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VAN

Vanderbilt 24 at Kentucky 21

UK
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadVAN aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreVAN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:23 · Matt Ruffolo 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Pregame prior+25.6Home team on offense−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.8Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:47: Ray Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +21.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:14: Chris Rodriguez Jr. 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — UK win probability +24.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 5:22: Joseph Bulovas 26 yd FG GOOD — VAN win probability +25.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:03: Chris Rodriguez Jr. 72 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UK win probability +46.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:32: Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +62.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 8VAN made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:22UK 4th & 10 at VAN 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    86.0%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:33UK 4th & 5 at VAN 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:23UK 4th & 16 at VAN 19, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−3.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:22VAN 4th & 10 at VAN 20, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:15UK 4th & 2 at VAN 49, down 1
    Close callPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00VAN 4th & 18 at UK 42, up 1
    Numbers favored punt by 2.0 ptsWent for it · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%−2.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−1.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    28.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:52UK 4th & 9 at UK 41, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:39UK 4th & 6 at VAN 28, down 8
    Close callWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    51.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    42.6%−8.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:42UK 4th & 14 at VAN 21, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−3.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%
    74% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−11.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:13VAN 4th & 3 at UK 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−3.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−5.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:22VAN 4th & 7 at UK 8, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.7%−8.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−20.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:58VAN 4th & 11 at UK 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.4%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:00UK 4th & 10 at UK 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.2%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.8%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 2VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:54VAN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:47VAN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:14UK Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:03UK Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    77.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.8%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:32VAN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.5%−2.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:4213% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
87.5%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Sheppard) to the Vandy 16Similar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 19
OWN 16
+34
87.3%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 24 yds Will Sheppard fumbled, recovered by Kent Carrington Valentine KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Vandy 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5687% → 87%
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
87.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Vandy 29Similar
Q1 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
87.4%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:18
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
87.3%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+47
87.1%
Matt Ruffolo 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:2813% → 14%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
87.1%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 14 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
87.1%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the Vandy 41Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+59
86.3%
Mike Wright run for 59 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 8:2186% → 84%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.4%
JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
86.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 33Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
86.4%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
86.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-2
86.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+3
86.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
86.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 3 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+25
86.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 25 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
86.6%
JuTahn McClain run for 4 yds to the Vandy 20Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+1
86.6%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+5
84.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
84.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 11Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
84.5%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+2
84.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Kattus for 2 yds to the Vandy 9Similar
Q1 3:33
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
83.9%
Matt Ruffolo 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5INT
10 plays · 47 yds · 4:5216% → 20%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.7%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
83.7%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
83.7%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (Carrington Valentine) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
83.2%
VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Ben Bresnahan) to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+8
83.5%
Mike Wright run for 8 yds to the Vandy 46Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
83.1%
Jayden McGowan run for 5 yds to the Kent 49Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
80.8%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
80.7%
Ray Davis run for 14 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
80.4%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
79.6%
Mike Wright pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 6:1882% → 78%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
81.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 29 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
82.5%
Will Levis run for 6 yds to the Vandy 45Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+15
82.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 15 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
83.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+12
82.7%
JuTahn McClain run for 12 yds to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
83.2%
Will Levis sacked by Devin Lee and Nate Clifton for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 16Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+6
83.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Vandy 10Similar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-9
82.7%
Will Levis sacked by CJ Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 19Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 16
OPP 19
+37
77.9%
Matt Ruffolo 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0123% → 22%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
76.9%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 20Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
77.0%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
77.6%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:22
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+9
77.6%
Matt Hayball punt for 39 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 9 yds to the Kent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 2:0778% → 78%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
77.9%
Tayvion Robinson run for 12 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
79.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
78.4%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+8
77.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Kattus for 8 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
77.6%
Wilson Berry punt for 30 yds, downed at the Vandy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9DOWNS
14 plays · 39 yds · 4:1525% → 27%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
75.0%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 24Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
74.8%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+5
74.8%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
74.6%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+2
72.0%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+29
72.3%
Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 14 yds to the KENTUCKY 49 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Tre'vonn Rybka) to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
68.7%
QB Keeper WRIGHT, Mike rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the UKY31, End of Play. PENALTY VAN Holding on BRAMMER, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the UKY34 to the UKY44 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+9
70.5%
Mike Wright run for 9 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+8
69.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 8 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-15
69.4%
SMITH, Patrick rush to the left for no gain to the UKY27 (LOVETT, Jordan;PHILLIPS, Andru). PENALTY VAN Personal Foul on SKINNER JR., Quincy enforced 15 yards from the UKY27 to the UKY42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 18
OPP 42
0
71.9%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
72.1%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
73.2%
LEVIS, Will pass up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the VAN25. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on WRIGHT, De'Rickey enforced 15 yards to the UKY40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:0875% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
75.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
74.3%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
73.3%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:52
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
71.5%
Wilson Berry punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 6:0529% → 54%
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
70.8%
Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
70.8%
Mike Wright run for 6 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+10
70.7%
Ray Davis run for 10 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
69.4%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-2
69.0%
Ray Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 38Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+14
70.8%
Mike Wright pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 14 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+45
68.3%
Ray Davis run for 45 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
67.3%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Kent 2Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
67.3%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Kent 1Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.8%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:5751% → 53%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
50.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 23 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
54.7%
VANDERBILT Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on WRIGHT, De'Rickey enforced (Mike Wright) to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
56.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
56.5%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+2
54.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 28Similar
Q3 7:39
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+11
52.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 11 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
56.5%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
56.5%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 10
OPP 17
-4
54.5%
Will Levis sacked by Michael Owusu for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 21Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 14
OPP 21
+39
53.2%
Matt Ruffolo 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 4:0650% → 56%
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
49.9%
Jayden McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 31Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 11
OWN 31
0
51.2%
Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 31Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+29
52.5%
Mike Wright run for 29 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
47.3%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
40.8%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
41.3%
Ray Davis run for no gain to the Kent 33Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-1
43.8%
Mike Wright sacked by Trevin Wallace for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:5949% → 75%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
49.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 18 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
53.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 43Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+28
54.1%
JuTahn McClain run for 28 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
56.0%
JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Vandy 15Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+10
56.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
51.0%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
75.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:5232% → 63%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.1%
Mike Wright run for 8 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
65.3%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
64.1%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
63.7%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
65.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jordan Lovett) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
60.5%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Kent 18Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+3
60.5%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+4
62.5%
Mike Wright run for 4 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
60.5%
Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the Kent 9Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
60.5%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Kent 8Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
62.5%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:22
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
37.5%
Joseph Bulovas 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
84.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 72 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 4:2626% → 94%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
73.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 7 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
71.4%
Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
71.7%
Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
71.5%
Mike Wright pass complete to Ray Davis for 1 yd to the Vandy 37Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 7
OWN 37
0
72.7%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 7
OWN 37
+15
75.2%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Rogers) to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
66.8%
Mike Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 49Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
69.0%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
70.5%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 11
OPP 49
+40
74.6%
Mike Wright pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 40 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
68.7%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Kent 8Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
68.7%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
5.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:2320% → 14%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
19.8%
Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 7 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
22.2%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 3
OWN 31
-7
17.9%
Will Levis sacked by Christian James for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 24Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
13.5%
Will Levis pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:32
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
-62.8
TD · Q4 5:03
Chris Rodriguez Jr. 72 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+46.9
FG · Q4 5:22
Joseph Bulovas 26 yd FG GOOD
-25
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com