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:43: Jase McClellan run for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK) — ALA win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 4:57: Will Reichard 30 yd FG GOOD — ALA win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6APSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 8:28ALA 4th & 1 at APSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:38APSU 4th & 10 at APSU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10APSU 4th & 3 at ALA 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:00ALA 4th & 5 at APSU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:27ALA 4th & 8 at APSU 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:47APSU 4th & 8 at APSU 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:32APSU 4th & 3 at APSU 42, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:36ALA 4th & 5 at ALA 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:41APSU 4th & 5 at APSU 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:13APSU 4th & 4 at APSU 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:57ALA 4th & 4 at APSU 12, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:49APSU 4th & 6 at APSU 37, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:54APSU 4th & 4 at APSU 11, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:45ALA 4th & 2 at APSU 34, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 8:28ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:37ALA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:43ALA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:20ALA Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ALADrive 1TD
17 plays · 92 yds · 6:02100% → 99%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.6%
Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 5
OWN 13
0
99.6%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey BrooksSimilar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+14
99.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 14 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
99.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Alab 22Similar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+5
99.5%
Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Alab 27Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
99.5%
Roydell Williams run for 13 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
99.5%
Jase McClellan run for 28 yds to the APeay 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
99.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 13 yds to the APeay 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
99.5%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the APeay 16Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+8
99.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 8 yds to the APeay 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.4%
Jase McClellan run for no gain to the APeay 8Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kendrick LawSimilar
Q1 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.4%
Bryce Young run for 7 yds to the APeay 1Similar
Q1 8:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Jase McClellan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:271% → 1%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for no gain to the APeay 28Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Trey Goodman pass incomplete to Drae McCraySimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kellen StewartSimilar
Q1 7:38
4TH & 10
OWN 28
-2
99.4%
Matt Rigney punt for 34 yds , TEAM returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by APeay Ethan MyersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:101% → 1%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.3%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 7 yds to the Alab 29Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
99.3%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+7
99.3%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 7 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.3%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kellen Stewart for 7 yds to the Alab 15Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+7
99.3%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 7 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
99.3%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 3Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.2%
Mike DiLiello run for 1 yd to the Alab 2Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.2%
Mike DiLiello run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 3Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.2%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Jordan GocoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4FUMBLE
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:2399% → 99%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
99.2%
Bryce Young pass complete to Kendrick Law for 3 yds to the Alab 6Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+12
99.1%
Jase McClellan run for 12 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
99.1%
Jase McClellan run for 19 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.1%
Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
99.1%
Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+5
99.0%
Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the APeay 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.0%
Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 1 yd Isaiah Bond fumbled, recovered by APeaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 3:481% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+5
98.8%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 43Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+8
98.8%
Mike DiLiello run for 8 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
98.7%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
98.7%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 6 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
98.7%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 3 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+12
98.6%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 12 yds to the Alab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
98.6%
CJ Evans Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 10Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
98.5%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 8Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.5%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kellen StewartSimilar
Q2 11:12
4TH & 0
OPP 8
+25
98.5%
Maddux Trujillo 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:2099% → 99%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+35
98.6%
Jase McClellan run for 35 yds to the APeay 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
98.6%
Bryce Young sacked by Kory Chapman for a loss of 4 yards to the APeay 49Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+2
98.5%
Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 2 yds to the APeay 47Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+7
98.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 7 yds to the APeay 40Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 5
OPP 40
+23
98.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 23 yds to the APeay 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
98.5%
Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the APeay 14Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+10
98.4%
Jase McClellan run for 10 yds to the APeay 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.8%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 7INT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:491% → 2%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
98.6%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Jevon JacksonSimilar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-15
98.7%
DiLiello, Mike pass incomplete to McCray, Drae, PENALTY AUSTINPEAY face mask 15 yards to the AUSTINPEAY23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 25
OWN 23
+32
98.7%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 32 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
98.5%
Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Alab 41Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 41
-26
98.5%
Mike DiLiello pass intercepted Kool-Aid McKinstry return for 26 yds to the APeay 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:5899% → 99%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
98.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 15 yds to the APeay 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
98.7%
Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the APeay 22Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
98.7%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kobe PrenticeSimilar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+9
98.7%
Jase McClellan run for 9 yds to the APeay 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
98.7%
Jase McClellan run for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 15Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+9
98.6%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds to the APeay 6Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 3
OPP 6
-5
98.6%
Bryce Young sacked by Hosea Knifeley Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 11Similar
Q2 2:27
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
99.0%
Will Reichard 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:231% → 1%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.2%
Jevon Jackson run for 3 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
99.1%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kellen Stewart for 11 yds to the APeay 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.1%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Drae McCraySimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the APeay 40Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+1
99.1%
Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the APeay 41Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 8
OWN 41
+29
99.0%
Matt Rigney punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ALABAMA 25 AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:3099% → 99%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-8
98.9%
Bryce Young sacked by Demetries Ford for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 18
OWN 22
+8
98.9%
Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the Alab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:132% → 2%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.5%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the APeay 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
98.5%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the APeay 31Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
98.5%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 4 yds to the APeay 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
98.4%
CJ Evans Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 34Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+8
98.5%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 8 yds to the APeay 42Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
98.4%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kellen StewartSimilar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
98.4%
Matt Rigney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3999% → 98%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
98.5%
Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
98.5%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kendrick LawSimilar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
98.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Amari NiblackSimilar
Q3 11:36
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+56
98.4%
James Burnip punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the ALABAMA 32 AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the APeay 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:442% → 2%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
98.4%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for a loss of 2 yards to the APeay 20Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+4
98.4%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the APeay 24Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+3
98.4%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kam Thomas for 3 yds to the APeay 27Similar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
98.4%
Matt Rigney punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:4799% → 99%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+50
98.7%
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 50 yds to the APeay 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
98.8%
Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the APeay 9Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.4%
Jase McClellan run for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:021% → 1%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.3%
Josh Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 32 Josh Samuel fumbled, recovered by APeay Josh SamuelSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+7
99.3%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Joshua DeCambre for 7 yds to the APeay 39Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kellen StewartSimilar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 4
OWN 39
-10
99.2%
Mike DiLiello run for a loss of 10 yards to the APeay 29 Mike DiLiello fumbled, recovered by Alab Damon Payne Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:0399% → 100%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
99.3%
Bryce Young pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 11 yds to the APeay 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.3%
Roydell Williams run for no gain to the APeay 18Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.4%
Bryce Young pass incomplete to Roydell WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.4%
Young, Bryce pass complete to Prentice, Kobe for 18 yards to the AUSTINPEAY0, PENALTY ALABAMA ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the AUSTINPEAY23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 15
OPP 23
+11
99.4%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 11 yds to the APeay 12Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
99.9%
Will Reichard 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 2 yds to the APeay 24Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+9
99.9%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jordan Goco for 9 yds to the APeay 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.9%
Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 32Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+3
99.9%
Mike DiLiello run for 3 yds to the APeay 35Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 35
+2
99.9%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Jevon Jackson for 2 yds to the APeay 37Similar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+10
99.9%
Matt Rigney punt for 39 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 10 yds to the Alab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:15100% → 100%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 38Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+18
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 18 yds to the APeay 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 7 yds to the APeay 37Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the APeay 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.9%
Bryce Young pass complete to Roydell Williams for 15 yds to the APeay 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 6 yds to the APeay 12Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the APeay 10Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Jermaine Burton 10 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 19INT
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
99.9%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 18 yds to the APeay 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
99.9%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Trey Goodman for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
50
+4
99.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Joshua DeCambreSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Kellen Stewart for 4 yds to the Alab 42Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
Mike DiLiello pass intercepted Brian Branch return for no gain to the Alab 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20INT
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:07100% → 100%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 11 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+12
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 12 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Alab 45Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+16
99.9%
Jalen Milroe run for 16 yds to the APeay 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
Jamarion Miller run for 7 yds to the APeay 32Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+3
99.9%
Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the APeay 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Jamarion Miller run for 1 yd to the APeay 28Similar
Q4 6:43
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Kendrick LawSimilar
Q4 6:33
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-3
99.9%
Jalen Milroe pass intercepted Cedarius Doss return for 3 yds to the APeay 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
100.0%
Mike DiLiello pass complete to Drae McCray for 3 yds to the APeay 8Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 7
OWN 8
0
100.0%
Mike DiLiello pass incomplete to Kam ThomasSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 7
OWN 8
+3
100.0%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the APeay 11Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Matt Rigney punt for 57 yds, downed at the Alab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22END OF GAME
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:40100% → 100%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
Jamarion Miller run for 8 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 1 yd to the Alab 41Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 9 yds to the APeay 48Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Tyler Harrell for 6 yds to the APeay 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 43Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+8
100.0%
Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the APeay 35Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+1
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 1 yd to the APeay 34Similar
Q4 0:45
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+14
100.0%
Ty Simpson pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 14 yds to the APeay 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
100.0%
Jamarion Miller run for 3 yds to the APeay 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:43
Jase McClellan run for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+0.6
FG · Q3 4:57
Will Reichard 30 yd FG GOOD
+0.5
TD · Q2 6:37
Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com