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UK

Kentucky 21 at Missouri 17

MIZ
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds Barrett Banister fumbled, recovered by Kent J.J. Weaver
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsOne-score game
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:47: Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +16.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 13:09: Brady Cook 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — MIZ win probability +13.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. TD · Q4 8:07: Brady Cook run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brady Cook pass to Tauskie Dove for Two-Point Conversion) — MIZ win probability +32.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:04: Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 19 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST down — UK win probability +13.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:18: Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 22 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK) — UK win probability +38.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UK made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:15MIZ 4th & 17 at MIZ 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:17MIZ 4th & 10 at UK 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    49.9%−1.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:23UK 4th & 10 at MIZ 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:04MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 30, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:39UK 4th & 29 at UK 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:02UK 4th & 6 at MIZ 29, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.0%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−4.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:55MIZ 4th & 3 at MIZ 36, down 4
    Close callPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:14UK 4th & 5 at UK 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:01MIZ 4th & 1 at UK 38, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    48.2%−2.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:34UK 4th & 4 at MIZ 42, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    53.2%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.5%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:07UK 4th & 7 at UK 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:48MIZ 4th & 4 at MIZ 31, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.6%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:18MIZ 4th & 11 at MIZ 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:02UK 4th & 15 at UK 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−4.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:09MIZ 4th & 1 at UK 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−3.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−10.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:23UK 4th & 16 at UK 18, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−6.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:13MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:38UK 4th & 7 at MIZ 41, up 4
    Close callPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    87.9%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 0 of 2UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:33UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:47UK Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:09MIZ Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    36.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    36.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:07MIZ Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    64.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:18UK Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:4549% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
49.3%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-5
49.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 18Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
49.5%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 43 yds , Barion Brown returns for no gain to the Kent 18 KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Block (Trevin Wallace) to the Kent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:4250% → 52%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+39
49.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 39 yds to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
49.4%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
49.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+17
49.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 17 yds to the Misso 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+12
49.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 12 yds to the Misso 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
49.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 4Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
49.4%
Will Levis sacked by Realus George Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 9Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
47.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 9 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 4:1648% → 49%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
48.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 8 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
48.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 3 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
48.4%
Cody Schrader run for 15 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
48.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 9 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+14
49.0%
Cody Schrader run for 14 yds to the Kent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
49.1%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+2
49.0%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 13
OPP 29
-2
49.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 15
OPP 31
0
48.5%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+5
46.8%
MEVIS, Harrison field goal attempt from 49 yards NO GOOD (wide left) [kick was spotted at UKY39], clock 05:21. PENALTY Before the snap, UKY Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UKY31 to the UKY26. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+44
49.4%
Harrison Mevis 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:5451% → 51%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
49.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
48.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 3 yds to the Kent 42Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+17
48.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 17 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
48.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 40Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+15
48.4%
LEVIS, Will pass up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the MIZ40. PENALTY MIZ Pass Interference on ABRAMS-DRAINE, Kris enforced 15 yards to the MIZ25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
48.0%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
48.2%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
48.6%
Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
49.0%
Matt Ruffolo 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1949% → 48%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
49.0%
Luther Burden III run for 1 yd to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
48.9%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q1 1:23
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
48.7%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
48.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 23 yds, downed at the Kent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:2152% → 51%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
47.9%
Will Levis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
47.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
-8
47.7%
Will Levis sacked by Joseph Charleston for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 44
-10
48.9%
Will Levis sacked by Ty'Ron Hopper for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 46Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 29
OWN 46
0
49.5%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 50 yds, downed at the Misso 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 39 yds · 4:0149% → 49%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
48.6%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the Misso 10Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+5
48.6%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Misso 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
48.7%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the Misso 16Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+5
48.6%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q2 12:39
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
48.1%
COOK, Brady pass to the left incomplete intended for LOVETT, Dominic thrown to the UKY47. PENALTY UKY Personal Foul on JACKSON, D'Eryk declined UKY Pass Interference on PHILLIPS, Andru enforced 15 yards to the MIZ36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
49.5%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
49.3%
Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+3
48.6%
Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the Misso 43 Brady Cook fumbled, recovered by Kent Jordan WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8MISSED FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:3654% → 53%
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
46.2%
Will Levis pass complete to Josh Kattus for 10 yds to the Misso 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
45.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 34Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+5
45.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 8:38
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
46.5%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
46.7%
Matt Ruffolo 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:0748% → 46%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
47.5%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the Misso 29Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-9
47.2%
Brady Cook sacked by Trevin Wallace for a loss of 9 yards to the Misso 20Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 19
OWN 20
+5
46.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (J.J. Weaver) to the Misso 25Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+5
46.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (Jordan Wright) to the Misso 30Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+6
46.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 6 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
46.3%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4153% → 51%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
46.8%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+5
47.0%
La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the Kent 16Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
47.8%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:14
4TH & 5
OWN 16
0
48.8%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the Kent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1350% → 47%
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
50.1%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Kent 44Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
50.2%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+2
48.8%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
47.3%
Brady Cook run for no gain to the Kent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:2758% → 59%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
42.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 14 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
41.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-8
41.0%
Will Levis sacked by DJ Coleman and Darius Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 45Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 17
OWN 45
+13
43.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 13 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
41.4%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 35 yds, downed at the Misso 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
39.8%
[NH] Kneel down by MIZ at MIZ6 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:4855% → 54%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+25
44.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 25 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
44.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
42.7%
Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-5
43.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Jeremy Flax) to the Kent 35Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
45.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds to the Kent 38Similar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
46.1%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1946% → 44%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
45.6%
Brady Cook sacked by Deone Walker and Justin Rogers for a loss of 5 yards to the Misso 20Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
45.1%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (Justin Rogers) to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
45.3%
Dominic Lovett run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 21Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+10
43.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 10 yds to the Misso 31Similar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
44.0%
Jack Stonehouse run for 3 yds to the Misso 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 4:0160% → 76%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
40.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
39.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+1
41.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
39.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 22Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
39.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Misso 19Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+18
41.1%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 18 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.7%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 1Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
23.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:2927% → 23%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
26.8%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
27.2%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
25.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 16 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
28.6%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 43Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
28.1%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 11
OWN 43
0
26.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 11
OWN 43
+2
23.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 41 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 2 yds to the Kent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 2:1674% → 74%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
25.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 19Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+2
25.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 2 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 7
OWN 21
-8
26.3%
Will Levis sacked by Darius Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 13Similar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 15
OWN 13
0
26.1%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:5326% → 39%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
25.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Taj Butts for 10 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
26.5%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+25
26.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 25 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
28.3%
Luther Burden III run for 8 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+4
27.2%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
27.2%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
27.2%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
25.6%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the Kent 1Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.3%
Brady Cook 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:4268% → 66%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
32.2%
Barion Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 23Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
33.1%
Will Levis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:18
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
34.2%
Will Levis sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for 0 yards to the Kent 23Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 11
OWN 23
-5
35.3%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kavosiey Smoke) to the Kent 18Similar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 16
OWN 18
0
33.6%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:1639% → 78%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
39.2%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 35Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+35
38.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 35 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
46.3%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-2
46.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+12
40.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 12 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
46.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for no gain to the Kent 20Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
78.3%
Brady Cook run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brady Cook pass to Tauskie Dove for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:4635% → 78%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
64.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 19 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
62.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Personal Foul (Chad Bailey) to the Misso 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
60.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dekel Crowdus) to the Misso 21Similar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
58.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Misso 21Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+4
59.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-5
60.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Tashawn Manning) to the Misso 22Similar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+22
22.0%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 22 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:0536% → 28%
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.5%
COOK, Brady pass to the right incomplete intended for LOVETT, Dominic thrown to the MIZ48. PENALTY MIZ Illegal Touch-Pass on LOVETT, Dominic enforced 0 yards from the MIZ25 to the MIZ25, penalty results in a loss of down [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
34.8%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
32.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+2
28.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 40 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 2 yds to the Kent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 24PUNT
12 plays · 24 yds · 3:3578% → 94%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
22.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
20.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q4 2:34
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-2
14.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 41Similar
Q4 2:25
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+15
16.4%
GOODFELLOW, Colin punt 0 yards to the UKY41 out of bounds, clock 02:25. PENALTY MIZ Roughing the Kicker on NORRIS, Will enforced 15 yards from the UKY41 to the MIZ44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
12.3%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Misso 42Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+1
12.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 41Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+5
13.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 2
OPP 36
-5
6.0%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Zion Childress) to the Misso 41Similar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 7
OPP 41
+7
5.9%
punt for 35 yds , Luther Burden III returns for 7 yds to the Misso 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:3816% → 12%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
16.0%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
15.7%
COOK, Brady pass to the right complete for 27 yards to BURDEN, Luther caught at the MIZ40 and advanced to the MIZ40, out of bounds. PENALTY MIZ Holding on WALTERS, Mitchell enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the MIZ13 to the MIZ7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 16
OWN 7
+10
14.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 10 yds to the Misso 17Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+6
12.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 6 yds Barrett Banister fumbled, recovered by Kent J.J. WeaverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:18
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 22 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
-38.8
TD · Q4 8:07
Brady Cook run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brady Cook pass to Tauskie Dove for Two-Point Conversion)
+32
TD · Q3 5:47
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)
-16.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com