Try the model
UK

Kentucky 6 at Tennessee 44

TENN
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Neyland Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUK aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 13:54 · Colin Goodfellow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the Tenn 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense+2.8Pregame prior+19.9Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:44: Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo PAT BLOCKED) — UK win probability +2.2 pts (now 26%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:56: Princeton Fant run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath PAT MISSED) — TENN win probability +2.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:12: Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +5.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:22: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 31 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +7.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:58: Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UK made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:34UK 4th & 10 at UK 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:29TENN 4th & 27 at TENN 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:50TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 48, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    74.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:10TENN 4th & 1 at UK 12, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.9%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    72.4%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:54UK 4th & 10 at UK 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:50UK 4th & 1 at TENN 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.2%−1.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:49TENN 4th & 8 at UK 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    84.2%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:37UK 4th & 10 at UK 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:35UK 4th & 27 at UK 8, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−1.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:57TENN 4th & 5 at UK 12, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:45TENN 4th & 10 at UK 20, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:30UK 4th & 4 at UK 41, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:38UK 4th & 18 at UK 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:19TENN 4th & 25 at UK 39, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:53UK 4th & 11 at UK 2, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:44UK 4th & 9 at TENN 36, down 38
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:33TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:44UK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56TENN Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    77.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:12TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:22TENN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:58TENN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:47TENN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1277% → 77%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
76.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 3 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
76.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 8 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
76.5%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+55
76.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 55 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4623% → 23%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
76.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
76.8%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
76.9%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Barion BrownSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
77.0%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 46 yds, downed at the Tenn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -17 yds · 1:5877% → 77%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-15
77.0%
Hooker, Hendon pass complete to Tillman, Cedric for 3 yards to the TENNESSEE40, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference 15 yards to the TENNESSEE22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 25
OWN 22
0
76.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 25
OWN 22
+6
76.9%
Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 19
OWN 28
-5
76.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 24
OWN 23
-10
76.8%
Hooker, Hendon pass complete to Tillman, Cedric for 19 yards to the TENNESSEE42, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 34
OWN 13
+7
76.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q1 9:29
4TH & 27
OWN 20
0
76.7%
Paxton Brooks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 4TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:3823% → 26%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
76.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
76.6%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jordan DingleSimilar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+8
76.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 8 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+24
76.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 24 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
76.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+9
76.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
75.9%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 16 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
75.9%
Will Levis sacked by Omari Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 3Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 4:3475% → 78%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.9%
Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
75.3%
Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
75.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the Tenn 43Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
75.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+3
75.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Tenn 48Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+2
74.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
50
+15
75.3%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Hyatt, Jalin, PENALTY KENTUCKY pass interference 15 yards to the KENTUCKY35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.Similar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
75.6%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+10
75.6%
Jabari Small run for 10 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
75.5%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 17Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+2
75.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Kent 15Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+3
75.1%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Kent 12Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+3
74.5%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
75.4%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 5Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
75.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 3 yds to the Kent 2Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.8%
Princeton Fant run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath PAT MISSED)Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 0
OPP 3
-10
78.2%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5524% → 23%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
76.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 35Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
76.7%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Chris Rodriguez Jr.Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
77.2%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
77.4%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the Tenn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:2977% → 84%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
77.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+35
77.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 35 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
78.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 7 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+13
78.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 13 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
78.5%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Kent 16Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+11
78.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 11 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
78.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 4 yds to the Kent 1Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.9%
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 8INT
12 plays · 58 yds · 6:2618% → 18%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
81.6%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 15 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
81.4%
JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+16
81.5%
Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 16 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
81.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 12 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
81.0%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
81.1%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 22Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+6
81.9%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the Tenn 16Similar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+1
82.2%
Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
81.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 12Similar
Q2 5:17
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
81.5%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 12Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 7
OPP 12
-48
82.3%
Will Levis pass intercepted Juwan Mitchell return for 48 yds to the Kent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2985% → 85%
Q2 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
85.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 18
OWN 47
+10
85.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 10 yds to the Kent 43Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
85.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin HyattSimilar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
84.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 41 yds, downed at the Kent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:5815% → 14%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
84.8%
JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Kent 2Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 2
-1
85.2%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-1 Yards) to the Kent 1Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+16
85.4%
JuTahn McClain run for 16 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
85.0%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
85.3%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-5
85.5%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 16Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+1
85.5%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 1 yd to the Kent 17Similar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
85.8%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:0686% → 95%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
85.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 4 yds to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+31
94.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 31 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
93.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 2:106% → 5%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.6%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-8
93.8%
Will Levis sacked by Da'Jon Terry for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 18Similar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-10
94.2%
Will Levis sacked by Byron Young and Tyler Baron for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 8Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 27
OWN 8
+10
94.6%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 43 yds , Dee Williams returns for 10 yds to the Kent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14FG
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:2795% → 96%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
95.3%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Kent 40Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+8
95.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 8 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+2
95.5%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
95.6%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to McCoy, Bru, PENALTY KENTUCKY substitution infraction 5 yards to the KENTUCKY25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 5
OPP 25
0
95.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
95.7%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 21Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+4
95.6%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
95.8%
Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Kent 11Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 4
OPP 11
-1
95.9%
Jabari Small run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 12Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
96.0%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Kent 12Similar
Q3 8:57
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
95.9%
Chase McGrath 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 15INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:214% → 4%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.2%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
96.4%
Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 28Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
96.5%
Will Levis pass intercepted Brandon Turnage return for 7 yds to the Kent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2097% → 97%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
96.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 8 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+4
96.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
97.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
97.2%
Jabari Small run for no gain to the Kent 20Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
97.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
96.9%
Chase McGrath 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:093% → 3%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.9%
Will Levis pass incomplete to Jordan DingleSimilar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
96.9%
Will Levis pass intercepted Doneiko Slaughter return for no gain to the Tenn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:2297% → 100%
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
97.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 16 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
97.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+25
97.4%
Jaylen Wright run for 25 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.8%
Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Kent 8Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 15 yds · 4:020% → 0%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
99.7%
Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 8 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.7%
Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 30Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+7
99.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 7 yds to the Kent 37Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 4 yds to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+7
99.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 7 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
99.8%
Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 45
-5
99.8%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 18
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to JuTahn McClainSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 18
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Will Levis pass incomplete to JuTahn McClainSimilar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 18
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the Tenn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:11100% → 100%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.7%
Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+39
99.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 39 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
99.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 29Similar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+3
99.8%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 12
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q4 10:55
3RD & 12
OPP 26
-8
99.9%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Tre'vonn Rybka for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 20
OPP 34
-5
99.8%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 10:19
4TH & 25
OPP 39
0
99.8%
Paxton Brooks punt for 36 yds, downed at the Kent 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.9%
La'Vell Wright run for 4 yds to the Kent 7Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 6
OWN 7
-1
99.9%
La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 6Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 7
OWN 6
-4
99.9%
Will Levis sacked by Byron Young for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 2Similar
Q4 7:53
4TH & 11
OWN 2
+34
99.9%
Colin Goodfellow punt for 45 yds , Dee Williams returns for 34 yds to the Kent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22TD
1 play · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 23DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 6:460% → 0%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.9%
La'Vell Wright run for 9 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the Kent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 4:40
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+15
99.9%
La'Vell Wright run for 15 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
99.9%
Dee Beckwith run for 7 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+7
99.9%
Dee Beckwith run for 7 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
99.9%
Dee Beckwith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+1
100.0%
Will Levis pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 1 yd to the Tenn 37Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+1
100.0%
La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+7
100.0%
Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 7 yds to the Tenn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:22
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 31 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 11:12
Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+5.4
TD · Q2 14:56
Princeton Fant run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath PAT MISSED)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com