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MIZ

Missouri 23 at South Carolina 10

SC
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadMIZ aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreMIZ score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:28 · Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Home team on offense−10.6Score differential−4.7Pregame prior+5.2Garbage-time factor−2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:50: Brady Cook run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +5.3 pts (now 45%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:29: Cody Schrader run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +10.1 pts (now 58%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 4:59: Harrison Mevis 19 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +6.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:47: Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +13.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 12:51: Harrison Mevis 32 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +10.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:04MIZ 4th & 5 at MIZ 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:48SC 4th & 8 at MIZ 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:49SC 4th & 9 at SC 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:39SC 4th & 2 at SC 29, down 14
    Close callPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:59MIZ 4th & 2 at SC 2, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 62.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−9.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:28SC 4th & 13 at SC 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:12MIZ 4th & 9 at SC 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:15MIZ 4th & 3 at SC 3, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.2%−1.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    55.3%−10.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:12SC 4th & 5 at MIZ 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−9.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:47MIZ 4th & 12 at SC 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:51SC 4th & 22 at SC 13, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−4.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:51MIZ 4th & 5 at SC 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    65.7%−10.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:23SC 4th & 8 at SC 43, down 13
    Close callPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:15MIZ 4th & 9 at MIZ 43, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 1 of 1MIZ made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:50MIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:29MIZ Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:47SC Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIZDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:5639% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.2%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
61.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 2 yds to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.2%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
61.3%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:1661% → 61%
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
61.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+16
61.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:04
1ST & 10
50
+4
61.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 13:04
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
61.4%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 13:04
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
61.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q1 10:48
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
61.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Luther Burden III at the Misso 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 3TD
18 plays · 96 yds · 6:5839% → 45%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
61.1%
Cody Schrader run for 9 yds to the Misso 13Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+10
61.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
61.0%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
61.1%
Luther Burden III run for 6 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+8
61.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 8 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
60.9%
Elijah Young run for 9 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-5
60.6%
PENALTY Miz False Start (Wood,Connor) 5 yards from Miz46 to Miz41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+8
60.7%
Brady Cook run for 8 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
60.6%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+21
60.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 21 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
60.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 5 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-2
60.4%
Brady Cook sacked by Tonka Hemingway for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 24Similar
Q1 10:48
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+12
60.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 12 yds to the SCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
60.4%
Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the SCaro 7Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
60.4%
Luther Burden III run for 4 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
55.1%
Brady Cook run for 3 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:0156% → 55%
Q1 3:50
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+3
55.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 3 yds to the SCaro 27Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 18
OWN 27
+14
55.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 14 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-5
56.2%
Spencer Rattler sacked by DJ Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the SCaro 36Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
54.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 5TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 5:2045% → 58%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
54.8%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the Misso 20Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+1
54.9%
Elijah Young run for 1 yd to the Misso 21Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+7
54.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 7 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
53.4%
PENALTY Miz False Start (Ndoma-Ogar,EJ) 5 yards from Miz28 to Miz23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+4
54.0%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+57
54.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 57 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
51.8%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the SCaro 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
51.8%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+10
52.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 10 yds to the SCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
51.8%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the SCaro 1Similar
Q2 11:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.7%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4439% → 36%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
39.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 7 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+1
39.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
39.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q2 9:39
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
36.3%
Kai Kroeger punt for 45 yds , Luther Burden III returns for no gain to the Misso 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 7FG
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:4063% → 71%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
36.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 21 yds to the Misso 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
35.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 7 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+11
35.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Elijah Young for 11 yds to the SCaro 37Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+23
35.7%
Brady Cook run for 23 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
35.2%
Cody Schrader run for 9 yds to the SCaro 5Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+2
35.2%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
35.8%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Cody SchraderSimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
35.4%
Brady Cook run for 1 yd to the SCaro 2Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.3%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Mookie CooperSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
28.9%
Harrison Mevis 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8TD
18 plays · 82 yds · 4:0231% → 43%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+12
30.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 12 yds to the SCaro 25Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+4
29.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+25
30.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 25 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+8
29.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 8 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
29.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 12
OPP 48
+5
29.2%
Shotgun Rattler,Spencer pass incomplete short right to Wells Jr.,Antwane PENALTY Miz Offside 5 yards from Miz48 to Miz43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+10
29.6%
Shotgun Rattler,Spencer pass incomplete short middle to Stogner,Austin broken up by Rakestraw Jr.,Ennis PENALTY Miz Holding (Norwood,Dreyden) 10 yards from Miz43 to Miz33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
31.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the Misso 37Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+15
29.1%
Shotgun Rattler,Spencer pass incomplete short left to Brooks,Jalen broken up by Abrams-Draine,Kris PENALTY Miz Pass Interference (Abrams-Draine,Kris) 15 yards from Miz37 to Miz22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
34.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 2 yds Antwane Wells Jr. fumbled, recovered by SCaroSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+6
34.3%
Juju McDowell run for 6 yds to the Misso 14Similar
Q2 1:41
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+2
27.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the Misso 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
32.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 5 yds to the Misso 7Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
29.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
42.9%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
37.1%
Kneel down by Missouri at Miz16 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:3240% → 36%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.8%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the SCaro 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.7%
Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
38.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
36.4%
Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:1662% → 63%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
37.7%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 7 yds to the Misso 45Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
37.6%
Dominic Lovett run for 2 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
38.1%
Brady Cook run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
50
+1
37.4%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
37.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden IIISimilar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
37.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
37.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:2934% → 33%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
34.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 10Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+1
34.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 11Similar
Q3 9:43
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+10
32.7%
Spencer Rattler run for 10 yds to the SCaro 10 Spencer Rattler fumbled, recovered by Misso Daylan CarnellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13MISSED FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2868% → 67%
Q3 9:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
32.3%
Brady Cook run for 4 yds to the SCaro 6Similar
Q3 9:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
32.3%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the SCaro 5Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
32.1%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
33.0%
Harrison Mevis 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 14FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 4:0332% → 35%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
32.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 11 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
32.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 12 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
33.9%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 41Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 12
OWN 41
0
33.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 12
OWN 41
+20
27.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 20 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
30.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 4 yds to the Misso 35Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
32.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+9
30.8%
Spencer Rattler run for 9 yds to the Misso 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
32.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 3 yds to the Misso 23Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+2
32.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 2 yds to the Misso 21Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
30.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to MarShawn LloydSimilar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+39
34.9%
Mitch Jeter 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15FG
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:2567% → 74%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
33.1%
Elijah Young run for 10 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+34
32.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 34 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
29.2%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden IIISimilar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
29.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 2 yds to the SCaro 33Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 12
OPP 33
0
30.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Cody SchraderSimilar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 12
OPP 33
+50
26.5%
Harrison Mevis 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:5621% → 18%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 2 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
20.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 1 yd to the SCaro 22Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-9
18.5%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Isaiah McGuire for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 13Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
17.9%
Kai Kroeger punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:0078% → 89%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
22.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 29 yds to the SCaro 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
21.0%
Brady Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
21.2%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the SCaro 18Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+3
22.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for 3 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q4 12:51
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
11.2%
Harrison Mevis 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:2211% → 9%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
11.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 20 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
11.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Nate AdkinsSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-8
11.4%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Isaiah McGuire for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 33Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+10
11.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 10 yds to the SCaro 43Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
8.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
15 plays · 34 yds · 6:0892% → 97%
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
7.8%
Cody Schrader run for 6 yds to the Misso 15Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+5
7.7%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
7.7%
Cody Schrader run for 8 yds to the Misso 28Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
7.3%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
7.4%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Misso 36Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
7.2%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+2
4.4%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
4.5%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+3
3.4%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 2
50
-5
3.3%
PENALTY Miz False Start (Wood,Connor) 5 yards from Miz50 to Miz45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+2
3.4%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the Misso 43Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
3.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 20INT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:373% → 3%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
3.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 6 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
3.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 2 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+2
3.1%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
3.3%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Martez Manuel for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 24Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 16
OWN 24
0
2.6%
Spencer Rattler pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -22 yds · 2:3798% → 99%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
1.9%
Kneel down by Missouri at Miz47 for loss of 8 yards.Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 18
OWN 47
-7
2.0%
Kneel down by Missouri at Miz40 for loss of 7 yards.Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 25
OWN 40
-7
2.1%
Kneel down by Missouri at Miz33 for loss of 7 yards.Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 32
OWN 33
0
1.0%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 17 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
1.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 17 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:47
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+13.5
FG · Q4 12:51
Harrison Mevis 32 yd FG GOOD
-10.8
TD · Q2 11:29
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com