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TA&M

Texas A&M 24 at South Carolina 30

SC
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Williams-Brice Stadium
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Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadTA&M aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreTA&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:04 · Kai Kroeger punt for 49 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for 3 yds to the TexAM 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 61Home team on offense+6.9Pregame prior−8.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Garbage-time factor+3.0Score differential+1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:00: Max Wright 9 Yd pass from Haynes King (Evan Stewart Pass to for Two-Point Conversion) — TA&M win probability +5.9 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Deficit intensified by the shrinking clock).
  2. TD · Q3 3:25: MarShawn Lloyd run for 18 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +17.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:27: Devon Achane run for 15 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK) — TA&M win probability +17.3 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 3:08: MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter PAT BLOCKED) — SC win probability +25.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:10: Randy Bond 28 yd FG GOOD — TA&M win probability +18.7 pts (now 23%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 8TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 10
  1. Q1 12:22SC 4th & 5 at TA&M 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.4%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    92% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:28TA&M 4th & 8 at SC 34, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.7%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    45.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:42SC 4th & 1 at SC 40, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:58TA&M 4th & 15 at TA&M 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:30TA&M 4th & 2 at SC 9, down 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.7%−1.0
    89% to make
    Punt
    33.6%−7.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:04SC 4th & 6 at SC 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:52SC 4th & 10 at TA&M 45, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    53.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:47TA&M 4th & 10 at SC 39, down 3
    Close callPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:38SC 4th & 4 at TA&M 44, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    57.9%−2.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:12TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.4
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:55TA&M 4th & 4 at TA&M 27, down 10
    Close callPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:12SC 4th & 9 at SC 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−3.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:27TA&M 4th & 3 at TA&M 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:54SC 4th & 6 at SC 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:21TA&M 4th & 6 at TA&M 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:07TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 15, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:07TA&M 4th & 7 at TA&M 15, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:01SC 4th & 1 at TA&M 6, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    94.7%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TA&M made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:46SC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:51SC Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:00TA&M Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    43.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:25SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:27TA&M Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:08SC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TA&MDrive 1INT
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:3462% → 61%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
38.0%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
38.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Chase Lane for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q1 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
38.0%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
50
0
38.9%
Haynes King pass interceptedSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
50
0
38.9%
Haynes King pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 2FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5039% → 40%
Q1 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
39.3%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the TexAM 5Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
39.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q1 13:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
39.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
39.8%
Mitch Jeter 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:4760% → 60%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
39.6%
Haynes King run for 11 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
39.5%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
40.0%
run for no gain to the TexAM 19 fumbled, recovered by TexAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 4TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:4441% → 45%
Q1 11:35
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+6
40.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 6 yds to the TexAM 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
40.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+5
40.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the TexAM 11Similar
Q1 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
45.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 5FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 3:2355% → 53%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
45.5%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 13 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
45.4%
Haynes King run for 8 yds to the TexAM 46Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+7
45.1%
Devon Achane run for 7 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
45.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Donovan Green for 11 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
45.7%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
45.8%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the SCaro 34Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
45.8%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+51
47.4%
Randy Bond 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4649% → 51%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28Similar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
48.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to MarShawn LloydSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
48.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 8 yds to the SCaro 39Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
50.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 40Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
50.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 50 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for 2 yds to the TexAM 12 Moose Muhammad III fumbled, recovered by TexAM Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4450% → 48%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
50.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 5 yds to the TexAM 17Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+8
50.3%
Devon Achane run for 8 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.2%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Chris MarshallSimilar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
50.3%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Devon AchaneSimilar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
50.5%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q1 1:58
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
51.9%
Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 8FUMBLE
1 play · -4 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
53.2%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 29 Juju McDowell fumbled, recovered by TexAM Bryce AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 9FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:5550% → 47%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
49.8%
Haynes King pass complete to Chase Lane for 7 yds to the SCaro 22Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+5
49.8%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
51.1%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the SCaro 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+8
51.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Chase Lane for 8 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 2
OPP 9
0
53.8%
LJ Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 13:30
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
53.0%
Randy Bond 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:2655% → 59%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
54.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
54.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the SCaro 24Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+20
54.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 20 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
55.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
55.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 4 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
55.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+3
58.6%
Kai Kroeger punt for 49 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for 3 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 11TD
14 plays · 94 yds · 8:0440% → 51%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 13
OWN 3
+1
59.6%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 4Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 12
OWN 4
+18
59.8%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 18 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
58.8%
Devon Achane run for 9 yds to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+2
57.4%
Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
58.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Donovan Green for 7 yds to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+30
57.2%
Devon Achane run for 30 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
55.6%
Haynes King run for no gain to the SCaro 30Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+12
57.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Devon Achane for 12 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+4
56.1%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
55.2%
Devon Achane run for 6 yds to the SCaro 13Similar
Q2 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
55.2%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
55.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Devon Achane for no gain to the SCaro 9Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
49.3%
Max Wright 9 Yd pass from Haynes King (Evan Stewart Pass to for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:0852% → 52%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 4 yds to the SCaro 29Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
52.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+26
51.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 26 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
55.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
55.0%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
53.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jaheim BellSimilar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
51.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
54.3%
Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:1348% → 47%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
51.9%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 17 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
49.6%
Haynes King pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 7 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 49
0
48.5%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+12
49.2%
Haynes King pass complete to Max Wright for 12 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
48.6%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
48.7%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
49.7%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Chris MarshallSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
53.1%
Nik Constantinou punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 49 yds · 4:0954% → 58%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
53.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 5 yds to the SCaro 12Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+3
54.1%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+20
52.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 20 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
54.7%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Andre White Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 34Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
54.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+16
52.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
50
+6
57.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 6 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
57.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
56.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the TexAM 44Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
57.7%
Kai Kroeger punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2644% → 41%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
55.8%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 5Similar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
55.4%
Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
55.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Devon Achane for 5 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q3 8:38
3RD & 2
OWN 23
0
55.9%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
58.8%
Nik Constantinou punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:4761% → 78%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
60.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 9
50
+20
60.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 20 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
62.5%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
62.5%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the TexAM 21Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+3
60.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
78.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 18 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2525% → 22%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
75.1%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 22Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
75.4%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Max WrightSimilar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 14
OWN 17
+10
76.8%
Haynes King pass complete to Devon Achane for 10 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q3 1:55
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+4
78.0%
Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds , Josh Vann returns for 4 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
77.9%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Fadil Diggs for a loss of 6 yards to the SCaro 24 Spencer Rattler fumbled, recovered by TexAM Bryce Anderson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 20TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 1:2130% → 47%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
70.4%
Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the SCaro 19Similar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+4
70.3%
Le'Veon Moss run for 4 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q3 0:27
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+15
53.0%
Devon Achane run for 15 yds for a TD, (Randy Bond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4861% → 63%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
61.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
60.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
59.1%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+11
62.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 30 , Moose Muhammad III returns for 11 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:4540% → 39%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
60.3%
Devon Achane run for no gain to the TexAM 30Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
61.4%
Haynes King pass complete to Evan Stewart for 12 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
58.0%
Haynes King pass incomplete to Donovan GreenSimilar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
59.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 5 yds to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+2
57.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Evan Stewart for 2 yds to the TexAM 49Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
60.6%
Nik Constantinou punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3364% → 64%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
63.6%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the SCaro 7Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
63.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 10Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 6
OWN 10
0
62.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q4 9:54
4TH & 6
OWN 10
0
63.5%
Kai Kroeger punt for 55 yds , Moose Muhammad III returns for no gain to the TexAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3341% → 38%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
59.0%
Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 37Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
60.6%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Chase LaneSimilar
Q4 9:54
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+5
63.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Devon Achane for 5 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
62.2%
Nik Constantinou punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 25TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 5:1367% → 97%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
66.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 6 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+21
66.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 21 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
71.0%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 24 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
72.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the TexAM 28Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+16
72.2%
Jalen Brooks run for 16 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
72.1%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the TexAM 8Similar
Q4 8:21
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+4
72.1%
Jaheim Bell run for 4 yds to the TexAM 4Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
97.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:579% → 6%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
91.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Yulkeith BrownSimilar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
91.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+8
92.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Devon Achane for 8 yds to the TexAM 20Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
94.1%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Donovan GreenSimilar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
94.1%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Donovan GreenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0698% → 98%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
98.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
98.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the TexAM 18Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 13
OPP 18
+12
98.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 12 yds to the TexAM 6Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
98.3%
Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the TexAM 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 28FG
9 plays · 83 yds · 0:515% → 23%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+15
95.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Donovan Green for 15 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+24
95.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Moose Muhammad III for 24 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Evan StewartSimilar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+17
95.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Devon Achane for 17 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
94.0%
Conner Weigman run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36Similar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
94.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 15 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
76.8%
Randy Bond 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0913% → 13%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
50
0
86.6%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad IIISimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
50
0
87.3%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:08
MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter PAT BLOCKED)
+25.1
FG · Q4 0:10
Randy Bond 28 yd FG GOOD
-18.7
TD · Q3 3:25
MarShawn Lloyd run for 18 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+17.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com