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TA&M

Texas A&M 10 at Auburn 13

AUB
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Jordan-Hare Stadium
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Win probability · AUB
modelAUB aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playAUB scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Robby Ashford pass intercepted, touchback.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout marginPregame prior
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Home team on offense+7.7Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.6Score differential+1.7Blowout margin−0.7Pregame prior−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:33: Robby Ashford pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 16 yds for a TD, (Alex McPherson KICK) — AUB win probability +6.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:32: Conner Weigman pass incomplete — TA&M win probability +7.9 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:34: Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the TexAM 30 — AUB win probability +8.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:33: Conner Weigman pass complete to Jalen Preston for 17 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +27.1 pts (now 31%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:28: Timeout TEXAS A&M, clock 01:28 — AUB win probability +21.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: AUB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AUB made the numbers' call on 4 of 9TA&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:19TA&M 4th & 4 at AUB 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:17AUB 4th & 14 at TA&M 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    55.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:36TA&M 4th & 13 at TA&M 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:56TA&M 4th & 9 at AUB 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    37.4%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:23AUB 4th & 4 at TA&M 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    62.8%−1.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:02TA&M 4th & 10 at AUB 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00AUB 4th & 19 at TA&M 39, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 2.2 ptsWent for it · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.2%−2.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    66.6%−0.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    67.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:05AUB 4th & 11 at TA&M 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:43TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:34AUB 4th & 9 at AUB 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:56TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−2.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:05TA&M 4th & 10 at TA&M 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:33AUB 4th & 8 at AUB 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:40TA&M 4th & 12 at TA&M 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−4.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:39AUB 4th & 1 at TA&M 18, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%−3.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−11.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:08TA&M 4th & 24 at TA&M 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−3.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:48TA&M 4th & 2 at AUB 31, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%−2.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−3.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:36AUB 4th & 5 at TA&M 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    85.6%−2.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:02AUB 4th & 4 at TA&M 9, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−5.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AUB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TA&M made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 1:33AUB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 1:33TA&M Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:4151% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
48.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+8
48.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Le'Veon Moss for 8 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
0
48.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the TexAM 42Similar
Q1 13:40
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+5
49.0%
CONSTANTINOU, Nik punt 21 yards to the AUB37 out of bounds, clock 13:40. PENALTY AUB Running Into the kicker on KELLY, Omari enforced 5 yards from the TAM42 to the TAM47 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
48.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Noah Thomas for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 7
50
+3
48.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 3 yds to the Aub 47Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
48.9%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
49.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 50 yds · 6:0249% → 50%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
49.3%
Robby Ashford run for 10 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
49.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 13 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
49.4%
Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
49.6%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 40Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+11
49.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Tyler Fromm for 11 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
49.7%
Jarquez Hunter run for 9 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
49.7%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
49.7%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-5
49.8%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 39Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 13
OPP 39
+3
49.5%
run for 3 yds to the TexAM 36Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+1
49.5%
Robby Ashford run for 1 yd to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 9
OPP 35
-5
49.3%
AUBURN Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 40Similar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 14
OPP 40
0
49.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Evan Stewart at the TexAM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:4150% → 48%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
50.3%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexAM 14Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+4
50.6%
Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 1
OWN 18
+3
50.8%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
50.6%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
50.6%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-3
51.0%
Conner Weigman sacked by Owen Pappoe for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 18Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 13
OWN 18
+3
51.7%
Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds , Dazalin Worsham returns for 3 yds to the Aub 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 4TD
4 plays · 62 yds · 2:0352% → 58%
Q1 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
51.7%
run for 5 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
52.3%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the Aub 45Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+39
52.0%
Tank Bigsby run for 39 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
58.3%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 16 yds for a TD, (Alex McPherson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:3744% → 42%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
56.5%
Le'Veon Moss run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
56.4%
Conner Weigman run for 4 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
57.4%
Conner Weigman run for 5 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
56.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Max Wright for 18 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
55.8%
Le'Veon Moss run for 1 yd to the Aub 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
55.8%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 9
OPP 45
0
57.0%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:56
4TH & 9
OPP 45
0
58.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dazalin Worsham at the Aub 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:3358% → 60%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
58.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for 16 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+18
58.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for 18 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
59.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 14 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
60.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
60.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+2
59.9%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
59.8%
punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
18 plays · 53 yds · 6:2140% → 34%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-10
60.0%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 15Similar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 3
OWN 15
+5
59.6%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
59.6%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexAM 22Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-10
59.8%
WEIGMAN, Conner pass up the middle complete for 15 yards to STEWART, Evan caught at the TAM37 and advanced to the TAM37, End of Play. PENALTY TAM Holding on ROBINSON, Layden enforced 10 yards from the TAM22 to the TAM12 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 18
OWN 12
0
60.0%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+25
60.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Devin Price for 25 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
58.8%
Conner Weigman run for 9 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+3
57.5%
Amari Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
57.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 2 yds to the Aub 49Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 8
OPP 49
-5
57.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay Of Game (Conner Weigman) to the TexAM 46Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+10
59.1%
Conner Weigman run for 10 yds to the Aub 44Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+5
61.3%
AUBURN Penalty, Offsides (Nehemiah Pritchett) to the Aub 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
62.4%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
63.1%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
64.6%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:02
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
66.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dazalin Worsham at the Aub 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 8INT
14 plays · 49 yds · 4:0265% → 66%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
65.4%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Luke Deal for 1 yd to the Aub 13Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+2
65.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 15Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+15
64.7%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Shemar Turner) to the Aub 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
65.7%
Robby Ashford run for 6 yds to the Aub 30Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
66.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 33Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+23
65.8%
Jarquez Hunter run for 23 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
67.7%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+14
67.5%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 14 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
68.2%
ASHFORD, Robby pass to the left incomplete intended for BIGSBY, Tank thrown to the TAM10. PENALTY AUB Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on JONES, Keiondre enforced 5 yards from the TAM30 to the TAM35 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
67.4%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
67.1%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 15
OPP 35
-4
67.4%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 19
OPP 39
0
66.1%
Robby Ashford pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:5566% → 68%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.2%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
66.0%
run for 4 yds to the Aub 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+20
65.3%
Robby Ashford run for 20 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
68.3%
ASHFORD, Robby pass to the right incomplete intended for MOORE, Koy broken up by JOHNSON, Antonio at the TAM15. PENALTY TAM Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Antonio enforced 15 yards to the TAM36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
68.6%
AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Brenden Coffey) to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+4
67.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-6
68.4%
Robby Ashford sacked by McKinnley Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 43
+6
66.2%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Tank Bigsby for 6 yds to the TexAM 37Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+54
67.5%
Alex McPherson 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2234% → 31%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
66.0%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
66.4%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
67.9%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:43
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
68.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the Aub 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0969% → 69%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
68.5%
Jarquez Hunter run for 4 yds to the Aub 27Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-10
68.7%
HUNTER, Jarquez rush to the right for a gain of 22 yards to the AUB49 (MATHEWS, Jacoby). PENALTY AUB Holding on IRVIN, Jalil enforced 10 yards from the AUB27 to the AUB17. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:43
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+7
68.0%
Robby Ashford run for 7 yds to the Aub 24Similar
Q3 10:43
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
67.2%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:34
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
69.0%
Oscar Chapman punt for 55 yds, downed at the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3832% → 28%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
68.4%
Le'Veon Moss run for no gain to the TexAM 21Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
68.7%
AUBURN Penalty, Offsides (D.J. James) to the TexAM 26Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-5
67.6%
WEIGMAN, Conner pass up the middle complete for 6 yards to STEWART, Evan caught at the TAM26 and advanced to the TAM32 (PRITCHETT, Nehemiah), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, TAM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TAM26 to the TAM21. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
68.7%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
70.1%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:56
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+4
71.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 34 yds , Dazalin Worsham returns for 4 yds to the Aub 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 13FUMBLE
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:2476% → 77%
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+25
75.9%
Jarquez Hunter run for 25 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
76.6%
Robby Ashford run for 2 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-3
77.4%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 27 Tank Bigsby fumbled, recovered by TexAM McKinnley JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2731% → 28%
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
69.5%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
70.1%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
71.2%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
72.5%
Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dazalin Worsham at the Aub 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3276% → 73%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
75.6%
Robby Ashford pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
75.0%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 38Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
74.7%
Robby Ashford run for no gain to the Aub 38Similar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
73.4%
Oscar Chapman punt for 58 yds, downed at the TexAM 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5328% → 25%
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
71.9%
Amari Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 3Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
72.2%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 11
OWN 3
0
73.5%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:33
4TH & 11
OWN 3
0
74.2%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay Of Game (Nik Constantinou) to the TexAM 2Similar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 12
OWN 2
0
74.7%
Nik Constantinou punt for 25 yds, downed at the TexAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 17FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0179% → 82%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
78.7%
Robby Ashford run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
78.2%
Jarquez Hunter run for no gain to the TexAM 30Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+12
76.2%
Robby Ashford pass complete to Jarquez Hunter for 12 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+34
82.1%
Alex McPherson 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:3120% → 15%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.5%
Conner Weigman run for 2 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
82.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amari Daniels for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-13
83.9%
Conner Weigman sacked for a loss of 13 yards to the TexAM 11Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
85.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 55 yds, downed at the Aub 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 19INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:2883% → 84%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
82.9%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 7
OWN 37
-1
83.4%
Damari Alston run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 36Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
84.3%
Robby Ashford pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5220% → 22%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
80.1%
Amari Daniels run for 2 yds to the Aub 37Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+2
80.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Blake Smith for 2 yds to the Aub 35Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+4
80.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 4 yds to the Aub 31Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+48
77.8%
Randy Bond 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 4:1284% → 88%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
84.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 15 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
86.0%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 40Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
85.5%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 43Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+7
84.8%
Robby Ashford run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
50
+6
87.4%
Jarquez Hunter run for 6 yds to the Aub 49 Jarquez Hunter fumbled, recovered by AubSimilar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 11
OWN 49
0
86.9%
Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 49Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 11
OWN 49
+6
85.7%
Robby Ashford run for 6 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
87.9%
Oscar Chapman punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:0216% → 17%
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
84.5%
Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+17
83.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Devin Price for 17 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
81.9%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-10
83.3%
Conner Weigman sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the TexAM 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 23FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:3291% → 95%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
91.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+15
91.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 15 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
91.3%
Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the TexAM 12Similar
Q4 3:09
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+5
95.1%
Jarquez Hunter run for 5 yds to the TexAM 7Similar
Q4 3:07
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-2
94.8%
Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 9Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
94.7%
Alex McPherson 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:244% → 31%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.4%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jalen Preston for 9 yds to the TexAM 29Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+17
96.0%
Amari Daniels run for 17 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
95.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Blake Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
96.0%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+38
96.2%
Amari Daniels run for 38 yds to the Aub 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
69.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jalen Preston for 17 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AUBDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · -14 yds · 1:2891% → 95%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
91.0%
Jarquez Hunter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Aub 45Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
94.0%
[NH] Kneel down by AUB at AUB42 (team loss of 3).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 16
OWN 42
0
94.7%
[NH] Kneel down by AUB at AUB34 (team loss of 8), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:33
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jalen Preston for 17 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)
-27.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:28
Timeout TEXAS A&M, clock 01:28
+21.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:34
Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the TexAM 30
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com