Try the model
TENN

Tennessee 13 at Georgia 27

UGA
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Sanford Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UGA
modelUGA aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playUGA scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of GameFG+2.2UGA 97.9%Jack Podlesny 38 Yd Field GoalAWAY 6 - HOME 27 · Q3 1:09
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:09 · Jack Podlesny 38 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 122Home team on offense+28.3Pregame prior+7.8Score differential+19.6Garbage-time factor+10.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:32: Ladd McConkey 37 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +2.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:17: Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint 5 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick) — UGA win probability +5.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 9:36: Chase McGrath 36 Yd Field Goal — TENN win probability +2.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:09: Jack Podlesny 38 Yd Field Goal — UGA win probability +2.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UGA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:15: Jaylen Wright 5 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick) — TENN win probability +5.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UGA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TENN made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 10:05TENN 4th & 5 at UGA 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:30TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 41, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:54UGA 4th & 4 at UGA 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:39TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:14TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:36TENN 4th & 12 at UGA 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−5.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:41UGA 4th & 11 at UGA 37, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:13TENN 4th & 1 at UGA 43, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−1.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:45TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.7%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:53TENN 4th & 19 at midfield, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:09UGA 4th & 4 at TENN 20, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:07TENN 4th & 10 at UGA 23, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:16UGA 4th & 18 at UGA 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:32TENN 4th & 8 at UGA 33, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:47UGA 4th & 12 at TENN 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:42TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UGA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:32UGA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:32UGA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:17UGA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:15TENN Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UGADrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:0077% → 77%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
77.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 9 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 14:39
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
77.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for no gain to the Geo 32Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+11
77.2%
Kenny McIntosh run for 11 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
77.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
77.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 10 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-6
77.2%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 47 Daijun Edwards fumbled, forced by LaTrell Bumphus, recovered by Tenn Tamarion McDonaldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:5023% → 24%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
76.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 7 yds to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+5
76.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 5 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
76.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Gerald Mincey) to the Geo 40Similar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 15
OPP 40
+6
76.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 6 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
76.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 4 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-5
76.2%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Fant, Princeton, PENALTY TENNESSEE false start (Fant, Princeton) 5 yards to the GEORGIA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:53
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+5
76.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 5 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
75.9%
Chase McGrath 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 3TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:3076% → 77%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+52
75.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Arian Smith for 52 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
76.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 15 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
76.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
76.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Darnell WashingtonSimilar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
76.7%
Stetson Bennett 13 Yd Run (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:0224% → 24%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
76.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 6 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
76.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 6 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
76.3%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Gerald Mincey) to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+3
76.5%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+6
76.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 6:44
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
76.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q1 6:30
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
76.4%
Paxton Brooks punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3676% → 75%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
76.2%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 16Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+8
76.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 8 yds to the Geo 24Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
75.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Dominick BlaylockSimilar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
75.4%
Brett Thorson punt for 75 yds, downed at the Tenn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1524% → 23%
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
76.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Tenn 4Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+1
76.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Tenn 5Similar
Q1 3:58
3RD & 6
OWN 5
-4
76.4%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jalen Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 1 Hendon Hooker fumbled, forced by Jalen Carter, recovered by Tenn Javontez Spraggins , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
76.7%
Paxton Brooks punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Tenn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 7TD
1 play · 37 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
79.5%
Ladd McConkey 37 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1821% → 21%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
78.6%
Jaylen Wright run for 11 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
78.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+3
78.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
78.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+23
78.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 38 yds, downed at the GEORGIA 21 TENNESSEE Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (William Wright) to the Geo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 9TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:5779% → 85%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
79.0%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the Geo 37Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+49
79.0%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 49 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
79.6%
Kenny McIntosh run for 7 yds to the Tenn 7Similar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+3
79.8%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
79.9%
Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 5Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.1%
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint 5 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10FG
16 plays · 56 yds · 4:4116% → 17%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.5%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Tenn 25Similar
Q2 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+11
84.7%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Warren, Jacob, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Bullard, Javon) 11 yards to the TENNESSEE41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
84.5%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
84.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 2 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+9
84.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 9 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
84.5%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
84.8%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Tillman, Cedric, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Ringo, Kelee) 10 yards to the GEORGIA33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
84.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 16 yds to the Geo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
84.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Geo 11Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+2
84.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Geo 9Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-5
85.0%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jeremiah Crawford) to the Geo 14Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 7
OPP 14
-5
85.1%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jaylen Wright) to the Geo 19Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 12
OPP 19
0
85.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
Q2 9:36
4TH & 12
OPP 19
+36
83.0%
Chase McGrath 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:5584% → 84%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
84.1%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 9 yds to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
84.6%
Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
84.7%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
84.6%
Branson Robinson run for 1 yd to the Geo 39Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-5
84.5%
GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (Brock Bowers) to the Geo 34Similar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+3
84.2%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 3 yds to the Geo 37Similar
Q2 6:41
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
84.0%
Brett Thorson punt for 32 yds, downed at the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:4916% → 16%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+17
83.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 17 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
83.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 7 yds to the Geo 45Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
82.8%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
83.0%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Geo 43Similar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+4
84.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
84.1%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted, touchback. Kelee Ringo return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 13FG
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:5286% → 89%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
85.8%
Kendall Milton run for 5 yds to the Geo 25Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+20
86.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 20 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
87.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 9 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+4
87.5%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 4 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
87.8%
Branson Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 43Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+18
88.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 18 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
88.8%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Tenn 24Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+6
89.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 6 yds to the Tenn 18Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+8
88.9%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 8 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
89.4%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kenny McIntosh for 8 yds to the Tenn 2Similar
Q2 0:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
88.2%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Marcus Rosemy-JacksaintSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
89.2%
Jack Podlesny 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14PUNT
13 plays · 25 yds · 5:0711% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
89.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 14:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
89.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 6 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
89.1%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 13:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
89.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
89.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
89.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 7 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
89.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 7
50
+9
89.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the Geo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
89.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jamon Dumas-Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 46Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+2
90.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 2 yds to the Geo 44Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 13
OPP 44
-6
90.6%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Warren Brinson for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 19
50
0
92.3%
Paxton Brooks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 15FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 8:4494% → 98%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
93.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 4 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
93.9%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Brock BowersSimilar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+8
93.7%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 8 yds to the Geo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.1%
Brock Bowers run for 7 yds to the Geo 32Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
94.3%
Kenny McIntosh run for 4 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
94.4%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 6:54
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
94.6%
Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the Geo 37Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+23
94.6%
Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 23 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
95.0%
Daijun Edwards run for 7 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
95.3%
Branson Robinson run for 2 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+5
95.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 5 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
95.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+2
95.7%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Tenn 21Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+1
95.7%
Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the Tenn 20Similar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+38
97.9%
Jack Podlesny 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:402% → 2%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
97.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 15 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
98.0%
Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 37 Jaylen Wright fumbled, forced by Jalen Carter, recovered by Geo Tyrion Ingram-DawkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
98.3%
Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the Tenn 34 Branson Robinson fumbled, forced by Trevon Flowers, recovered by Tenn Bryson EasonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18DOWNS
20 plays · 43 yds · 6:122% → 1%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
98.1%
Hooker, Hendon pass complete to Tillman, Cedric for 8 yards to the TENNESSEE42, PENALTY TENNESSEE illegal formation 5 yards to the TENNESSEE29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:04
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+11
98.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 11 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+7
98.0%
Jaylen Wright run for 7 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
98.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+7
98.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 7 yds to the Geo 46Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+10
98.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 10 yds to the Geo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
98.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
98.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Geo 30Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+10
98.3%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Tillman, Cedric, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (Ringo, Kelee) 10 yards to the GEORGIA20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
98.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Geo 17Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-5
98.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Trezmen Marshall for a loss of 5 yards to the Geo 22Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 12
OPP 22
-5
98.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Jeremiah Crawford) to the Geo 27Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 17
OPP 27
-6
98.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Javon Bullard for a loss of 6 yards to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 23
OPP 33
-5
98.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Darnell Wright) to the Geo 38Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 28
OPP 38
+15
98.7%
Hooker, Hendon pass sacked for loss of 3 yards to the GEORGIA41 (Williams, Mykel), PENALTY GEORGIA face mask (Williams, Mykel) 15 yards to the GEORGIA23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
98.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Geo 19Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
98.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 6
OPP 19
-4
98.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Javon Bullard for a loss of 4 yards to the Geo 23Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 10
OPP 23
0
98.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:5199% → 99%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
99.1%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 21Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 12
OWN 21
-9
99.2%
Edwards, Daijun rush for 5 yards to the GEORGIA26, PENALTY GEORGIA holding (McClendon, Warren) 9 yards to the GEORGIA12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 21
OWN 12
+1
99.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the Geo 13Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 20
OWN 13
+2
99.3%
Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the Geo 15Similar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 18
OWN 15
0
99.3%
Brett Thorson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the Tenn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:011% → 6%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.1%
Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+9
99.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the Geo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
99.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 11 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
99.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Geo 34Similar
Q4 4:52
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+1
99.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Geo 33Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+28
99.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 28 yds to the Geo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.8%
Jaylen Wright 5 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:2797% → 98%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
97.4%
Kendall Milton run for 2 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-4
97.7%
Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tenn 48Similar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
98.1%
Stetson Bennett pass incomplete to Arian SmithSimilar
Q4 3:47
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
98.1%
Brett Thorson punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:053% → 3%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
97.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
97.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
97.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 7 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 3
OWN 39
0
97.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
97.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Tenn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UGADrive 23END OF GAME
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:2099% → 99%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
98.5%
Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
99.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 3 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+10
99.2%
Daijun Edwards run for 10 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
99.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:15
Jaylen Wright 5 Yd Run (Chase McGrath Kick)
-5.4
TD · Q2 14:17
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint 5 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)
+5.2
TD · Q1 3:32
Ladd McConkey 37 Yd pass from Stetson Bennett (Jack Podlesny Kick)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com