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SC

South Carolina 38 at Vanderbilt 27

VAN
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · FirstBank Stadium
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Win probability · VAN
modelVAN aheadSC aheadconfidence bandkey playVAN scoreSC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.1VAN 32.5%Mitch Jeter 31 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 7 · Q1 0:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:21 · Mitch Jeter 31 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense−4.4Pregame prior−12.8Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:08: AJ Swann pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 9 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +8.0 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 1:22: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 19 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +11.1 pts (now 86%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:50: Patrick Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK) — VAN win probability +12.2 pts (now 31%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:51: Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +16.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:06: Mike Wright pass complete to Ray Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — VAN win probability +8.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: VAN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VAN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 6:12VAN 4th & 6 at SC 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:30SC 4th & 12 at SC 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:05VAN 4th & 5 at SC 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:45SC 4th & 3 at SC 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:21SC 4th & 6 at VAN 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:34VAN 4th & 4 at SC 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    29.5%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    26.0%−3.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:41SC 4th & 1 at SC 34, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:38VAN 4th & 9 at VAN 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  9. Q4 10:24SC 4th & 5 at VAN 48, up 17
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:49VAN 4th & 1 at VAN 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:29SC 4th & 4 at SC 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:40SC 4th & 6 at VAN 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VAN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:23SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:30VAN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:36SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:08VAN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:13SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:22SC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:50VAN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:51SC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:06VAN Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VANDrive 1INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:1634% → 34%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
33.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
33.6%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 42Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
34.2%
AJ Swann pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:1566% → 67%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
34.1%
Xavier Legette run for 9 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+16
34.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 16 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
34.0%
Jaheim Bell run for 7 yds to the Vandy 38Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+9
33.9%
Antwane Wells Jr. run for 9 yds to the Vandy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
33.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 29 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 3TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5334% → 36%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
33.9%
Ray Davis run for 8 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
34.1%
Patrick Smith run for 6 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
34.0%
Ray Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 39Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+66
35.8%
AJ Swann pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 66 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 0:4964% → 67%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
35.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+68
33.5%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 68 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:2434% → 34%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
33.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to Justin Ball for 9 yds to the Vandy 44Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
34.4%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
34.3%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
34.4%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Gavin SchoenwaldSimilar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
34.3%
Patrick Smith run for 4 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
34.3%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.Similar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
34.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4266% → 66%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
33.9%
Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the SCaro 7Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-2
33.9%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Kane Patterson for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 5Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 12
OWN 5
0
34.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 12
OWN 5
0
34.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 50 yds , Will Sheppard returns for no gain to the Vandy 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 7MISSED FG
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:2535% → 35%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+25
34.8%
Ray Davis run for 25 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
35.6%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
35.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for no gain to the SCaro 26Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
35.1%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jayden McGowanSimilar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
34.7%
Joseph Bulovas 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2066% → 66%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
33.6%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
33.4%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 33
0
33.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Xavier LegetteSimilar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
33.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 67 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
33.8%
AJ Swann sacked by DQ Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 17 AJ Swann fumbled, recovered by SCaro Alex Huntley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1268% → 68%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
32.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the Vandy 16Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+3
32.1%
Jaheim Bell run for 3 yds to the Vandy 13Similar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
32.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
32.5%
Mitch Jeter 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5232% → 42%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
31.7%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
31.9%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 6 yds to the Vandy 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
31.8%
Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
32.3%
Patrick Smith run for 8 yds to the Vandy 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+12
32.8%
Patrick Smith run for 12 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+37
33.0%
Ray Davis run for 37 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+5
33.6%
Patrick Smith run for 5 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
41.6%
AJ Swann pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 9 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:4962% → 69%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
38.1%
Xavier Legette run for 19 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
37.0%
Jaheim Bell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+5
36.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 5 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+52
31.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 52 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:3931% → 30%
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.5%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
30.8%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
30.8%
Ray Davis run for 11 yds to the Vandy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
31.6%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 6
50
+6
32.0%
Patrick Smith run for 6 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
32.1%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Gamarion CarterSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
32.0%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+13
30.8%
AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds to the SCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
32.9%
Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+1
33.0%
AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 1 yd to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 9:13
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
32.0%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 4
OPP 28
0
29.5%
AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ray DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 2:1271% → 86%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
29.0%
Jalen Brooks run for 4 yds to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 14
OWN 24
-10
29.7%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 14Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 24
OWN 14
+5
29.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 5 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 19
OWN 19
+20
29.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 20 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
26.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 9 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+27
26.5%
Juju McDowell run for 27 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
26.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
25.3%
Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the Vandy 19Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
14.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 19 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:1220% → 19%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
20.2%
AJ Swann pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 3 yds to the Vandy 35Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+9
20.5%
AJ Swann pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 9 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 20
OWN 34
0
19.8%
PENALTY USC Personal Foul offsetting Vandy Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+15
19.8%
Ray Davis run for 15 yds to the Vandy 49Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
50
0
19.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Mike pass incomplete short middle to Sheppard,Will broken up by Emmanwori,Nick PENALTY Vandy Personal Foul offsetting USC Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1982% → 84%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
17.9%
Jaheim Bell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
17.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
17.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 8 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 12:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
16.2%
Kai Kroeger punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 17TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:5118% → 31%
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
17.6%
Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 22Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+8
17.6%
Mike Wright run for 8 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
17.9%
Patrick Smith run for 3 yds to the Vandy 27Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+2
17.5%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 25Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+15
17.3%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (DQ Smith) to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
19.5%
Ray Davis run for 19 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
20.2%
Ray Davis run for 6 yds to the SCaro 21Similar
Q3 12:41
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+1
20.2%
Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the SCaro 20Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+5
19.8%
PENALTY USC Offside (Pickens,Zacch) 5 yards from USC20 to USC15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
20.2%
Mike Wright run for 12 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
18.3%
Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
30.5%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18TD
15 plays · 65 yds · 5:5976% → 94%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
24.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 4 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
23.2%
Juju McDowell run for 13 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
23.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
23.2%
Shotgun McDowell,Juju rush right for 3 yards gain to the Vandy45 (Taylor,CJ; Mahoney,Jaylen) PENALTY USC Holding (Douglas,Eric) 10 yards from Vandy48 to USC42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+6
24.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Nate Adkins for 6 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+18
24.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 18 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
22.7%
Jaheim Bell run for 2 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 32
-15
22.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Vandy 44Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 20
OPP 44
0
23.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Juju McDowellSimilar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 20
OPP 44
+15
24.4%
Spencer Rattler run for 15 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q3 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
22.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 1 yd to the Vandy 7Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-10
22.7%
Shotgun Joyner,Dakereon rush left for 5 yards gain to the Vandy02 (Orji,Anfernee) PENALTY USC Holding (Gwyn,Jovaughn) 10 yards from Vandy07 to Vandy17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
6.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:1312% → 10%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 24
OWN 16
+13
11.6%
Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 13 yds to the Vandy 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+2
10.4%
Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
10.5%
Mike Wright pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
10.0%
Matt Hayball punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 4:1494% → 97%
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+17
6.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 17 yds to the SCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.8%
Jaheim Bell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
6.0%
Dakereon Joyner run for 8 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
5.8%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 10 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
5.5%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 14:38
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
5.5%
Dakereon Joyner pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q4 14:38
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+4
5.6%
Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Josh Vann for 4 yds to the Vandy 48Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
3.1%
Kai Kroeger punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 21TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 4:186% → 16%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
5.8%
Mike Wright run for 8 yds to the Vandy 21Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 2
OWN 21
0
6.0%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Jayden McGowanSimilar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+1
6.0%
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Vandy 22Similar
Q4 8:49
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+4
5.4%
Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
5.5%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will SheppardSimilar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+19
5.3%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 19 yds to the Vandy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
5.9%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 28 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
7.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Mike rush right for 5 yards gain to the USC22, End Of Play PENALTY USC Illegal Substitution 5 yards from USC27 to USC22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 5
OPP 22
+1
7.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 1 yd to the SCaro 21Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+10
7.0%
Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 10 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
7.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Mike pass incomplete short right to Sheppard,Will PENALTY USC Holding (Rush,Darius) 6 yards from USC11 to USC05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
7.3%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
15.8%
Mike Wright pass complete to Ray Davis for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:3796% → 96%
Q4 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
3.8%
SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 6:06
1ST & 17
OWN 18
+2
4.0%
Jaheim Bell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 16Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+15
4.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 15 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
3.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Nate AdkinsSimilar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
3.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 69 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:198% → 8%
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
7.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Wright,Mike pass incomplete short middle to Sheppard,Will PENALTY USC Personal Foul (Edmond,Gilber) 15 yards from Vandy20 to Vandy35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
8.1%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
8.1%
Mike Wright pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 11 yds Ben Bresnahan fumbled, recovered by SCaro Zacch PickensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 24FUMBLE
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:3097% → 98%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
3.1%
Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the Vandy 40Similar
Q4 4:10
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+4
2.8%
Jaheim Bell run for 4 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
3.1%
Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the Vandy 30Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-10
2.6%
No Huddle Legette,Xavier rush right for 11 yards gain to the Vandy19 (Mahoney,Jaylen), out of bounds PENALTY USC Illegal Block in Back (Jones,Trai) 10 yards from Vandy30 to Vandy40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+1
2.9%
Jaheim Bell run for 1 yd to the Vandy 39Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+7
2.9%
Jaheim Bell run for 7 yds to the Vandy 32Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+2
2.0%
run for 2 yds to the Vandy 34 fumbled, recovered by SCaro Jaylen MahoneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VANDrive 25INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:364% → 4%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
3.6%
Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the Vandy 36Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
3.7%
Mike Wright pass incomplete to Gamarion CarterSimilar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
3.5%
Mike Wright pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 1:0498% → 98%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
1.9%
S. Rattler takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-1
1.8%
S. Rattler takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:51
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 17 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-16.5
TD · Q3 6:50
Patrick Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)
+12.2
TD · Q2 1:22
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 19 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com