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UTM

UT Martin 24 at Tennessee 65

TENN
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Neyland Stadium
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Win probability · TENN
modelTENN aheadUTM aheadconfidence bandkey playTENN scoreUTM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:35 · Tyler Larco 39 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 179Pregame prior+16.2Home team on offense+35.3Score differential+29.5Blowout margin+18.2Garbage-time factor+7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:59: Princeton Fant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:55: Chase McGrath 40 Yd Field Goal — TENN win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:13: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 22 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 7:09: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 17 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK) — TENN win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TENN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTM made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:55UTM 4th & 3 at UTM 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:47UTM 4th & 12 at UTM 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:55TENN 4th & 6 at UTM 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:03UTM 4th & 13 at UTM 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:02UTM 4th & 6 at UTM 29, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:35UTM 4th & 2 at TENN 47, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:23UTM 4th & 1 at UTM 34, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:21UTM 4th & 2 at TENN 23, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:45TENN 4th & 1 at TENN 32, up 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:55TENN 4th & 15 at UTM 28, up 51
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:44TENN 4th & 4 at TENN 34, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:35UTM 4th & 13 at TENN 22, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:03TENN 4th & 7 at TENN 25, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:04UTM 4th & 9 at TENN 13, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TENN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UTM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:44TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:05UTM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:59TENN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:00TENN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:13TENN Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:09TENN Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:15TENN Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 2:10TENN Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 13:01TENN Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:05UTM Touchdown, down 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 14:41UTM Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 13:12TENN Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.1%
Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 5 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.1%
Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the TnMar 32Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to DJ NelsonSimilar
Q1 13:55
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
99.0%
Tyler Larco punt for 36 yds , Dee Williams returns for 4 yds to the Tenn 36 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Tenn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 2TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:0199% → 99%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 5 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
99.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jabari SmallSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+44
99.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 44 yds to the TnMar 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 6 yds to the TnMar 19Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
99.0%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TnMar 17Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+11
98.9%
Jabari Small run for 11 yds to the TnMar 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.9%
Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the TnMar 3Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.9%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TnMar 1Similar
Q1 11:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:301% → 1%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Sam Franklin for 5 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
98.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 7 yds to the TnMar 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
98.9%
Sam Franklin run for 4 yds to the TnMar 41Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+9
98.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
50
+41
98.8%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 41 yds to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.8%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.7%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.6%
Zoe Roberts run for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Larco KICK)Similar
Q1 9:05
3RD & 0
OPP 9
+5
98.6%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Face Mask (5 yards) (5 Yards) to the Tenn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 4TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:0099% → 99%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
98.7%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+9
98.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 9 yds to the TnMar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
98.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 8 yds to the TnMar 37Similar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
98.6%
Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the TnMar 36Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
98.5%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TnMar 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
98.5%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Procedure (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 39Similar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+38
98.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 38 yds to the TnMar 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.4%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the TnMar 1Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Princeton Fant run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 5INT
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:012% → 2%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for no gain to the TnMar 25Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+25
98.5%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
50
+11
98.4%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 11 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
98.4%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Holding (William Wright) to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
98.3%
Sam Franklin run for 1 yd to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-3
98.3%
Sam Franklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 31Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 12
OPP 31
-5
98.3%
Dresser Winn pass intercepted William Wright return for 5 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 6TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 3:1098% → 99%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
98.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the Tenn 27Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
98.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 3 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+17
98.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 17 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
98.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 7
50
+8
98.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the TnMar 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
98.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 3 yds to the TnMar 39Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
98.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+9
98.2%
Jaylen Wright run for 9 yds to the TnMar 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
98.2%
Jaylen Wright run for a loss of 4 yards to the TnMar 34Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 14
OPP 34
-5
98.1%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Kenyonte Davis and John H. Ford II for a loss of 5 yards to the TnMar 39Similar
Q1 0:13
3RD & 19
OPP 39
+22
98.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 22 yds to the TnMar 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Princeton FantSimilar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
98.1%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, Roughing Holder (9 Yards) to the TnMar 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
98.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:432% → 2%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
98.3%
Zoe Roberts run for a loss of 9 yards to the TnMar 16Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
98.3%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Zak Wallace for no gain to the TnMar 16Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+7
98.3%
Dresser Winn run for 7 yds to the TnMar 23Similar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+11
98.2%
Tyler Larco punt for 46 yds , Dee Williams returns for 11 yds to the Tenn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 8FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 1:4098% → 99%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
98.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 19 yds to the TnMar 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
98.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoySimilar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
98.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 8 yds to the TnMar 31Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+5
98.3%
Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the TnMar 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Ramel KeytonSimilar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
98.3%
Jaylen Wright run for 4 yds to the TnMar 22Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
98.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+40
98.6%
Chase McGrath 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 9FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.5%
Sam Franklin run for 6 yds to the TnMar 31 Sam Franklin fumbled, forced by Trevon Flowers, recovered by Tenn Aaron BeasleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 10TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:1199% → 99%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
98.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 9 yds to the TnMar 22Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+22
99.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 22 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
99.0%
Dresser Winn sacked by Solon Page III for a loss of 9 yards to the TnMar 16Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+2
99.0%
Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the TnMar 18Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+4
99.0%
Dresser Winn pass complete to DeVonte Tanksley for 4 yds to the TnMar 22Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+33
99.0%
Tyler Larco punt for 38 yds , Dee Williams returns for 33 yds to the TnMar 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 12TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 0:4199% → 100%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
99.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Walker Merrill for 7 yds to the TnMar 20Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+1
99.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Squirrel White for 1 yd to the TnMar 19Similar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+2
99.1%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the TnMar 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 17 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:001% → 0%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Colton DowellSimilar
Q2 6:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.5%
Sam Franklin run for 4 yds to the TnMar 29Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.6%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Colton DowellSimilar
Q2 6:02
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.6%
Tyler Larco punt for 41 yds , Dee Williams returns for 1 yd to the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 14TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:25100% → 100%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+49
99.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Squirrel White for 49 yds to the TnMar 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the TnMar 17Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+6
99.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 6 yds to the TnMar 11Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
99.7%
Princeton Fant run for 11 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.7%
Dresser Winn pass complete to DJ Nelson for 8 yds to the TnMar 38Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+7
99.8%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 7 yds to the TnMar 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+8
99.8%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Sam Franklin for 8 yds to the Tenn 47Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 16TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:25100% → 100%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
99.7%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 25
OWN 32
+2
99.7%
Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 34Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 23
OWN 34
+66
99.8%
Jalin Hyatt 66 Yd pass from Princeton Fant (Chase McGrath Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Zak Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the TnMar 23Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-3
99.8%
Dresser Winn sacked by Tyre West for a loss of 3 yards to the TnMar 20Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+14
99.8%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 14 yds to the TnMar 34Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Tyler Larco punt for 41 yds, downed at the Tenn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
Joe Milton III run for 8 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
99.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 27Similar
Q3 13:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+38
99.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Jimmy Holiday for 38 yds to the TnMar 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+34
99.8%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Walker Merrill for 34 yds to the TnMar 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Toby Wilson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 3:350% → 0%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to DeVonte TanksleySimilar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the TnMar 28Similar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the TnMar 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for 8 yds to the Tenn 49Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for no gain to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+14
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Colton Dowell for 14 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to Colton DowellSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.Similar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+8
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Zoe Roberts for 8 yds to the Tenn 23Similar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 2
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 8 yds to the Tenn 31Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the Tenn 32Similar
Q3 7:45
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+45
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 45 yds to the TnMar 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass incomplete to Jimmy HolidaySimilar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 5 yds to the TnMar 18Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 5
OPP 18
-10
99.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TnMar 28Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 15
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 15
OPP 28
+46
99.9%
Chase McGrath 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 22TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:370% → 0%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for 6 yds to the TnMar 35Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 5 yds to the TnMar 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 15 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 12 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 9 yds to the Tenn 24Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 3 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Sam Franklin run for 6 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 4 yds to the Tenn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Randy Fields Jr. for 3 yds to the Tenn 8Similar
Q3 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Larco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for 6 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 4
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Joe Milton III run for 6 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Joe Milton III run for 9 yds to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 1
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for no gain to the Tenn 37Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 1
OWN 37
-3
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 34Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 4
OWN 34
+20
99.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TENNESSEE 41 TENNESSEE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the TnMar 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 24TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for 10 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 8 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+5
99.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 31 yds for a TD, (Tyler Larco KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 25TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:20100% → 100%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 14:02
2ND & 12
OWN 38
-2
99.9%
Dylan Sampson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 36Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 14
OWN 36
+64
99.9%
Joe Milton III pass complete to Squirrel White for 64 yds for a TD, (Toby Wilson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 26MISSED FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:150% → 0%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Dresser Winn run for 5 yds to the TnMar 30Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 12 yds to the TnMar 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the TnMar 44Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+37
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass complete to Elijah Smoot for 37 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incomplete to George Qualls Jr.Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Tenn 14Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-8
99.9%
Dresser Winn run for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 22 Dresser Winn fumbled, recovered by TnMar Dresser WinnSimilar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Dresser Winn pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
Tyler Larco 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Justin Williams-Thomas run for 3 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Justin Williams-Thomas run for 5 yds to the Tenn 25Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Paxton Brooks punt for 31 yds, downed at the TnMar 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTMDrive 28FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:410% → 0%
Q4 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
100.0%
Jordan Castleberry run for 13 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
100.0%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 8 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+21
99.9%
Cornelious Brown pass complete to George Qualls Jr. for 7 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-6
99.9%
Cornelious Brown run for 4 yds to the Tenn 10 TENN MARTIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Tenn 20Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 16
OPP 20
+5
100.0%
Jordan Castleberry run for 5 yds to the Tenn 15Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+2
100.0%
Cornelious Brown run for 2 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
100.0%
TENN MARTIN Penalty, Illegal Touching ( Yards) to the Tenn 13Similar
Q4 5:04
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
99.9%
Tyler Larco 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 29INT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:50100% → 100%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Squirrel White for 9 yds to the Tenn 39Similar
Q4 4:29
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+1
100.0%
Justin Williams-Thomas run for 1 yd to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
100.0%
Tayven Jackson sacked by Aaron Webb and Toby Camp for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 35Similar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+3
100.0%
Patrick Wilk run for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+14
100.0%
Tayven Jackson run for 14 yds to the TnMar 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Grant Frerking for 4 yds to the TnMar 44Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass complete to Jack Jancek for 5 yds to the TnMar 39Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
Patrick Wilk run for 3 yds to the TnMar 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-18
100.0%
Gaston Moore pass intercepted Ty Woods return for 18 yds to the TnMar 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:00
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 7:09
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 17 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 10:13
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 22 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com